GAME-THEORETIC AND RELIABILITY METHODS IN COUNTER-TERRORISM AND SECURITY

Series on Quality, Reliability and Engineering Statistics Vol. 10: Modern Statistical and Mathematical Methods in Reliability

Volumn , Issue , 2005, Pages 17-28

  Bier, Vicki ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN MADISON   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 78649800959     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Book    
DOI: None     Document Type: Chapter

References (42)

1. V. M. Bier, Y. Y. Haimes, J. H. Lambert, N. C. Matalas, and R. Zimmerman, Assessing and managing the risk of extremes, Risk Analysis 19, 83-94 (1999).
2. V. M. Bier, An overview of probabilistic risk analysis for complex engineered systems, in Fundamentals of Risk Analysis and Risk Management (V. Molak, editor), Boca Raton, FL: Lewis Publishers (1997).
3. T. Bedford and R. Cooke, Probabilistic Risk Analysis: Foundations and Methods, UK: Cambridge University Press (2001).
4. R. M. Cooke, Experts in Uncertainty: Opinion and Subjective Probability in Science, Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press (1991).
5. V. M. Bier, S. Ferson, Y. Y. Haimes, J. H. Lambert, and M. J. Small, Risk of extreme and rare events: Lessons from a selection of approaches, in Risk Analysis and Society: Interdisciplinary Perspectives (T. McDaniels and M. J. Small, editors), Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press (2004).
6. R. Zimmerman and V. M. Bier, Risk assessment of extreme events, Columbia-Wharton/Penn Roundtable on “Risk Management Strategies in an Uncertain World,” http://www.ldeo.columbia.edu/CHRR/Roundtable/ZimmermanW-P.pdf (2003).
7. M. Dresher, Games of Strategy: Theory and Applications, Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall (1961).
8. H. F. Martz and M. E. Johnson, Risk analysis of terrorist attacks, Risk Analysis 7, 35-47 (1987).
9. L. A. Cox, A probabilistic risk assessment program for analyzing security risks, in New Risks: Issues and Management (L. A. Cox and P. F. Ricci, editors). New York: Plenum Press (1990).
10. E. Pate-Cornell and S. Guikema, Probabilistic modeling of terrorist threats:A systems analysis approach to setting priorities among countermeasures, Military Operations Research 7, 5-20 (December 2002).
11. B. J. Garrick, Perspectives on the use of risk assessment to address terrorism, Risk Analysis 22, 421-424 (2003).
12. E. Zebroski, Risk management lessons from man-made catastrophes: Implications for anti-terrorism risk assessments using a simple relative risk method, American Nuclear Society Topical Meeting on Risk Management, San Diego, CA (June 2003).
13. R. A. Zilinskas, B. Hope, and D. W. North, A discussion of findings and their possible implications from a workshop on bioterrorism threat assessment and risk management, Risk Analysis 24, 901-908 (2004).
14. Y. Y. Haimes, Strategic responses to risks of terrorism to water resources, Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management 128, 383-389 (2002).
15. Y. Y. Haimes and T. Longstaff, The role of risk analysis in the protection of critical infrastructure against terrorism, Risk Analysis 22, 439-444 (2002).
16. Y. Y. Haimes, N. C. Matalas, J. H. Lambert, B. A. Jackson, and J. F. R. Fellows, Reducing vulnerability of water supply systems to attack, Journal of Infrastructure Systems 4, 164-177 (1998).
17. B. C. Ezell, J. V. Farr, and I. Wiese, Infrastructure risk analysis model, Journal of Infrastmcture Systems 6, 114-117 (2000a).
18. B. C. Ezell, J. V. Farr, and I. Wiese, Infrastructure risk analysis of municipal water distribution system, Journal of Infrastructure Systems 6, 118-122 (2000b).
19. D. M. Lemon and G. E. Apostolakis, A Methodology for the Identification of Critical Locations in Infrastructures, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, working paper ESD-WP-200401 (2004).
20. G. Levitin, Optimal allocation of multi-state elements in linear consecutively connected systems with vulnerable nodes, European Journal of Operational Research 150, 406-419 (2003).
21. G. Levitin and A. Lisnianski, Optimizing survivability of vulnerable seriesparallel multi-state systems, Reliability Engineering and System Safety 79, 22.
22. G. Levitin, Y. Dai, M. Xie, and K. L. Poh, Optimizing survivability of multi-state systems with multi-level protection by multi-processor genetic algorithm, Reliability Engineering and System Safety 82, 93-104 (2003).
23. I. Ravid, Theater Ballistic Missiles and Asymmetric War, The Military Conflict Institute, http://www.militaryconflict.org/Publications.htm (2002).
24. S. J. Brams and D. M. Kilgour, Game Theory and National Security, Oxford:Basil Blackwell (1988).
25. R. Anderson, Why information security is hard: An economic perspective, Presented at the 18th Symposium on Operating Systems Principles, October 21-24, Alberta, Canada; also the 17th Annual Computer Security Applications Conference, December 10-14, New Orleans, Louisiana; http://www.ftp.cl.cam.ac.uk/ftp/users/rjal4/econ.pdf. (2001).
26. F. Cohen, Managing network security: Attack and defense strategies, Technical Report 9907, Fred Cohen and Associates (1999).
27. B. Schneier, Managed security monitoring: Network security for the 21st century, Counterpane Internet Security, Inc., http://www.counterpane.com/msm.pdf (2001).
28. D. G. Arce M. and T. Sandler. Transnational public goods: Strategies and institutions, European Journal of Political Economy 17 (3), 493-516 (2001).
29. W. Enders and T. Sandler, What do we know about the substitution effect in transnational terrorism? in A. Silke and G. Ilardi (editors), Researching Terrorism: Trends, Achievements, Failures. London: Frank Cass (2004).
30. N. O. Keohane and R. J. Zeckhauser, The ecology of terror defense, Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 26, 201-229 (2003).
31. M. O’Hanlon, P. Orszag, I. Daalder, M. Destler, D. Gunter, R. Litan, and J. Steinberg, Protecting the American Homeland, Washington, DC: Brookings Institution (2002).
32. G. Woo, Insuring against Al-Qaeda, Insurance Project Workshop, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. http://www.nber.org/~confer/2003/insurance03/woo.pdf (2003).
33. V. M. Bier, A. Nagaraj, and V. Abhichandani, Protection of simple series and parallel systems with components of different values, Reliability Engineering and System Safety 87, 313-323 (2005).
34. J. Major, Advanced techniques for modeling terrorism risk, Journal of Risk Finance 4, 15-24 (2002).
35. V. M. Bier, S. Oliveros, and L. Samuelson, Choosing what to protect: Strategic defensive allocation against an unknown attacker, submitted to Journal of Risk and Uncertainty (2005).
36. H. Kunreuther and G. Heal, Interdependent security, Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 26, 231-249 (2003).
37. A. Gupta and V. M. Bier, Myopia and interdependent security risks: A comment on “Interdependent Security" by Kunreuther and Heal, draft manuscript (2005).
38. J. Zhuang and V. M. Bier, Subsidized security and stability of equilibrium solutions in an N-player game with errors, submitted to ZIE Transactions (2005).
39. K. Hausken, Probabilistic risk analysis and game theory, Risk Analysis 22, 17-27 (2002).
40. W. D. Rowe, Vulnerability to terrorism: Addressing the human variables, Risk-Based Decision Making in Water Resources X, pp. 155-159. Reston, VA: American Society of Civil Engineers (2002).
41. D. Banks and S. Anderson, Game-theoretic risk management for counterterrorism, Office of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, US. Food and Drug Administration (2003).
42. N. Azaiez and V. M. Bier, Optimal resource allocation for security in reliability systems, submitted to European Journal of Operational Research (2005).