Minimizing the edge-effect in environmental reconstructions by trimming the calibration set: Chironomid-inferred temperatures from Spitsbergen

Holocene

Volumn 21, Issue 3, 2011, Pages 417-430

  Velle, Gaute ^a   Kongshavn, Katrine ^a   Birks, H John B ^a,b,c  

^a UNIVERSITY OF BERGEN   (Norway)

^b UNIVERSITY COLLEGE LONDON   (United Kingdom)

^c UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

extreme habitats; inference model; midges; numerical edge effect; palaeolimnology; response functions

Indexed keywords

CALIBRATION; DATA SET; DOMINANCE; EDGE EFFECT; FLY; LAKE ECOSYSTEM; MODEL TEST; NUMERICAL MODEL; PALEOCLIMATE; PALEOECOLOGY; PALEOENVIRONMENT; PALEOLIMNOLOGY; PALEOTEMPERATURE; PERFORMANCE ASSESSMENT; RECONSTRUCTION; SPECIES DIVERSITY; SUBFOSSIL; TEMPERATURE GRADIENT; TEMPERATURE PROFILE; TWINSPAN;

ARCTIC; SPITSBERGEN; SVALBARD; SVALBARD AND JAN MAYEN;

CHIRONOMIDAE; MICROPSECTRA; MICROPSECTRA INSIGNILOBUS; OLIVERIDIA TRICORNIS;

EID: 79954582795     PISSN: 09596836     EISSN: 14770911     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1177/0959683610385723     Document Type: Article

References (78)

1. Arctic Climate Impact Assessment (ed.) (2005) Impacts of a Warming Arctic - Arctic Climate Impact Assessment. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
2. Anisimov OA, Vaughan DG, Callaghan TV, Furgal C., Marchant H., Prowse TDet al.(2007) Polar regions (Arctic and Antarctic). In: Parry ML, Canziani OF, Palutikof JP, Van der Linden PJ and Hanson CE (eds) Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptations and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assesment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
3. Armitage PD, Cranston PS and Pinder LCV (1995) The Chironomidae: Biology and Ecology of Non-biting Midges. London: Chapman & Hall.
4. Axford Y., Geirsdóttir Á., Miller G. and Langdon P. (2009) Climate of the Little Ice Age and the past 2000 years in northeast Iceland inferred from chironomids and other lake sediment proxies. Journal of Paleolimnology 41: 7-24.
5. Bennett KD (1996) Determination of the number of zones in a biostratigraphical sequence. New Phytologist 132: 155-170.
6. Berger J., Krainer K. and Mostler W. (2005) Dynamics of active rock glacier (Ötzel Alps, Austria). Quaternary Research 62: 233-242.
7. Birks HH (1991) Holocene vegetational history and climatic change in west Spitsbergen: Plant macrofossils from Skardtjørna, an Arctic lake. The Holocene 1: 209-218.
8. Birks HJB (1995) Quantitative palaeoenvironmental reconstructions. In: Maddy D and Brew JS (eds) Statistical Modelling of Quaternary Science Data. Cambridge: Quaternary Research Association, 161-254.
9. Birks HJB (1998) Numerical tools in palaeolimnology - Progress, potentialities, and problems. Journal of Paleolimnology 20: 307-332.
10. Birks HJB, Juggins S. and Line JM (1990a) Lake water chemistry reconstruction. In: Mason BJ (ed.) The Surface Waters Acidification Programme. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 301-313.
11. Birks HJB, Line JM, Juggins S., Stevenson AC and ter Braak CJF (1990b) Diatoms and pH reconstruction. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London SeriesB327: 263-278.
12. Bradley RS, Hughes MK and Diaz HF (2003) Climate in Medieval time. Science 302: 404-405.
13. Brodersen KP and Anderson NJ (2002) Distribution of chironomids (Diptera) in low arctic West Greenland lakes: trophic conditions, temperature and environmental reconstruction. Freshwater Biology 47: 1137-1157.
14. Brodersen KP, Odgaard BV, Vestergaard O. and Anderson NJ (2001) Chironomid stratigraphy in the shallow and eutrophic Lake Sobygaard, Denmark: Chironomid-macrophyte co-occurrence. Freshwater Biology 46: 253-267.
15. Brooks SJ and Birks HJB (2000) Chironomid-inferred late-glacial and early-Holocene mean July air temperatures for Krakenes Lake, western Norway. Journal of Paleolimnology 23: 77-89.
16. Brooks SJ and Birks HJB (2001) Chironomid-inferred air temperatures from Late-glacial and Holocene sites in north-west Europe: Progress and problems. Quaternary Science Reviews 20: 1723-1741.
17. Brooks SJ and Birks HJB (2004) The dynamics of Chironomidae (Insecta: Diptera) assemblages in response to environmental change during the past 700 years on Svalbard. Journal of Paleolimnology 31: 483-498.
18. Brooks SJ, Langdon PG and Heiri O. (2007) The Identification and Use of Palaearctic Chironomidae Larvae in Palaeoecology. Quaternary Research Association Technical Guide 10.
19. Chambers JW and Cameron NG (2001) A rod-less piston corer for lake sediments: An improved, rope-operated percussion corer. Journal of Paleolimnology 25: 117-122.
20. Cleveland WS and Devlin SJ (1988) Locally-weighted regression: An approach to regression analysis by local fitting. Journal of the American Statistical Association 83: 596-610.
21. Coulson SJ and Refseth D. (2004) The terrestrial and freshwater invertebrate fauna of Svalbard (and Jan Mayen). In: Prestrud P, Strøm H and Goldman H (eds) Skrifter. Tromsø Norwegian Polar Institute, 57-122.
22. Crowley TJ and Lowery TS (2000) How warm was the Medieval Warm Period? Ambio 29: 51-54.
23. Førland EJ and Hanssen-Bauer I. (2003) Climate Variations and Implications for Precipitation Types in the Norwegian Arctic. Report 24/02 Klima: Norwegian Meterological Institute, Nordic Arctic Research Programme.
24. Francis DR, Wolfe AP, Walker IR and Miller GH (2006) Interglacial and Holocene temperature reconstructions based on midge remains in sediments of two lakes from Baffin Island, Nunavut, Arctic Canada. Palaeogeography Palaeoclimatology Palaeoecology 236: 107-124.
25. Heiri O. and Lotter AF (2001) Effect of low count sums on quantitative environmental reconstructions: An example using subfossil chironomids. Journal of Paleolimnology 26: 343-350.
26. Heiri O., Lotter AF, Hausmann S. and Kienast F. (2003) A chironomid-based Holocene summer air temperature reconstruction from the Swiss Alps. The Holocene 13: 477-484.
27. Hill MO (1973) Diversity and evenness: a unifying notation and its consequences. Ecology 54: 427-432.
28. Hill MO (1997) TWINSPAN Version 2.2a (Modified by C.J.F. ter Braak and H.J.B. Birks) - A FORTRAN Program for Arranging Multivariate Data in an Ordered Two-way Table by Classification of Individuals and Attributes. Ithaca NY: Cornell University.
29. Hill MO and Gauch HG (1980) Detrended correspondence analysis: An improved ordination technique. Vegetatio 42: 47-58.
30. Hjelle A., Lautitzen Ø, Salvigsen O. and Winsnes TS (1986) Geological Map, Svalbard 1: 100.000, Sheet B10G Van Mijenfjorden. Temakart No. 2: Norsk Polarinstitutt.
31. Holland MM and Bitz CM (2003) Polar amplification of climate change in coupled models. Climate Dynamics 21: 221-232.
32. Holmgren S. (2008) Marked 20th century stratigraphical changes in lake sediments from western Spitsbergen, Svalbard. Earth Sciences Centre Gøteborg, University Ph.D. thesis.
33. Holmgren SU, Bigler C., Ingólfsson Ó and Wolfe AP (2010) The Holocene- Anthropocene transition in lakes of western Spitsbergen, Svalbard (Norwegian High Arctic): Climate change and nitrogen deposition. Journal of Paleolimnology 43: 393-412.
34. Hübener T., Dressler M., Schwarz A., Langner K. and Adler S. (2008) Dynamic adjustment of training sets ('moving-window' reconstruction) by using transfer functions in paleolimnology - A new approach. Journal of Paleolimnology 40: 79-95.
35. Hughes MK and Diaz HF (1994) Was there a Medieval Warm Period, and if so, where and when? Climatic Change 26: 109-142.
36. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2007) Climate Change 2007, the Fourth Assessment Report (AR4). Geneva: The Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
37. Jones PD and Mann ME (2004) Climate over past millennia. Reviews of Geophysics 42: RG2002.
38. Jongman RHG, ter Braak CJF and Van Tongeren OFR (1995) Data Analysis in Community and Landscape Ecology. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
39. Jonsdottir IS (2005) Terrestrial ecosystems on Svalbard: Heterogeneity, complexity and fragility from an Arctic island perspective. Biology and Environment: Proceedings of the Royal Irish Academy 105B: 155-165.
40. Juggins S. (1991) Zone - version 1.2. Unpublished computer program: http:// www.campus.ncl.ac.uk/staff/Stephen.Juggins/software/softhome.htm. Department of Geography, University of Newcastle.
41. Juggins S. (1993) GLR - a program for Gaussian logit regression. Unpublished C+++ program. Department of Geography, University of Newcastle-upon-Tyne.
42. Juggins S. (2007) C2 Version 1.5: Software for Ecological and Palaeoecological Data Analysis and Visualisation. Newcastle upon Tyne: Department of Geography, University of Newcastle.
43. Kaufman DS, Schneider DP, McKay NP, Ammann CM, Bradley RS, Briffa KRet al.(2009) Recent warming reverses long-term Arctic cooling. Science 325: 1236-1239.
44. Larocque I. (2001) How many chironomid head capsules are enough? A statistical approach to determine sample size for palaeoclimatic reconstructions. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 172: 133-142.
45. Larocque I., Pienitz R. and Rolland N. (2006) Factors influencing the distribution of chironomids in lakes distributed along a latitudinal gradient in northwestern Quebec, Canada. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 63: 1286-1297.
46. Lods-Crozet B., Lencioni V., Olafsson JS, Snook DL, Velle G., Brittain JEet al.(2001) Chironomid (Diptera: Chironomidae) communities in six European glacier-fed streams. Freshwater Biology 46: 1791-1809.
47. Losos JB and Ricklefs RE (2010) The Theory of Island Biogeography Revisited. Princetown NJ: Princeton University Press.
48. Lotter AF, Walker IR, Brooks SJ and Hofmann W. (1999) An intercontinental comparison of chironomid palaeotemperature inference models: Europe vs North America. Quaternary Science Reviews 18: 717-735.
49. MacArthur RH and Wilson EO (1967) The Theory of Island Biogeography. Princeton NJ: Princeton University Press.
50. Mangerud J. and Svendsen JI (1990) Deglaciation chronology inferred from marine-sediments in a proglacial lake basin, western Spitsbergen, Svalbard. Boreas 19: 249-272.
51. Met.no (2009) Temperatur-, og nedbøsnormaler for Spitsbergen i perioden 1961-1990. Meteorologisk Institutt. http://retro.met.no/observasjoner/svalbard/normaler_for_kommune_2111.html?kommuner.
52. Moritz RE, Bitz CM and Steig EJ (2002) Dynamics of recent climate change in the Arctic. Science 297: 1497-1502.
53. Odland A. (1996) Differences in the vertical distribution pattern of Betula pubescens in Norway and its ecological significance. Paläoklimaforschung 20: 43-59.
54. Olander H., Birks HJB, Korhola A. and Blom T. (1999) An expanded calibration model for inferring lakewater and air temperatures from fossil chironomid assemblages in northern Fennoscandia. The Holocene 9: 279-294.
55. Oliver DR (1968) Adaptations of arctic Chironomidae. Annales Zoologici Fennici 5: 11-118.
56. Overpeck J., Hughen K., Hardy D., Bradley R., Case R., Douglas M.et al.(1997) Arctic environmental change of the last four centuries. Science 278: 1251-1256.
57. Overpeck JT, Webb T. and Prentice IC (1985) Quantitative interpretation of fossil pollen spectra - Dissimilarity coefficients and the method of modern analogs. Quaternary Research 23: 87-108.
58. Paasche O., Dahl SO, Lovlie R., Bakke J. and Nesje A. (2007) Rockglacier activity during the Last Glacial-Interglacial transition and Holocene spring snowmelting. Quaternary Science Reviews 26: 793-807.
59. Przybylak R. (2004) The Climate of the Arctic. Atmospheric and Oceanographic Sciences Library, Vol. 26. Springer.
60. Quinlan R. and Smol JP (2001) Setting minimum head capsule abundance and taxa deletion criteria in chironomid-based inference models. Journal of Paleolimnology 26: 327-342.
61. Racca JMJ, Wild M., Birks HJB and Prairie YT (2003) Separating wheat from chaff: Diatom taxon selection using an artificial neural network pruning algorithm. Journal of Paleolimnology 29: 123-133.
62. Reimer PJ, Baillie MGL, Bard E., Bayliss A., Beck JW, Blackwell PGet al.(2009) INTCAL 09 and MARINE09 radiocarbon age calibration curves, 0-50,000 years cal BP. Radiocarbon 51: 1111-1150.
63. Renberg I. and Hansson H. (2008) The HTH sediment corer. Journal of Paleolimnology 40: 655-659.
64. Rolland N., Larocque I., Francus P., Pienitz R and Laperriere L (2009) Evidence for a warmer period during the 12th and 13th centuries AD from chironomid assemblages in Southampton Island, Nunavut, Canada. Quaternary Research 72: 27-37.
65. Stur E. and Ekrem T. (2009) Exploring unknown life stages of Arctic Tanytarsini (Diptera: Chironomidae) with DNA barcoding. Proceedings of the 17th International Symposium on Chironomidae. Tianjin, 21 July 2009.
66. Svendsen JI and Mangerud J. (1997) Holocene glacial and climatic variations on Spitsbergen, Svalbard. The Holocene 7: 45-57.
67. Telford RJ, Heegaard E. and Birks HJB (2004) The intercept is a poor estimate of a calibrated radiocarbon age. The Holocene 14: 296-298.
68. ter Braak CJF and Juggins S. (1993) Weighted averaging partial least squares regression (WA-PLS): An improved method for reconstructing environmental variables from species assemblages. Hydrobiologia 269/270: 485-502.
69. ter Braak CJF and Prentice IC (1988) A theory of gradient analysis. Advances in Ecological Research 18: 271-317.
70. ter Braak CJF and Šmilauer P. (2002) CANOCO Reference Manual and Cano-Draw for Windows User's Guide: Software for Community Ordinations (Version 4.5). Ithaca NY: Microcomputer Power.
71. Tuhkanen S. (1993) Treeline in relation to climate, with special reference to oceanic areas. In: Alden J (ed.) Forest Development in Cold Climates. New York: Plenum Press, 115-134.
72. van der Voet H. (1994) Comparing the predictive accuracy of models using a simple randomization test. Chemometrics and Intelligent Laboratory Systems 25: 313-323.
73. Velle G. and Larocque I. (2008) Assessing chironomid head capsule concentrations in sediment using exotic markers. Journal of Paleolimnology 40: 165-177.
74. Velle G., Brooks SJ, Birks HJB and Willassen E. (2005a) Chironomids as a tool for inferring Holocene climate: An assessment based on six sites in southern Scandinavia. Quaternary Science Reviews 24: 1429-1462.
75. Velle G., Larsen J., Eide W., Peglar SM and Birks HJB (2005b) Holocene environmental history and climate of Ratasjoen, a low-alpine lake in south-central Norway. Journal of Paleolimnology 33: 129-153.
76. Velle G., Bjune A., Larsen J and Birks HJB (2010a) Holocene climate and environmental history of Brurskardstjørni, a lake in the catchment of vre Heimdalsvatn, south-central Norway. Hydrobiologia 642: 13-34.
77. Velle G., Brodersen KP, Birks HJB and Willassen E (2010b) Midges as quantitative temperature indicator species: Lessons for palaeoecology. The Holocene 20: 989-1002.
78. Wiederholm TE (ed.)(1983) Chironomidae of the Holarctic region, Pt 1: Larvae. Entomologica Scandinavica, Supplement 19.