The influence of changing climate on the ecology and management of selected Laurentian Great Lakes fisheries

Journal of Fish Biology

Volumn 77, Issue 8, 2010, Pages 1764-1782

  Lynch, A J ^a   Taylor, W W ^a   Smith, K D ^b  

^a MICHIGAN STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b MICHIGAN DEPARTMENT OF NATURAL RESOURCES   (United States)

Author keywords

Adaptive management; Climate change; Decision support; Fisheries conservation

Indexed keywords

COREGONUS CLUPEAFORMIS; MICROPTERUS DOLOMIEU; PERCIFORMES; PISCES; SANDER VITREUS; STIZOSTEDION VITREUM;

ANIMAL; BIOLOGY; CLIMATE CHANGE; ECOSYSTEM; FISH; FOOD INDUSTRY; METHODOLOGY; PHYSIOLOGY; REVIEW; RIVER; UNITED STATES;

ANIMALS; CLIMATE CHANGE; ECOSYSTEM; FISHERIES; FISHES; GREAT LAKES REGION; HYDROBIOLOGY; RIVERS;

EID: 78449278465     PISSN: 00221112     EISSN: 10958649     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1095-8649.2010.02759.x     Document Type: Article

References (78)

1. 2 global warming on Great-Lakes ice cover. Climatic Change 18, 377-395.
2. Assel, R., Cronk, K. & Norton, D. (2003). Recent trends in Laurentian Great Lakes ice cover. Climatic Change 57, 185-204.
3. Azadivar, F., Truong, T. & Jiao, Y. (2009). A decision support system for fisheries management using operations research and systems science approach. Expert Systems With Applications 36, 2971-2978.
4. Blumberg, A. F. & Di Toro, D. M. (1990). Effects of climate warming on dissolved-oxygen concentration in Lake Erie. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 119, 210-223.
5. Borden, W. C. & Krebs, R. A. (2009). Phylogeography and postglacial dispersal of smallmouth bass (Micropterus dolomieu) into the Great Lakes. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 66, 2142-2156.
6. Brandt, S. B., Mason, D. M., McCormick, M. J., Lofgren, B., Hunter, T. S. & Tyler, J. A. (2002). Climate change: implications for fish growth performance in the Great Lakes. Fisheries in a Changing Climate 32, 61-75.
7. Bronte, C. R., Ebener, M. P., Schreiner, D. R., DeVault, D. S., Petzold, M. M., Jensen, D. A., Richards, C. & Lozano, S. J. (2005). Fish community change in Lake Superior, 1970-2000. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 62, 482.
8. Casselman, J. M. (2002). Effects of temperature, global extremes, and climate change on year-class production of warmwater, coolwater, and coldwater fishes in the Great Lakes Basin. Fisheries in a Changing Climate 32, 39-59.
9. Christie, W. J. (1963). Effects of artificial propagation and their weather on recruitment in the Lake Ontario whitefish fishery. Journal of the Fisheries Research Board of Canada 20, 597-646.
10. Christie, G. C. & Regier, H. A. (1988). Measures of optimal thermal habitat and their relationship to yields for four commercial fish species. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 45, 301-314.
11. Chu, C., Mandrak, N. E. & Minns, C. K. (2005). Potential impacts of climate change on the distributions of several common and rare freshwater fishes in Canada. Diversity and Distributions 11, 299-310.
12. Clemen, R. T. & Reilly, T. (2001). Making Hard Decisions, 2nd edn. Belmont, CA: Duxbury Press.
13. Cooney, R. (2005). From promise to practicalities: the precautionary principle in biodiversity conservation and sustainable use. In Biodiversity and the Precautionary Principle: Risk and Uncertainty in Conservation and Sustainable Use (Cooney, R. & Dickson, B., eds), pp. 3-18. London: Earthscan.
14. 2 climate change hydrological impacts. Climatic Change 17, 27-47.
15. Decker, D. J., Brown, T. L. & Knuth, B. A. (1996). Human dimensions research: its importance in natural resource management. In Natural Resource Management: The Human Dimension (Ewert, A. W., ed.), pp. 29-52. Boulder, CO: Westview Press.
16. Ebener, M. P. (1997). Recovery of lake whitefish populations in the Great Lakes. Fisheries 22, 18-22.
17. Enck, J. W. & Decker, D. J. (1997). Examining assumptions in wildlife management: a contribution of human dimensions inquiry. Human Dimensions of Wildlife 2, 56-72.
18. Freeberg, M. H., Taylor, W. W. & Brown, R. W. (1990). Effect of egg and larval survival on the year-class strength of lake whitefish in Grand Traverse Bay, Lake Michigan. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 119, 92-100.
19. Gavaris, S. (2009). Fisheries management planning and support for strategic and tactical decisions in an ecosystem approach context. Fisheries Research 100, 6-14.
20. Goff, G. P. (1986). Reproductive success of male smallmouth bass in Long Point Bay, Lake Erie. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 115, 415-423.
21. Hayes, D. B., Ferreri, C. P. & Taylor, W. W. (1996). Linking fish habitat to their population dynamics. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 53, 383-390.
22. Hecky, R. E. & Kilham, P. (1988). Nutrient limitation of phytoplankton in freshwater and marine environments: a review of recent evidence on the effects of enrichment. Limnology and Oceanography 33, 796-822.
23. Hill, D. K. & Magnuson, J. J. (1990). Potential effects of global climate warming on the growth and prey consumption of Great Lakes fish. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 119, 265-275.
24. Hokanson, K. E. F. (1977). Temperature requirements of some percids and adaptations to the seasonal temperature cycle. Journal of the Fisheries Research Board of Canada 34, 1524-1550.
25. Howe, D. A., Marchand, D. S. & Alpaugh, C. (1986). Socio-economic Assessment of the Implications of Climatic Change for Commercial Navigation and Hydro-electric Power Generation in the Great Lakes-St. Lawrence River System. Windsor, ON: Great Lakes Institute, University of Windsor.
26. IPCC (2007). Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report (Pachauri, R. K. & Reidinger, A., eds), p. 104. Geneva: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
27. Jackson, D. A. & Mandrak, N. E. (2002). Changing fish biodiversity: predicting the loss of cyprinid biodiversity due to global climate change. Fisheries in a Changing Climate 32, 89-98.
28. Jacobson, S. K. & McDuff, M. D. (1998). Training idiot savants: the lack of human dimensions in conservation biology. Conservation Biology 12, 263-267.
29. Johnson, J. E., DeWitt, S. P. & Clevenger, J. A. Jr. (2007). Causes of variable survival of stocked Chinook salmon in Lake Huron. Michigan Department of Natural Resources, Fisheries Research Report 2086, p. 54. Ann Arbor, MI: Michigan Department of Natural Resources.
30. Jones, B. R., Hokanson, K. E. F. & McCormick, J. H. (1972). Winter temperature requirements for maturation and spawning of yellow perch, Perca flavenscens (Mitchill). In Proceedings, World Conference Towards a Plan of Action for Mankind (Marois, M., ed.), pp. 189-192. New York, NY: Pergamon Press.
31. Jones, M. L., Shutter, B. J., Zhao, Y. & Stockwell, J. D. (2006). Forecasting effects of climate change on Great Lakes fisheries: models that link supply to population dynamics can help. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 63, 457-468.
32. King, J. R., Shuter, B. J. & Zimmerman, A. P. (1999). Empirical links between thermal habitat, fish growth, and climate change. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 128, 656-665.
33. Kling, G. W., Hayhoe, K., Johnson, L. B., Magnuson, J. J., Polasky, S., Robinson, S. K., Shuter, B. J., Wander, M. M., Wuebbles, D. J., Zak, D. R., Lindroth, R. L., Moser, S. C. & Wilson, M. L. (2003). Confronting Climate Change in the Great Lakes Region: Impacts on Our Communities and Ecosystems. Washington, DC: Union of Concerned Scientists and Ecological Society of America.
34. Knight, R. L. (1997). Successful interagency rehabilitation of Lake Erie walleye. Fisheries 22, 16-17.
35. Lane, D. E. & Stephenson, R. L. (1998). Fisheries co-management: organization, process, and decision support. Journal of Northwest Atlantic Fishery Science 23, 251-265.
36. Lawler, G. H. (1965). Fluctuations in the success of year-classes of whitefish populations with special reference to Lake Erie. Journal of the Fisheries Research Board of Canada 22, 1197-1227.
37. Lehman, J. T. (2002). Mixing patterns and plankton biomass of the St. Lawrence Great Lakes under climate change scenarios. Journal of Great Lakes Research 28, 583-596.
38. Lehman, J. T., Brooks, A. S. & Zastrow, J. C. (2000). Water Ecology. In Great Lakes Regional Assessment Report - Preparing for a Changing Climate: The Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Change in the Great Lakes Region (Sousounis, P. J. & Bisanzm, J. M., eds), pp. 43-50. Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Space Sciences Department.
39. Liu, J. & Taylor, W. W. (2002). Integrating Landscape Ecology Into Natural Resource Management. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
40. Lofgren, B. M., Quinn, F. H., Clites, A. H., Assel, R. A., Eberhardt, A. J. & Luukkonen, C. L. (2002). Evaluation of potential impacts on Great Lakes water resources based on climate scenarios of two GCMs. Journal of Great Lakes Research 28, 537-554.
41. Madenjian, C. P., O'Connor, D. V., Pothoven, S. A., Schneeberger, P. J., Rediske, R. R., O'Keefe, J. P., Bergstedt, R. A., Argyle, R. L. & Brandt, S. B. (2006). Evaluation of a lake whitefish bioenergetics model. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 135, 61-75.
42. Magnuson, J. J., Meisner, D. J. & Hill, D. K. (1990). Potential changes in the thermal habitat of great lakes fisher after global climate warming. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 119, 253-264.
43. Magnuson, J. J., Webster, K. E., Assel, R. A., Bowser, C. J., Dillon, P. J., Eaton, J. G., Evans, H. E., Fee, E. J., Hall, R. I., Mortsch, L. R., Schindler, D. W. & Quinn, F. H. (1997). Potential effects of climate changes on aquatic systems: Laurentian Great Lakes and Precambrian Shield Region. Hydrological Processes 11, 825-871.
44. Mandrak, N. E. (1989). Potential invasions of the Great Lakes by fish species associated with climate warming. Journal of Great Lakes Research 15, 306-316.
45. Marchand, D., Sanderson, M., Howe, D. & Alpaugh, C. (1988). Climate change and great lakes levels the impact on shipping. Climate Change 12, 107-133.
46. Marcogliese, D. J. (2001). Implications of climate change for parasitism of animals in the aquatic environment. Canadian Journal of Zoology 79, 1331-1352.
47. McCormick, M. J. (1990). Potential changes in thermal structure and cycle of Lake Michigan due to global warming. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 119, 183-194.
48. McLain, A. S., Magnuson, J. J. & Hill, D. K. (1994). Latitudinal and longitudinal differences in thermal habitat for fishes influences by climate warming: expectation from simulations. International Association of Theoretical and Applied Limnology 25, 2080-2085.
49. Meisner, J. D., Goodier, J. L., Regier, H. A., Shuter, B. J. & Christie, W. J. (1987). An assessment of the effects of climate warming on Great Lakes basin fishes. Journal of Great Lakes Research 13, 340-352.
50. Miller, R. B. (1952). The relative sizes of whitefish year classes as affected by egg planting and the weather. Journal of Wildlife Management 16, 39-50.
51. Mortsch, L. D. & Quinn, F. H. (1996). Climate change scenarios for Great Lakes Basin ecosystem studies. Limnology and Oceanography 41, 903-911.
52. Nate, N. A., Bozek, M. A., Hansen, M. J. & Hewett, S. W. (2001). Variation of adult walleye abundance in relation to recruitment and linmological variables in northern Wisconsin lakes. North American Journal of Fisheries Management 21, 441-447.
53. Office of Technology Assessment (1993). Harmful Nonindigenous Species in the United States, p. 391. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office.
54. Rao, Y. R., Hawley, N., Charlton, M. N. & Schertzer, W. M. (2008). Physical processes and hypoxia in the central basin of Lake Erie. Limnology and Oceanography 53, 2007-2020.
55. Regier, H. A., Holmes, J. A. & Pauly, D. (1990). Influence of temperature changes on aquatic ecosystems: an interpretation of empirical data. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 119, 374-389.
56. Regier, H. A. & Meisner, J. D. (1990). Anticipated effects of climate change on fresh-water fishes and their habitat. Fisheries 15, 10-15.
57. Ricciardi, A. & Rasmussen, J. B. (1998). Predicting the identity and impact of future biological invaders: a priority for aquatic resource management. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 55, 1759-1765.
58. Riley, S. J., Siemer, W. F., Decker, D. J., Carpenter, L. H., Organ, J. F. & Berchielli, L. T. (2003). Adaptive impact management: an integrative approach to wildlife management. Human Dimensions of Wildlife 8, 81-95.
59. Roseman, E. F. (1997). Factors influencing the year-class strength of reef-spawned walleye in western Lake Erie. PhD Thesis, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA.
60. Roseman, E. F., Knight, R. L., Wright, E., Einhouse, D., Kayle, K., Newman, K. & Hoopes, R. L. (2008). Ecology and international governance of Lake Erie's percid fisheries. In International Governance of Fisheries Ecosystems: Learning From the Past, Finding Solutions for the Future (Schechter, M. G., Leonard, N. J. & Taylor, W. W., eds), pp. 145-169. Bethesda, MD: American Fisheries Society.
61. Schlesinger, D. A. & Regier, H. A. (1982). Climatic and morphoedaphic indicies of fish yields from natural lakes. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 11, 141-150.
62. Sharma, S., Jackson, D. A., Minns, C. K. & Shuter, B. J. (2007). Will northern fish populations be in hot water because of climate change? Global Change Biology 13, 2052-2064.
63. Shim, J. P., Warkentin, M., Courtney, J. F., Power, D. J., Sharda, R. & Carlsson, C. (2002). Past, present, and future of decision support technology. Decision Support Systems 33, 111-126.
64. Shuter, B. J. & Post, J. R. (1990). Climate, population viability, and the zoogeography of temperate fishes. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 119, 314-336.
65. Shuter, B. J., Minns, C. K. & Lester, N. (2002). Climate change, freshwater fish, and fisheries: case studies from Ontario and their use in assessing potential impacts. Fisheries in a Changing Climate 32, 77-87.
66. Sitar, S. P., Morales, H. M., Mata, M. T., Bastar, B. B., Dupras, D. M., Kleaver, G. D. & Rathbun, K. D. (2008). Survey of siscowet lake trout at their maximum depth in Lake Superior. Journal of Great Lakes Research 34, 276-286.
67. Smith, J. B. (1991). The potential impacts of climate change on the Great Lakes. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 72, 21-28.
68. Sousounis, P. J. & Grover, E. K. (2002). Potential future weather patterns over the Great Lakes region. Journal of Great Lakes Research 28, 496-520.
69. Sousounis, P. J. & Albercook, G. M. (2000). Potential futures. In Great Lakes Regional Assessment Report - Preparing for a Changing Climate: The Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Change in the Great Lakes Region (Sousounis, P. J. & Bisanzm, J. M., eds), pp. 19-24. Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Space Sciences Department.
70. Stefan, H. G., Hondzo, M., Fang, X., Eaton, J. G. & McCormick, J. H. (1996). Simulated long-term temperature and dissolved oxygen characteristics of lakes in the north-central United States and associated fish habitat limits. Limnology and Oceanography 41, 1124-1135.
71. Steinhart, G. B., Leonard, N. J., Stein, R. A. & Marschall, E. A. (2005). Effects of storms, angling, and nest predation during angling on smallmouth bass (Micropterus dolomieu) nest success. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 62, 2649-2660.
72. Stemberger, R. S., Herlihy, A. T., Kugler, D. L. & Paulsen, S. G. (1996). Climatic forcing on zooplankton richness in lakes of the northeastern United States. Limnology and Oceanography 41, 1093-1101.
73. Taylor, W. W. & Dobson, C. (2008). Interjurisdictional fisheries governance: next steps to sustainability. In International Governance of Fisheries Ecosystems: Learning From the Past, Finding Solutions for the Future (Taylor, W. W., Leonard, N. J. & Schechter, M. G., eds), pp. 431-440. Bethesda, MD: American Fisheries Society.
74. Taylor, W. W., Smalle, M. A. & Freeberg, M. H. (1987). Biotic and abiotic determinants of lake whitefish (Coregonus clupeaformis) recruitment in northeastern Lake Michigan. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 44, 313-323.
75. Trumpickas, J., Shuter, B. J. & Minns, C. K. (2009). Forecasting impacts of climate change on Great Lakes surface water temperatures. Journal of Great Lakes Research 35, 454-463.
76. Vander Zanden, M. J., Olden, J. D., Thorne, J. H. & Mandrak, N. E. (2004). Predicting occurrences and impacts of smallmouth bass introductions in north temperate lakes. Ecological Applications 14, 132-148.
77. Whelan, G. E. (2004). A historical perspective on the philosophy behind the use of propagated fish in fisheries management: Michigan's 130-year experience. Propagated Fish in Resource Management 44, 307-315.
78. Wuebbles, D. J. & Hayhoe, K. (2004). Climate change projections for the United States Midwest. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 9, 335-363.