Validation of temperature trends in the ENSEMBLES regional climate model runs driven by ERA40

Climate Research

Volumn 44, Issue 2-3, 2010, Pages 167-177

  Lorenz, Philip ^a,b   Jacob, Daniela ^a  

^a MAX PLANCK INSTITUTE FOR METEOROLOGY   (Germany)

^b FREIE UNIVERSITÄT BERLIN   (Germany)

Author keywords

Climate sensitivity; ENSEMBLES; ERA40; Europe; PRUDENCE; Regional climate model; Temperature trends; Trend analysis

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE SENSITIVITY; ENSEMBLES; ERA40; EUROPE; PRUDENCE; REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELS; TEMPERATURE TRENDS; TREND ANALYSIS;

ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE; CLIMATE CHANGE; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; SURFACE PROPERTIES;

CLIMATE MODELS;

CLIMATE MODELING; DATA SET; ENSEMBLE FORECASTING; REGIONAL CLIMATE; TEMPERATURE ANOMALY; TREND ANALYSIS;

EUROPE;

EID: 78650316791     PISSN: 0936577X     EISSN: 16161572     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.3354/cr00973     Document Type: Article

References (20)

1. Christensen JH, Christensen OB (2007) A summary of the PRUDENCE model projections of changes in European climate by the end of this century. Clim Change 81 (Suppl 1):7-30
2. Christensen JH, Boberg F, Christensen OB, Lucas-Picher P (2008) On the need for bias correction of regional climate change projections of temperature and precipitation. Geophys Res Lett 35: L20709 doi:10.1029/2008GL035694
3. Christensen JH, Kjellström E, Giorgi F, Lenderink G, Rummukainen M (2010) Weight assignment in Regional Climate Models. Clim Res 44:179-194
4. Feldmann H, Früh B, Schädler G, Panitz HJ, Keuler K, Jacob D, Lorenz P (2008) Evaluation of regional climate model precipitation climatology for southwestern Germany. Meteorol Z 17:455-465
5. Früh B, Feldmann H, Panitz HJ, Schädler G, Jacob D, Lorenz P, Keuler K (2010) Determination of precipitation return values in complex terrain and their evaluation. J Clim 23:2257-2274
6. Giorgi F (2002) Variability and trends of sub-continental scale surface climate in the twentieth century. I. observations. Clim Dyn 18:675-691
7. Haylock MR, Hofstra N, Klein Tank AMG, Klok EJ, Jones PD, New M (2008) A European daily high-resolution gridded dataset of surface temperature and precipitation for 1950-2006. J Geophys Res 113: D20119 doi:10.1029/2008JD010201
8. Jacob D, Bärring L, Christensen OB, Christensen JH and others (2007) An intercomparison of regional climate models for Europe: design of the experiments and model performance. Clim Change 81 (Suppl 1):31-52
9. Jones PD, Moberg A (2003) Hemispheric and large-scale surface air temperature variations: an extensive revision and an update to 2001. J Clim 16:206-223
10. Kalnay E, Kanamitsu M, Kistler R, Collins W and others (1996) The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 77:437-470
11. Keup-Thiel E, Göttel H, Jacob D (2006) Regional climate simulations for the Barents Sea region. Boreal Environ Res 11:329-339
12. Klok EJ, Klein Tank AMG (2009) Updated and extended European dataset of daily climate observations. Int J Climatol 29:1182-1191
13. Mitchell TD, Jones PD (2005) An improved method of constructing a database of monthly climate observations and associated high-resolution grids. Int J Climatol 25:693-712
14. Roeckner E, Jacob D (2008) der Klimawandel ist voll im Gange. In: Lozan J, Grassl H, Jendritzky G, Karbe L, Reise K (eds) Warnsignal Klima: Gesundheitsrisiken; Gefahren für Pflanzen, Tiere und Menschen. GEO Wissenschaftliche Auswertungen, Hamburg, p 19-34
15. Ruckstuhl C, Philipona R, Behrens K, Coen MC and others (2008) Aerosol and cloud effects on solar brightening and the recent rapid warming. Geophys Res Lett 35: L12708 doi:10.1029/2008GL034228
16. Simmons AJ, Jones PD (2004) Comparison of trends and lowfrequency variability in CRU, ERA-40, and NCEP/NCAR analyses of surface air temperature. J Geophys Res 109: D24115 doi:10.1029/2004JD005306 (Pubitemid 40335199)
17. Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, and others (eds) (2007) Climate change 2007: the physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
18. Uppala SM, Kållberg PW, Simmons AJ, Andrae U and others (2005) The ERA-40 re-analysis. QJR Meteorol Soc 131:2961-3012
19. van der Linden P, Mitchell JFB (eds) (2009) ENSEMBLES: Climate change and its impacts: summary of research and results from the ENSEMBLES project. Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter
20. van Oldenborgh GJ, Drijfhout SS, van Ulden A, Haarsma R and others (2009) Western Europe is warming much faster than expected. Clim Past Discuss 4:897-928