The endurance of the effects of the penalty point system in Spain three years after. Main influencing factors

Accident Analysis and Prevention

Volumn 43, Issue 3, 2011, Pages 911-922

  Izquierdo, F Aparicio ^a   Ramírez, B Arenas ^a   McWilliams, J M Mira ^a   Ayuso, J Páez ^a  

^a UNIVERSIDAD POLITÉCNICA DE MADRID   (Spain)

Author keywords

Intervention models; Penalty point system; Time series analysis

Indexed keywords

ACCIDENT RATE; AUTO-REGRESSIVE; BEFORE AND AFTER; CONTROL MEASURES; CONTROL VARIABLE; DRIVER BEHAVIOUR; DRIVING LICENCES; IMPULSE INPUT; INFLUENCING FACTOR; INTERVENTION MODELS; LEGISLATIVE CHANGES; LEGISLATIVE MEASURES; MASS MEDIA; MOVING AVERAGES; NEWS MEDIA; PENALTY POINTS; POSITIVE CHANGES; POSITIVE EFFECTS; ROAD SAFETY; SEASONAL VARIATION; SPECIFIC EFFECTS; TIME SERIES MODELS; TIMES SERIES;

ACCIDENT PREVENTION; BEHAVIORAL RESEARCH; DURABILITY; MODEL CHECKING; MONITORING; ROADS AND STREETS; TIME SERIES;

TIME SERIES ANALYSIS;

ACCELERATION; ADDICTION; ALCOHOL INTOXICATION; BREATH ANALYSIS; CAR DRIVING; CAUSE OF DEATH; FOLLOW UP; HUMAN; LAW ENFORCEMENT; LEGAL ASPECT; LICENSING; MORTALITY; REVIEW; SAFETY; SPAIN; STATISTICS; TRAFFIC ACCIDENT; TREATMENT OUTCOME;

ACCELERATION; ACCIDENTS, TRAFFIC; ALCOHOLIC INTOXICATION; AUTOMOBILE DRIVING; BREATH TESTS; CAUSE OF DEATH; FOLLOW-UP STUDIES; HUMANS; LAW ENFORCEMENT; LICENSURE; OUTCOME AND PROCESS ASSESSMENT (HEALTH CARE); SAFETY; SPAIN; SUBSTANCE-RELATED DISORDERS;

EID: 79952447278     PISSN: 00014575     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.aap.2010.11.014     Document Type: Article

References (31)

1. K. Diamantopoulou, M. Cameron, D. Dyte, and W. Harrison The Relationship Between Demerit Points Accrual and Crash Involvement 1997 Monash University Accident Research Centre Victoria, Australia
2. F. Bijleveld, J. Commandeur, P. Gould, and S.J. Koopman Model-based measurement of risk in time series with applications J. R. Stat. Soc. A 171 2008 265 277
3. F. Bijleveld, J. Commandeur, S.J. Koopman, and K. Van Monfort Multivariate non-linear time series modelling of exposure and risk in road safety research Appl. Stat. 59 p1 2010 145 161
4. G.E.P. Box, and G.M. Jenkins Time Series Analysis. Forecasting and Control 1976 Holden Day
5. J.S. Butler, J.P. Burke, D.G. Healy, M.M. Stephens, F. McManus, D. McCormack, J.M. O'Byrne, and A.R. Poynton Trends in RTA related spinal injuries: the post penalty points era Ir. J. Med. Sci. 175 1 2006 20 23
6. F. Chatenet The French point system and the Driver Improvement Programme Proceedings of the 5th International Workshop Driver Improvement Locarno, May 5-7, 1993 1993
7. Dirección General de Tráfico, 2007. Nota de prensa: el primer año de vigencia del carné por puntos se cierra con 467 muertos menos. Descargado de http://www.dgt.es/dgt informa/notas pren sa/pdf/Nota-Prensa303.pdf.
8. Dirección General de Tráfico. Anuario Estadístico de Accidentes. Varios años.
9. Dirección General de Tráfico. Observatorio de Seguridad Vial. Varios años.
10. M. Donnelly, P. Murray, and S. Cleary Changes in trauma service workload since the introduction of the penalty point system Ir. Med. J. 98 2005 53 54 (Pubitemid 40852027)
11. R. Elvik, and T. Vaa El Manual de Medidas de Seguridad Vial 1st ed. 2006 ETRASA ISBN: 84-611-4309-4
12. S. Farchi, F. Chini, P.G. Rossi, L. Camilloni, P. Borgia, and G. Guasticchi Evaluation of the health effects of the new driving penalty point system in the Lazio Region, Italy Injury Prev. 13 2007 60 64
13. M. Gaudry, and S. Lasarre Structural Road Accidents Models: The International DRAG family 2000 Elsevier Science Publishers Oxford
14. M.M. Hamed, B. Al-Eideh, and M.M. Al-Sharif Traffic accidents under the effect of the Gulf crisis Saf. Sci. 33 2000 59 68
15. M.O. Haque Evaluation of the demerit points system in deterring traffic offenses Eval. Rev. 14 1 1990 22 41
16. A. Harvey Forecasting Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter 1989 Cambridge University Press
17. A. Harvey, and J. Durbin The effects of seat belt legislation on british road casualties. A case study in structural time series (with discussion) J. R. Stat. Soc. A 140 1986 187 227
18. P. Johansson Speed limitation and motorway casualties: a time series count data approach Accid. Anal. Prevent. 28 1996 73 87 (Pubitemid 126341746)
19. S. Lassarre Analysis of progress in road safety in ten European countries Accid. Anal. Prevent. 33 2001 743 751 (Pubitemid 32798103)
20. B. Lenehan, J. Street, K. Barry, and G. Mullan Immediate impact of penalty points legislation on acute hospital trauma services Injury Int. J. Care Injured 36 2005 912 916 (Pubitemid 40968155)
21. Ley 17/2005. de 19 de julio, por la que se regula el permiso y la licencia de conducción por puntos y se modifica el texto articulado de la ley sobre tráfico, circulación de vehículos a motor y seguridad vial (BOE n.172 de 20/7/2005).
22. Ley Orgánica 15/2007. del 30 de noviembre de Reforma del Código Penal en materia de seguridad vial (BOE n. 288 de 01/12/2007).
23. L. Montoro, and J. Roca Influence of the penalty point system on driver behaviour: data from a National Survey in Spain 4th International Conference on Traffic & Transport Psychology Washington 2008
24. Pulido, J.; Lardelli, P.; Fuente, L.; de la Flores, V.; Vallejo, F.; Regidor, E.; in press. Impact of the demerit point system on the road traffic accident mortality in Spain. J. Epidemiol. Commun. Health.
25. D.A. Redelmeier, R.J. Tibshirani, and L. Evans Traffic-law enforcement and risk of death from motor-vehicle crashes; case-crossover study Lancet 361 9376 2003 2177 2182 (Pubitemid 36782550)
26. J. Roca, and F. Tortosa The effectiveness of the penalty point system on road safety Securitas Vialis 1 2008 27 32 doi:10.1007/s12615-008-9004-y
27. Strategic Road Safety Plan 2005-2008. Dirección General de Tráfico. Ministerio de Interior. Spain. http://www.dgt.es/was6/portal/ contenidos/documentos/seguridad-vial/planes-seg-vial/estrategico-seg-vial/ estrategico-2005-2008-009.pdf.
28. SWOV Fact Sheet. Demerit Point System. http://www.swov.nl/rapport/ Factsheets/UK/FS-Demerit-points.pdf.
29. F. Zambon, U. Fedeli, C. Visentin, M. Marchesan, F. Avossa, S. Brocco, and P. Spolaore Evidence based policy on road safety: the effect of the demerit points system on seat belt use and health outcomes J. Epidemiol. Commun. Health 61 2007 877 881 (Pubitemid 47492937)
30. F. Zambon, U. Fedeli, G. Milan, S. Brocco, M. Marchesan, S. Cinquetti, and P. Spolaore Sustainability of the effects of the demerit points system on seat belt use: a region-wide before-and-after observational study in Italy Accid. Anal. Prev. 40 2008 231 237
31. S. Zeger A regression model for time series of counts Biometrika 75 1988 621 629