메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 43, Issue 3, 2010, Pages 191-205

Statistical modeling of hot spells and heat waves

Author keywords

Climate change; Clustering of extremes; Generalized Pareto distribution; Heat wave simulator; Point process approach

Indexed keywords

PARETO PRINCIPLE; POISSON DISTRIBUTION; SIMULATORS; STATISTICAL METHODS; TIME SERIES; WIND EFFECTS;

EID: 78649876843     PISSN: 0936577X     EISSN: 16161572     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.3354/cr00924     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (59)

References (33)
  • 1
    • 34247534593 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling and forecasting extreme hot events in the central Ebro valley, a continental-Mediterranean area
    • Abaurrea J, Asín J, Cebrin AC, Centelles A (2007) Modeling and forecasting extreme hot events in the central Ebro valley, a continental-Mediterranean area. Global Planet Change 57:43-58
    • (2007) Global Planet Change , vol.57 , pp. 43-58
    • Abaurrea, J.1    Asín, J.2    Cebrin, A.C.3    Centelles, A.4
  • 2
    • 0011866770 scopus 로고
    • The impact of increasing summer mean temperatures on extreme maximum and minimum temperatures in Phoenix, Arizona
    • Balling RC Jr, Skindlov JA, Phillips DH (1990) The impact of increasing summer mean temperatures on extreme maximum and minimum temperatures in Phoenix, Arizona. J Clim 3:1491-1494
    • (1990) J. Clim. , vol.3 , pp. 1491-1494
    • Balling Jr., R.C.1    Skindlov, J.A.2    Phillips, D.H.3
  • 3
    • 0028810605 scopus 로고
    • Regional analysis of temperature extremes: Spatial analog for climate change?
    • Brown BG, Katz RW (1995) Regional analysis of temperature extremes: spatial analog for climate change? J Clim 8:108-119
    • (1995) J. Clim. , vol.8 , pp. 108-119
    • Brown, B.G.1    Katz, R.W.2
  • 4
    • 43449110730 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global changes in extreme daily temperature since 1950
    • doi:10.1029/2006JD008091
    • Brown SJ, Caesar J, Ferro CAT (2008) Global changes in extreme daily temperature since 1950. Global Planet Change 113: D05115 doi:10.1029/ 2006JD008091
    • (2008) Global Planet Change , vol.113
    • Brown, S.J.1    Caesar, J.2    Ferro, C.A.T.3
  • 6
    • 0028581591 scopus 로고
    • A seasonal Markov model for extremely low temperatures
    • Coles SG, Tawn JA, Smith RL (1994) A seasonal Markov model for extremely low temperatures. Environmetrics 5:221-239
    • (1994) Environmetrics , vol.5 , pp. 221-239
    • Coles, S.G.1    Tawn, J.A.2    Smith, R.L.3
  • 7
    • 34548761070 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian spatial modeling of extreme precipitation return levels
    • Cooley D, Nychka D, Naveau P (2007) Bayesian spatial modeling of extreme precipitation return levels. J Am Stat Assoc 102:824-840
    • (2007) J. Am. Stat Assoc. , vol.102 , pp. 824-840
    • Cooley, D.1    Nychka, D.2    Naveau, P.3
  • 8
    • 70349775112 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Records in athletics through extreme-value theory
    • Einmahl JHJ, Magnus JR (2008) Records in athletics through extreme-value theory. J Am Stat Assoc 103:1382-1391
    • (2008) J. Am. Stat Assoc. , vol.103 , pp. 1382-1391
    • Einmahl, J.H.J.1    Magnus, J.R.2
  • 10
    • 59649107992 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improving the simulation of extreme precipitation events by stochastic weather generators
    • doi:10.1029/2008WR007316
    • Furrer EM, Katz RW (2008) Improving the simulation of extreme precipitation events by stochastic weather generators. Water Resour Res 44: W12439 doi:10.1029/2008WR007316
    • (2008) Water Resour Res. , vol.44
    • Furrer, E.M.1    Katz, R.W.2
  • 11
    • 58549090095 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Associations between elevated atmospheric temperature and human mortality: A critical review of the literature
    • Gosling SN, Lowe JA, McGregor GR, Pelling M, Malamud BD (2009) Associations between elevated atmospheric temperature and human mortality: a critical review of the literature. Clim Change 92:299-341
    • (2009) Clim Change , vol.92 , pp. 299-341
    • Gosling, S.N.1    Lowe, J.A.2    McGregor, G.R.3    Pelling, M.4    Malamud, B.D.5
  • 12
  • 14
    • 0000311420 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The 1995 Chicago heat wave: How likely is a recurrence?
    • Karl TR, Knight RW (1997) The 1995 Chicago heat wave: How likely is a recurrence? Bull Am Meteorol Soc 78:1107-1119
    • (1997) Bull. Am. Meteorol Soc. , vol.78 , pp. 1107-1119
    • Karl, T.R.1    Knight, R.W.2
  • 15
    • 20844437940 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analysis of hot spell characteristics in the Greek region
    • Katsoulis BD, Hatzianastassiou N (2005) Analysis of hot spell characteristics in the Greek region. Clim Res 28:229-241
    • (2005) Clim Res. , vol.28 , pp. 229-241
    • Katsoulis, B.D.1    Hatzianastassiou, N.2
  • 17
    • 17144420526 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Frequency analysis and temporal pattern of occurrences of southern Quebec heatwaves
    • Khaliq MN, St-Hilaire A, Ouarda TBMJ, Bobée B (2005) Frequency analysis and temporal pattern of occurrences of southern Quebec heatwaves. Int J Climatol 25:485-504
    • (2005) Int. J. Climatol , vol.25 , pp. 485-504
    • Khaliq, M.N.1    St-Hilaire, A.2    Ouarda, T.B.M.J.3    Bobée, B.4
  • 18
    • 34248151936 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian change-point analysis of heat spell occurrences in Montreal, Canada
    • Khaliq MN, Ouarda TBMJ, St-Hilaire A, Gachon P (2007) Bayesian change-point analysis of heat spell occurrences in Montreal, Canada. Int J Climatol 27:805-818
    • (2007) Int. J. Climatol , vol.27 , pp. 805-818
    • Khaliq, M.N.1    Ouarda, T.B.M.J.2    St-Hilaire, A.3    Gachon, P.4
  • 19
    • 0036802698 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Daily dataset of 20th-century surface air temperature and precipitation series for the European climate assessment
    • others
    • Klein Tank AMG, Wijngaard JB, Können GP, Böhm R and others (2002) Daily dataset of 20th-century surface air temperature and precipitation series for the European climate assessment. Int J Climatol 22:1441-1453
    • (2002) Int. J. Climatol , vol.22 , pp. 1441-1453
    • Klein Tank, A.M.G.1    Wijngaard, J.B.2    Können, G.P.3    Böhm, R.4
  • 20
    • 45149094890 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Heat waves across Europe by the end of the 21st century: Multiregional climate simulations
    • Koffi B, Koffi E (2008) Heat waves across Europe by the end of the 21st century: multiregional climate simulations. Clim Res 36:153-168
    • (2008) Clim Res. , vol.36 , pp. 153-168
    • Koffi, B.1    Koffi, E.2
  • 21
    • 0036184378 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probability estimates of extreme temperature events: Stochastic modeling approach vs. extreme value distributions
    • Kysely J (2002) Probability estimates of extreme temperature events: stochastic modeling approach vs. extreme value distributions. Stud Geophys Geodaet 46:93-112
    • (2002) Stud Geophys Geodaet , vol.46 , pp. 93-112
    • Kysely, J.1
  • 22
    • 0021639176 scopus 로고
    • Extreme hightemperature events: Changes in their probabilities with changes in mean temperature
    • Mearns LO, Katz RW, Schneider SH (1984) Extreme hightemperature events: changes in their probabilities with changes in mean temperature. J Clim Appl Meteorol 23:1601-1613
    • (1984) J. Clim Appl. Meteorol , vol.23 , pp. 1601-1613
    • Mearns, L.O.1    Katz, R.W.2    Schneider, S.H.3
  • 23
    • 4043154304 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • More intense, more frequent, and longer lasting heat waves in the 21st century
    • Meehl GA, Tebaldi C (2004) More intense, more frequent, and longer lasting heat waves in the 21st century. Science 305:994-997
    • (2004) Science , vol.305 , pp. 994-997
    • Meehl, G.A.1    Tebaldi, C.2
  • 24
    • 48849097759 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the (im-) possibilities of defining human climate thresholds
    • Meze-Hausken E (2008) On the (im-) possibilities of defining human climate thresholds. Clim Change 89:299-324
    • (2008) Clim Change , vol.89 , pp. 299-324
    • Meze-Hausken, E.1
  • 25
    • 70149113077 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • R Development Core Team, R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna
    • R Development Core Team (2009) R: a language and environment for statistical computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna
    • (2009) R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing
  • 27
    • 0035303562 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the definition of a heat wave
    • Robinson P (2001) On the definition of a heat wave. J Appl Meteorol 40:762-775
    • (2001) J. Appl. Meteorol , vol.40 , pp. 762-775
    • Robinson, P.1
  • 29
    • 44249118626 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulation of extreme weather events by a stochastic weather generator
    • Semenov MA (2008) Simulation of extreme weather events by a stochastic weather generator. Clim Res 35:203-212
    • (2008) Clim Res. , vol.35 , pp. 203-212
    • Semenov, M.A.1
  • 30
    • 67651122762 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Euro-Atlantic blocking and extreme events in present and future climate simulations
    • doi:10.1029/2009GL 038259
    • Sillmann J, Croci-Maspoli M (2009) Euro-Atlantic blocking and extreme events in present and future climate simulations. Geophys Res Lett 36: L10702 doi:10.1029/2009GL 038259
    • (2009) Geophys Res. Lett. , vol.36
    • Sillmann, J.1    Croci-Maspoli, M.2
  • 31
    • 84972496066 scopus 로고
    • Extreme value analysis of environmental time series: An application to trend detection in ground-level ozone (with discussion)
    • Smith RL (1989) Extreme value analysis of environmental time series: an application to trend detection in ground-level ozone (with discussion). Stat Sci 4:367-393
    • (1989) Stat Sci. , vol.4 , pp. 367-393
    • Smith, R.L.1
  • 32
    • 0000058587 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Markov chain models for threshold exceedances
    • Smith RL, Tawn JA, Coles SG (1997) Markov chain models for threshold exceedances. Biometrika 84:249-268
    • (1997) Biometrika , vol.84 , pp. 249-268
    • Smith, R.L.1    Tawn, J.A.2    Coles, S.G.3
  • 33
    • 33644697480 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Going to the extremes: An intercomparison of model-simulated historical and future changes in extreme events
    • Tebaldi C, Hayhoe K, Arblaster JM, Meehl GA (2006) Going to the extremes: an intercomparison of model-simulated historical and future changes in extreme events. Clim Change 79:185-211
    • (2006) Clim Change , vol.79 , pp. 185-211
    • Tebaldi, C.1    Hayhoe, K.2    Arblaster, J.M.3    Meehl, G.A.4


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.