Reassessment of flood frequency using historical information for the River Ouse at York, UK (1200-2000);Réexamen de la fréquence des crues selon les informations historiques sur la rivière Ouse, à York, Royaume Uni (1200-2000)

Hydrological Sciences Journal

Volumn 55, Issue 7, 2010, Pages 1152-1162

  Macdonald, Neil ^a   Black, Andrew R ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF LIVERPOOL   (United Kingdom)

^b UNIVERSITY OF DUNDEE   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Flood frequency; Floods; Generalized pareto distribution; Historical augmentation; Pooled analysis; River ouse; Yorkshire

Indexed keywords

FLOOD FREQUENCY; GENERALIZED PARETO DISTRIBUTIONS; HISTORICAL AUGMENTATION; POOLED ANALYSIS; YORKSHIRES;

ESTIMATION; FLOOD CONTROL; INFORMATION USE; PARETO PRINCIPLE; RIVERS;

FLOODS;

DOCUMENTARY SOURCE; ESTIMATION METHOD; FLOOD FREQUENCY; FLOODING; FREQUENCY ANALYSIS; HISTORICAL RECORD; POWER LAW DISTRIBUTION; PROBABILITY DENSITY FUNCTION;

ENGLAND; OUSE RIVER; UNITED KINGDOM; YORKSHIRE;

EID: 78650461577     PISSN: 02626667     EISSN: 21503435     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/02626667.2010.508873     Document Type: Article

References (39)

1. Bayliss, A. C. & Reed, D.W. (2001) The use of historical data in flood frequency estimation. Wallingford, UK: Centre for Ecology and Hydrology (NERC). Available from: http://www.nwl.ac.uk/ih/ feh/historical_floods_report.pdf. [Accessed 12 June 2002].
2. Black, A. R. & Law, F. M. (2004) Development and utilization of a national web-based chronology of hydrological events. Hydrol. Sci. J. 49, 237-246.
3. City of York Council (2004) Flood scrutiny panel. Final Report. York: City of York Council.
4. Creer, A. (1890) Personal manuscript, former City Engineer ofYork.
5. Creer, A. (1892) To the chairman and members of the Ouse Navigation committee. City of York reports (to the quarterly meeting of the council), York, 589-594.
6. Drake, F. (1736) Eboracum (The history and antiques of the City of York). London: William Bowyer & Sons.
7. Environment Agency (North East Region) (2003) Hydraulic model of the River Ouse, York. 6 Vols. Bradford: Bullen Consultants.
8. Environment Agency (North East Region) (2008) Yorkshire Ouse catchment flood management plan, draft main stage summary document. Environment Agency.
9. Hannaford, J. & Marsh, T. J. (2008) High-flow and flood trends in a network of undisturbed catchments in the UK. Int. J. Climatol. 28, 1325-1338.
10. Hargrove, J. (1818) History and Description of the Ancient City of York. Harrogate, Yorkshire: Hargrove & Sons.
11. ICE (Institution of Civil Engineers), (2001) Learning to live with rivers. London: Institution of Civil Engineers.
12. IH (Institute of Hydrology), (1999) Flood estimation handbook. 5 Vols. Wallingford: Institute of Hydrology.
13. Kjeldsen, T. R. & Jones, D. A. (2009) A formal statistical model for pooled analysis of extreme floods. Hydrol. Res. J. 40, 465-480.
14. Knight, C. B. (1944) History of the city of York: from the foundations of the Roman fortress at Eboracum AD71 to the close of the reign of Queen Victoria AD1901. London: Herald.
15. Longfield, S. A. & Macklin, M. G. (1999) The influence of recent environmental change on flooding and sediment fluxes in the Yorkshire Ouse basin. Hydrol. Processes 13, 1051-1066.
16. Macdonald, N. (2004) The application of historical flood information in reassessing flood frequency in Britain. Unpublished PhD Thesis. University of Dundee, Dundee, UK.
17. Macdonald, N. (2006) An underutilized resource: historical flood chronologies a valuable resource in determining periods of hydro-geomorphic change. In: Sediment Dynamics and the Hydromorphology of Fluvial Systems (J. S. Rowan, R. W. Duck & A. Werritty, eds), 120-127. Wallingford: IAHS Press. IAHS Publ. 306.
18. Macdonald, N. (2007) Epigraphic records: a valuable resource in reassessing flood risk and long-term climate variability. Environ. Hist. 12(1), 136-140.
19. Macdonald, N., Black, A. R., Werritty, A. & McEwen, L. J. (2006) Historical and pooled flood frequency analysis for the River Tay at Perth, Scotland. Area 38(1), 34-46.
20. Marsh, T. J. & Hannaford, J. (2007) The summer 2007 floods in England and Wales - a hydrological appraisal. Wallingford: Centre for Ecology & Hydrology.
21. Martins, E. S. & Stedinger, J. R. (2001) Historical information in a generalised maximum likelihood framework with partial duration and annual maximum series. Water Resour. Res. 37, 2559- 2567.
22. McEwen, L. J. (1987) Sources for establishing a historic flood chronology (pre-1940) within Scottish river catchments. Scot. Geogr. Mag. 103, 132-140.
23. Met Office (2002) UK Annual Rainfall. Available from: http://www. met-office.gov.uk/climate/uk/averages/images/ RainAnnual6190.gif [Accessed 2002].
24. Milly, P. C. D., Betancourt, J., Falkenmark, M., Hirsch, R. M., Kundzewicz, Z. W., Lettenmaier, D. P. & Stouffer, R. J. (2008) Stationarity is dead: whither water management? Science 319, 573-574.
25. NERC (Natural Environment Research Council) (1975) Flood studies report. Wallingford: Institute of Hydrology.
26. NERC (1998) Upper Ouse catchment, North Yorkshire: hydrological and hydraulic study.Wallingford: Institute of Hydrology, Report EX3912.
27. Parent, E. & Bernier, J. (2003) Bayesian POT modelling for historical data. J. Hydrol. 274, 95-108.
28. Pickand, J. (1975) Statistical inference using extreme order statistics. Ann. Stat. 3, 11-130.
29. Potter, H. R. (1978) The use of historical records for the augmentation of hydrological data. Wallingford: Institute of Hydrology, Report no. 46.
30. Raper, S. C. B., Viner, D., Hulme, M. & Barrow, E. M. (1997) Global warming and the British Isles. In: Climates of the British Isles: present, past and future (M. Hulme & E. M. Barrow, eds), London: Routledge.
31. Robson, A. J., Jones, T. K., Reed, D. W. & Bayliss, A. C. (1998) A study of national trend and variation in UK floods. Int. J. Climatol. 18, 165-182.
32. Robson, A. J. & Reed, D.W. (1999) Distributions for flood frequency analysis. In: Flood Estimation Handbook, vol. 3, 139-152. Wallingford: Institute of Hydrology.
33. Rocque, J. (1750) A plan of the City of York. In: Scarborough, York and Leeds: the town plans of John Cossins 1697-1743 (H. Murray, ed. (1997), York: Yorkshire Architectural and York Archaeological Society Ebor Press.
34. Symons, G. R. (1867) British Rainfall 1866. London: Edward Stanford.
35. Symons, G. R. (1893) British Rainfall 1892, 117-119. London: Edward Stanford.
36. Wang, Q. J. (1991) The POT model described by the generalised Pareto distribution with Poisson arrival rate. J. Hydrol. 129, 263-280.
37. Widdrington, S. T. (1662) Anaectra Eboracensia (Some remains of the ancient city of York), Republished and edited by Rev. C. Caine, 1897, London: C.J. Clark.
38. Williams, A. & Archer, D. (2002) The use of historical flood information in the English Midlands to improve risk assessment. Hydrol. Sci. J. 47(1), 67-76.
39. Yorkshire Water Authority (1980) Report on land drainage survey; Part A, Appendix 2. Leeds: Yorkshire Water Authority.