Using fuzzy logic modelling to simulate farmers' decision-making on diversification and integration in the Mekong Delta, Vietnam

Soft Computing

Volumn 15, Issue 2, 2011, Pages 295-310

  Bosma, Roel ^a   Kaymak, Uzay ^b   van den Berg, Jan ^c   Udo, Henk ^a   Verreth, Johan ^a  

^a WAGENINGEN UNIVERSITY   (Netherlands)

^b ERASMUS UNIVERSITY ROTTERDAM   (Netherlands)

^c DELFT UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

Agricultural systems; Decision making; Hierarchical fuzzy models; Households; Motivations

Indexed keywords

AGRICULTURAL SYSTEM; CLASSIFICATION RATES; COMPONENT INTEGRATION; DEGREE OF SENSITIVITY; FUZZY INFERENCE SYSTEMS; FUZZY LOGIC MODEL; GENERAL MODEL; HIERARCHICAL ARCHITECTURES; HIERARCHICAL FUZZY; HIERARCHICAL LEVEL; HOUSEHOLDS; INPUT AND OUTPUTS; KNOW-HOW; LINGUISTIC VALUES; MARKET PRICE; MEKONG DELTA; STRATEGIC DECISIONS; THREE-LAYER; VIET NAM;

FARMS; FUZZY INFERENCE; FUZZY SYSTEMS; HIERARCHICAL SYSTEMS; MOTIVATION; TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER;

DECISION MAKING;

EID: 79952036447     PISSN: 14327643     EISSN: 14337479     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00500-010-0618-7     Document Type: Article

References (64)

1. Aklilu HA (2007) Village poultry in Ethiopia. Animal production systems/technology & agrarian development. PhD thesis, Wageningen University, Wageningen, p 178. http://library. wur. nl/WebQuery/wda/lang/1854090.
2. Andel Jv (2004) Tussen theorie en werkelijkheid: oneindige wetenschap. van Denderen bv, Groningen.
3. Ascough JC II, Green TR, Ma L, Ahjua LR (2005) Key criteria and selection of sensitivity analysis methods applied to natural resource models. In: Zerger A, Argent RM (eds) MODSIM 2005, International congress on modelling and simulation, Melbourne pp 2463-2469.
4. Azadi H, Shahvali M, Berg Jvd, Faghih N (2007) Sustainable rangeland management using a multi-fuzzy model: how to deal with heterogeneous experts' knowledge. J Environ Manag 83: 236-249.
5. Bergevoet RHM, Ondersteijn CJM, Saatkamp HW, Woerkum CMJv, Huirne RBM (2004) Entrepreneurial behaviour of Dutch dairy farmers under a milk quota system: Goals, Objectives and Attitudes. Agric Syst 80: 1-21.
6. Bosma RH (2007) Using fuzzy logic models to reveal farmers' motives to integrate livestock, fish and crops. Aquaculture and fisheries. PhD thesis, Wageningen University, Wageningen, p 140. http://edepot. wur. nl/2499.
7. Bosma RH, Kaymak U, Berg Jvd, Udo HMJ (2005) Fuzzy modelling of farmer motivations for integrated farming in the Vietnamese Mekong Delta. 14th IEEE international conference on fuzzy systems, Reno (Nevada, USA), pp 827-832.
8. Bosma RH, Nam CQ, Udo HM, Verreth JA, Visser L (2006a) Agriculture diversification in the Mekong Delta: Farmers' Motives and Contribution to livelihoods. Asian J Agric Dev 2: 49-66.
9. Bosma RH, Phong LT, Kaymak U, Berg Jvd, Udo HM, Mensvoort MEFv, Tri LQ (2006b) Assessing and modelling farmers' decision-making on integrating aquaculture into agriculture in the Mekong Delta Farmer. Neth J Agric Sci 53: 281-300.
10. Bosma RH, Cao NQ, Udo HMJ, Verreth JAJ (2007) Assessing farmers' motives for livelihood diversification in the Mekong Delta: household life cycle, virtual farm size, and index of integration. In: Zijpp AJvd, Verreth JAJ, Tri LQ, Mensvoort MEFv, Bosma RH, Beveridge MCM (eds) Fish ponds in farming systems. Wageningen Academic Publishers, Can Tho, pp 261-269.
11. Cai J, Durkin J, Cai Q (2005) CC4. 5: cost-sensitive decision tree pruning. In: Zanasi A, Brebbia CA, Ebecken N (eds) Data mining VI: data mining, text mining and their business applications. Wessex Institute of Technology, Southampton, pp 239-245.
12. Carney D (1998) Implementing the sustainable rural livelihoods approach. In: Carney D (ed) Sustainable rural livelihoods. DFID, London, pp 3-23.
13. Chambers R (1994) Participatory rural appraisal (PRA): Analysis of experience. World Dev 22: 1253-1268.
14. Cornelissen AMG, Berg Jvd, Koops WJ, Grossman M, Udo HMJ (2001) Assessment of the contribution of sustainability indicators to sustainable development: a novel approach using fuzzy set theory. Agric Ecosyst Environ 86: 173-185.
15. Coughenour CM, Swanson LE (1988) Rewards, values and satisfaction with farm work. Rural Sociol 53: 442-459.
16. Crouch S (1998) CEM333: using Excel to find 1st and 2nd derivatives. http://wwwcemmsuedu/~cem333/POTTITRhtml. Accessed 03 Aug 2007.
17. Cuijpers MP, Osinga KJ (2002) The position of the Dutch Farmers' Union on lessons learned and future prevention and control of foot and mouth disease. Rev Sci Tech 21: 839-850.
18. Deutschman PJ, Borda OF (1995) Communication and adoption patterns in an Andean village, San José, Costa Rica. Programa Interamericano de Informacion Popular, 1962 In: Rogers (ed) Communication and innovation, pp 253-256.
19. Doppler W, Floquet A (1999) A participatory livelihood planning approach: farmers participation in modelling and optimisation procedures. In: Renard R, Krieg S, Lawrence P, Oppen Mv (eds) Farmers and scientists in a changing environment: assessing research in West Africa. Margraf, Cotonou, Benin, February 22-26, pp 407-418.
20. Ekasingh BS, Letcher RA (2005) Successes and failures of attempts to embed socio-economic dimensions in modelling for integrated natural resource management: lessons from Thailand. In: Zerger A, Argent RM (eds) MODSIM 2005, international congress on modelling and simulation. MODSIM, Melbourne, pp 1-10.
21. Ekasingh BS, Ngamsomsuke K, Letcher RA, Spate JM (2005) A data-mining approach to simulating land use decisions: modelling farmer's crop choice from farm level data for integrated water resource management. In: Kachitvichyanukul V, Purintrapiban U, Utayopas P (eds) International conference on simulation and modelling, Nakorn Pathom, Thailand, pp 335-344.
22. Emami MR, Goldenberg AA, Türksen IB (2000) Fuzzy-logic control of dynamic systems: From modelling to design. Eng Appl Artif Intell 13: 47-69.
23. Fairweather JR, Keating NC (1994) Goals and management styles of New Zealand farmers. Agric Syst 44: 181-200.
24. Fisher PR, Heins RD, Ehler N, Lieth JH (1997) A decision-support system for real-time management of Easter Lily (Lilium Iongiflorum Thunb.) scheduling and height-I. system description. Agric Syst 54: 23-37.
25. Fodor J, Perny P, Roubens M (1998) Decision-making models. In: Ruspine EH, Bonissone PP, Pedrycz W (eds) Handbook of fuzzy computation. Institute of Physics Publishing, Bristol, pp F5. 1-F5. 14.
26. Gaines BR (1976) Fuzzy reasoning and the logics of uncertainty. Multiple-valued logic. In: Proceedings of 6th international symposium. IEEE Computer Society Press, Logan, pp 179-188.
27. Geman S, Bienenstock E, Doursat R (1992) Neural networks and The bias/variance dilemma. Neural Comput 4: 1-58.
28. Gimona A, Birnie RV, Sibbald AR (2006) Scaling up of a mechanistic dynamic model in a GIS environment to model temperate grassland production at the regional scale. Grass Forage Sci 61: 315-331.
29. Guillaume S, Magdalena L (2006) Expert guided integration of induced knowledge into a fuzzy knowledge base. Soft Comput 10: 773-784.
30. Gürocak H, de San Lazaro A (1994) A fine-tuning method for fuzzy logic rule bases. Fuzzy Sets Syst 67: 147-161.
31. Hastie T, Tibshirani R, Friedman J (2001) The elements of statistical learning; data mining, inference and prediction. Springer, NY.
32. Jang J-SR, Sun C-T, Mizutani E (1997) Neuro-fuzzy and soft computing. Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River.
33. Karray FO, deSilva C (2004) Soft computing and intelligent systems design, theory, tools and applications. Pearson, England.
34. Kok J-Ld, Engelen G, White R, Wind H (2006) Modeling land-use change in a decision-support system for coastal-zone management. Environ Model Assess 6: 123-132.
35. Lee M-L, Chung H-Y, Yu F-M (2003) Modelling of hierarchical fuzzy systems. Fuzzy Sets Syst 138: 343-361.
36. Liu P, Li H (2005) Hierarchical TS fuzzy systems and its universal approximation. Inf Sci 169: 279-303.
37. Luu LT (1992) The VAC system in northern Vietnam. In: ICLARM, IRRI (eds) Farmer-proven integrated agriculture aquaculture: a technology information kit. IIRR & ICLARM, Los Banos, p 183.
38. Matell MS, Jacoby J (1971) Is there an optimal number of alternatives for Likert scale items? Study I: reliability and viability. Educ Psychol Measur 31: 657-674.
39. Mathworks (2004) Fuzzy logic toolbox (version 2) for use with Matlab. The Mathworks Inc, Natick.
40. McCloskey A, McIvor R, Maguire L, Humphreys P, O'Donnell T (2006) A user-centred corporate acquisition system: a dynamic fuzzy membership functions approach. Decis Support Syst 42: 162-185.
41. Medasania S, Kimb J, Krishnapuram R (1998) An overview of membership function generation techniques for pattern recognition. Int J Approx Reason 19: 391-417.
42. Nhan DK, Phong LT, Verdegem M, Duong LT, Bosma RH, Little D (2007) Integrated freshwater aquaculture, crop and livestock production in the Mekong Delta, Vietnam: determinants and the role of the pond. Agric Syst 94: 445-458.
43. ODG (2001) Methods manual for fieldwork. LADDER working paper. DFID, Norwich, p 35.
44. Paassen AV (2004) Bridging the gap: computer model enhanced learning for natural resource management in Burkina Faso. Communication and innovation studies. PhD thesis, Wageningen University, Wageningen, p 219. http://library. wur. nl/WebQuery/wda/lang/1705802.
45. Paassen AV, Roetter RP, Keulen HV, Hoanh CT (2007) Can computer models stimulate learning about sustainable land use? Experience with LUPAS in the humid (sub-) tropics of Asia. Agric Syst 94: 874-887.
46. Pelta DA, Verdegay JL, Cadenas JM (2003) Introducing SACRA: a decision support system for the construction of cattle diets. In: Yu X, Kacprzyck J (eds) Applied decision support with soft computing. Springer, Heidelberg, pp 391-401.
47. Phong L, Udo H, Jansen J, Bosma R, Zijpp Avd (2007) Resilience of smallholders: impact of Avian Influenza on mixed farming systems in the Mekong Delta, Vietnam. In: Camus E, Cardinale E, Dalibard C, Martinez D, Renard F, Roger F (eds) 12th AITVM. Does control of animal infectious risks offer a new international perspective? Mont Pellier, France, 20-23 August, pp 383-387.
48. Phong LT, Udo H, Mensvoort Tv, Bosma R, Tri LQ, Nhan DK, Zijpp Avd (2008) Integrated agriculture-aquaculture systems in the Mekong Delta Vietnam: an analysis of recent trends. Asian J Agric Dev 4: 51-66.
49. Prein M (2002) Integration of aquaculture into crop-animal systems in Asia. Agric Syst 71: 127-146.
50. Ruspini EH, Bonissone PP, Pedrycz W (eds) (1998) Handbook of fuzzy computation (cited from introduction of chapter fuzzy models). Institute of Physics Publishing, Bristol.
51. Sanh NV, Xuan VT, Phong TA (1998) History and future of farming systems in the Mekong Delta. In: Xuan VT, Matsui S (eds) Development of farming systems in the Mekong Delta of Vietnam, Ho Chi Minh City Publishing House, pp 16-80.
52. Setnes M (2001) Complexity reduction in fuzzy systems. PhD thesis, Delft University of Technology, Delft.
53. Sorensen JT (1990) Validation of livestock herd simulation models: A review. Livest Prod Sci 26: 79-90.
54. Stroosnijder L, Rheenen TV (2001) Agro-silvo-pastoral land use in Sahelian villages, Reiskirchen, Germany.
55. Thornton PK, Herrero M (2001) Integrated crop-livestock simulation models for Scenario analysis and Impact assessment. Agric Syst 70: 581-602.
56. Türksen IB (2004) A foundation for CWW: meta-linguistic axioms. Fuzzy information 2004 (NAFIPS '04). IEEE, pp 395-400.
57. Verburg PH, Soepboer W, Veldkamp A, Limpiada R, Espaldon V, Mastura SSA (2002) Modelling the spatial dynamics of regional land use: the CLUE-S model. Environ Manage 30: 391-405.
58. Weisbrod J (1998) A new approach to fuzzy reasoning. Soft Comput 2: 89-99.
59. Woodhill J, Röling N (1998) The second wing of the eagle: the human dimension in learning our way to more sustainable futures. In: Röling N, Wagemakers M (eds) Facilitating ustainable agriculture. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 46-72.
60. Young OR, Lambin EF, Alcock F, Haberl H, Karlsson SI, McConnell WJ, Myint T, Pahl-Wostl C, Polsky C, Ramakrishana PS, Schroeder H, Scouvart M, Verburg PH (2006) A portfolio approach to analysing complex human-environment interactions: institutions and land change. Ecol Soc 11: 31.
61. Zadeh LA (1975) The concept of a linguistic variable and its application to approximate reasoning-II. Inf Sci 8: 301-357.
62. Zeng X-J, Keane JA (2005) Approximation capabilities of hierarchical fuzzy systems. IEEE Trans Fuzzy Syst 13: 656-659.
63. Zimmermann HJ (1987) Fuzzy sets, decision making and expert systems. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Boston.
64. Zimmermann HJ (1991) Fuzzy set theory and Its applications. Kluwer, Boston.