Probabilistic hurricane surge forecasting using parameterized surge response functions

Geophysical Research Letters

Volumn 38, Issue 3, 2011, Pages

  Irish, Jennifer L ^a   Song, Youn Kyung ^a   Chang, Kuang An ^a  

^a Texas A and M University   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

WEATHER FORECASTING;

COMPUTATIONAL RESULTS; EARLY WARNING; EVACUATION PLANNING; HIGH RESOLUTION; HIGH-RESOLUTION NUMERICAL SIMULATION; JOINT PROBABILITY STATISTICS; METEOROLOGICAL INFORMATION; PARAMETERIZED; PROBABILISTIC PROJECTIONS; RESPONSE FUNCTIONS;

HURRICANES;

FLOOD FORECASTING; FLOODING; HURRICANE IKE 2008; NUMERICAL MODEL; PARAMETERIZATION; PROBABILITY; THEORETICAL STUDY;

EID: 79751490418     PISSN: 00948276     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1029/2010GL046347     Document Type: Article

References (22)

1. Berg, R. (2009), Tropical cyclone report Hurricane Ike (AL092008) 1- 14 September 2008, 55 pp., Natl. Hurricane Cent., Miami, Fla.
2. East, J. W., et al. (2008), Monitoring inland storm surge and flooding from Hurricane Ike in Texas and Louisiana, September 2008, U.S. Geol. Surv. Open File Rep., 2008-1365, 38 pp.
3. Flowerdew, J., et al. (2009), Ensemble forecasting of storm surges, Mar. Geod., 32, 91-99, doi:10.1080/01490410902869151.
4. Irish, J. L., and D. T. Resio (2010), A hydrodynamics-based surge scale for hurricanes, Ocean Eng., 37(11-12), 1085-1088, doi:10.1016/j. oceaneng.2010.04.002.
5. Irish, J. L., et al. (2008), The influence of storm size on hurricane surge, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 38(9), 2003-2013, doi:10.1175/2008JPO3727.1.
6. Irish, J. L., et al. (2009), A surge response function approach to coastal hazard assessment. Part 2: Quantification of spatial attributes of response functions, Nat. Hazards, 51(1), 183-205, doi:10.1007/s11069-009-9381-4.
7. Jelesnianski, C. P., et al. (1992), SLOSH: Sea, lake, and overland surges from hurricanes, Tech. Rep. NWS 48, 71 pp., Natl. Oceanic and Atmos. Admin., Silver Spring, Md.
8. Lawrence, M. B., and T. B. Kinberlain (2001), Preliminary report Hurricane Bret 18-25 August 1999, 10 pp., Natl. Hurricane Cent., Miami, Fla.
9. Luettich, R. A., and J. J. Westerink (2004), Formulation and numerical implementation of the 2D/3D ADCIRC finite element model version 44.XX, Univ. of N. C., Chapel Hill. (Available at http://www.adcirc. org/adcirc-theory-2004-12- 08.pdf.)
10. Mattocks, C., and C. Forbes (2008), A real-time, event-triggered storm surge forecasting system for the state of North Carolina, Ocean Modell., 25(3-4), 95-119, doi:10.1016/j.ocemod.2008.06.008.
11. McGee, B. D., et al. (2006), Monitoring inland storm surge and flooding from Hurricane Rita, U.S. Geol. Surv. Open File Rep., 2008-1373.
12. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (1982), Pertinent meteorological and hurricane tide data for Hurricane Carla, Tech. Rep. NWS 32, Silver Spring, Md.
13. Niedoroda, A. W., et al. (2010), Efficient joint probability methods for hurricane surge frequency analysis, Ocean Eng., 37(1), 82-90, doi:10.1016/ j.oceaneng.2009.08.019.
14. Powell, M. D., and T. A. Re (Pubitemid 46784457)
15. Resio, D. T., et al. (2009), A surge response function approach to coastal hazard assessment. Part 1: Basic concepts, Nat. Hazards, 51(1), 163-182, doi:10.1007/s11069-009-9379-y.
16. Song, Y. K. (2009), Storm surge assessment at Texas coastal bridges with improved surge response functions, M. S. thesis, 110 pp., Texas A&M Univ., College Station, Tex.
17. Thompson, E. F., and V. J. Cardone (1996), Practical modeling of hurricane surface wind fields, J. Waterw. Port Coastal Ocean Eng., 122(4), 195-205, doi:10.1061/(ASCE)0733-950X(1996)122:4(195).
18. Tseng, C. M., et al. (2007), Application of artificial neural networks in typhoon surge forecasting, Ocean Eng., 34(11-12), 1757-1768, doi:10.1016/j.oceaneng.2006.09.005. (Pubitemid 46621710)
19. U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (1961), Report on Hurricane Carla September 9-12, 1961, 123 pp., Galveston, Tex.
20. U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (1983), Report on Hurricane Alicia August 15-18, 1983, 50 pp., Galveston, Tex.
21. Weisberg, R. H., and L. Y. Zheng (2006), Hurricane storm surge simulations for Tampa Bay, Estuaries Coasts, 29(6), 899-913. (Pubitemid 350202022)
22. Westerink, J. J., et al. (2008), A basin- to channel-scale unstructured grid hurricane storm surge model applied to southern Louisiana, Mon. Weather Rev., 136(3), 833-864, doi:10.1175/2007MWR1946.1. (Pubitemid 351753150)