Validation of a modified EuroSCORE risk stratification model for cardiac surgery: The Swedish experience

European Journal of Cardio-thoracic Surgery

Volumn 40, Issue 1, 2011, Pages 185-191

  Nozohoor, Shahab ^a   Sjögren, Johan ^a   Ivert, Torbjörn ^b   Höglund, Peter ^a   Nilsson, Johan ^a  

^a LUND UNIVERSITY HOSPITAL   (Sweden)

^b KAROLINSKA UNIVERSITY HOSPITAL   (Sweden)

Author keywords

Cardiovascular diseases; Mortality; Statistics; Surgery

Indexed keywords

ARTICLE; CLINICAL ASSESSMENT TOOL; CORONARY ARTERY BYPASS SURGERY; DIAGNOSTIC VALUE; EUROPEAN SYSTEM OF CARDIAC OPERATIVE RISK EVALUATION; FEMALE; HEART VALVE SURGERY; HUMAN; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MALE; MORTALITY; OPEN HEART SURGERY; PATIENT SELECTION; PREDICTIVE VALUE; PRIORITY JOURNAL; RECEIVER OPERATING CHARACTERISTIC; SWEDEN; VALIDATION STUDY;

AGED; AGED, 80 AND OVER; AORTIC VALVE; CALIBRATION; CARDIAC SURGICAL PROCEDURES; CORONARY ARTERY BYPASS; EPIDEMIOLOGIC METHODS; FEMALE; HEALTH STATUS INDICATORS; HEART VALVE PROSTHESIS IMPLANTATION; HUMANS; MALE; MIDDLE AGED; MITRAL VALVE; PATIENT SELECTION; PREOPERATIVE CARE; PROGNOSIS; SWEDEN;

EID: 79958015941     PISSN: 10107940     EISSN: 1873734X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.ejcts.2010.10.040     Document Type: Article

References (25)

1. Vahanian A., Otto C.M. Risk stratification of patients with aortic stenosis. Eur Heart J 2010, 31:416-423.
2. Hannan E.L., Racz M.J., Jones R.H., Gold J.P., Ryan T.J., Hafner J.P., Isom O.W. Predictors of mortality for patients undergoing cardiac valve replacements in New York State. Ann Thorac Surg 2000, 70:1212-1218.
3. Nowicki E.R., Birkmeyer N.J.O., Weintraub R.W., Leavitt B.J., Sanders J.H., Dacey L.J., Clough R.A., Quinn R.D., Charlesworth D.C., Sisto D.A., Uhlig P.N., Olmstead E.M., O'Connor G.T. Multivariable prediction of in-hospital mortality associated with aortic and mitral valve surgery in Northern New England. Ann Thorac Surg 2004, 77:1966-1977. Northern New England Cardiovascular Disease Study Group and the Center for Evaluative Clinical Sciences DMS.
4. Nashef S.A., Roques F., Michel P., Gauducheau E., Lemeshow S., Salamon R. European system for cardiac operative risk evaluation (EuroSCORE). Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 1999, 16:9-13.
5. Nashef S.A., Roques F., Hammill B.G., Peterson E.D., Michel P., Grover F.L., Wyse R.K., Ferguson T.B. Validation of European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) in North American cardiac surgery. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 2002, 22:101-105.
6. Michel P., Roques F., Nashef S.A. Logistic or additive EuroSCORE for high-risk patients?. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 2003, 23:684-687.
7. Kawachi Y., Nakashima A., Toshima Y., Arinaga K., Kawano H. Risk stratification analysis of operative mortality in heart and thoracic aorta surgery: comparison between Parsonnet and EuroSCORE additive model. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 2001, 20:961-966.
8. Nilsson J., Algotsson L., Höglund P., Lührs C., Brandt J. EuroSCORE predicts intensive care unit stay and costs of open heart surgery. Ann Thorac Surg 2004, 78:1528-1534.
9. Roques F., Nashef S.A., Michel P., Gauducheau E., de Vincentiis C., Baudet E., Cortina J., David M., Faichney A., Gabrielle F., Gams E., Harjula A., Jones M.T., Pintor P.P., Salamon R., Thulin L. Risk factors and outcome in European cardiac surgery: analysis of the EuroSCORE multinational database of 19030 patients. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 1999, 15:816-822. [discussion 822-813].
10. Brown M.L., Schaff H.V., Sarano M.E., Li Z., Sundt T.M., Dearani J.A., Mullany C.J., Orszulak T.A. Is the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation model valid for estimating the operative risk of patients considered for percutaneous aortic valve replacement?. J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 2008, 136:566-571.
11. Kuduvalli M., Grayson A.D., Au J., Grotte G., Bridgewater B., Fabri B.M. A multi-centre additive and logistic risk model for in-hospital mortality following aortic valve replacement. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 2007, 31:607-613. Interventions NWQIPiCt.
12. Shanmugam G., West M., Berg G. Additive and logistic EuroSCORE performance in high risk patients. Interact Cardiovasc Thorac Surg 2005, 4:299-303.
13. Schemper M., Smith T.L. Efficient evaluation of treatment effects in the presence of missing covariate values. Stat Med 1990, 9:777-784.
14. Harrell F.E., Lee K.L., Mark D.B. Multivariable prognostic models: issues in developing models, evaluating assumptions and adequacy, and measuring and reducing errors. Stat Med 1996, 15:361-387.
15. Hosmer D.W., Lemeshow S. Model-building strategies and methods for logistic regression. Applied logistic regression 2000, John Wiley & Sons, New York, p. 91-134.
16. DeLong E.R., DeLong D.M., Clarke-Pearson D.L. Comparing the areas under two or more correlated receiver operating characteristic curves: a nonparametric approach. Biometrics 1988, 44:837-845.
17. Cleves M. From the help desk: comparing areas under receiver operating characteristic curves from two or more probit or logit models. Stata J 2002, 2:301-313.
18. Grube E., Schuler G., Buellesfeld L., Gerckens U., Linke A., Wenaweser P., Sauren B., Mohr F.W., Walther T., Zickmann B., Iversen S., Felderhoff T., Cartier R., Bonan R. Percutaneous aortic valve replacement for severe aortic stenosis in high-risk patients using the second- and current third-generation self-expanding CoreValve prosthesis: device success and 30-day clinical outcome. J Am Coll Cardiol 2007, 50:69-76.
19. Sharony R., Grossi E.A., Saunders P.C., Schwartz C.F., Ciuffo G.B., Baumann F.G., Delianides J., Applebaum R.M., Ribakove G.H., Culliford A.T., Galloway A.C., Colvin S.B. Aortic valve replacement in patients with impaired ventricular function. Ann Thorac Surg 2003, 75:1808-1814.
20. Edwards F.H., Peterson E.D., Coombs L.P., DeLong E.R., Jamieson W.R., Shroyer A.L.W., Grover F.L. Prediction of operative mortality after valve replacement surgery. J Am Coll Cardiol 2001, 37:885-892.
21. Ambler G., Omar R.Z., Royston P., Kinsman R., Keogh B.E., Taylor K.M. Generic, simple risk stratification model for heart valve surgery. Circulation 2005, 112:224-231.
22. Nilsson J., Algotsson L., Höglund P., Lührs C., Brandt J. Comparison of 19 pre-operative risk stratification models in open-heart surgery. Eur Heart J 2006, 27:867-874.
23. Grossi E.A., Schwartz C.F., Yu P.-J., Jorde U.P., Crooke G.A., Grau J.B., Ribakove G.H., Baumann F.G., Ursumanno P., Culliford A.T., Colvin S.B., Galloway A.C. High-risk aortic valve replacement: are the outcomes as bad as predicted?. Ann Thorac Surg 2008, 85:102-106. [discussion 107].
24. Ruel M., Al-Faleh H., Kulik A., Chan K.L., Mesana T.G., Burwash I.G. Prosthesis-patient mismatch after aortic valve replacement predominantly affects patients with preexisting left ventricular dysfunction: effect on survival, freedom from heart failure, and left ventricular mass regression. J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 2006, 131:1036-1044.
25. Murdoch D.R., Corey G.R., Hoen B., Miró J.M., Fowler V.G., Bayer A.S., Karchmer A.W., Olaison L., Pappas P.A., Moreillon P., Chambers S.T., Chu V.H., Falcó V., Holland D.J., Jones P., Klein J.L., Raymond N.J., Read K.M., Tripodi M.F., Utili R., Wang A., Woods C.W., Cabell C.H. Clinical presentation, etiology, and outcome of infective endocarditis in the 21st century: the International Collaboration on Endocarditis-Prospective Cohort Study. Arch Intern Med 2009, 169:463-473. Investigators ICoE-PCSI-P.