A sero-survey of rinderpest in nomadic pastoral systems in central and southern Somalia from 2002 to 2003, using a spatially integrated random sampling approach

OIE Revue Scientifique et Technique

Volumn 29, Issue 3, 2010, Pages 497-511

  Tempia, S ^a   Salman, M D ^a   Keefe, T ^a   Morley, P ^a   Freier, J E ^b   DeMartini, J C ^a   Wamwayi, H M ^c   Njeumi, F ^d   Soumare B ^e   Abdi, A M ^c  

^a Department of Environmental and Radiological Health Sciences   (United States)

^b UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE   (United States)

^c Terra Nuova East Africa   (Kenya)

^d FOOD AND AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION OF THE UNITED NATIONS   (Italy)

^e UNITED STATES AGENCY FOR INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT   (United States)

Author keywords

Cluster; Geographie information system; Random sampling; Rinderpest; Risk factor seroprevalence; Somalia; Spatial analysis

Indexed keywords

BOS;

EID: 79951646772     PISSN: 02531933     EISSN: 16080645     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.20506/rst.29.3.1996     Document Type: Article

References (52)

1. African Union - Interafrican Bureau for Animal Resources (AU-IBAR) (2006). - Rinderpest situation in the Somali eco-system. AU-IBAR, Nairobi.
2. Anderson J., McKey J.A. & Butcher R.N. (1991). - The use of monoclonal antibodies in competitive ELISA for the detection of antibodies to rinderpest and peste des petits ruminants. In The sero-monitoring of rinderpest through Africa - phase I. Proc. Final Research Co-ordination Meeting of International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) rinderpest control projects. IAEA, Vienna.
3. Anderson R.M. & May R.M. (1991). - Infectious diseases of humans. Oxford University Press, New York.
4. Ansehn L. (1995). - Local indicators of spatial association LISA. Geogr. Anal, 27, 93-115.
5. Anselin L. (1996). - The Moran scatterplot as an ESDA tool to assess local instability in spatial association. In Spatial analytical perspectives on GIS (M. Fischer, H. Schölten & D. Unwin, eds). Taylor & Francis, London, 111-125.
6. Anselin L. (1999). - Interactive techniques and exploratory spatial data analysis. In Geographical information systems: principles, techniques, management and applications (P Longley, M. Goodchild, D. Maguire & D. Rhind, eds). Wiley, New York, 251-264.
7. Anselin L., Syabri I. & Smirnov O. (2002). - Visualizing multivariate spatial correlation with dynamically linked windows. In New tools for spatial data analysis: proceedings of a workshop (L. Anselin & S. Rey, eds). Center for Spatially Integrated Social Sciences, University of California, Santa Barbara, May 2002.
8. Barrett T., Forsyth M.A., Inui K., Wamwayi H.M., Kock R., Wambua J., Mwanzia J. & Rossiter RB. (1998). - Rediscovery of the second African lineage of rinderpest virus: its epidemiological significance. Vei. Rec, 142 (24), 669-671.
9. Bidjeh K., Ouagal M., Diallo A. & Bornarel R (1997). Transmission of rinderpest virus strains of different virulence to goats in Chad. Ann. Méd. vét., 141, 65-69.
10. Brown CC. (1982). - On a goodness-of-fit test for the logistic model based on score statistics. Comm. Stats, 11, 1087-1105.
11. Carrat F & Valieron A. J. (1992). - Epidemiologic mapping using the 'kriging' method: application to an influenzalike illness epidemic in France. Am. J. Epidemiol, 135(11), 1293-1300.
12. Curasson G. (1932). - La peste bovine. Vigot Frères, Paris.
13. Efron B. (1982). - The jackknife, the bootstrap and other resampling plans. Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, Philadelphia.
14. Efron B. & Tibshirani R. (1986). - Bootstrap measures for standard errors, confidence intervals, and other measures of statistical accuracy. Stat. Sci., 1, 54-77.
15. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) (1997). - The blueprint for the global eradication of rinderpest by the year 2010. In Prevention and control of transboundary diseases. FAO Anim. Prod. Hlth Pap., 133, 29-57.
16. Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit (FSAU) (2001). Projected livestock population growth in Somalia: 1990-2000. FSAU Technical Report. FSAU, Nairobi.
17. Hall G.N. (1933). - Investigation of rinderpest immunization. Thesis for Doctor of Veterinary Medicine, submitted to the University of Zurich.
18. Hornby H.E. (1926). - Studies on rinderpest immunity II. Methods of infection. Vet. J., 82, 348-355.
19. Hosmer D.W & Lemeshow S. (1980). - A goodness-of-fit test for the multiple logistic regression model. Comm. Stats, A10, 1043-1069.
20. Hosmer D.W & Lemeshow S. (2000). - Applied logistic regression, 2nd Ed. Wiley, New York.
21. Hyslop N. St G. (1979). - Observation on the survival and infectivity of airborne rinderpest virus. Int. J. Biodimat. Biomeieorol., 23, 1-7.
22. Kenyan Department of Remote Sensing and Rural Resources (DoRSRR) (2002). - CD-Rom. DoRSRR, Nairobi.
23. Kock R.A. (2000). - Working to eradicate cattle plague from Africa. Ujewatch, summer, 18-20.
24. Korn E.L. & Graubard B.I. (1990). - Simultaneous testing of regression coefficients with complex survey data: use of Bonferroni t statistics. Am. Statistician, 44, 270-276.
25. McCullagh R & Neider J.A. (1989). - Generalized linear models, 2nd Ed. Chapman & Hall, London, 512 pp.
26. Mariner J.C., McDermott J., Heesterbeek J.A.R, Catley A. & Roeder P. (2005). - A model of lineage-1 and lineage-2 rinderpest virus transmission in pastoral areas of East Africa. Prev. vet. Med., 69 (3-4), 254-263. E-pub.: 29 March 2005.
27. Michel J.F., Dray S., de La Rocque S., Desquesnes M., Solano P., De Wispelaere G. & Cuisance D. (2002). Modelling bovine trypanosomosis spatial distribution by GlS in an agro-pastoral zone of Burkina Faso. Prev. vet. Med., 56(1), 5-18. (Pubitemid 35301994)
28. Moran P.A.R (1948). - The interpretation of statistical maps. J. roy. stat. Soc, Series B, 10, 243-251.
29. Olivier M.A. & Webster R. (1990). - Kriging: a method of interpolation for geographical information systems. Int. J. geograph. InJo. Syst., 4, 313-332.
30. Roberts G., Rao J.N.K. & Kumar S. (1987). - Logistic regression analysis of sample survey data. Biometnka, 74, 1-12.
31. Rogan WJ. & Gladen B. (1978). - Estimating prevalence from the results of a screening test. Am. J. Epidemiol, 107 (1), 71-76. (Pubitemid 8308186)
32. Royston R & Altman D.G. (1994). - Regression using fractional polynomials of continuous covariates: parsimonious parametric modeling (with discussion). Appl. Stat., 43, 429-467.
33. Scott G.R. (1955). - The incidence of rinderpest in sheep and goats. Bull. epiz. Dis. Afr., 3, 117-119.
34. Scott G.R. (1964). - Rinderpest. Adv. vet. Sci., 9, 113-224.
35. Shilston A.W. (1917). - The vitality of the rinderpest virus outside the body under natural conditions. Memoirs of the Department of Agriculture in India. Veterinary Series, 3, 1032.
36. Skinner C.J., Holt D. & Smith T.M.E (1989). - Analysis of complex surveys. Wiley, New York.
37. Somali Department of Planning and Statistics (1989). Somali livestock statistics 1988/1989. Ministry of Livestock, Forestry and Range - Department of Planning and Statistics, Mogadishu, Somalia.
38. Stein M.L. (1999). - Interpolation of spatial data - some theory for kriging. Springer-Verlag, New York.
39. Tempia S., Njeumi F., Cagnolati V., Salman M D., Wamwayi H.M. & Abdi A.M. (2003). - Serological investigation of rinderpest in Lower and Middle Juba regions of southern Somalia. In Proc. 10th International Symposium on Veterinary Epidemiology and Economics (ISVEE 10), 17-21 November, Viña del Mar, Chile.
40. Terra Nuova (1999). - Rinderpest vaccination campaign in trans-Juba region, Somalia - phase I. Final report. Terra Nuova, Nairobi.
41. Terra Nuova (2001). - The itinerant training program for Somali veterinary professionals - phase II. Final report. Terra Nuova, Nairobi.
42. Terra Nuova (2005). - Follow-up investigation of the rinderpest situation in central and southern Somalia. Somali Animal Health Services Project - technical report. Terra Nuova, Nairobi.
43. Terra Nuova (2006). - Participatory disease search and purposive sero-surveillance for rinderpest in central and southern Somalia. Somali Animal Health Services Project technical report. Terra Nuova, Nairobi.
44. Terra Nuova (2006). - Rinderpest cross-sectional sero-survey in the Somali eco-system: Somalia component. Somali Animal Health Services Project - technical report. Terra Nuova, Nairobi.
45. Thomas D.R. & Rao J.N.K. (1987). - Small-sample comparison of level and power for simple goodnessof-fit statistics under cluster sampling. J. Am. stat. Assoc, 82, 630-636.
46. Thrusfield M. (1998). - Veterinary epidemiology, 2nd Ed. Blackwell Science, London, 183-186.
47. Todd C. & White R.G. (1914). - Experiments on cattle plague. Government Press, Cairo.
48. United Nations Development Office for Somalia (UNDOS) (2003). - Somalia topomaps (CD-Rom). UNDOS, Nairobi.
49. Wambura RN., Mollel J.O., Moshy D.W, Mbise A.N. & Taylor WR (1999). - Rinderpest antibody detected in sheep and goats before an outbreak of rinderpest reported in cattle in northern Tanzania. Trop. anim. Hlth Prod., 31 (1), 9-14. (Pubitemid 129644526)
50. Webster R., Olivier M.A., Muir K.R. & Mann J R. (1994). Kriging the local risk of a rare disease from a register of diagnosis. Geograph. Analysts, 26, 168-185. (Pubitemid 24391075)
51. White G.C. & Garrott R.A. (1990). - Home range estimation, in Analysis of wildlife radio-trekking data. Academic Press, San Diego.
52. World Resources Institute/World Conservation Monitoring Centre/Padco, Inc. (2000). - Africa data sampler (CD-Rom). A geo-referenced database for all African countries.