Classification of precipitation events with a convective response timescale and their forecasting characteristics

Geophysical Research Letters

Volumn 38, Issue 5, 2011, Pages

  Zimmer, M ^a   Craig, G C ^b   Keil, C ^b   Wernli, H ^c  

^a JOHANNES GUTENBERG UNIVERSITY   (Germany)

^b UNIVERSITY OF MUNICH   (Germany)

^c Land Climate Dynamics Group   (Switzerland)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

GAGES; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; METEOROLOGICAL INSTRUMENTS;

CONTINUOUS DISTRIBUTION; GERMANY; LARGE-SCALE FLOWS; NON EQUILIBRIUM; OBSERVATIONAL DATA; PARAMETERIZED; PRECIPITATION EVENTS; PRECIPITATION FORECAST; PRECIPITATION RATES; RAIN GAUGES; REGIONAL WEATHER; STATISTICAL ANALYSIS; TIME-SCALES; TWO-REGIME; WARM SEASONS;

WEATHER FORECASTING;

ATMOSPHERIC CONVECTION; PARAMETERIZATION; PRECIPITATION INTENSITY; RADAR IMAGERY; RADIOSONDE; RAINGAUGE; REGIONAL CLIMATE; SEASONAL VARIATION; TIMESCALE; WEATHER FORECASTING;

EID: 79952177217     PISSN: 00948276     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1029/2010GL046199     Document Type: Article

References (15)

1. Arakawa, A. (2004), The cumulus parameterization problem: Pa (Pubitemid 39047914)
2. Arakawa, A., and W. H. Schubert (1974), Interaction of a cumulus cloud ensemble with the large-scale environment. Part I, J. Atmos. Sci., 31, 674-701.
3. Betts, A. K. (1986), A new convective adjustment scheme. Part I: Observational and theoretical basis, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc, 112, 677-691.
4. Cohen, B. G., and G. C. Craig (2004), The response time of a convective cloud ensemble to a change in forcing, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 130, 933-944. (Pubitemid 38546623)
5. Done, J. M., G. C. Craig, S. L. Gray, P. A. Clark, and M. E. B. Gray (2006), Mesoscale simulations of organised convection: Importance of convective-equilibrium, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 132, 737-756. (Pubitemid 43871425)
6. Emanuel, K. A., J. D. Neelin, and C. S. Bretherton (1994), On large-scale circulations in convecting atmospheres, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc, 120, 1111-1143.
7. Früh, B., and V. Wirth (2007), Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) in mixed phase cloud conditions, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc, 133, 561-569. (Pubitemid 46882054)
8. Keil, C, and G. C. Craig (2011), Regime-dependent forecast uncertainty of convective precipitation, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc, 137, 148-154.
9. Molini, L., A. Parodi, N. Reboraa, and G. C. Craig (2011), Classifying severe rainfall events over Italy by hydrometeorological and dynamical criteria, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc, in press.
10. Paulat, M., C. Frei, M. Hagen, and H. Wernli (2008), A gridded dataset of hourly precipitation in Germany: Its construction, climatology and application, Meteorol. Z, 17, 719-732.
11. Peters, O., and J. D. Neelin (2006), Critical phenomena in atmospheric precipitation, Nat. Phys., 2, 393-396, doi:10.1038/nphys314. (Pubitemid 43838929)
12. Steppeler, J., G. Doms, U. Schättler, H. W. Bitzer, A. Gassmann, U. Damrath, and G. Gregoric (2003), Meso-gamma scale forecasts using the nonhydro-static model LM, Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., 82, 75-96. (Pubitemid 37450346)
13. Tiedtke, M. (1989), A comprehensive mass flux scheme for cumulus parameterization in large scale models, Mon. Weather Rev., 117, 1779-1799.
14. Wernli, H., M. Paulat, M. Hagen, and C. Frei (2008), SAL-A novel quality measure for the verification of quantitative precipitation forecasts, Mon. Weather Rev., 136, 4470-4487.
15. Wernli, H., C. Hofmann, and M. Zimmer (2009), Spatial forecast verification methods intercomparison project: Application of the SAL technique, Weather Forecast., 24, 1472-1484.