Drought variability in the Pacific Northwest from a 6,000-yr lake sediment record

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America

Volumn 108, Issue 10, 2011, Pages 3870-3875

  Nelson, Daniel B ^a,g   Abbott, Mark B ^a   Steinman, Byron ^a   Polissar, Pratigya J ^b   Stansell, Nathan D ^a,c   Ortiz, Joseph D ^d   Rosenmeier, Michael F ^a   Finney, Bruce P ^e   Riedel, Jon ^f  

^a UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH   (United States)

^b Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences   (United States)

^c OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^d KENT STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^e IDAHO STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^f North Cascades National Park   (United States)

^g UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON   (United States)

Author keywords

Lake sediment; Oxygen isotope

Indexed keywords

CARBONIC ACID;

ARTICLE; CLIMATE; DROUGHT; EL NINO; FLUID BALANCE; HOLOCENE; LAKE SEDIMENT; OSCILLATION; PRIORITY JOURNAL; TROPIC CLIMATE; UNITED STATES;

DROUGHTS; FRESH WATER; GEOLOGIC SEDIMENTS; NORTHWESTERN UNITED STATES;

EID: 79952750438     PISSN: 00278424     EISSN: 10916490     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1009194108     Document Type: Article

References (41)

1. Cook ER, Woodhouse CA, Eakin CM, Meko DM, Stahle DW (2004) Long-term aridity changes in the western United States. Science 306:1015-1018. (Pubitemid 39482901)
2. Seager R (2007) The turn of the century North American drought: Global context, dynamics, and past analogs. J Climate 20:5527-5552.
3. Fuchs B (2009) US Drought Monitor (National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Weather Service/NOAA, Climate Prediction Center) available at http://drought.unl.edu/dm/monitor.html.
4. McCabe GJ, Palecki MA, Betancourt JL (2004) Pacific and Atlantic Ocean influences on multidecadal drought frequency in the United States. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 101:4136-4141. (Pubitemid 38405895)
5. Allen M, Ingram WJ (2002) Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle. Nature 419:224-232.
6. Cook ER, Meko DM, Stahle DW, Cleaveland MK (1999) Drought reconstructions for the continental United States. J Climate 12:1145-1162.
7. Gedalof Z, Peterson DL, Mantua NJ (2005) Atmospheric, climatic, and ecological controls on extreme wildfire years in the northwestern United States. Ecol Appl 15:154-174. (Pubitemid 40263576)
8. Knapp PA, Soulé PT, Grissino-Mayer HD (2004) Occurrence of sustained droughts in the interior Pacific Northwest (A.D. 1733-1980) inferred from tree-ring data. J Climate 17:140-150. (Pubitemid 38265531)
9. Cook ER, Meko DM, Stahle DW, Cleaveland MK (2004) North American summer PDSI reconstructions: IGBP PAGES/World Data Center for Paleoclimatology, Data Contribution Series # 2004-045. (NOAA/NGDC Paleoclimatology Program, Boulder, CO).
10. Steinman BA, Rosenmeier MF, Abbott MB, Bain DJ (2010) The isotopic and hydrologic response of small, closed-basin lakes to climate forcing from predictive models: Application to paleoclimate studies in the upper Columbia River basin. Limnol Oceanogr 55:2231-2245.
11. Steinman AB, Rosenmeier MF, Abbott MB (2010) The isotopic and hydrologic response of small, closed-basin lakes to climate forcing from predictive models: Simulations of stochastic and mean-state precipitation variations. Limnol Oceanogr 55:2246-2261.
12. Gibson JJ, Prepas EE, McEachern P (2002) Quantitative comparison of lake through-flow, residency, and catchment runoff using stable isotopes: modeling and results from a regional survey of Boreal lakes. J Hydrol 262:128-144. (Pubitemid 34489888)
13. Palmer WC (1965) Meteorological drought, Research Paper No. 45: US Weather Bureau. (Office of Climatology, US Weather Bureau, Washington DC).
14. Shapley MD, Ito E, Donovan JJ (2005) Authigenic calcium carbonate flux in groundwater-controlled lakes: Implications for lacustrine paleoclimate records. Geochim Cosmochim Ac 69:2517-2533. (Pubitemid 40714105)
15. Mantua NJ, Hare SR (2002) The Pacific Decadal Oscillation. J Oceanogr 58:35-44. (Pubitemid 34609349)
16. Torance C, Compo GP (1998) A practical guide to wavelet analysis. B Am Meteorol Soc 79:61-78.
17. Gedalof Z, Smith DJ (2001) Dendroclimatic response of mountain hemlock (Tsuga mertensiana) in Pacific North America. Can J Forest Res 31:322-332. (Pubitemid 32265470)
18. Benson L, et al. (2003) Influence of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation on the climate of the Sierra Nevada, California, and Nevada. Quaternary Res 59:151-159. (Pubitemid 36594930)
19. MacDonald GM, Case RA (2005) Variations in the Pacific Decadal Oscillation over the past millennium. Geophys Res Lett 32:L08703.
20. Bryson RA, Hare KF, eds. (1974) Climates of North America (Elsevier, New York), 11 p 420.
21. Cayan DR, Dettinger MD, Diaz HF, Graham NE (1998) Decadal variability of precipitation over western North America. J Climate 11:3148-3166. (Pubitemid 29223894)
22. Mantua NJ, Hare SR, Zhang Y, Wallace JM, Francis RC (1997) A Pacific interdecadal climate oscillation with impacts on salmon production. B Am Meteorol Soc 78:1069-1079.
23. Biondi F, Gershunov A, Cayan DR (2001) North Pacific decadal climate variability since 1661. J Climate 14:5-10. (Pubitemid 32277152)
24. D'Arrigo R, Wilson R (2006) On the Asian expression of the PDO. Int J Climatol 26:1607-1617. (Pubitemid 44636842)
25. Shen C, Wang WC, Gong W, Hao Z (2006) A Pacific Decadal Oscillation record since 1470 A.D. reconstructed from proxy data of summer rainfall over eastern China. Geophys Res Lett 33:L03702.
26. Trenberth KE, Hurrell JW (1994) Decadal atmosphere-ocean variations in the Pacific. Clim Dynam 9:303-319.
27. Seager R, Kushnir Y, Herweijer C, Naik N, Velez J (2005) Modeling of tropical forcing of persistent droughts and pluvials over western North America: 1856-2000. J Climate 18:4065-4088. (Pubitemid 41672547)
28. Verdon DC, Franks SW (2006) Long-term behavior of ENSO: Interactions with the PDO over the past 400 years inferred from paleoclimate records. Geophys Res Lett 33:L06712.
29. Newman M, Compo GP, Alexander MA (2003) ENSO-forced variability of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. J Climate 16:3853-3857. (Pubitemid 38078402)
30. Koutavas A, deMenocal PB, Olive GC, Lynch-Stieglitz J (2006) Geology 34:993-996.
31. Tudhope AW, et al. (2001) Variability in the El Niño-Southern Oscillation through a glacial-interglacial cycle. Science 291:1511-1517. (Pubitemid 32179211)
32. Moy CM, Seltzer GO, Rodbell DT, Anderson DM (2002) Variability of El Niño/Southern Oscillation activity at millennial timescales during the Holocene epoch. Nature 420:162-165. (Pubitemid 35340116)
33. Donders TH, Wagner-Cremer F, Visscher H (2008) Integration of proxy data and model scenarios for the mid-Holocene onset of modern ENSO variability. Quaternary Sci Rev 27:571-579. (Pubitemid 351381565)
34. Collins M, et al. (2010) The impact of global warming on the tropical Pacific Ocean and El Niño. Nat Geosci 3:391-397.
35. Stuiver M, Reimer PJ, Braziunas TF (1998) High-precision radiocarbon age calibration for terrestrial and marine samples. Radiocarbon 40:1127-1151. (Pubitemid 29218743)
36. Peterson LC, Haug GH, Hughen KA, Rohl U (2000) Rapid changes in the hydrologic cycle of the Tropical Atlantic during the last glacial. Science 290:1947-1951.
37. Talbot MR (1990) A review of the paleohydrological interpretation of carbon and oxygen isotopic ratios in primary lacustrine carbonates. Chem Geol 80(Isotope Geology Section):261-279.
38. Benson L, White LD, Rye R (1996) Carbonate deposition, Pyramid Lake subbasin, Nevada: 4. Comparison of the stable isotope values of carbonate deposits (tufas) and the Lahontan lake-level record. Palaeogeogr Palaeoclimatol Palaeoecol 122:45-76.
39. Kelts K, Talbot MR (1990) Lacustrine carbonates as geochemical archives of environmental change and biotic/abiotic interactions. Large Lakes: Ecological Structure and Function, eds MM Tilzer and C Serruya (Springer, New York), pp 288-315.
40. Rosenberg SM, Walker IR, Mathewes RW, Hallett DJ (2004) Midge-inferred Holocene climate history of two subalpine lakes in southern British Columbia, Canada. The Holocene 14:258-271. (Pubitemid 38341963)
41. Benson L, Paillet F (2002) HIBAL: A hydrologic-isotopic-balance model for application to paleolake systems. Quaternary Sci Rev 21:1521-1539. (Pubitemid 34667576)