Changes in climatic water balance drive downhill shifts in plant species' optimum elevations

Science

Volumn 331, Issue 6015, 2011, Pages 324-327

  Crimmins, Shawn M ^a   Dobrowski, Solomon Z ^a   Greenberg, Jonathan A ^b   Abatzoglou, John T ^c   Mynsberge, Alison R ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF MONTANA   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

^c UNIVERSITY OF IDAHO   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; ELEVATION; OPTIMIZATION; REGIONAL CLIMATE; WATER AVAILABILITY; WATER BUDGET;

ALTITUDE; ARTICLE; CLIMATE CHANGE; ENVIRONMENTAL TEMPERATURE; EVAPORATION; FLUID BALANCE; NONHUMAN; PLANT; PRIORITY JOURNAL; SPECIES; SPECIES DISTRIBUTION; TAXONOMY; TEMPERATURE DEPENDENCE; UNITED STATES; WARMING; WATER AVAILABILITY;

ALTITUDE; CALIFORNIA; CLIMATE CHANGE; ECOSYSTEM; PLANTS; TEMPERATURE; WATER;

CALIFORNIA; UNITED STATES;

EID: 78751680266     PISSN: 00368075     EISSN: 10959203     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1126/science.1199040     Document Type: Article

References (26)

1. G. R. Walther et al., Nature 416, 389 (2002).
2. E. E. Cleland, I. Chuine, A. Menzel, H. A. Mooney, M. D. Schwartz, Trends Ecol. Evol. 22, 357 (2007).
3. H. Doi, I. Katano, Agric. For. Meteorol. 148, 512 (2008).
4. J. Van Buskirk, R. S. Mulvihill, R. C. Leberman, Glob. Change Biol. 15, 760 (2009).
5. S. Oppel, A. N. Powell, D. L. Dickson, Condor 110, 296 (2008).
6. C. Parmesan et al., Nature 399, 579 (1999).
7. R. Hickling, D. B. Roy, J. K. Hill, C. D. Thomas, Glob. Change Biol. 11, 502 (2005).
8. M. Konvicka, M. Maradova, J. Benes, Z. Fric, P. Kepka, Glob. Ecol. Biogeogr. 12, 403 (2003).
9. C. Moritz et al., Science 322, 261 (2008).
10. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, 2007).
11. J. J. Lawler et al., Ecology 90, 588 (2009).
12. N. L. Stephenson, Am. Nat. 135, 649 (1990).
13. N. Stephenson, J. Biogeogr. 25, 855 (1998).
14. F. Archaux, Ibis 146, 138 (2004).
15. S. Popy, L. Bordignon, R. Prodon, J. Biogeogr. 37, 57 (2010).
16. J. Lenoir, J. C. Gégout, P. A. Marquet, P. de Ruffray, H. Brisse, Science 320, 1768 (2008).
17. J. Lenoir et al., Ecography 33, 295 (2010).
18. C. I. Millar, R. D. Westfall, D. L. Delany, J. C. King, L. J. Graumlich, Arct. Alp. Res. 36, 181 (2004).
19. Materials and methods are available as supporting material on Science Online.
20. A. E. Wieslander, J. For. 33, 877 (1935).
21. A. E. Wieslander, Madrono 3, 140 (1935).
22. C. Daly et al., Int. J. Climatol. 28, 2031 (2008).
23. A. J. Eckert, M. L. Eckert, Madrono 54, 117 (2007).
24. J. M. Lenihan, R. Drapek, D. Bachelet, R. P. Neilson, Ecol. Appl. 13, 1667 (2003).
25. K. Zhang et al., J. Hydrol. (Amsterdam) 379, 92 (2009).
26. Supported by NSF (BCS-0819430 to S.Z.D. and BCS-0819493 to J.A.G.). J.T.A. was supported by NSF's Experimental Program to Stimulate Competitive Research (EPSCoR) (EPS-0814387). A.R.M. was supported by U.S. Department of Agriculture Forest Service's (USFS's) Rocky Mountain Research Station (JV11221635-201). We thank C. Daly for providing interpolated climate data; M. Kelly for Vegetation Type Mapping project data; C. Ramirez (Region 5 USFS Remote Sensing Lab) for the USFS Forest Inventory and Analysis data (plot locations were not provided to the authors); J. Thorne for compiling modern data sources; and S. Running for helpful comments on the manuscript.