Adaptation options to reduce climate change vulnerability of sustainable forest management in the Austrian Alps

Canadian Journal of Forest Research

Volumn 41, Issue 4, 2011, Pages 694-706

  Seidl, Rupert ^a,b   Rammer, Werner ^a   Lexer, Manfred J ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF NATURAL RESOURCES AND LIFE SCIENCES   (Austria)

^b OREGON STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ECOSYSTEM MODELING; ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE; ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS; FOREST ECOSYSTEM; FOREST GOODS; FOREST MANAGEMENT; FUTURE CLIMATE; GOOD PRACTICES; MULTI-CRITERIA DECISION ANALYSIS; OPERATIONAL LEVEL; PARTICIPATORY APPROACH; SILVICULTURAL MEASURE; SILVICULTURAL TECHNIQUE; SOCIAL-ECOLOGICAL SYSTEMS; SUSTAINABLE FOREST MANAGEMENT; VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENTS;

DECISION THEORY; ECOSYSTEMS; FORESTRY; RATING;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

ADAPTATION; CLIMATE CHANGE; CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK; ECOSYSTEM FUNCTION; ECOSYSTEM MODELING; ECOSYSTEM SERVICE; FOREST MANAGEMENT; SILVICULTURE; SUSTAINABLE FORESTRY; VULNERABILITY;

ADAPTATION; AUSTRIA; CLIMATES; DECISION THEORY; ECOSYSTEMS; FOREST MANAGEMENT; FORESTRY; MOUNTAINS; RATING;

ALPS; BERNINA RANGE; EASTERN ALPS;

EID: 79953902583     PISSN: 00455067     EISSN: 12086037     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1139/x10-235     Document Type: Article

References (52)

1. Anonymous. 2008. Nachhaltige Waldwirtschaft in Österreich. Österreichischer Waldbericht 2008. Bundesministerium für Land- und Forstwirtschaft, Umwelt und Wasserwirtschaft, Vienna, Austria.
2. Brans, J.P., Vincke, P., and Mareschal, B. 1986. How to select and how to rank projects: the PROMETHEE method. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 24(2): 228-238. doi:10.1016/0377-2217(86)90044-5.
3. Breiman, L. 2001. Random forests. Mach. Learn. 45(1): 5-32. doi:10.1023/A:1010933404324.
4. Crow, T.R., and Gustafson, E.J. 1997. Ecosystem management: managing natural resources in time and space. In Creating a forestry for the 21st century. The science of ecosystem management. Edited by K.A. Kohm and J.F. Franklin. Island Press, Washington, D.C. pp. 215-228.
5. Führer, E., and Nopp, U. 2001. Ursachen, Vorbeugung und Sanierung von Waldschäden. Facultas, Vienna, Austria.
6. Fürstenau, C., Badeck, F.W., Lasch, P., Lexer, M.J., Lindner, M., Mohr, P., and Suckow, F. 2007. Multiple-use forest management in consideration of climate change and the interests of stakeholder groups. Eur. J. For. Res. 126: 225-239.
7. Füssel, H.M., and Klein, R.J.T. 2006. Climate change vulnerability assessments: an evolution of conceptual thinking. Clim. Change, 75(3): 301-329. doi:10.1007/s10584-006-0329-3.
8. Harmon, M.E., and Marks, B. 2002. Effects of silvicultural practices on carbon stores in Douglas-fir - western hemlock forests in the Pacific Northwest, U.S.A.: results from a simulation model. Can. J. For. Res. 32(5): 863-877. doi:10.1139/x01-216.
9. Heinimann, H.R. 2010. A concept in adaptive ecosystem management - an engineering perspective. For. Ecol. Manage. 259(4): 848-856. doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2009.09.032.
10. IPCC. 2000. Emissions scenarios 2000. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
11. IPCC. 2007. Climate change 2007: mitigation of climate change. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
12. Kaufman, L., and Rousseeuw, P.J. 1990. Finding groups in data: an introduction to cluster analysis. Wiley, New York.
13. Keeton, W.S. 2006. Managing for late-successional/old-growth characteristics in northern hardwood-conifer forests. For. Ecol. Manage. 235(1-3): 129-142. doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2006.08.005.
14. Kilian, W., Müller, F., and Starlinger, F. 1994. Die forstlichen Wuchsgebiete Österreichs. Eine Naturraumgliederung nach waldökologischen Gesichtspunkten. Bericht 82, Forstliche Bundesversuchsanstalt, Wien. ISSN 0374-9037.
15. Kimmins, J.P. 2008. From science to stewardship: harnessing forest ecology in the service of society. For. Ecol. Manage. 256(10): 1625-1635. doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2008.02.057.
16. Kohm, K.A., and Franklin, J.F. (Editors). 1997. Creating a forestry for the 21st century. The science of ecosystem management. Island Press, Washington, D.C.
17. Landsberg, J.J., and Waring, R.H. 1997. A generalized model of forest productivity using simplified concepts of radiation-use efficiency, carbon balance and partitioning. For. Ecol. Manage. 95 (3): 209-228. doi:10.1016/S0378-1127(97)00026-1.
18. Leitgeb, E., and Englisch, M. 2006. Klimawandel- Standörtliche Rahmenbedingungen für die Forstwirtschaft. BFW Praxisinformation 10. Bundesforschungs- und Ausbildungszentrum für Wald, Naturgefahren und Landschaft (BFW), Wien. ISSN 1815-3895. pp. 9-11.
19. Lexer, M.J., and Hönninger, K. 2001. A modified 3D-patch model for spatially explicit simulation of vegetation composition in heterogeneous landscapes. For. Ecol. Manage. 144(1-3): 43-65. doi:10.1016/S0378-1127(00)00386-8.
20. Lexer, M.J., and Seidl, R. 2009. Addressing biodiversity in a stakeholder-driven climate change vulnerability assessment of forest management. For. Ecol. Manage. 258(Suppl. 1): S158-S167. doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2009.07.011.
21. Lexer, M.J., Hönninger, K., Scheifinger, H., Matulla, C., Groll, N., Kromp-Kolb, H., Schaudauer, K., Starlinger, F., and Englisch, M. 2002. The sensitivity of Austrian forests to scenarios of climate change: a large-scale risk assesment based on a modified gap model and forest inventory data. For. Ecol. Manage. 162(1): 53-72. doi:10.1016/S0378-1127(02)00050-6.
22. Luers, A.L. 2005. The surface of vulnerability: an analytical framework for examining environmental change. Glob. Environ. Change, 15(3): 214-223. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2005.04.003.
23. Maciver, D.C., and Wheaton, E. 2005. Tomorrow's forests: adapting to a changing climate. Clim. Change, 70(1-2): 273-282. doi:10.1007/s10584-005-5950-z.
24. McKenney, D., Pedlar, J., and O'Neill, G. 2009. Climate change and forest seed zones: past trends, future prospects and challenges to ponder. For. Chron. 85: 258-266.
25. MCPFE. 2003. Ministerial Conference on the Protection of Forests in Europe. Improved pan-European indicators for sustainable forest management as adopted by the MCPFE Expert Level Meeting, 7-8 October 2002, Vienna, Austria. MCPFE, Liason Unit, Vienna. Available from http://www.foresteurope.org/filestore/foresteurope/Publications/pdf/improved_indicators.pdf [accessed 4 February 2011].
26. Mendoza, G.A., and Prabhu, R. 2000. Multiple criteria decision making approaches to assessing forest sustainability using criteria and indicators: a case study. For. Ecol. Manage. 131(1-3): 107-126. doi:10.1016/S0378-1127(99)00204-2.
27. Millar, C.I., Stephenson, N.L., and Stephens, S.L. 2007. Climate change and forests of the future: managing in the face of uncertainty. Ecol. Appl. 17(8): 2145-2151. doi:10.1890/06-1715.1.
28. Niedermair, M., Lexer, M.J., Plattner, G., Formayer, H., and Seidl, R. 2007. Klimawandel und Artenvielfalt: Wie klimafit sind Österreichs Wälder, Flüsse und Alpenlandschaften? Report, World Wildlife Fund Austria and Österreichische Bundesforste AG.
29. Nitschke, C.R., and Innes, J.L. 2008. Integrating climate change into forest management in south-central British Columbia: an assessment of landscape vulnerability and development of a climate-smart framework. For. Ecol. Manage. 256(3): 313-327. doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2008.04.026.
30. Noss, R.F. 2001. Beyond Kyoto: forest management in a time of rapid climate change. Conserv. Biol. 15(3): 578-590. doi:10.1046/j.1523-1739.2001.015003578.x.
31. Ogden, A.E., and Innes, J.L. 2007. Perspectives of forest practitioners on climate change adaptation in the Yukon and Northwest Territories of Canada. For. Chron. 83: 557-569.
32. Palik, B.J., Mitchell, R.J., and Hiers, J.K. 2002. Modeling silviculture after natural disturbance to sustain biodiversity in the longleaf pine (Pinus palustris) ecosystem: balancing complexity and implementation. For. Ecol. Manage. 155(1-3): 347-356. doi:10.1016/S0378-1127(01)00571-0.
33. Rauscher, H.M. 1999. Ecosystem management decision support for federal forests in the United States: a review. For. Ecol. Manage. 114(2-3): 173-197. doi:10.1016/S0378-1127(98)00350-8.
34. Rockström, J., Steffen, W., Noone, K., Persson, Å., Chapin, S.F., III, Lambin, E.F., Lenton, T.M., Scheffen, M., Folke, C., Schellnhuber, H.J., Nykvist, B., de Wit, C.A., Hughes, T., van der Leeuw, S., Rodhe, H., Sörlin, S., Snyder, P.K., Constanza, R., Svedin, U., Falkenmark, M., Karlberg, L., Corell, R.W., Fabry, V.J., Hansen, J., Walker, B., Liverman, D., Richardson, K., Crutzen, P., and Foley, J.A. 2009. A safe operating space for humanity. Nature (London), 461(7263): 472-475. doi:10.1038/461472a
35. Roeckner, E., Lautenschlager, M., and Schneider, H. 2006. IPCCAR4 MPI-ECHAM5_T63L31 MPI-OM_GR1.5L40 SRESB1 run no.1: atmosphere monthly mean values. MPImet/MaD, Germany. doi:10.1594/WDCC/EH5-T63L31_OM-GR1.5L40_B1_1_MM.
36. Schröter, D., Cramer, W., Leemans, R., Prentice, I.C., Araújo, M.B., Arnell, N.W., Bondeau, A., Bugmann, H., Carter, T.R., Gracia, C. A., De La Vega-Leinert, A.C., Erhard, M., Ewert, F., Glendining, M., House, J.I., Kankaanpää, S., Klein, R.J.T., Lavorel, S., Lindner, M., Metzger, M.J., Meyer, J., Mitchell, T.D., Reginster, I., Rounsevell, M., Sabate, S., Sitch, S., Smith, B., Smith, J., Smith, P., Sykes, M.T., Thonicke, K., Thuiller, W., Tuck, G., Zaehle, S., and Zierl, B. 2005. Ecosystem service supply and vulnerability to global change in Europe. Science (Washington, D.C.), 310(5752): 1333-1337. doi:10.1126/science.1115233.
37. Seidl, R., Lexer, M.J., Jäger, D., and Hönninger, K. 2005. Evaluating the accuracy and generality of a hybrid patch model. Tree Physiol. 25(7): 939-951.
38. Seidl, R., Rammer, W., Jäger, D., Currie, W.S., and Lexer, M.J. 2007a. Assessing trade-offs between carbon sequestration and timber production within a framework of multi-purpose forestry in Austria. For. Ecol. Manage. 248(1-2): 64-79. doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2007.02.035.
39. Seidl, R., Baier, P., Rammer, W., Schopf, A., and Lexer, M.J. 2007b. Modelling tree mortality by bark beetle infestation in Norway spruce forests. Ecol. Model. 206(3-4): 383-399. doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2007.04.002.
40. Seidl, R., Rammer, W., Jäger, D., and Lexer, M.J. 2008. Impact of bark beetle (Ips typographus L.) disturbance on timber production and carbon sequestration in different management strategies under climate change. For. Ecol. Manage. 256(3): 209-220. doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2008.04.002.
41. Seidl, R., Rammer, W., and Lexer, M.J. 2009a. Schätzung von Bodenmerkmalen und Modellparametern für die Waldökosystemsimulation auf Basis einer Grobrauminventur. Allg. Forst Jagdztg. 180: 35-44.
42. Seidl, R., Schelhaas, M.-J., Lindner, M., and Lexer, M.J. 2009b. Modelling bark beetle disturbances in a large scale forest scenario model to assess climate change impacts and evaluate adaptive management strategies. Reg. Environ. Change, 9(2): 101-119. doi:10.1007/s10113-008-0068-2.
43. Seidl, R., Rammer, W., and Lexer, M.J. 2011. Climate change vulnerability of sustainable forest management in the Eastern Alps. Clim. Change. In press. doi:10.1007/s10584-010-9899-1.
44. Spiecker, H. 2003. Silvicultural management in maintaining biodiversity and resistance of forests in Europe - temperate zone. J. Environ. Manage. 67(1): 55-65. doi:10.1016/S0301-4797(02) 00188-3.
45. Spiecker, H., Hansen, J., Kilmo, E., Skovsgaard, J.P., Sterba, H., and von Teuffel, K. 2004. Norway spruce conversion - options and consequences. EFI Research Report 18, Brill, Leiden. Spies, T.A., and Duncan, S.L. (Editors). 2009. Old growth in a new world: a Pacific Northwest icon reexamined. Island Press, Washington, D.C.
46. Spittlehouse, D.L. 2005. Integrating climate change adaptation into forest management. For. Chron. 81: 691-695.
47. Steiner, C., and Lexer, M.J. 1998. Ein klimasensitives statisches Modell zur Beurteilung der Baumarteneignung. Forstarchiv, 69: 92-103.
48. Stern, N. 2006. Stern review on the economics of climate change. HM Treasury, London. Available from http://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/+/http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/sternreview_index.htm [accessed 11 May 2009].
49. Turner, B.L., II, Kasperson, R.E., Matson, P.A., McCarthy, J.J., Corell, R.W., Christensen, L., Eckley, N., Kasperson, J.X., Luers, A., Martello, M.L., Polsky, C., Pulsipher, A., and Schiller, A. 2003. A framework for vulnerability analysis in sustainability science. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 100(14): 8074-8079. doi:10.1073/pnas.1231335100.
50. Weinfurter, P. 2004. Waldbauhandbuch. Eine Orientierungshilfe fürdie Praxis. Österreichische Bundesforste AG, Purkersdorf, Austria.
51. Wolfslehner, B., and Seidl, R. 2010. Harnessing ecosystem models and multi-criteria decision analysis for the support of forest management. Environ. Manage. 46(6): 850-861. doi:10.1007/s00267-009-9414-5.
52. Yousefpour, R., Hanewinkel, M., and Le Moguédec, G. 2010. Evaluating the suitability of management strategies of pure Norway spruce forests in the Black Forest area of Southwest Germany for adaptation to or mitigation of climate change. Environ. Manage. 45(2): 387-402. doi:10.1007/s00267-009-9409-2.