메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 42, Issue 29, 2010, Pages 3735-3744

Nonlinear effects of oil shocks on stock returns: A markov-switching approach

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ECONOMIC ANALYSIS; EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS; MARKOV CHAIN; OIL SUPPLY; PRICE DYNAMICS; STOCK MARKET;

EID: 78649404594     PISSN: 00036846     EISSN: 14664283     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/00036840802314606     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (77)

References (43)
  • 1
    • 33746335312 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating the effectiveness of state-switching models for U.S. real output
    • Ashley, R. A. and Patterson, D. M. (2006) Evaluating the effectiveness of state-switching models for U.S. real output, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 24, 266-77.
    • (2006) Journal of Business and Economic Statistics , vol.24 , pp. 266-277
    • Ashley, R.A.1    Patterson, D.M.2
  • 2
    • 0036318555 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Oil price shocks and the US economy: Where does the asymmetry originate?
    • Balke, N. S., Brown, S. P. A. and Yucel, M. K. (2002) Oil price shocks and the US economy: where does the asymmetry originate?, Energy Journal, 232, 27-52.
    • (2002) Energy Journal , vol.232 , pp. 27-52
    • Balke, N.S.1    Brown, S.P.A.2    Yucel, M.K.3
  • 3
    • 34447324077 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Does OPEC influence crude oil prices? Testing for comovements and causality between regional crude oil prices
    • Bentzen, J. (2007) Does OPEC influence crude oil prices? Testing for comovements and causality between regional crude oil prices, Applied Economics, 39, 1375-85.
    • (2007) Applied Economics , vol.39 , pp. 1375-1385
    • Bentzen, J.1
  • 4
  • 6
    • 0000433727 scopus 로고
    • A variance decomposition for stock returns
    • Campbell, J. Y. (1991) A variance decomposition for stock returns, The Economic Journal, 101, 157-79.
    • (1991) The Economic Journal , vol.101 , pp. 157-179
    • Campbell, J.Y.1
  • 7
    • 0000007521 scopus 로고
    • The dividend- price ratio and expectations of future dividends and discount factors
    • Campbell, J. Y. and Shiller, R. J. (1988) The dividend- price ratio and expectations of future dividends and discount factors, Review of Financial Studies, 1, 195-228.
    • (1988) Review of Financial Studies , vol.1 , pp. 195-228
    • Campbell, J.Y.1    Shiller, R.J.2
  • 8
    • 0039617693 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Coincident and leading indicators of the stock market
    • Chauvet, M. and Potter, S. (2000) Coincident and leading indicators of the stock market, Journal of Empirical Finance, 7, 87-111.
    • (2000) Journal of Empirical Finance , vol.7 , pp. 87-111
    • Chauvet, M.1    Potter, S.2
  • 9
    • 34447316398 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evidence of the duration- dependence from the stock markets in the Pacific Rim Economies
    • Chen, S. and Shen, C. (2007) Evidence of the duration- dependence from the stock markets in the Pacific Rim Economies, Applied Economics, 39, 1461-74.
    • (2007) Applied Economics , vol.39 , pp. 1461-1474
    • Chen, S.1    Shen, C.2
  • 11
    • 28444452243 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evidence on the nature and extent of the relationship between oil prices and equity values in the UK
    • El-Sharif, I., Brown, D., Burton, B., Nixon, B. and Russell, A. (2005) Evidence on the nature and extent of the relationship between oil prices and equity values in the UK, Energy Economics, 27, 819-30.
    • (2005) Energy Economics , vol.27 , pp. 819-830
    • El-Sharif, I.1    Brown, D.2    Burton, B.3    Nixon, B.4    Russell, A.5
  • 12
    • 0000051984 scopus 로고
    • Autorregressive conditional hetero- skedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation
    • Engle, R. F. (1982) Autorregressive conditional hetero- skedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation, Econometrica, 50, 987-1007.
    • (1982) Econometrica , vol.50 , pp. 987-1007
    • Engle, R.F.1
  • 13
    • 0001563266 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Asymptotic null distribution of the likelihood ratio test in Markov switching models
    • Garcia, R. (1998) Asymptotic null distribution of the likelihood ratio test in Markov switching models, International Economic Review, 393, 763-88.
    • (1998) International Economic Review , vol.393 , pp. 763-788
    • Garcia, R.1
  • 14
    • 0001342006 scopus 로고
    • A new approach to the economic analysis of nonstationary time series and the business cycle
    • Hamilton, J. D. (1989) A new approach to the economic analysis of nonstationary time series and the business cycle, Econometrica, 57, 357-84.
    • (1989) Econometrica , vol.57 , pp. 357-384
    • Hamilton, J.D.1
  • 15
    • 0030268612 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • This is what happened to the oil price-macroeconomy relationship
    • Hamilton, J. D. (1996) This is what happened to the oil price-macroeconomy relationship, Journal of Monetary Economics, 38, 215-20.
    • (1996) Journal of Monetary Economics , vol.38 , pp. 215-220
    • Hamilton, J.D.1
  • 17
    • 78649410227 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stock market volatility and the business cycle
    • Hamilton, J. D. and Lin, G. (1996) Stock market volatility and the business cycle, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 7, 61-82.
    • (1996) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.7 , pp. 61-82
    • Hamilton, J.D.1    Lin, G.2
  • 18
    • 84986811814 scopus 로고
    • Testing for gaussianity and linearity of a stationary time series
    • Hinich, M. (1982) Testing for gaussianity and linearity of a stationary time series, Journal of Time Series Analysis, 3, 169-76.
    • (1982) Journal of Time Series Analysis , vol.3 , pp. 169-176
    • Hinich, M.1
  • 19
    • 0000208563 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing for dependence in the input to a linear time series model
    • Hinich, M. (1996) Testing for dependence in the input to a linear time series model, Journal Nonparametric Statistics, 6, 205-21.
    • (1996) Journal Nonparametric Statistics , vol.6 , pp. 205-221
    • Hinich, M.1
  • 21
    • 0012166025 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A unified theory of underreaction, momentum trading and overreaction in asset markets
    • Hong, H. G. and Stein, J. C. (1999) A unified theory of underreaction, momentum trading and overreaction in asset markets, Journal of Finance, 54, 2143-8.
    • (1999) Journal of Finance , vol.54 , pp. 2143-2148
    • Hong, H.G.1    Stein, J.C.2
  • 22
    • 18744383600 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The asymmetry of the impact of oil price shocks on economic activities: An application of the multivariate threshold model
    • Huang, B., Hwang, M. J. and Peng, H. (2005) The asymmetry of the impact of oil price shocks on economic activities: an application of the multivariate threshold model, Energy Economics, 27, 455-76.
    • (2005) Energy Economics , vol.27 , pp. 455-476
    • Huang, B.1    Hwang, M.J.2    Peng, H.3
  • 24
    • 0039607955 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Oil and the stock markets
    • Jones, C. M. and Kaul, G. (1996) Oil and the stock markets, Journal of Finance, 51, 463-91.
    • (1996) Journal of Finance , vol.51 , pp. 463-491
    • Jones, C.M.1    Kaul, G.2
  • 25
    • 34247480179 scopus 로고
    • Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root
    • Kwiatkowski, D., Phillips, P. C. B., Schmidt, P. and Shin, Y. (1992) Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root, Journal of Econometrics, 54, 159-78.
    • (1992) Journal of Econometrics , vol.54 , pp. 159-178
    • Kwiatkowski, D.1    Phillips, P.C.B.2    Schmidt, P.3    Shin, Y.4
  • 26
    • 0029481013 scopus 로고
    • Oil shocks and the macroeconomy: The role of price variability
    • Lee, K., Ni, S. and Ronald, R. A. (1995) Oil shocks and the macroeconomy: the role of price variability, Energy Journal, 164, 39-56.
    • (1995) Energy Journal , vol.164 , pp. 39-56
    • Lee, K.1    Ni, S.2    Ronald, R.A.3
  • 27
    • 34547931688 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Volatility states and international diversification of international stock markets
    • Li, M. L. (2007) Volatility states and international diversification of international stock markets, Applied Economics, 39, 1867-76.
    • (2007) Applied Economics , vol.39 , pp. 1867-1876
    • Li, M.L.1
  • 28
    • 3142693539 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Duration dependence in stock prices: An analysis of bull and bear markets
    • Lunde, A. and Timmermann, A. G. (2004) Duration dependence in stock prices: an analysis of bull and bear markets, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 223, 253-73.
    • (2004) Journal of Business and Economic Statistics , vol.223 , pp. 253-273
    • Lunde, A.1    Timmermann, A.G.2
  • 30
    • 84986777926 scopus 로고
    • Diagnostic checking ARMA time series models using squared-residual autocorrelations
    • McLeod, A. I. and Li, W. K. (1983) Diagnostic checking ARMA time series models using squared-residual autocorrelations, Journal of Time Series Analysis, 4, 269-73.
    • (1983) Journal of Time Series Analysis , vol.4 , pp. 269-273
    • McLeod, A.I.1    Li, W.K.2
  • 31
    • 21344488530 scopus 로고
    • Stock prices, news and business conditions
    • McQueen, G. and Roley, V. (1993) Stock prices, news and business conditions, Review of Financial Studies, 63, 683-707.
    • (1993) Review of Financial Studies , vol.63 , pp. 683-707
    • McQueen, G.1    Roley, V.2
  • 32
    • 0000712639 scopus 로고
    • Oil and the macroeconomy when prices go up and down: An extension of the Hamilton
    • Mork, K. (1989) Oil and the macroeconomy when prices go up and down: an extension of the Hamilton, Journal of Political Economy, 91, 740-4.
    • (1989) Journal of Political Economy , vol.91 , pp. 740-744
    • Mork, K.1
  • 33
    • 0028732234 scopus 로고
    • Macro- economic responses to oil price increases and decreases in seven OECD countries
    • Mork, K. A., Olsen, O. and Mysen, H. T. (1994) Macro- economic responses to oil price increases and decreases in seven OECD countries, Energy Journal, 15, 19-35.
    • (1994) Energy Journal , vol.15 , pp. 19-35
    • Mork, K.A.1    Olsen, O.2    Mysen, H.T.3
  • 34
    • 0037286694 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A simple framework for analyzing bull and bear markets
    • Pagan, A. R. and Sossounov, K. A. (2003) A simple framework for analyzing bull and bear markets, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 18, 23-46.
    • (2003) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.18 , pp. 23-46
    • Pagan, A.R.1    Sossounov, K.A.2
  • 36
    • 0040209430 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Business cycle asymmetries in stock returns: Evidence from higher order moments and conditional densities
    • Perez-Quiros, G. and Timmermann, A. G. (2001) Business cycle asymmetries in stock returns: evidence from higher order moments and conditional densities, Journal of Econometrics, 103, 259-306.
    • (2001) Journal of Econometrics , vol.103 , pp. 259-306
    • Perez-Quiros, G.1    Timmermann, A.G.2
  • 37
    • 77956888124 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing for unit roots in time series regression
    • Phillips, P. C. B. and Perron, P. (1998) Testing for unit roots in time series regression, Biometrika, 75, 335-46.
    • (1998) Biometrika , vol.75 , pp. 335-346
    • Phillips, P.C.B.1    Perron, P.2
  • 38
    • 0039468043 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Oil and the macro- economy: A Markov state-switching approach, Journal of Money
    • Raymond, J. E. and Rich, R. W. (1996) Oil and the macro- economy: a Markov state-switching approach, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 29, 193-213.
    • (1996) Credit and Banking , vol.29 , pp. 193-213
    • Raymond, J.E.1    Rich, R.W.2
  • 39
    • 0032702341 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Oil price shocks and stock market activity
    • Sadorsky, P. (1999) Oil price shocks and stock market activity, Energy Economics, 21, 449-69.
    • (1999) Energy Economics , vol.21 , pp. 449-469
    • Sadorsky, P.1
  • 40
    • 0035076490 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Risk factors in stock returns of Canadian oil and gas companies
    • Sadorsky, P. (2001) Risk factors in stock returns of Canadian oil and gas companies, Energy Economics, 23,17-28.
    • (2001) Energy Economics , vol.23 , pp. 17-28
    • Sadorsky, P.1
  • 41
    • 84977707955 scopus 로고
    • Why does stock market volatility change over time?
    • Schwert, G. W. (1989) Why does stock market volatility change over time?, Journal of Finance, 44, 1115-53.
    • (1989) Journal of Finance , vol.44 , pp. 1115-1153
    • Schwert, G.W.1
  • 42
    • 0002226418 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Moments of a Markov switching models
    • Timmerman, A. (2000) Moments of a Markov switching models, Journal of Econometrics, 96, 75-111.
    • (2000) Journal of Econometrics , vol.96 , pp. 75-111
    • Timmerman, A.1
  • 43
    • 0001146403 scopus 로고
    • Nonlinearity tests for time series
    • Tsay, R. S. (1986) Nonlinearity tests for time series, Biometrika, 73, 461-6.
    • (1986) Biometrika , vol.73 , pp. 461-466
    • Tsay, R.S.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.