Point process modelling of reservoir-induced seismicity

Journal of Applied Probability

Volumn 38A, Issue , 2001, Pages 232-242

  Imoto, Masajiro ^a  

^a NATIONAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE FOR EARTH SCIENCE AND DISASTER PREVENTION   (Japan)

Author keywords

ETAS model; Induced seismicity; Point process; RIS; Tarbela reservoir

Indexed keywords

EID: 79957842003     PISSN: 00219002     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1239/jap/1085496605     Document Type: Article

References (22)

1. Akaike, H. (1974). A new look at the statistical model identification. IEEE Trans. Automatic Control AC-19, 716-723.
2. Aki, K. (1989). Ideal probabilistic earthquake prediction. Tectonophysics 169, 197-198.
3. Bell, M. L. and Nur, A. (1978). Strength changes due to reservoir-induced pore pressure and stresses and application to Lake Oroville. J. Geophys. Res. 83, 4469-4483.
4. Gough, D. I. and Gough, W. I. (1970a). Stress and deflection in the lithosphere near Lake Kariba, 1. Geophys. J. Roy. Astronom. Soc. 21, 65-78.
5. Gough, D. I. and Gough, W. I. (1970b). Load-induced earthquakes at Lake Kariba, 2. Geophys. J. Roy. Astronom. Soc. 21, 79-101.
6. Gupta, H. K. (1992). Reservoir-induced earthquakes (Developments in Geotechnical Engineering 64). Elsevier, Amsterdam.
7. Ibenbrahim, A., Ni, J., Salyards, S. and Ali, I. M. (1989). Induced seismicity of the Tarbela reservoir, Pakistan. Seismol. Res. Lett. 60, 185-197.
8. Imoto, M. (2000). A quality factor of earthquake probability models in terms of mean information gain. Zisin 2, 53, 79-81.
9. Imoto, M. (2001). Application of the stress release model to the Nankai earthquake sequence, southwest Japan. Tectonophysics, 338, 287-295.
10. Jacob, K. H., Pennington, W. D., Armbruster, J., Seeber, L. and Farhatulla, S. (1979). Tarbela Reservoir, Pakistan: a region of compressional tectonic with reduced seismicity upon initial reservoir filling. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer. 69, 1175-1192.
11. Kebeasy, R. M., Maamoun, M., Ibrahim, E., Meagahed, a., Simpson, D. W. and Leith, W. S. (1987). Earthquake studies at Aswan reservoir. J. Geodynamics 7, 173-193.
12. Love, A. E. H. (1927). A Treatise on the Mathematical Theory of Elasticity, 4th edn. Cambridge University Press. (Reprinted 1944, Dover Publications.)
13. Matthews, M. V. (1999). A Brownian passage time model for recurrent earthquakes. Unpublished manuscript.
14. Nadeem, U. H. (1996). Induced seismicity due to large water reservoir. Individual Studies by Participants IISEE, BRI, Japan, 32, 77-90.
15. Ogata, Y. (1988). Statistical models for earthquake occurrence and residual analysis for point processes. J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 83, 9-27.
16. Reasenberg, P. A. (1985). Second-order moment of central California seismicity, 1969-1982. J. Geophys. Res. 90, 5479-5495.
17. Shimazaki, K. and Nakata, T. (1980). Time-predictable recurrence model for large earthquakes. Geophys. Res. Lett. 7, 279-282.
18. Simpson, D. W., Leith, W. S. and Scholz, C. H. (1988). Two types of reservoir-induced seismicity. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer. 78, 2025-2040.
19. Utsu, T. (1961). A statistical study on the occurrence of aftershocks. Geophys. Mag. 30, 521-605.
20. Vere-Jones, D. (1978). Earthquake prediction—a statistician’s view. J. Physics Earth 26, 129-146.
21. Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (1990). Probabilities of large earthquakes in the San Francisco bay region, California. U. S. Geol. Surv. Circ. 1053, 51pp.
22. Zheng, X. and Vere-Jones, D. (1994). Further applications of the stress release model to historical earthquake data. Tectonophysics 229, 101-121.