When may road fatalities start to decrease?

Journal of Safety Research

Volumn 42, Issue 1, 2011, Pages 17-25

  Yannis, George ^a   Antoniou, Constantinos ^a   Papadimitriou, Eleonora ^a   Katsochis, Dimitris ^a  

^a NATIONAL TECHNICAL UNIVERSITY OF ATHENS   (Greece)

Author keywords

Macroscopic trends; Motorization rate; Personal risk; Road safety

Indexed keywords

BREAK-POINTS; COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS; DEVELOPED COUNTRIES; EU COUNTRIES; INSURANCE INDUSTRY; MACROSCOPIC ANALYSIS; MACROSCOPIC TRENDS; MODEL FRAMEWORK; MOTORIZATION RATE; PERSONAL RISKS; PIECEWISE LINEAR; RESEARCH TOPICS; ROAD SAFETY; ROAD TRAFFIC FATALITIES; SAFETY IMPROVEMENT; SIMULTANEOUS ESTIMATION; SLOPE CHANGE; SOCIOECONOMIC INDICATORS; TEMPORAL EVOLUTION; VEHICLE FLEETS;

DEVELOPING COUNTRIES; ECONOMICS; FLEET OPERATIONS; FUEL ECONOMY; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; ROADS AND STREETS;

ACCIDENT PREVENTION;

ARTICLE; CAR; COMPARATIVE STUDY; EUROPEAN UNION; HUMAN; INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION; MORTALITY; PUBLIC HEALTH; RISK ASSESSMENT; SAFETY; SOCIOECONOMICS; STATISTICAL MODEL; STATISTICS; TRAFFIC ACCIDENT;

ACCIDENTS, TRAFFIC; AUTOMOBILES; EUROPEAN UNION; HUMANS; INTERNATIONALITY; LINEAR MODELS; MODELS, STATISTICAL; MORTALITY; PUBLIC HEALTH; RISK ASSESSMENT; SAFETY; SOCIOECONOMIC FACTORS;

EID: 79952536021     PISSN: 00224375     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jsr.2010.11.003     Document Type: Article

References (22)

1. K.A. Abbas Traffic safety assessment and development of predictive models for accidents on rural roads in Egypt Accident Analysis and Prevention 36 2 2004 149 163
2. Al-Haji, G. (2007). Road Safety Development Index (RSDI). Theory, Philosophy and Practice. Linkoeping Studies in Science and Technology, Dissertation No. 1100, Norrkoeping, Sweden.
3. M. Beenstock, and D. Gafni Globalization in road safety: explaining the downward trend in road accident rates in a single country (Israel) Accident Analysis and Prevention 32 2000 71 84
4. J. Broughton Forecasting road accident casualties in Great Britain Accident Analysis and Prevention 23 5 1991 353 362
5. COST 329 Models for traffic and safety development and interventions Final Report of the Action. European Commission, Luxembourg 2004
6. V. Eksler, S. Lassarre, and I. Thomas Regional analysis of road mortality across Europe Public Health 122 9 2008 826 837
7. R. Ewing, R.A. Schieber, and C.V. Zegeer Urban sprawl as a risk factor in motor vehicle occupant and pedestrian fatalities American Journal of Public Health 93 9 2003 1541 1545 (Pubitemid 38477682)
8. S. Hakim, D. Shefer, A.S. Hakkert, and I. Hocherman A critical review of macro models for road accidents Accident Analysis and Prevention 23 5 1991 379 400
9. P.L. Jacobsen Safety in numbers: more walkers and bicyclists, safer walking and bicycling Injury Prevention 9 2003 205 209
10. D. Katsochis, Y. Handanos, and G. Yannis Comparative assessment of road safety performance in Greece Proceedings of the 11th World Conference on Transport Research (WCTR) 2007 Berkeley, CA, USA - June 2007
11. E. Kopits, and M. Cropper Traffic fatalities and economic growth Accident Analysis and Prevention 37 2005 169 178
12. S. Lassarre Analysis of progress in road safety in ten European countries Accident Analysis and Prevention 33 2001 743 751 (Pubitemid 32798103)
13. T. Litman Mobility management traffic safety impacts Proceedings of the 85th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board 2006, January Washington, D.C.
14. V. Muggeo Estimating regression models with unknown break-points Statistics in Medicine 22 2003 3055 3071 (Pubitemid 37160605)
15. V.M.R. Muggeo Segmented: An R package to fit regression models with broken-line relationships R News 8 1 2008 20 25 May. Available online: http://CRAN.R-project.org/doc/Rnews/Rnews-2008-1.pdf (Accessed: December 13, 2008)
16. S. Oppe Macroscopic Models for Traffic and Traffic Safety Accident Analysis and Prevention 21 3 1989 225 232 (Pubitemid 20637675)
17. Y. Page A statistical model to compare road mortality in OECD countries Accident Analysis and Prevention 33 2001 371 385 (Pubitemid 33592940)
18. R Development Core Team [RDCT] R: A language and environment for statistical computing 2010 R Foundation for Statistical Computing Vienna, Austria 3-900051-07-0 URL http://www.R-project.org
19. M. Sivak Is the U.S. on the path to the lowest motor vehicle fatalities in decades? Report No. UMTRI-2008-39 2008 The University of Michigan Transportation Research Institute Ann Arbor, MI
20. R.J. Smeed Variations in the pattern of accident rates in different countries and their causes Traffic Engineering Control 10 7 1968 364 371
21. D.A.M. Twisk, and C. Stacey Trends in young driver risk and countermeasures in European countries Journal of Safety Research 38 2007 245 257 (Pubitemid 46691241)
22. E.F. van Beeck, G.J.J. Borsboom, and J.P. Mackenbach Economic development and traffic accident mortality in the industrialized world, 1962-1990 International Journal of Epidemiology 29 2000 503 509 (Pubitemid 30447255)