Planning for sea-level rise: Quantifying patterns of Saltmarsh Sparrow (Ammodramus caudacutus) nest flooding under current sea-level conditions

Auk

Volumn 128, Issue 2, 2011, Pages 393-403

  Bayard, Trina S ^a   Elphick, Chris S ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT   (United States)

Author keywords

Ammodramus caudacutus; Breeding ecology; Climate change; Nest flooding; Salt marsh; Saltmarsh Sparrow; Sea level rise

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; ECOLOGICAL MODELING; FLOOD FREQUENCY; FLOODING; GLOBAL CHANGE; NEST STRUCTURE; NESTING SUCCESS; PASSERINE; QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS; SALTMARSH; SEA LEVEL CHANGE; VULNERABILITY;

UNITED STATES;

AMMODRAMUS CAUDACUTUS; ANIMALIA;

EID: 79957464879     PISSN: 00048038     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1525/auk.2011.10178     Document Type: Article

References (40)

1. American Bird Conservancy. 2007. American Bird Conservancy Red List. [Online.] Available at http://www.abcbirds.org/abcprograms/science/watchlist/ watchlist.html.
2. Bayard, T. S., and C. S. Elphick. 2010. Using spatial point-pattern assessment to understand the social and environmental mechanisms that drive avian habitat selection. Auk 127:485-494.
3. Bertness, M. D., and S. C. Pennings. 2000. Spatial variation in process and pattern in salt marsh plant communities in eastern North America. Pages 39-58 in Concepts and Controversies in Tidal Marsh Ecology (M. P. Weinstein and D. A. Kreeger, Eds.). Kluwer Press, Boston.
4. BirdLife International. 2009. Species factsheet: Ammodramus caudacutus. [Online.] Available at http://www.birdlife.org.
5. Burnham, K. P., and D. R. Andersen. 2002. Model Selection and Multimodel Inference, A Practical Information-Theoretic Approach, 2nd ed. Springer-Verlag, New York.
6. Craft, C., J. Clough, J. Ehman, S. Joye, R. Park, S. Pennings, H. Guo, and M. Machmuller. 2009. Forecasting the effects of accelerated sea-level rise on tidal marsh ecosystem services. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 7:73-78.
7. DeRagon, W. R. 1988. Breeding ecology of Seaside and Sharp-tailed sparrows in Rhode Island salt marshes. M.S. thesis, University of Rhode Island, Kingston.
8. Dettmers, R., and K. V. Rosenberg. 2000. Partners in Flight bird conservation plan for southern New England (physiographic area 9), version 1.0. American Bird Conservancy, The Plains, Virginia.
9. Elphick, C. S., T. Bayard, S. Meiman, J. M. Hill, and M. A. Rubega. 2009. A comprehensive assessment of the distribution of saltmarsh sharp-tailed sparrows in Connecticut. Final report to the Long Island Sound License Plate Program, Connecticut Department of Environmental Protection. University of Connecticut, Storrs.
10. Erwin, R. M., G. M. Sanders, D. J. Prosser, and D. R. Cahoon. 2006. High tides and rising seas: Potential effects on estuarine waterbirds. Pages 214-228 in Terrestrial Vertebrates of Tidal Marshes: Evolution, Ecology, and Conservation (R. Greenberg, J. E. Maldonado, S. Droege, and M. V. McDonald, Eds.). Studies in Avian Biology, no. 32. (Pubitemid 44901268)
11. Frumhoff, P. C., J. J. McCarthy, J. M. Melillo, S. C. Moser, and D. J. Wuebbles. 2007. Confronting climate change in the U.S. Northeast: Science, impacts, and solutions. Synthesis report of the Northeast Climate Impacts Assessment. Union of Concerned Scientists, Cambridge, Massachusetts.
12. Gedan, K. B., and M. D. Bertness. 2009. Experimental warming causes rapid loss of plant diversity in New England salt marshes. Ecology Letters 12:842-848.
13. Gjerdrum, C., C. S. Elphick, and M. Rubega. 2005. Nest site selection and nesting success in saltmarsh breeding sparrows: The importance of nest habitat, timing, and study site differences. Condor 107:849-862. (Pubitemid 41698151)
14. Gjerdrum, C., K. Sullivan-Wiley, E. King, M. Rubega, and C. S. Elphick. 2008. Egg and chick fates during tidal flooding of saltmarsh sharp-tailed sparrow nests. Condor 110:579-584.
15. Greenberg, R., C. Elphick, J. Nordby, C. Gjerdrum, H. Spautz, W. G. Shriver, B. Schmeling, B. Olsen, P. Marra, N. Nur, and M. Winter. 2006. Flooding and predation: Trade-offs in the nesting ecology of tidal-marsh sparrows. Pages 96-109 in Terrestrial Vertebrates of Tidal Marshes: Evolution, Ecology, and Conservation (R. Greenberg, J. E. Maldonado, S. Droege, and M. V. McDonald, Eds.). Studies in Avian Biology, no. 32. (Pubitemid 44901259)
16. Greenlaw, J. S., and J. D. Rising. 1994. Sharp-tailed Sparrow (Ammodramus caudacutus). In The Birds of North America, no. 112 (A. Poole and F. Gill, Eds.). Academy of Natural Sciences, Philadelphia, and American Ornithologists' Union, Washington
17. D.C. Hughes, R. G. 2004. Climate change and loss of saltmarshes: Consequences for birds. The Birds of North America, Ibis 146:21-28.
18. Humphreys, S., C. S. Elphick, C. Gjerdrum, and M. A. Rubega. 2007. Testing the function of nest domes in saltmarsh sharp-tailed sparrows. Journal of Field Ornithology 78:152-158. (Pubitemid 46789567)
19. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. 2001. Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Third Assessment Report. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
20. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. 2007. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
21. Martin, T. E., C. E. Paine, C. J. Conway, W. M. Hochachka, P. Allen, and W. Jenkins. 1997. BBIRD Field Protocol. Biological Resources Division, Montana Cooperative Wildlife Research Unit, University of Montana, Missoula.
22. Mayfield, H. F. 1961. Nesting success calculated from exposure. Wilson Bulletin 73:255-261.
23. Morris, J. T., P. V. Sundareshwar, C. T. Nietch, B. Kjerfve, and D. R. Cahoon. 2002. Responses of coastal wetlands to rising sea level. Ecology 83:2869-2877. (Pubitemid 36524714)
24. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. 2009. Tides and currents. [Online.] Available at tidesandcurrents.noaa. gov/data-menu.shtml?stn= 8465705%20New%20Haven,%20CT& type=Tide%20Data.
25. Neiring, A. A., and R. S. Warren. 1980. Vegetation patterns and processes in New England salt marshes. BioScience 30:301-307.
26. Nordby, J. C., A. N. Cohen, and S. R. Beissinger. 2009. Effects of a habitat-altering invader on nesting sparrows: An ecological trap? Biological Invasions 11:565-575.
27. Northeast Regional Climate Center. 2009. Climate summary tables. [Online.] Available at http://www.nrcc.cornell.edu/page-summaries.html.
28. Olson, C. R., C. M. Vleck, and D. Vleck. 2006. Periodic cooling of bird eggs reduces embryonic growth efficiency. Physiological and Biochemical Zoology 79:927-936. (Pubitemid 44412216)
29. Parmesan, C., and J. Matthews. 2006. Biological impacts of climate change. Pages 333-374 in Principles of Conservation Biology, 3rd ed. (M. J. Groom, G. K. Meffe, and C. R. Carroll, Eds.). Sinauer Associates, Sunderland, Massachusetts.
30. Pfeffer, W. T., J. T. Harper, and S. O'Neel. 2008. Kinematic constraints on glacier contributions to 21st-century sea-level rise. Science 321:1340-1343.
31. R Development Core Team. 2009. R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna. [Online.] Available at http://www.R-project.org.
32. Reed, D. J. 1990. The impact of sea-level rise on coastal salt marshes. Progress in Physical Geography 14:465-481.
33. Rhamstorf, S. 2007. A semi-empirical approach to projecting future sea-level rise. Science 315:368-370.
34. Rich, T. D., C. J. Beardmore, H. Berlanga, P. J. Blancher, M. S. W. Bradstreet, G. S. Butcher, D. W. Demarest, E. H. Dunn, W. C. Hunter, E. E. Inigo-Elias, and others. 2004. Partners in Flight North American Landbird Conservation Plan. Cornell Lab of Ornithology, Ithaca, New York. [Online.] Available at http://www.partnersinflight.org/cont-plan/.
35. Shriver, W. G., P. D. Vickery, T. P. Hodgman, and J. P. Gibbs. 2007. Flood tides affect breeding ecology of two sympatric sharptailed sparrows. Auk 124:552-560. (Pubitemid 46799133)
36. Valiela, I. 2006. Global coastal change. Blackwell, Oxford, United Kingdom.
37. Webb, D. R. 1987. Thermal tolerance of avian embryos: A review. Condor 89:874-898.
38. Zeileis, A., C. Kleiber, and S. Jackman. 2008. Regression models for count data in R. Journal of Statistical Software 27:1-25. [Online.] Available at www.jstatsoft.org/v27/i08/.
39. Zuur, A. F., E. N. Ieno, and C. S. Elphick. 2010. A protocol for data exploration to avoid common statistical problems. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 1:3-14.
40. Zuur, A. F., E. N. Ieno, N. J. Walker, A. A. Saveliev, and G. M. Smith. 2009. Mixed effects models and extensions in ecology with R. Pages 261-293 in Statistics for Biology and Health (M. Gail, M. Krickeberg, J. M. Samet, A. Tsiatis, and W. Wong, Eds.). Springer, New York.