메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 29, Issue 2, 2011, Pages 307-318

Forecast combination across estimation windows

Author keywords

Estimation windows; Exponential down weighting; Forecast averaging; Structural

Indexed keywords


EID: 79958713394     PISSN: 07350015     EISSN: 15372707     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1198/jbes.2010.09018     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (82)

References (20)
  • 1
    • 68249144593 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting the Swiss Economy Using VECX* Models: An Exercise in Forecast Combination Across Models and Observation Windows
    • [307]
    • Assenmacher-Wesche, K., and Pesaran, M. H. (2008), "Forecasting the Swiss Economy Using VECX* Models: An Exercise in Forecast Combination Across Models and Observation Windows," National Institute Economic Review, 203, 91-108. [307]
    • (2008) National Institute Economic Review , vol.203 , pp. 91-108
    • Assenmacher-Wesche, K.1    Pesaran, M.H.2
  • 2
    • 0031325058 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimation of a Change Point in Multiple Regression Models
    • [308,313]
    • Bai, J. (1997), "Estimation of a Change Point in Multiple Regression Models," Review of Economics and Statistics, 79, 551-563. [308,313]
    • (1997) Review of Economics and Statistics , vol.79 , pp. 551-563
    • Bai, J.1
  • 3
    • 0346906789 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating and Testing Linear Models With Multiple Structural Changes
    • [307,308,310,311,315,316]
    • Bai, J., and Perron, P. (1998), "Estimating and Testing Linear Models With Multiple Structural Changes," Econometrica, 66, 47-78. [307,308,310,311,315,316]
    • (1998) Econometrica , vol.66 , pp. 47-78
    • Bai, J.1    Perron, P.2
  • 4
    • 0037286212 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Computation and Analysis of Multiple Structural Change Models
    • [307,308,310,311, 315,316]
    • Bai, J., (2003), "Computation and Analysis of Multiple Structural Change Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, 18, 1-22. [307,308,310,311, 315,316]
    • (2003) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.18 , pp. 1-22
    • Bai, J.1
  • 5
    • 0040078345 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Selecting the Forgetting Factor in Subset Autoregressive Modelling
    • [314]
    • Brailsford, T. J., Penm, J. H. W., and Terrell, R. D. (2002), "Selecting the Forgetting Factor in Subset Autoregressive Modelling," Journal of Time Series Analysis, 23, 629-649. [314]
    • (2002) Journal of Time Series Analysis , vol.23 , pp. 629-649
    • Brailsford, T.J.1    Penm, J.H.W.2    Terrell, R.D.3
  • 6
    • 33646348447 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A Simple Recursive Forecasting Model
    • [314]
    • Branch, W. A., and Evans, G. W. (2006), "A Simple Recursive Forecasting Model," Economic Letters, 91, 158-166. [314]
    • (2006) Economic Letters , vol.91 , pp. 158-166
    • Branch, W.A.1    Evans, G.W.2
  • 7
    • 65349183513 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improving Forecast Accuracy by Combining Recursive and Rolling Forecasts
    • [308]
    • Clark, T. E., and McCracken, M. W. (2009), "Improving Forecast Accuracy by Combining Recursive and Rolling Forecasts," International Economic Review, 50, 363-395. [308]
    • (2009) International Economic Review , vol.50 , pp. 363-395
    • Clark, T.E.1    McCracken, M.W.2
  • 8
    • 45249128876 scopus 로고
    • Combining Forecasts: A Review and Annotated Bibliography
    • [307]
    • Clemen, R. T. (1989), "Combining Forecasts: A Review and Annotated Bibliography," International Journal of Forecasting, 5, 559-581. [307]
    • (1989) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.5 , pp. 559-581
    • Clemen, R.T.1
  • 10
    • 33749523557 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Exponential Smoothing: The State of the Art- Part II
    • [307]
    • Gardner Jr., E. S. (2006), "Exponential Smoothing: The State of the Art- Part II," International Journal of Forecasting, 22, 637-666. [307]
    • (2006) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.22 , pp. 637-666
    • Gardner, E.S.1
  • 13
    • 51449088408 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Learning, Forecasting and Structural Breaks
    • [309]
    • Maheu, J. M., and Gordon, S. (2008), "Learning, Forecasting and Structural Breaks," Journal of Applied Econometrics, 23, 553-583. [309]
    • (2008) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.23 , pp. 553-583
    • Maheu, J.M.1    Gordon, S.2
  • 14
    • 68249149353 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Working Papers in Economics 0814, University of Cambridge, Faculty of Economics, [314]
    • Pesaran, M. H., and Pick, A. (2008), "Forecasting Random Walks Under Drift Instability," Working Papers in Economics 0814, University of Cambridge, Faculty of Economics. [314]
    • (2008) Forecasting Random Walks Under Drift Instability
    • Pesaran, M.H.1    Pick, A.2
  • 15
    • 33846487369 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Selection of EstimationWindow in the Presence of Breaks
    • [307, 308,313,315]
    • Pesaran, M. H., and Timmermann, A. (2007), "Selection of EstimationWindow in the Presence of Breaks," Journal of Econometrics, 137, 134-161. [307, 308,313,315]
    • (2007) Journal of Econometrics , vol.137 , pp. 134-161
    • Pesaran, M.H.1    Timmermann, A.2
  • 16
    • 33749045516 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting Time Series Subject to Multiple Structural Breaks
    • [309]
    • Pesaran, M. H., Pettenuzzo, D., and Timmermann, A. (2006), "Forecasting Time Series Subject to Multiple Structural Breaks," Review of Economic Studies, 73, 1057-1084. [309]
    • (2006) Review of Economic Studies , vol.73 , pp. 1057-1084
    • Pesaran, M.H.1    Pettenuzzo, D.2    Timmermann, A.3
  • 17
    • 70349967692 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting Economic and Financial Variables With Global VARs
    • with discussion and rejoinder, [307]
    • Pesaran, M. H., Schuermann, T., and Smith, L. V. (2009), "Forecasting Economic and Financial Variables With Global VARs" (with discussion and rejoinder), International Journal of Forecasting, 25, 642-715. [307]
    • (2009) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.25 , pp. 642-715
    • Pesaran, M.H.1    Schuermann, T.2    Smith, L.V.3
  • 18
    • 77956261862 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A Reappraisal of the Leading Indicator Properties of the Yield Curve Under Structural Instability
    • [307]
    • Schrimpf, A., and Wang, Q. (2010), "A Reappraisal of the Leading Indicator Properties of the Yield Curve Under Structural Instability," International Journal of Forecasting, 26 (4), 836-857. [307]
    • (2010) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.26 , Issue.4 , pp. 836-857
    • Schrimpf, A.1    Wang, Q.2
  • 19
    • 4744365124 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Combination Forecasts of Output Growth in a Seven-Country Data Set
    • [307]
    • Stock, J. H., and Watson, M. W. (2004), "Combination Forecasts of Output Growth in a Seven-Country Data Set," Journal of Forecasting, 23, 405-430. [307]
    • (2004) Journal of Forecasting , vol.23 , pp. 405-430
    • Stock, J.H.1    Watson, M.W.2
  • 20
    • 67649372714 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecast Combinations
    • eds. G. Elliot, C.W. J. Granger, and A. Timmermann, Amsterdam: Elsevier, [307]breaks
    • Timmermann, A. (2006), "Forecast Combinations," in Handbook of Economic Forecasting, eds. G. Elliot, C.W. J. Granger, and A. Timmermann, Amsterdam: Elsevier, pp. 135-196. [307]breaks.
    • (2006) Handbook of Economic Forecasting , pp. 135-196
    • Timmermann, A.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.