Challenging the planetary boundaries II: Assessing the sustainable global population and phosphate supply, using a systems dynamics assessment model

Applied Geochemistry

Volumn 26, Issue SUPPL., 2011, Pages

  Sverdrup, Harald U ^a   Ragnarsdottir, Kristin Vala ^b  

^a LUND UNIVERSITY   (Sweden)

^b UNIVERSITY OF ICELAND   (Iceland)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ASSESSMENT MODELS; GLOBAL POPULATION; HUMAN SOCIETY; LARGE PARTS; LONG TERM; MARKET MECHANISMS; MASS BALANCE; NATURAL ENVIRONMENTS; POPULATION SIZES; RECYCLING RATE; SYSTEMS DYNAMICS; TIME-SCALES; USE RATE;

POPULATION STATISTICS; THERMODYNAMICS;

RECYCLING;

BASIC NEEDS; ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS; HUNGER; MARKET SYSTEM; MASS BALANCE; NUMERICAL MODEL; PHOSPHATE; POPULATION SIZE; RECYCLING; RESOURCE AVAILABILITY; RESOURCE ECONOMY; SUSTAINABILITY; SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT; THERMODYNAMICS;

EID: 79955960725     PISSN: 08832927     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeochem.2011.03.089     Document Type: Article

References (16)

1. Daily G.C., Ehrlich A.H., Ehrlich P.R. Optimum human population size. Populat. Environ. 1994, 15:469-475.
2. DRI, 2005. Dietary Reference Intakes for Calcium, Phosphorus, Magnesium, Vitamin D, and Fluoride. Standing Committee on the Scientific Evaluation of Dietary Reference Intakes, Food and Nutrition Board, Institute of Medicine, National Academy Press, Washington, DC.
3. Ehrlich P.R. The Population Bomb 1968, Ballantine Books, New York.
4. Fillippelli G.M. The global phosphorus cycle: past, present and future. Elements 2008, 4:89-95.
5. Haraldsson, H.V., 2010. Introduction to Systems Thinking and Causal Loop Diagrams. Reports in Ecology and Environmental Engineering, seventh revised ed. Department of Chemical Engineering, Lund, p. 49.
6. Haraldsson H.V., Sverdrup H.U. Finding simplicity in complexity in biogeochemical modelling. Environmental Modelling: A Practical Approach 2004, 211-223. John Wiley and Sons Ltd. J. Wainwright, M. Mulligan (Eds.).
7. Meadows, D.H, Randers, J., Meadows, D.L., 2005. Limits to Growth, the 30 Year Update Earthscan, Sterling, VA.
8. Ragnarsdottir, K.V., Sverdrup, H.U., Koca, D., 2011. Challenging the planetary boundaries I: basic principles of an integrated model for phosphorous supply dynamics and global population size. Appl. Geochem., this issue.
9. Rockström J., Steffen W., Noone K., Persson Å., Chapin F.S., Lambin E., Lenton T.M., Scheffer M., Folke C., Schellnhuber H., Nykvist B., De Wit C.A., Hughes T., van der Leeuw S., Rodhe H., Sörlin S., Snyder P.K., Costanza R., Svedin U., Falkenmark M., Karlberg L., Corell R.W., Fabry V.J., Hansen J., Walker B.H., Liverman D., Richardson K., Crutzen C., Foley J. A safe operating space for humanity. Nature 2009, 461:472-475.
10. Roskill Information Services Ltd., 2007. The Economics of Rare Earths and Yttrium, 13th ed. Roskill Information Services Ltd., Sydney, Australia.
11. Sherman H.C. Phosphorus requirement of maintenance in man. J. Biol. Chem. 1920, 41:173-179.
12. Smil V. Phosphorus, global transfers. Causes and consequences of environmental change. Encyclopedia of Global Environmental Change 2002, 536-542. John Wiley and Sons, Chichester. I. Douglas (Ed.).
13. Sterman J.D. Business Dynamics, System Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World 2000, Irwin McGraw-Hill, New York.
14. Sverdrup H. The Kinetics of Silicate Weathering 1990, Lund University Press, Lund, Sweden.
15. USGS, 2008. Commodity Statistics for a Number of Metals (Consulted Several Times 2008-2010). United States Geological Survey. http://minerals.usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/commodity/.
16. Warfvinge P., Sverdrup H.U., Alveteg M., Rietz F. Modelling geochemistry and lake pH since glaciation at lake Gårdsjön. Water, Air, Soil Pollut. 1994, 85:713-718.