메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 40, Issue 2, 2011, Pages 373-391

Are U.S. stock prices mean reverting? Some new tests using fractional integration models with overlapping data and structural breaks

Author keywords

Fractional integration; Long horizon stock returns; Mean reversion; Overlapping data; Structural breaks; Temporal aggregation

Indexed keywords

AUTOCORRELATION; ECONOMETRICS; PRICE DYNAMICS; STOCK MARKET;

EID: 79952747553     PISSN: 03777332     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00181-010-0338-y     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (8)

References (86)
  • 1
    • 84981461779 scopus 로고
    • Bias in an estimator of the fractional difference parameter
    • Agiakloglou C, Newbold P, Wohar M (1993) Bias in an estimator of the fractional difference parameter. J Time Ser Anal 14: 235-246.
    • (1993) J Time Ser Anal , vol.14 , pp. 235-246
    • Agiakloglou, C.1    Newbold, P.2    Wohar, M.3
  • 2
    • 0001613217 scopus 로고
    • The effect of aggregation on prediction in the autoregressive model
    • Amemiya T, Wu RY (1972) The effect of aggregation on prediction in the autoregressive model. J Am Stat Assoc 67: 628-632.
    • (1972) J Am Stat Assoc , vol.67 , pp. 628-632
    • Amemiya, T.1    Wu, R.Y.2
  • 3
    • 0001758906 scopus 로고
    • Heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix estimation
    • Andrews DWK (1991) Heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix estimation. Econometrica 59: 817-858.
    • (1991) Econometrica , vol.59 , pp. 817-858
    • Andrews, D.W.K.1
  • 4
    • 30244493399 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long memory processes and fractional integration in econometrics
    • Baillie RT (1996) Long memory processes and fractional integration in econometrics. J Econom 73: 5-59.
    • (1996) J Econom , vol.73 , pp. 5-59
    • Baillie, R.T.1
  • 5
    • 26844499204 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling structural breaks, long memory and stock market volatility
    • Banerjee A, Urga G (2005) Modelling structural breaks, long memory and stock market volatility. J Econom 129: 1-34.
    • (2005) J Econom , vol.129 , pp. 1-34
    • Banerjee, A.1    Urga, G.2
  • 8
    • 21844499145 scopus 로고
    • A tale of three schools: insights on autocorrelations of short-horizon stock returns
    • Boudoukh J, Richardson MP, Whitelaw RF (1994) A tale of three schools: insights on autocorrelations of short-horizon stock returns. Rev Financ Stud 7: 539-573.
    • (1994) Rev Financ Stud , vol.7 , pp. 539-573
    • Boudoukh, J.1    Richardson, M.P.2    Whitelaw, R.F.3
  • 10
    • 0040250342 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Valuation ratios and the long-run stock market outlook
    • Campbell JY, Shiller RJ (1998) Valuation ratios and the long-run stock market outlook. J Portf Manag 24: 11-26.
    • (1998) J Portf Manag , vol.24 , pp. 11-26
    • Campbell, J.Y.1    Shiller, R.J.2
  • 11
    • 0036765064 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fractional integration and mean reversion in stock prices
    • Caporale GM, Gil-Alana LA (2002) Fractional integration and mean reversion in stock prices. Q Rev Econ Financ 42: 599-609.
    • (2002) Q Rev Econ Financ , vol.42 , pp. 599-609
    • Caporale, G.M.1    Gil-Alana, L.A.2
  • 12
    • 0000113741 scopus 로고
    • Mean reversion in equilibrium asset prices
    • Cecchetti SG, Lam PS, Mark NC (1990) Mean reversion in equilibrium asset prices. Am Econ Rev 80: 398-418.
    • (1990) Am Econ Rev , vol.80 , pp. 398-418
    • Cecchetti, S.G.1    Lam, P.S.2    Mark, N.C.3
  • 13
    • 0038969887 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long memory and aggregation in macroeconomic time series
    • Chambers MJ (1998) Long memory and aggregation in macroeconomic time series. Int Econ Rev 39: 1053-1072.
    • (1998) Int Econ Rev , vol.39 , pp. 1053-1072
    • Chambers, M.J.1
  • 14
    • 0010082536 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-term memory in equity style indexes
    • Coggin TD (1998) Long-term memory in equity style indexes. J Portf Manag 24: 37-46.
    • (1998) J Portf Manag , vol.24 , pp. 37-46
    • Coggin, T.D.1
  • 15
    • 0037525213 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The power and size of mean reversion tests
    • Daniel K (2001) The power and size of mean reversion tests. J Empir Financ 8: 493-535.
    • (2001) J Empir Financ , vol.8 , pp. 493-535
    • Daniel, K.1
  • 16
    • 61649124867 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Type I and type II fractional Brownian motions
    • Davidson J, Hashimzade N (2009) Type I and type II fractional Brownian motions. Comput Stat Data Anal 53: 2089-2106.
    • (2009) Comput Stat Data Anal , vol.53 , pp. 2089-2106
    • Davidson, J.1    Hashimzade, N.2
  • 17
    • 0000382480 scopus 로고
    • A mean-reverting walk down wall street
    • DeBondt W, Thaler R (1989) A mean-reverting walk down wall street. J Econ Perspect 3: 189-202.
    • (1989) J Econ Perspect , vol.3 , pp. 189-202
    • Debondt, W.1    Thaler, R.2
  • 19
    • 85036258669 scopus 로고
    • Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root
    • Dickey DA, Fuller WA (1979) Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root. J Am Stat Assoc 74: 427-431.
    • (1979) J Am Stat Assoc , vol.74 , pp. 427-431
    • Dickey, D.A.1    Fuller, W.A.2
  • 20
    • 0001418135 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long memory and regime switching
    • Diebold FX, Inoue A (2001) Long memory and regime switching. J Econom 105: 131-159.
    • (2001) J Econom , vol.105 , pp. 131-159
    • Diebold, F.X.1    Inoue, A.2
  • 21
    • 0000289304 scopus 로고
    • On the power of Dickey-Fuller tests against fractional alternatives
    • Diebold F, Rudebusch G (1991) On the power of Dickey-Fuller tests against fractional alternatives. Econ Lett 35: 155-160.
    • (1991) Econ Lett , vol.35 , pp. 155-160
    • Diebold, F.1    Rudebusch, G.2
  • 22
    • 0242290912 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • P. Doukhan, G. Oppenheim, and M. S. Taqqu (Eds.), Boston: Birkhauser
    • Doukhan, P, Oppenheim, G, Taqqu, MS (eds) (2003) Theory and applications of long-range dependence. Birkhauser, Boston.
    • (2003) Theory and Applications of Long-Range Dependence
  • 23
    • 84936823605 scopus 로고
    • Permanent and temporary components of stock prices
    • Fama EF, French KR (1988) Permanent and temporary components of stock prices. J Political Econ 96: 246-273.
    • (1988) J Political Econ , vol.96 , pp. 246-273
    • Fama, E.F.1    French, K.R.2
  • 24
    • 84986759400 scopus 로고
    • The estimation and application of long memory time series models
    • Geweke J, Porter-Hudak S (1983) The estimation and application of long memory time series models. J Time Ser Anal 4: 221-238.
    • (1983) J Time Ser Anal , vol.4 , pp. 221-238
    • Geweke, J.1    Porter-Hudak, S.2
  • 25
    • 3943104042 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A joint test of fractional integration and structural breaks at known periods of time
    • Gil-Alana LA (2004) A joint test of fractional integration and structural breaks at known periods of time. J Time Ser Anal 25: 691-700.
    • (2004) J Time Ser Anal , vol.25 , pp. 691-700
    • Gil-Alana, L.A.1
  • 26
    • 36849051974 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fractional integration and structural breaks at unknown periods of time
    • Gil-Alana LA (2008) Fractional integration and structural breaks at unknown periods of time. J Time Ser Anal 29: 163-185.
    • (2008) J Time Ser Anal , vol.29 , pp. 163-185
    • Gil-Alana, L.A.1
  • 27
    • 85015863911 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fractional integration and cointegration. An overview and an empirical application
    • T. C. Mills and K. Patterson (Eds.), New York: Palgrave Macmillan
    • Gil-Alana LA, Hualde J (2009) Fractional integration and cointegration. An overview and an empirical application. In: Mills TC, Patterson K (eds) Palgrave handbook of econometrics, vol 2. Palgrave Macmillan, New York.
    • (2009) Palgrave Handbook of Econometrics, Vol 2
    • Gil-Alana, L.A.1    Hualde, J.2
  • 28
    • 30244432554 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing of unit root and other nonstationary hypotheses in macroeconomic time series
    • Gil-Alana LA, Robinson PM (1997) Testing of unit root and other nonstationary hypotheses in macroeconomic time series. J Econom 80: 241-268.
    • (1997) J Econom , vol.80 , pp. 241-268
    • Gil-Alana, L.A.1    Robinson, P.M.2
  • 29
    • 0000743923 scopus 로고
    • Long memory relationships and the aggregation of dynamic models
    • Granger CWJ (1980) Long memory relationships and the aggregation of dynamic models. J Econom 14: 227-238.
    • (1980) J Econom , vol.14 , pp. 227-238
    • Granger, C.W.J.1
  • 30
    • 1942444547 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Occasional structural breaks and long memory with an application to the S&P 500 absolute returns
    • Granger CWJ, Hyung N (2004) Occasional structural breaks and long memory with an application to the S& P 500 absolute returns. J Empir Financ 11: 399-421.
    • (2004) J Empir Financ , vol.11 , pp. 399-421
    • Granger, C.W.J.1    Hyung, N.2
  • 31
    • 84986792205 scopus 로고
    • An introduction to long memory time series and fractional differencing
    • Granger CWJ, Joyeux R (1980) An introduction to long memory time series and fractional differencing. J Time Ser Anal 1: 15-30.
    • (1980) J Time Ser Anal , vol.1 , pp. 15-30
    • Granger, C.W.J.1    Joyeux, R.2
  • 32
    • 0000714094 scopus 로고
    • Forward exchange rates as optimal predictors of future spot rates
    • Hansen LP, Hodrick RJ (1980) Forward exchange rates as optimal predictors of future spot rates. J Political Econ 88: 829-853.
    • (1980) J Political Econ , vol.88 , pp. 829-853
    • Hansen, L.P.1    Hodrick, R.J.2
  • 33
    • 2342498020 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Working paper, Department of Agricultural Economics, Oklahoma State University
    • Harri A, Brorsen BW (2002) The overlapping data problem. Working paper, Department of Agricultural Economics, Oklahoma State University. http://papers. ssrn. com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth. cfm?per_id=72728.
    • (2002) The overlapping data problem
    • Harri, A.1    Brorsen, B.W.2
  • 34
    • 21344476815 scopus 로고
    • On the power of unit root tests against fractional alternatives
    • Hassler U, Wolters J (1994) On the power of unit root tests against fractional alternatives. Econ Lett 45: 1-5.
    • (1994) Econ Lett , vol.45 , pp. 1-5
    • Hassler, U.1    Wolters, J.2
  • 35
    • 17444415454 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The long range dependence paradigm for macroeconomics and finance
    • P. Doukhan, G. Oppenheim, and M. S. Taqqu (Eds.), Boston: Birkhauser
    • Henry M, Zaffaroni P (2003) The long range dependence paradigm for macroeconomics and finance. In: Doukhan P, Oppenheim G, Taqqu MS (eds) Theory and applications of long-range dependence. Birkhauser, Boston.
    • (2003) Theory and Applications of Long-Range Dependence
    • Henry, M.1    Zaffaroni, P.2
  • 36
    • 77956890381 scopus 로고
    • Fractional differencing
    • Hosking JRM (1981) Fractional differencing. Biometrika 60: 165-176.
    • (1981) Biometrika , vol.60 , pp. 165-176
    • Hosking, J.R.M.1
  • 37
    • 0002670989 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The mean square error of Geweke and Porter-Hudak's estimator of the memory parameter of a long-memory time series
    • Hurvich CM, Deo R, Brodsky J (1998) The mean square error of Geweke and Porter-Hudak's estimator of the memory parameter of a long-memory time series. J Time Ser Anal 19: 19-46.
    • (1998) J Time Ser Anal , vol.19 , pp. 19-46
    • Hurvich, C.M.1    Deo, R.2    Brodsky, J.3
  • 38
    • 0039492711 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing for mean reversion in heteroskedastic data II
    • Kim JK, Nelson CR (1998) Testing for mean reversion in heteroskedastic data II. J Empir Financ 5: 385-396.
    • (1998) J Empir Financ , vol.5 , pp. 385-396
    • Kim, J.K.1    Nelson, C.R.2
  • 40
    • 0012467379 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing for mean reversion in heteroskedastic data based on Gibbs-sampling-augmented randomization
    • Kim JK, Nelson CR, Startz R (1998) Testing for mean reversion in heteroskedastic data based on Gibbs-sampling-augmented randomization. J Empir Financ 5: 131-154.
    • (1998) J Empir Financ , vol.5 , pp. 131-154
    • Kim, J.K.1    Nelson, C.R.2    Startz, R.3
  • 41
    • 0040097730 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fractional integration and the augmented Dickey-Fuller test
    • Kramer W (1998) Fractional integration and the augmented Dickey-Fuller test. Econ Lett 61: 269-272.
    • (1998) Econ Lett , vol.61 , pp. 269-272
    • Kramer, W.1
  • 42
    • 0000495205 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the power of the KPSS test of stationarity against fractionally integrated alternatives
    • Lee D, Schmidt P (1996) On the power of the KPSS test of stationarity against fractionally integrated alternatives. J Econom 73: 285-302.
    • (1996) J Econom , vol.73 , pp. 285-302
    • Lee, D.1    Schmidt, P.2
  • 43
    • 0242594709 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Minimum Lagrange multiplier unit root test with two structural breaks
    • Lee J, Strazicich MC (2003) Minimum Lagrange multiplier unit root test with two structural breaks. Rev Econ Stat 85: 1082-1089.
    • (2003) Rev Econ Stat , vol.85 , pp. 1082-1089
    • Lee, J.1    Strazicich, M.C.2
  • 45
    • 84981611585 scopus 로고
    • Testing for unit roots using forward and reverse Dickey-Fuller regressions
    • Leybourne SJ (1995) Testing for unit roots using forward and reverse Dickey-Fuller regressions. Oxf Bull Econ Stat 57: 559-571.
    • (1995) Oxf Bull Econ Stat , vol.57 , pp. 559-571
    • Leybourne, S.J.1
  • 46
    • 17644408455 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Examination of some more powerful modifications of the Dickey-Fuller test
    • Leybourne S, Kim TH, Newbold P (2005) Examination of some more powerful modifications of the Dickey-Fuller test. J Time Ser Anal 26: 355-369.
    • (2005) J Time Ser Anal , vol.26 , pp. 355-369
    • Leybourne, S.1    Kim, T.H.2    Newbold, P.3
  • 47
    • 0000140166 scopus 로고
    • Long-term memory in stock market prices
    • Lo AW (1991) Long-term memory in stock market prices. Econometrica 59: 1279-1313.
    • (1991) Econometrica , vol.59 , pp. 1279-1313
    • Lo, A.W.1
  • 48
    • 0002484986 scopus 로고
    • Stock market prices do not follow random walks
    • Lo AW, MacKinlay AC (1988) Stock market prices do not follow random walks. Rev Financ Stud 1: 41-66.
    • (1988) Rev Financ Stud , vol.1 , pp. 41-66
    • Lo, A.W.1    Mackinlay, A.C.2
  • 49
    • 0032338835 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Real and spurious long-memory properties of stock-market data
    • Lobato IN, Savin NE (1998) Real and spurious long-memory properties of stock-market data. J Bus Econ Stat 16: 261-268.
    • (1998) J Bus Econ Stat , vol.16 , pp. 261-268
    • Lobato, I.N.1    Savin, N.E.2
  • 51
    • 0033481207 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Some consequences of temporal aggregation in empirical analysis
    • Marcellino M (1999) Some consequences of temporal aggregation in empirical analysis. J Bus Econ Stat 17: 129-136.
    • (1999) J Bus Econ Stat , vol.17 , pp. 129-136
    • Marcellino, M.1
  • 52
    • 0033174049 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Alternative forms of fractional Brownian motion
    • Marinucci D, Robinson PM (1999) Alternative forms of fractional Brownian motion. J Stat Inference Plan 80: 111-122.
    • (1999) J Stat Inference Plan , vol.80 , pp. 111-122
    • Marinucci, D.1    Robinson, P.M.2
  • 53
    • 15844403742 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Semiparametric spectral estimation for fractional processes
    • P. Doukhan, G. Oppenheim, and M. S. Taqqu (Eds.), Boston: Birkhauser
    • Moulines E, Soulier P (2003) Semiparametric spectral estimation for fractional processes. In: Doukhan P, Oppenheim G, Taqqu MS (eds) Theory and applications of long-range dependence. Birkhauser, Boston.
    • (2003) Theory and Applications of Long-Range Dependence
    • Moulines, E.1    Soulier, P.2
  • 54
    • 79952759667 scopus 로고
    • Discussion paper, O& A Research Group, Olsen, Ltd., Zurich
    • Muller UA (1993) Statistics of variables observed over overlapping intervals. Discussion paper, O& A Research Group, Olsen, Ltd., Zurich. http://www. olsen. ch/fileadmin/Publications/Working_Papers/931130-ntervalOverlap. pdf.
    • (1993) Statistics of variables observed over overlapping intervals
    • Muller, U.A.1
  • 55
    • 0000706085 scopus 로고
    • A simple, positive definite, heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix
    • Newey WK, West KD (1987) A simple, positive definite, heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix. Econometrica 55: 703-708.
    • (1987) Econometrica , vol.55 , pp. 703-708
    • Newey, W.K.1    West, K.D.2
  • 57
    • 1342286215 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Tests of return predictability
    • Perron P, Vodounou C (2004) Tests of return predictability. J Empir Financ 11: 202-230.
    • (2004) J Empir Financ , vol.11 , pp. 202-230
    • Perron, P.1    Vodounou, C.2
  • 58
    • 0035608759 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Descriptive econometrics for non-stationary time series with empirical illustrations
    • Phillips PCB (2001) Descriptive econometrics for non-stationary time series with empirical illustrations. J Appl Econom 16: 389-413.
    • (2001) J Appl Econom , vol.16 , pp. 389-413
    • Phillips, P.C.B.1
  • 59
    • 0345471830 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A primer on unit root testing
    • McAleer M, Oxley L (eds) Practical issues in cointegration analysis. Blackwell Publishers, Oxford, 1998
    • Phillips PCB, Xiao Z (1999) A primer on unit root testing. In: McAleer M, Oxley L (eds) Practical issues in cointegration analysis. Blackwell Publishers, Oxford. Also appears in J Econ Surv 12: 423-470 (1998).
    • (1999) Also appears in J Econ Surv , vol.12 , pp. 423-470
    • Phillips, P.C.B.1    Xiao, Z.2
  • 60
  • 61
    • 21144470684 scopus 로고
    • Temporary components of stock prices: a skeptic's view
    • Richardson M (1993) Temporary components of stock prices: a skeptic's view. J Bus Econ Stat 11: 199-207.
    • (1993) J Bus Econ Stat , vol.11 , pp. 199-207
    • Richardson, M.1
  • 62
    • 0000649048 scopus 로고
    • Tests of financial models in the presence of overlapping observations
    • Richardson M, Smith T (1991) Tests of financial models in the presence of overlapping observations. Rev Financ Stud 4: 227-254.
    • (1991) Rev Financ Stud , vol.4 , pp. 227-254
    • Richardson, M.1    Smith, T.2
  • 63
    • 0000749707 scopus 로고
    • Statistical inference for a random coefficient autoregressive model
    • Robinson PM (1978) Statistical inference for a random coefficient autoregressive model. Scand J Stat 5: 163-168.
    • (1978) Scand J Stat , vol.5 , pp. 163-168
    • Robinson, P.M.1
  • 64
    • 84923145850 scopus 로고
    • Efficient tests of nonstationary hypotheses
    • Robinson PM (1994) Efficient tests of nonstationary hypotheses. J Am Stat Assoc 89: 1420-1437.
    • (1994) J Am Stat Assoc , vol.89 , pp. 1420-1437
    • Robinson, P.M.1
  • 65
    • 0000668540 scopus 로고
    • Log-periodogram regression of time series with long range dependence
    • Robinson PM (1995a) Log-periodogram regression of time series with long range dependence. Ann Stat 23: 1048-1072.
    • (1995) Ann Stat , vol.23 , pp. 1048-1072
    • Robinson, P.M.1
  • 66
    • 21344446855 scopus 로고
    • Gaussian semiparametric estimation of long range dependence
    • Robinson PM (1995b) Gaussian semiparametric estimation of long range dependence. Ann Stat 23: 1630-1661.
    • (1995) Ann Stat , vol.23 , pp. 1630-1661
    • Robinson, P.M.1
  • 67
    • 4544349994 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • P. M. Robinson (Ed.), Oxford: Oxford University Press
    • Robinson, PM (eds) (2003) Time series with long memory. Oxford University Press, Oxford.
    • (2003) Time Series with Long Memory
  • 68
    • 0033433492 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long and short memory conditional heteroskedasticity in estimating the memory parameters of levels
    • Robinson PM, Henry M (1999) Long and short memory conditional heteroskedasticity in estimating the memory parameters of levels. Econom Theory 15: 299-336.
    • (1999) Econom Theory , vol.15 , pp. 299-336
    • Robinson, P.M.1    Henry, M.2
  • 69
    • 19044371729 scopus 로고
    • Testing for unit roots in autoregressive moving average models of unknown order
    • Said SE, Dickey DA (1984) Testing for unit roots in autoregressive moving average models of unknown order. Biometrika 71: 599-607.
    • (1984) Biometrika , vol.71 , pp. 599-607
    • Said, S.E.1    Dickey, D.A.2
  • 72
    • 26444501037 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Exact local Whittle estimation of fractional integration
    • Shimotsu K, Phillips PCB (2005) Exact local Whittle estimation of fractional integration. Ann Stat 33: 1890-1933.
    • (2005) Ann Stat , vol.33 , pp. 1890-1933
    • Shimotsu, K.1    Phillips, P.C.B.2
  • 73
    • 31344441177 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Local Whittle estimation of fractional integration and some of its variants
    • Shimotsu K, Phillips PCB (2006) Local Whittle estimation of fractional integration and some of its variants. J Econom 130: 209-233.
    • (2006) J Econom , vol.130 , pp. 209-233
    • Shimotsu, K.1    Phillips, P.C.B.2
  • 75
    • 45249122868 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Temporal aggregation of univariate and multivariate time series models, a survey
    • Silvestrini A, Veredas D (2008) Temporal aggregation of univariate and multivariate time series models, a survey. J Econ Surv 22: 458-497.
    • (2008) J Econ Surv , vol.22 , pp. 458-497
    • Silvestrini, A.1    Veredas, D.2
  • 76
    • 22544462258 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Level shifts and the illusion of long memory in economic time series
    • Smith A (2005) Level shifts and the illusion of long memory in economic time series. J Bus Econ Stat 23: 321-335.
    • (2005) J Bus Econ Stat , vol.23 , pp. 321-335
    • Smith, A.1
  • 77
    • 0001513420 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparing the bias and misspecification in AFRIMA models
    • Smith J, Taylor N, Yadav S (1997) Comparing the bias and misspecification in AFRIMA models. J Time Ser Anal 18: 507-528.
    • (1997) J Time Ser Anal , vol.18 , pp. 507-528
    • Smith, J.1    Taylor, N.2    Yadav, S.3
  • 78
    • 79952768856 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spectral properties of temporally aggregated long memory processes
    • Working paper, The Graduate School of Economics (EPGE)
    • Souza LR (2004) Spectral properties of temporally aggregated long memory processes. Working paper, The Graduate School of Economics (EPGE), Rio de Janeiro. http://www. econ. puc-rio. br/pdf/seminario/2004/a%20note%20on%20aggreg. pdf.
    • (2004) Rio de Janeiro
    • Souza, L.R.1
  • 79
    • 27744606675 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A note on Chambers' "Long memory and aggregation in macroeconomic time series"
    • Souza LR (2005) A note on Chambers' "Long memory and aggregation in macroeconomic time series". Int Econ Rev 46: 1059-1062.
    • (2005) Int Econ Rev , vol.46 , pp. 1059-1062
    • Souza, L.R.1
  • 80
    • 34547849516 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Temporal aggregation and bandwidth selection in estimating long memory
    • Souza LR (2007) Temporal aggregation and bandwidth selection in estimating long memory. J Time Ser Anal 28: 701-722.
    • (2007) J Time Ser Anal , vol.28 , pp. 701-722
    • Souza, L.R.1
  • 81
    • 0036211491 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bias in the memory parameter for different sampling rates
    • Souza LR, Smith J (2002) Bias in the memory parameter for different sampling rates. Int J Forecast 18: 299-313.
    • (2002) Int J Forecast , vol.18 , pp. 299-313
    • Souza, L.R.1    Smith, J.2
  • 82
    • 4344622815 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of temporal aggregation on estimates and forecasts of fractionally integrated processes
    • Souza LR, Smith J (2004) Effects of temporal aggregation on estimates and forecasts of fractionally integrated processes. Int J Forecast 20: 487-502.
    • (2004) Int J Forecast , vol.20 , pp. 487-502
    • Souza, L.R.1    Smith, J.2
  • 83
    • 0039925680 scopus 로고
    • Confidence intervals for the largest autoregressive root in U.S. macroeconomic time series
    • Stock JH (1991) Confidence intervals for the largest autoregressive root in U. S. macroeconomic time series. J Monet Econ 28: 435-459.
    • (1991) J Monet Econ , vol.28 , pp. 435-459
    • Stock, J.H.1
  • 84
    • 70350105390 scopus 로고
    • Unit roots, structural breaks, and trends
    • R. Engle and D. McFadden (Eds.), Amsterdam: Elsevier
    • Stock JH (1994) Unit roots, structural breaks, and trends. In: Engle R, McFadden D (eds) Handbook of econometrics, vol IV. Elsevier, Amsterdam.
    • (1994) Handbook of Econometrics, Vol IV
    • Stock, J.H.1
  • 85
    • 84924508526 scopus 로고
    • Does the stock market rationally reflect fundamental values?
    • Summers LH (1986) Does the stock market rationally reflect fundamental values?. J Financ 41: 591-600.
    • (1986) J Financ , vol.41 , pp. 591-600
    • Summers, L.H.1
  • 86
    • 0033418876 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The nonstationary fractional unit root
    • Tanaka K (1999) The nonstationary fractional unit root. Econom Theory 15: 549-582.
    • (1999) Econom Theory , vol.15 , pp. 549-582
    • Tanaka, K.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.