Impacts of drought and predicted effects of climate change on fish growth in temperate Australian lakes

Global Change Biology

Volumn 17, Issue 2, 2011, Pages 745-755

  Morrongiello, John R ^a,b   Crook, David A ^a,b   King, Alison J ^a   Ramsey, David S L ^a   Brown, Paul ^c  

^a ARTHUR RYLAH INSTITUTE FOR ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH   (Australia)

^b UNIVERSITY OF CANBERRA   (Australia)

^c DEPARTMENT OF PRIMARY INDUSTRIES   (Australia)

Author keywords

Climate change; Drought; Eppalock; Freshwater fish ecology; Macquaria ambigua; Mixed effects; Mokoan; Otolith; Predictive model; Sclerochronology

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE EFFECT; DROUGHT; ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE; FISH; FOOD AVAILABILITY; GROWTH RATE; HYDROLOGICAL REGIME; INTRASPECIFIC COMPETITION; LAKE ECOSYSTEM; OTOLITH; WATER AVAILABILITY; WATER LEVEL;

AUSTRALIA;

MACQUARIA AMBIGUA;

EID: 78650773150     PISSN: 13541013     EISSN: 13652486     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2010.02259.x     Document Type: Article

References (60)

1. Anderson JR, Morison AK, Ray DJ (1992) Validation of the use of thin-sectioned otoliths for determining the age and growth of golden perch, Macquaria ambigua (Percifomes: Percichthyidae), in the lower Murray-Darling Basin, Australia. Australian Journal of Marine and Freshwater Research, 43, 1103-1128.
2. Baker PJ, Bunyavejchewin S, Oliver CD, Ashton PS (2005) Disturbance history and historical stand dynamics of a seasonal tropical forest in western Thailand. Ecological Monographs, 75, 317-343.
3. Bates BC, Kundzewicz ZW, Wu S, Palutikof JP (eds) (2008) Climate Change and Water. Technical Paper of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. IPCC Secretariat, Geneva, Switzerland.
4. Black BA (2009) Climate-driven synchrony across tree, bivalve, and rockfish growth-increment chronologies of the northeast Pacific. Marine Ecology-Progress Series, 378, 37-46.
5. Black BA, Boehlert GW, Yoklavich MM (2005) Using tree-ring crossdating techniques to validate annual growth increments in long-lived fishes. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 62, 2277-2284.
6. Brown P, Hall KG (2003) Lake Eppalock Golden Perch Stock Assessment. Fisheries Victoria Research Report 6, Department of Primary Industries, Snobs Creek.
7. Buisson L, Thuiller W, Lek S, Lim P, Grenouillet G (2008) Climate change hastens the turnover of stream fish assemblages. Global Change Biology, 14, 2232-2248.
8. Bureau of Meteorology (2007) Drought statement. Available at (accessed 23 January 2008).
9. Burnham KP, Anderson DR (1998) Model Selection and Inference: A Practical Information-Theoretic Approach. Springer-Verlag, New York, NY, USA.
10. Carpenter SR, Cole JJ, Hodgson JR et al. (2001) Trophic cascades, nutrients, and lake productivity: whole-lake experiments. Ecological Monographs, 71, 163-186.
11. Carpenter SR, Fisher SG, Grimm NB, Kitchel JF (1992) Global change and freshwater ecosystems. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics, 23, 119-139.
12. Carpenter SR, Kitchell JF, Hodgson JR (1985) Cascading trophic interactions and lake productivity. Bioscience, 35, 634-639.
13. Coops H, Beklioglu M, Crisman TL (2003) The role of water-level fluctuations in shallow lake ecosystems - workshop conclusions. Hydrobiologia, 506-507, 23-27.
14. CSIRO (2008a) Water availability in the Campaspe. A report to the Australian Government from the CSIRO Murray-Darling Basin Sustainable Yields Project, CSIRO, Australia.
15. CSIRO (2008b) Water availability in the Goulburn-Broken. A report to the Australian Government from the CSIRO Murray-Darling Basin Sustainable Yields Project, CSIRO, Australia.
16. CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology (2007) Climate change in Australia: technical report. CSIRO, Aspendale, Victoria.
17. Department of Sustainability and Environment (2008a) Climate Change in Goulburn Broken. Victorian Government Department of Sustainability and Environment, Melbourne.
18. Department of Sustainability and Environment (2008b) Climate Change in the North Central Region. Victorian Government Department of Sustainability and Environment, Melbourne.
19. Ficke AD, Myrick CA, Hansen LJ (2007) Potential impacts of global climate change on freshwater fisheries. Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries, 17, 581-613.
20. Fischer P, Ohl U (2005) Effects of water-level fluctuations on the littoral benthic fish community in lakes: a mesocosm experiment. Behavioral Ecology, 16, 741-746.
21. Fritts HC (1976) Tree Rings and Climate. Academic Press, New York.
22. Guyette RP, Rabeni CF (1995) Climate response among growth increments of fish and trees. Oecologia, 104, 272-279.
23. Hall KG (2002) Lake Mokoan Fisheries Assessments. Marine and Freshwater Resources Institute Freshwater Fisheries Report No. 02/1, Marine and Freshwater Resources Institute, Snobs Creek.
24. Harris JH, Rowland SJ (1996) Family Percichthyidae Australian freshwater cods and basses. In: Freshwater Fishes of South-Eastern Australia (ed. McDowall RM), pp. 150-163. Reed, Sydney.
25. Havens KE, East TL, Beaver JR (2007) Zooplankton response to extreme drought in a large subtropical lake. Hydrobiologia, 589, 187-198.
26. Hoeting JA, Madigan D, Raftery AE, Volinsky CT (1999) Bayesian model averaging: a tutorial. Statistical Science, 14, 382-401.
27. IPCC (2007) Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
28. Jones RN, Durack PJ (2005) Estimating the Impacts of Climate Change on Victoria's Runoff using a Hydrological Sensitivity Model. CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Melbourne.
29. Junk WL, Bayley PB, Sparks RE (1989) The flood pulse concept in river-floodplain systems. In: Proceedings of the International Large River Symposium (ed. Dodge DP), pp. 110-127. Canadian Special Publication of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 106, Department of Fisheries and Oceans, Ottawa, Canada.
30. Kearney M, Porter W (2009) Mechanistic niche modelling: combining physiological and spatial data to predict species' ranges. Ecology Letters, 12, 334-350.
31. King AJ, Tonkin Z, Mahoney J (2009) Environmental flows enhance native fish spawning and recruitment in the Murray River, Australia. River Research and Applications, 25, 1205-1218.
32. Lake PS (2003) Ecological effects of perturbation by drought in flowing waters. Freshwater Biology, 48, 1161-1172.
33. Lassalle G, Rochard E (2009) Impact of twenty-first century climate change on diadromous fish spread over Europe, North Africa and the Middle East. Global Change Biology, 15, 1072-1089.
34. LeBreton GTO, Beamish FWH (2000) Interannual growth variation in fish and tree rings. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 57, 2345-2356.
35. Lorenzen K, Enberg K (2002) Density-dependent growth as a key mechanism in the regulation of fish populations: evidence from among-population comparisons. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B-Biological Sciences, 269, 49-54.
36. Mac Donagh ME, Casco MA, Claps MC (2009) Plankton relationships under small water level fluctuations in a subtropical reservoir. Aquatic Ecology, 43, 371-381.
37. Magoulick DD, Kobza RM (2003) The role of refugia for fishes during drought: a review and synthesis. Freshwater Biology, 48, 1186-1198.
38. Mallen-Cooper M, Stuart IG (2003) Age, growth and non-flood recruitment of two potamodromous fishes in a large semi-arid/temperate river system. River Research and Applications, 19, 697-719.
39. McDowall RM), (ed.) (1996) Freshwater Fishes of South-Eastern Australia. Reed, Chatswood, NSW.
40. McGowan HA, Marx SK, Denholm J, Soderholm J, Kamber BS (2009) Reconstructing annual inflows to the headwater catchments of the Murray River, Australia, using the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Geophysical Research Letters, 36, L06707, doi: DOI: 10.1029/2008GL037049.
41. Ostazeski JJ, Spangler GR (2001) Use of biochronology to examine interactions of freshwater drum, walleye and yellow perch in the Red Lakes of Minnesota. Environmental Biology of Fishes, 61, 381-393.
42. Parmesan C, Yohe G (2003) A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature, 421, 37-42.
43. Pazzia I, Trudel M, Ridgway M, Rasmussen JB (2002) Influence of food web structure on the growth and bioenergetics of lake trout (Salvelinus namaycush). Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 59, 1593-1605.
44. Perry AL, Low PJ, Ellis JR, Reynolds JD (2005) Climate change and distribution shifts in marine fishes. Science, 24, 1912-1915.
45. Poff NL, Allan JD, Bain MB et al. (1997) The natural flow regime. Bioscience, 47, 769-784.
46. Poff NL, Zimmerman JKH (2010) Ecological responses to altered flow regimes: a literature review to inform the science and management of environmental flows. Freshwater Biology, 55, 194-205.
47. Pritchard JC (2004) Linking fish growth and climate across modern space and through evolutionary time: Otolith chronologies of the Australian freshwater fish, golden perch (Macquaria ambigua, Percichthyidae). PhD, The Australian National University, Canberra.
48. REAP (1990) Culture potential of the Golden Perch. No. 23, Rural Education in Aquaculture Production.
49. Reid DD, Harris JH, Chapman DJ (1997) NSW inland commercial fishery data analysis. Fisheries Research and Development Council 94/027.
50. Reynolds LF (1983) Migration patterns of five fish species in the Murray-Darling River system. Australian Journal of Marine and Freshwater Research, 34, 857-871.
51. Roberts JD, Duivenvoorden LJ, Stuart IG (2008) Factors influencing recruitment patterns of Golden Perch (Macquaria ambigua oriens) within a hydrologically variable and regulated Australian tropical river system. Ecology of Freshwater Fish, 17, 577-589.
52. Stockner JG, Macisaac EA (1996) British Columbia lake enrichment programme: two decades of habitat enhancement for sockeye salmon. Regulated Rivers-Research and Management, 12, 547-561.
53. Stuart IG (2006) Validation of otoliths for determining age of golden perch, a long-lived freshwater fish of Australia. North American Journal of Fisheries Management, 26, 52-55.
54. Thresher RE, Koslow JA, Morison AK, Smith DC (2007) Depth-mediated reversal of the effects of climate change on long-term growth rates of exploited marine fish. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 104, 7461-7465.
55. Ummenhofer CC, England MH, McIntosh PC et al. (2009) What causes southeast Australia's worst droughts? Geophysical Research Letters, 36, L04706, doi: DOI: 10.1029/2008GL036801.
56. Unmack PJ (2001) Biogeography of Australian freshwater fishes. Journal of Biogeography, 28, 1053-1089.
57. Vannote RL, Minshall GW, Cummins KW, Sedell JR, Cushing CE (1980) River continuum concept. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 37, 130-137.
58. Wantzen KM, Junk WJ, Rothhaupt KO (2008) An extension of the floodpulse concept (FPC) for lakes. Hydrobiologia, 613, 151-170.
59. Weatherley AH, Gill HS), (eds) (1987) The Biology of Fish Growth. Academic Press, London.
60. Xenopoulos MA, Lodge DM (2006) Going with the flow: using species-discharge relationships to forecast losses in fish diversity. Ecology, 87, 1907-1914.