Climate influence on Baltic cod, sprat, and herring stock-recruitment relationships

Progress in Oceanography

Volumn 87, Issue 1-4, 2010, Pages 277-288

  Margonski, Piotr ^a   Hansson, Sture ^b   Tomczak, Maciej T ^c   Grzebielec, Ryszard ^a  

^a NATIONAL MARINE FISHERIES RESEARCH INSTITUTE   (Poland)

^b STOCKHOLM UNIVERSITY   (Sweden)

^c TECHNICAL UNIVERSITY OF DENMARK   (Denmark)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ADVISORY COUNCIL; BALTIC HERRING; BALTIC SEA; CLIMATE IMPACTS; CLIMATIC INDEX; ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS; EXTRINSIC FACTORS; FEEDING CONDITIONS; FISH SPECIES; GULF OF RIGA; MANAGEMENT DECISIONS; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES; WATER TEMPERATURES; WINTER NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION;

ATMOSPHERIC PRESSURE; ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE; BIOMASS; CLIMATOLOGY; EMPLOYMENT; OPTICAL COMMUNICATION; SURFACE PROPERTIES; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

CLIMATE MODELS;

BIOMASS; CLIMATE FORCING; CLUPEOID FISHERY; ENVIRONMENTAL FACTOR; GADOID FISHERY; HYPOTHESIS TESTING; RECRUITMENT (POPULATION DYNAMICS); SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE; SEASONALITY; SPAWNING; STOCK ASSESSMENT;

ATLANTIC OCEAN; BALTIC SEA; GOTLAND BASIN;

CLUPEA HARENGUS; CLUPEIDAE; GADUS CALLARIAS; SPRATTUS SPRATTUS;

EID: 78649779939     PISSN: 00796611     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.pocean.2010.08.003     Document Type: Article

References (64)

1. Akaike H. A new look at the statistical model identification. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control 1974, 19:716-723.
2. Alheit J., Möllmann C., Dutz J., Kornilovs G., Loewe P., Mohrholz V., Wasmund N. Synchronous ecological regime shifts in the central Baltic and the North Sea in the late 1980s. ICES Journal of Marine Science 2005, 62:1205-1215.
3. Arrhenius F., Hansson S. Food consumption of larval, young and adult herring and sprat in the Baltic Sea. Marine Ecology Progress Series 1993, 96:125-137.
4. Axenrot T., Hansson S. Predicting herring recruitment from young-of-the-year densities, spawning stock biomass, and climate. Limnology and Oceanography 2003, 48:1716-1720.
5. Bagge O., Thurow F., Steffensen E., Bay J. The Baltic cod. Dana 1994, 10:1-28.
6. Brunel T., Piet G.J., van Hal R., Röckmann C. Performance of harvest control rules in a variable environment. ICES Journal of Marine Science 2010, 67:1051-1062.
7. Cardinale M., Arrhenius F. Decreasing in weight-at-age of Baltic herring (Clupea harengus) between 1986 and 1996: a statistical analysis. ICES Journal of Marine Science 2000, 57:1-12.
8. Cardinale M., Casini M., Arrhenius F. The influence of biotic and abiotic factors on the growth of sprat (Sprattus sprattus) in the Baltic Sea. Aquatic Living Resources 2002, 15:273-281.
9. Cardinale M., Modin J. Changes in size-at-maturity of Baltic cod (Gadus morhua) during a period of large variations in stock size and environmental conditions. Fisheries Research 1999, 41:285-295.
10. Cardinale M., Möllmann C., Bartolino V., Casini M., Kornilovs G., Raid T., Margonski P., Grzyb A., Raitaniemi J., Gröhsler T., Flinkman J. Effect of environmental variability and spawner characteristics on the recruitment of Baltic herring Clupea harengus populations. Marine Ecology Progress Series 2009, 388:221-234.
11. Casini M., Cardinale M., Hjelm J. Inter-annual variation of herring (Clupea harengus) and sprat (Sprattus sprattus) condition in the central Baltic Sea: what gives the tune?. Oikos 2006, 112:638-650.
12. Casini M., Lövgren J., Hjelm J., Cardinale M., Molinero J.-C., Kornilovs G. Multi-level trophic cascades in a heavily exploited open marine ecosystem. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B - Biological Sciences 2008, 275:1793-1801.
13. Cushing D.H. Towards a Science of Recruitment in Fish Populations. Excellence in Ecology 1996, Ecology Institute, Oldendorf/Luhe, pp. 1-175.
14. Elmgren R. Trophic dynamics in the enclosed, brackish Baltic Sea. Rapports et Proces-Verbaux des Reunions Cons int Explor Mer 1984, 183:152-169.
15. Flinkman J., Aro E., Vuorinen I., Viitasaalo M. Changes in northern Baltic zooplankton and herring nutrition from 1980s to 1990s: top-down and bottom-up processes at work. Marine Ecology Progress Series 1998, 165:127-136.
16. Hagen E., Feistel R. Climatic turning points and regime shifts In the Baltic Sea region: the Baltic winter index (WIBIX) 1659-2002. Boreal Environment Research 2005, 10:211-224.
17. Hakala T., Viitasalo M., Rita H., Aro E., Flinkman J., Vuorinen I. Temporal and spatial variation in the growth rates of Baltic herring (Clupea harengus membras L.) larvae during summer. Marine Biology 2003, 142:25-33.
18. Hammer C., von Dorrien C., Ernst P., Gröhsler T., Köster F., MacKenzie B., Möllman C., Wegner G., Zimmermann C. Fish stock development under hydrographic and hydrochemical aspects, the history of Baltic Sea fisheries and its management. State and Evolution of the Baltic Sea 1952-2005: a Detailed 50-Year Survey of Methodology and Climate, Physics, Chemistry, Biology and Marine Environment 2008, 543-581. John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, New Jersey, USA, (703 pp). R. Feistel, G. Nausch, N. Wasmund (Eds.).
19. Heikinheimo O. Average salinity as an index for environmental forcing on cod recruitment in the Baltic Sea. Boreal Environment Research 2008, 13:457-464.
20. Hinrichsen H.H., Möllmann C., Voss R., Köster F.W., Kornilovs G. Bio-physical modelling of larval Baltic cod (Gadus morhua) survival and growth. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 2002, 59:1858-1873.
21. Hinrichsen H.-H., Voss R., Wieland K., Köster F., Andersen K.H., Margonski P. The spatial and temporal heterogeneity of the cod spawning environment in the Bornholm Basin, Baltic Sea. Marine Ecology Progress Series 2007, 345:245-254.
22. Hurrell J.W. Decadal trends in the North Atlantic Oscillation: regional temperatures and precipitation. Science 1995, 269:676-679.
23. Hussy K., St.John M.A., Bottcher U. Food resource utilization by juvenile Baltic cod Gadus morhua: a mechanism potentially influencing recruitment success at the demersal juvenile stage?. Marine Ecology Progress Series 1997, 155:199-208.
24. ICES, 2003. Report of the Study Group on Precautionary Reference Points for Advice on Fishery Management. ICES CM 2003/ACFM:15.
25. ICES, 2005. Report of the Baltic Fisheries Assessment Working Group (WGBFAS). ICES CM 2005/ACFM:19.
26. ICES, 2007a. Report of the Workshop on Limit and Target Reference Points (WKREF). ICES CM 2007/ACFM:05.
27. ICES, 2007b. Report of the Baltic Fisheries Assessment Working Group (WGBFAS). ICES CM 2007/ACFM:15.
28. ICES, 2009. Report of the Baltic Fisheries Assessment Working Group (WGBFAS). ICES CM 2009/ACOM:07.
29. Kompowski, A., 1969. Types of Otoliths of Southern Baltic Herring. ICES C.M.1969/H:12, 17 pp.
30. Köster F.W., Möllmann C. Trophodynamic control by clupeid predators on recruitment success in Baltic cod?. ICES Journal of Marine Science 2000, 57:310-323.
31. Köster F.W., Möllmann C. Egg cannibalism in Baltic sprat Sprattus sprattus. Marine Ecology Progress Series 2000, 196:269-277.
32. Köster F.W., Hinrichsen H.-H., Schnack D., St.John M.A., Mackenzie B.R., Tomkiewicz J., Möllmann C., Kraus G., Plikshs M., Makarchouk A., Aro E. Recruitment of Baltic cod and sprat stocks: identification of critical life stages and incorporation of environmental variability into stock-recruitment relationships. Scientia Marina 2003, 67:129-154.
33. Köster F.W., Möllmann C., Hinirchsen H.-H., Wieland K., Tomkiewicz J., Kraus G., Voss R., Makarchouk A., Mackenzie B., St.John M.A., Schnack D., Rohlf N., Linkowski T., Beyer J.E. Baltic cod recruitment e the impact of climate variability on key processes. ICES Journal of Marine Science 2005, 62:1408-1425.
34. Kornilovs, G., 1993. The Modern State of Baltic Herring Spawning Grounds in the Gulf of Riga. ICES C. M. 1993 /J:26, 6 pp.
35. Krasovskaya N. Spawning of Baltic herring in the Vistula Lagoon: effects of environmental conditions and stock parameters. Bulletin of the Sea Fisheries Institute 2002, 155:3-26.
36. Lehmann A., Krauss W., Hinrichsen H.-H. Effects of remote and local atmospheric forcing on circulation and upwelling in the Baltic Sea. Tellus A 2002, 54:299-316.
37. MacKenzie B.R., Hinrichsen H.-H., Plikshs M., Wieland K., Zezera A.S. Quantifying environmental heterogeneity: estimating the size of habitat for successful cod egg development in the Baltic Sea. Marine Ecology Progress Series 2000, 193:143-156.
38. MacKenzie B.R., Köster F.W. Fish production and climate: sprat in the Baltic Sea. Ecology 2004, 85:784-794.
39. Matthäus W., Nehring D., Feistel R., Nausch G., Mohrholz V., Lass H.-U. The inflow of highly saline water into the Baltic Sea. State and Evolution of the Baltic Sea 1952-2005: A Detailed 50-Year Survey Of Methodology And Climate, Physics, Chemistry, Biology and Marine Environment 2008, 265-309. John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, New Jersey, USA, (703 pp). R. Feistel, G. Nausch, N. Wasmund (Eds.).
40. Möllmann C., Kornilovs G., Sidrevics L. Long-term dynamics of the main mesozooplankton species in the central Baltic Sea. Journal of Plankton Research 2000, 22:2015-2038.
41. Möllmann C., Köster F.W. Food consumption by clupeids in the Central Baltic: evidence for top-down control?. ICES Journal of Marine Science 1999, 56:100-113.
42. Möllmann C., Köster F.W. Population dynamics of calanoid copepods and the implications of their predation by clupeid fish in the Central Baltic Sea. Journal of Plankton Research 2002, 24:959-978.
43. Möllmann C., Kornilovs G., Fetter M., Köster F.W., Hinrichsen H.H. The marine copepod, Pseudocalanus elongatus, as a mediator between climate variability and fisheries in the Central Baltic Sea. Fisheries Oceanography 2003, 12(4-5):360-368.
44. Möllmann, C., Kornilovs, G., Fetter, M., Köster, F.W., 2004. Herring and sprat growth changes in the Central Baltic Sea. ICES C.M. 2004/L:27, 25 pp.
45. Möllmann C., Kornilovs G., Fetter M., Köster F.W. Climate, zooplankton and pelagic fish growth in the Central Baltic Sea. ICES Journal of Marine Science 2005, 62:1270-1280.
46. Neuenfeldt S., Köster F.W. Trophodynamic control on recruitment success in Baltic cod: the influence of cannibalism. ICES Journal of Marine Science 2000, 57:300-309.
47. Nissling A., Westin L. Salinity requirements for successful spawning of Baltic and Belt Sea cod and the potential for cod stock interactions in the Baltic Sea. Marine Ecology Progress Series 1997, 152:261-271.
48. O'Brien C.M., Little A.S. Incorporation of process information into stock-recruitment models. ICES Cooperative Research Report 2006, 282:1-160.
49. Ojaveer, E., 1988. Baltic Herrings. Agropromisdat, Moscow, 204 pp. (in Russian).
50. Ottersen G., Loeng H. Covariability in early growth and year-class strength of Barents Sea cod, haddock, and herring: the environmental link. ICES Journal of Marine Science 2000, 57:339-348.
51. Plikshs, M., Kalejs, M., Grauman G., 1993. The Influence of Environmental Conditions and Spawning Stock Size on the Year Class Strength of the Eastern Baltic cod. ICES 1993/J: 22.
52. Rajasilta M., Eklund J., Hänninen J., Kurkilathi M., Kääriä J., Rannikko P., Soikkeli M. Spawning of herring (Clupea harengus membras L.) in the Archipelago Sea. ICES Journal of Marine Science 1993, 50:233-246.
53. Rose G.A. On distributional responses of North Atlantic fish to climate change. ICES Journal of Marine Science 2005, 62:1360-1374.
54. Stephenson R.L. Stock complexity in fisheries management: a perspective of emerging issues related to populations subunits. Fisheries Research 1999, 43:247-249.
55. Stige L.C., Ottersen G., Brander K., Chan K.S., Stenseth N.C. Cod and climate: effect of the North Atlantic Oscillation on recruitment in the North Atlantic. Marine Ecology Progress Series 2006, 325:227-241.
56. Tomczak, M.T., 2007. An evaluation of stock management practices for the central Baltic herring (Clupea harengus membras). ICES CM 2007/L:09, 43pp.
57. Thurow F. Growth production of the Baltic fish community. Rapports et Proces-Verbaux des Reunions Cons int Explor Mer 1984, 183:170-179.
58. Uzars D., Plikshs M. Cod (Gadus morhua callarias L.) cannibalism in the Central Baltic: interannual variability and influence of recruitment abundance and distribution. ICES Journal of Marine Science 2000, 57:324-329.
59. van Deurs M., van Hal R., Tomczak M.T., Jonasdottir S.H., Dolmer P. Recruitment of lesser sandeel Ammodytes marinus in relation to density dependence and zooplankton composition. Marine Ecology Progress Series 2009, 381:249-258.
60. Voss R., Köster F.W., Dickmann M. Comparing the feeding habits of co-occurring sprat (Sprattus sprattus) and cod (Gadus morhua) larvae in the Bornholm Basin, Baltic Sea. Fishery Research 2003, 63:97-111.
61. Wieland K., Waller U., Schnack D. Development of Baltic cod eggs at different levels of temperature and oxygen content. Dana 1994, 10:163-177.
62. Williams E.H., Quinn T.J. Pacific herring, Clupea pallasi, recruitment in the Bering Sea and north-east Pacific Ocean, II: relationships to environmental variables and implications for forecasting. Fisheries Oceanography 2000, 9:300-315.
63. Wood S.N. Generalized Additive Models: An Introduction with R 2006, Chapman & Hall/CRC, Boca Raton, Florida, 391+xviii pp.
64. Zuur A.F., Ieno E.N., Smith G.M. Analysing Ecological Data 2007, Springer, New York, 672+xxvi pp.