The influence of assimilating dropsonde data on Typhoon track and midlatitude forecasts

Monthly Weather Review

Volumn 139, Issue 3, 2011, Pages 908-920

  Weissmann, Martin ^a   Harnisch, Florian ^a   Wu, Chun Chieh ^b   Lin, Po Hsiung ^b   Ohta, Yoichiro ^c   Yamashita, Koji ^c   Kim, Yeon Hee ^d   Jeon, Eun Hee ^d   Nakazawa, Tetsuo ^e   Aberson, Sim ^f  

^a GERMAN AEROSPACE CENTER DLR   (Germany)

^b NATIONAL TAIWAN UNIVERSITY   (Taiwan)

^c JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY   (Japan)

^d Meteorological Research Institute   (South Korea)

^e METEOROLOGICAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE   (Japan)

^f ATLANTIC OCEANOGRAPHIC AND METEOROLOGICAL LABORATORY   (United States)

Author keywords

Data assimilation; Dropsondes; Field experiments; Numerical weather prediction forecasting; Tropical cyclones

Indexed keywords

DATA ASSIMILATION; DROPSONDES; FIELD EXPERIMENT; NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION/FORECASTING; TROPICAL CYCLONE;

DATA PROCESSING; EXPERIMENTS; HURRICANES; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; STORMS; THREE DIMENSIONAL; VALUE ENGINEERING;

WEATHER FORECASTING;

AIRBORNE SURVEY; CLIMATE PREDICTION; DATA ASSIMILATION; NUMERICAL MODEL; TROPICAL CYCLONE; TYPHOON; WEATHER FORECASTING;

TAIWAN;

EID: 79955035046     PISSN: 00270644     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/2010MWR3377.1     Document Type: Article

References (24)

1. Aberson, S. D., 2002: Two years of operational hurricane synoptic surveillance. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 1101-1110.
2. Aberson, S. D., 2003: Targeted observations to improve operational tropical cyclone track forecast guidance. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 1613-1628.
3. Aberson, S. D., 2008: Large forecast degradations due to synoptic surveillance during the 2004 and 2005 hurricane seasons. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 3138-3150.
4. Aberson, S. D., 2010: 10 years of hurricane synoptic surveillance (1997-2006). Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 1536-1549.
5. Burpee, R. W., J. L. Franklin, S. J. Lord, R. E. Tuleya, and S. D. Aberson, 1996: The impact of Omega dropwindsondes on operational hurricane track forecast models. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77, 925-933.
6. Chou, K.-H., and C.-C. Wu, 2008: Development of the typhoon initialization in a mesoscale model-Combination of the bogused vortex with the dropwindsonde data in DOTSTAR. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 865-879.
7. Fiorino, M., 2008: Record-setting performance of the ECMWFIFS in medium-range tropical cyclone track prediction. ECMWF Newsletter, No. 118, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom, 20-27.
8. Harnisch, F., and M. Weissmann, 2010: Sensitivity of typhoon forecasts to different subsets of targeted dropsonde observations. Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 2664-2680.
9. Kleist, D. T., D. F. Parrish, J. C. Derber, R. Treadon, W. S. Wu, and S. Lord, 2009: Introduction of the GSI into the NCEP Global Data Assimilation System. Wea. Forecasting, 24, 1691-1705.
10. Kurihara, Y., M. A. Bender, R. E. Tuleya, and R. J. Ross, 1995: Improvements in the GFDL Hurricane Prediction System. Mon. Wea. Rev., 123, 2791-2801.
11. Liu, Q., T. Marchok, H.-L. Pan, M. Bender, and S. Lord, 2000: Improvements in hurricane initialization and forecasting at NCEP with global and regional (GFDL) models. NOAA Tech. Procedures Bull. 472, 7 pp. [Available online at http://www.nws.noaa.gov/om/tpb/472.htm.].
12. Mahfouf, J. F., and F. Rabier, 2000: The ECMWF operational implementation of four dimensional variational assimilation. Part II: Experimental results with improved physics. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 126, 1171-1190.
13. NOAA/NWS/NHC, cited 2009: 2008 National Hurricane Center forecast verification report. [Available online at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/verification.].
14. Pu, Z., X. Li, C. S. Velden, S. D. Aberson, and W. T. Liu, 2008: The impact of aircraft dropsonde and satellite wind data on numerical simulations of two landfalling tropical storms during the Tropical Cloud Systems and Processes Experiment. Wea. Forecasting, 23, 62-79.
15. Rabier, F., H. Järvinen, E. Klinker, J. F. Mahfouf, and A. Simmons, 2000: The ECMWF operational implementation of fourdimensional variational assimilation. Part 1: Experimental results with simplified physics. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 126, 1143-1170.
16. Richardson, D. S., and Coauthors, 2009: Verification statistics and evaluations of ECMWF forecasts in 2008-2009. ECMWF Tech. Memo 606, 45 pp.
17. Szunyogh, I., Z. Toth, A. V. Zimin, S. J. Majumdar, and A. Persson, 2002: Propagation of the effect of targeted observations: The 2000 Winter Storm Reconnaissance Program. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 1144-1165.
18. Woollen, J. R., 1991: New NMC operational OI quality control. Preprints, Ninth Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction, Denver, CO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 24-27.
19. Wu, C. C., and Coauthors, 2005: Dropsonde observations for typhoon surveillance near the Taiwan region (DOTSTAR): An overview. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 86, 787-790.
20. Wu, C. C., J.-H. Chen, P.-H. Lin, and K.-S. Chou, 2007a: Targeted observations of tropical cyclones based on the adjointderived sensitivity steering vector. J. Atmos. Sci., 64, 2611-2626.
21. Wu, C. C., K. H. Chou, P. H. Lin, S. D. Aberson, M. S. Peng, and T. Nakazawa, 2007b: The impact of dropwindsonde data on typhoon track forecasts in DOTSTAR. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 1157-1176.
22. Wu, C. C., and Coauthors, 2009: Intercomparison of targeted observation guidance for tropical cyclones in the northwestern Pacific. Mon. Wea. Rev., 137, 2471-2492.
23. Wu, W.-S., R. J. Purser, and D. F. Parrish, 2002: Three-dimensional variational analysis with spatially inhomogeneous covariances. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 2905-2916.
24. Yamaguchi, M., T. Iriguchi, T. Nakazawa, and C. Wu, 2009: An observing system experiment for Typhoon Conson (2004) using a singular vector method and DOTSTAR data. Mon. Wea. Rev., 137, 2801-2816.