메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 16, Issue 12, 2010, Pages 3223-3232

Nonlinear climate change and Andean feedbacks: An imminent turning point?

Author keywords

Aridity; Charcoal; Conservation; Fossil pollen; Grayscale; Lake Titicaca; Positive feedback; Warming

Indexed keywords

ARIDITY; BIOCLIMATOLOGY; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE EFFECT; CLIMATE FEEDBACK; CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK; CROP PRODUCTION; CROP YIELD; LAKE WATER; MICROCLIMATE; NONLINEARITY; WATER LEVEL;

EID: 78349239671     PISSN: 13541013     EISSN: 13652486     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2010.02203.x     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (32)

References (56)
  • 1
    • 0038215396 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Holocene paleohydrology and glacial history of the central Andes using multiproxy lake sediment studies
    • Abbott MB, Wolfe BB, Wolfe AP et al. (2003) Holocene paleohydrology and glacial history of the central Andes using multiproxy lake sediment studies. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 194, 123-138.
    • (2003) Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology , vol.194 , pp. 123-138
    • Abbott, M.B.1    Wolfe, B.B.2    Wolfe, A.P.3
  • 2
    • 29744439946 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Holocene hydrologic variation at Lake Titicaca, Bolivia/Peru, and its relationship to North Atlantic climate variation
    • Baker PA, Fritz SC, Garland J, Ekdahl E (2005) Holocene hydrologic variation at Lake Titicaca, Bolivia/Peru, and its relationship to North Atlantic climate variation. Journal of Quaternary Science, 20, 655-662.
    • (2005) Journal of Quaternary Science , vol.20 , pp. 655-662
    • Baker, P.A.1    Fritz, S.C.2    Garland, J.3    Ekdahl, E.4
  • 4
    • 0035951464 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The history of South American tropical precipitation for the past 25,000 years
    • Baker PA, Seltzer GO, Fritz SC et al. (2001b) The history of South American tropical precipitation for the past 25, 000 years. Science, 291, 640-643.
    • (2001) Science , vol.291 , pp. 640-643
    • Baker, P.A.1    Seltzer, G.O.2    Fritz, S.C.3
  • 5
    • 0035824479 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Persistent solar influence on North Atlantic climate during the Holocene
    • Bond G, Kromer B, Beer J et al. (2001) Persistent solar influence on North Atlantic climate during the Holocene. Science, 294, 2130-2136.
    • (2001) Science , vol.294 , pp. 2130-2136
    • Bond, G.1    Kromer, B.2    Beer, J.3
  • 6
    • 0024785097 scopus 로고
    • The role of ocean-atmosphere reorganizations in glacial cycles
    • Broecker WS, Denton GH (1989) The role of ocean-atmosphere reorganizations in glacial cycles. Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta, 53, 2465-2501.
    • (1989) Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta , vol.53 , pp. 2465-2501
    • Broecker, W.S.1    Denton, G.H.2
  • 8
    • 35348998346 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate Change 2007: the Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate. Change.
    • (eds, Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, Averyt KB, Tignor M, Miller HL) - Cambridge University Press, New York.
    • Christensen JH, Hewitson B, Busuioc A et al. (2007) Regional climate projections. In: Climate Change 2007: the Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate. Change. (eds Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, Averyt KB, Tignor M, Miller HL), pp. 847-940. Cambridge University Press, New York.
    • (2007) Regional climate projections , pp. 847-940
    • Christensen, J.H.1    Hewitson, B.2    Busuioc, A.3
  • 9
    • 41549153357 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Post-fire population dynamics of two tree species in high-altitude Polylepis forests of Central Ecuador
    • Cierjacks A, Salgado S, Wesche K, Hensen I (2008) Post-fire population dynamics of two tree species in high-altitude Polylepis forests of Central Ecuador. Biotropica, 40, 176-182.
    • (2008) Biotropica , vol.40 , pp. 176-182
    • Cierjacks, A.1    Salgado, S.2    Wesche, K.3    Hensen, I.4
  • 10
    • 85040957033 scopus 로고
    • Quaternary Geology and Geomorphology of South America
    • Elsevier, Amsterdam.
    • Clapperton CW (1993) Quaternary Geology and Geomorphology of South America. Elsevier, Amsterdam.
    • (1993)
    • Clapperton, C.W.1
  • 11
    • 59849117766 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change, human land use and future fires in the Amazon
    • Cochrane MA, Barber CP (2009) Climate change, human land use and future fires in the Amazon. Global Change Biology, 15, 601-612.
    • (2009) Global Change Biology , vol.15 , pp. 601-612
    • Cochrane, M.A.1    Barber, C.P.2
  • 12
    • 43449127506 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Increasing risk of Amazonian drought due to decreasing aerosol pollution
    • Cox PM, Harris PP, Huntingford C et al. (2008) Increasing risk of Amazonian drought due to decreasing aerosol pollution. Nature, 453, 212-215.
    • (2008) Nature , vol.453 , pp. 212-215
    • Cox, P.M.1    Harris, P.P.2    Huntingford, C.3
  • 13
    • 0033980356 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A new estimate of the Holocene lowstand level of Lake Titicaca, central Andes, and implications for tropical palaeohydrology
    • Cross SL, Baker PA, Seltzer GO, Fritz SC, Dunbar RB (2000) A new estimate of the Holocene lowstand level of Lake Titicaca, central Andes, and implications for tropical palaeohydrology. The Holocene, 10, 21-32.
    • (2000) The Holocene , vol.10 , pp. 21-32
    • Cross, S.L.1    Baker, P.A.2    Seltzer, G.O.3    Fritz, S.C.4    Dunbar, R.B.5
  • 14
    • 14544304096 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Insolation-driven changes in atmospheric circulation over the past 116,000 years in subtropical Brazil
    • Cruz FW Jr, Burns SJ, Karmann I et al. (2005) Insolation-driven changes in atmospheric circulation over the past 116, 000 years in subtropical Brazil. Nature, 434, 63-66.
    • (2005) Nature , vol.434 , pp. 63-66
    • Cruz Jr, F.W.1    Burns, S.J.2    Karmann, I.3
  • 15
    • 44349161751 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regional impacts of future land-cover changes on the Amazon basin wet-season climate
    • Da Silva RR, Werth D, Avissar R (2008) Regional impacts of future land-cover changes on the Amazon basin wet-season climate. Journal of Climate, 21, 1153-1170.
    • (2008) Journal of Climate , vol.21 , pp. 1153-1170
    • Da Silva, R.R.1    Werth, D.2    Avissar, R.3
  • 17
    • 52649154129 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Holocene multidecadal- to millennial-scale hydrologic variability on the South American Altiplano
    • Ekdahl EJ, Fritz SC, Baker PA, Rigsby CA, Coley K (2008) Holocene multidecadal- to millennial-scale hydrologic variability on the South American Altiplano. The Holocene, 18, 867-876.
    • (2008) The Holocene , vol.18 , pp. 867-876
    • Ekdahl, E.J.1    Fritz, S.C.2    Baker, P.A.3    Rigsby, C.A.4    Coley, K.5
  • 18
    • 0003063863 scopus 로고
    • Raised field agriculture in the Lake Titicaca Basin
    • putting ancient agriculture back to work.
    • Erickson CL (1988) Raised field agriculture in the Lake Titicaca Basin: putting ancient agriculture back to work. Expedition, 30, 8-16.
    • (1988) Expedition , vol.30 , pp. 8-16
    • Erickson, C.L.1
  • 19
    • 1542347883 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hydrologic variation during the last 170,000 years in the southern hemisphere tropics of South America
    • Fritz SC, Baker PA, Lowenstein TK et al. (2004) Hydrologic variation during the last 170, 000 years in the southern hemisphere tropics of South America. Quaternary Research, 61, 95-104.
    • (2004) Quaternary Research , vol.61 , pp. 95-104
    • Fritz, S.C.1    Baker, P.A.2    Lowenstein, T.K.3
  • 20
    • 40949134656 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Corrigendum to "Quaternary glaciation and hydrologic variation in the South American tropics as reconstructed from the Lake Titicaca drilling project" [Quaternary Research 68 (2007) 410-420]
    • Fritz SC, Baker PA, Seltzer GO, Ballantyne A, Tapia P, Cheng H, Edwards RL (2008) Corrigendum to "Quaternary glaciation and hydrologic variation in the South American tropics as reconstructed from the Lake Titicaca drilling project" [Quaternary Research 68 (2007) 410-420]. Quaternary Research, 69, 342.
    • (2008) Quaternary Research , vol.69 , pp. 342
    • Fritz, S.C.1    Baker, P.A.2    Seltzer, G.O.3    Ballantyne, A.4    Tapia, P.5    Cheng, H.6    Edwards, R.L.7
  • 21
    • 35348819351 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Quaternary glaciation and hydrologic variation in the South American tropics as reconstructed from the Lake Titicaca drilling project
    • Fritz SC, Baker PA, Seltzer GO, Ballantyne A, Tapia PM, Cheng H, Edwards RL (2007) Quaternary glaciation and hydrologic variation in the South American tropics as reconstructed from the Lake Titicaca drilling project. Quaternary Research, 68, 410-420.
    • (2007) Quaternary Research , vol.68 , pp. 410-420
    • Fritz, S.C.1    Baker, P.A.2    Seltzer, G.O.3    Ballantyne, A.4    Tapia, P.M.5    Cheng, H.6    Edwards, R.L.7
  • 22
    • 39649122428 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Glacial-interglacial changes in moisture balance and the impact on vegetation in the southern hemisphere tropical Andes (Bolivia/Peru)
    • Gosling WD, Bush MB, Hanselman JA, Chepstow-Lusty AJ (2008) Glacial-interglacial changes in moisture balance and the impact on vegetation in the southern hemisphere tropical Andes (Bolivia/Peru). Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 259, 35-50.
    • (2008) Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology , vol.259 , pp. 35-50
    • Gosling, W.D.1    Bush, M.B.2    Hanselman, J.A.3    Chepstow-Lusty, A.J.4
  • 25
    • 29744433498 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Contrasting pollen histories of MIS 5e and the Holocene from Lake Titicaca (Bolivia/Peru)
    • Hanselman JA, Gosling WD, Paduano GM, Bush MB (2005) Contrasting pollen histories of MIS 5e and the Holocene from Lake Titicaca (Bolivia/Peru). Journal of Quaternary Science, 20, 663-670.
    • (2005) Journal of Quaternary Science , vol.20 , pp. 663-670
    • Hanselman, J.A.1    Gosling, W.D.2    Paduano, G.M.3    Bush, M.B.4
  • 26
    • 0022202330 scopus 로고
    • Late Pleistocene climate and water budget of the South American Altiplano
    • Hastenrath S, Kutzbach J (1985) Late Pleistocene climate and water budget of the South American Altiplano. Quaternary Research, 24, 249-256.
    • (1985) Quaternary Research , vol.24 , pp. 249-256
    • Hastenrath, S.1    Kutzbach, J.2
  • 28
    • 0027882677 scopus 로고
    • Frequency spectra and paleoclimatic variability of the high-resolution 30-1450ka Funza I pollen record (Eastern Cordillera, Colombia)
    • Hooghiemstra H, Melice JL, Berger A, Shackleton NJ (1993) Frequency spectra and paleoclimatic variability of the high-resolution 30-1450ka Funza I pollen record (Eastern Cordillera, Colombia). Quaternary Science Reviews, 12, 141-156.
    • (1993) Quaternary Science Reviews , vol.12 , pp. 141-156
    • Hooghiemstra, H.1    Melice, J.L.2    Berger, A.3    Shackleton, N.J.4
  • 29
    • 33947170953 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The political ecology of a "forest transition"
    • Eucalyptus forestry in the Southern Peruvian Andes.
    • Luzar J (2007) The political ecology of a "forest transition": Eucalyptus forestry in the Southern Peruvian Andes. Ethnobotany Research and Applications, 5, 85-93.
    • (2007) Ethnobotany Research and Applications , vol.5 , pp. 85-93
    • Luzar, J.1
  • 30
    • 33645101409 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global warming and extinctions of endemic species from biodiversity hotspots
    • Malcolm JR, Liu C, Neilson RP, Hansen L, Hannah L (2006) Global warming and extinctions of endemic species from biodiversity hotspots. Conservation Biology, 20, 538-548.
    • (2006) Conservation Biology , vol.20 , pp. 538-548
    • Malcolm, J.R.1    Liu, C.2    Neilson, R.P.3    Hansen, L.4    Hannah, L.5
  • 32
    • 0037079021 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Variability of El Nino/Southern Oscillation activity at millennial timescales during the Holocene epoch
    • Moy CM, Seltzer GO, Rodbell DT, Anderson DM (2002) Variability of El Nino/Southern Oscillation activity at millennial timescales during the Holocene epoch. Nature, 420, 162-164.
    • (2002) Nature , vol.420 , pp. 162-164
    • Moy, C.M.1    Seltzer, G.O.2    Rodbell, D.T.3    Anderson, D.M.4
  • 33
    • 0037174686 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Human occupations and climate change in the Puna de Atacama, Chile
    • Núñez L, Grosjean M, Cartajena I (2002) Human occupations and climate change in the Puna de Atacama, Chile. Science, 298, 821-824.
    • (2002) Science , vol.298 , pp. 821-824
    • Núñez, L.1    Grosjean, M.2    Cartajena, I.3
  • 35
    • 0037413628 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems
    • Parmesan C, Yohe G (2003) A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature, 421, 37-42.
    • (2003) Nature , vol.421 , pp. 37-42
    • Parmesan, C.1    Yohe, G.2
  • 36
    • 0022385895 scopus 로고
    • The greenhouse effect and nature reserves
    • Peters RL, Darling JDS (1985) The greenhouse effect and nature reserves. BioScience, 35, 707-711.
    • (1985) BioScience , vol.35 , pp. 707-711
    • Peters, R.L.1    Darling, J.D.S.2
  • 37
    • 0033519676 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate and atmospheric history of the past 420,000 years from the Vostok ice core, Antarctica
    • Petit JR, Jouzel J, Raynaud D et al. (1999) Climate and atmospheric history of the past 420, 000 years from the Vostok ice core, Antarctica. Nature, 399, 429-436.
    • (1999) Nature , vol.399 , pp. 429-436
    • Petit, J.R.1    Jouzel, J.2    Raynaud, D.3
  • 38
    • 33646800194 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Geochronology and stratigraphy of late Pleistocene lake cycles on the southern Bolivian Altiplano
    • implications for causes of tropical climate change.
    • Placzek C, Quade J, Patchett PJ (2006) Geochronology and stratigraphy of late Pleistocene lake cycles on the southern Bolivian Altiplano: implications for causes of tropical climate change. Geological Society of America Bulletin, 118, 515-532.
    • (2006) Geological Society of America Bulletin , vol.118 , pp. 515-532
    • Placzek, C.1    Quade, J.2    Patchett, P.J.3
  • 39
    • 0035810180 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate and amphibian declines
    • Pounds JA (2001) Climate and amphibian declines. Nature, 410, 639-640.
    • (2001) Nature , vol.410 , pp. 639-640
    • Pounds, J.A.1
  • 40
    • 0033560891 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Biological response to climate change on a tropical mountain
    • Pounds JA, Fogden MPL, Campbell JH (1999) Biological response to climate change on a tropical mountain. Nature, 398, 611-615.
    • (1999) Nature , vol.398 , pp. 611-615
    • Pounds, J.A.1    Fogden, M.P.L.2    Campbell, J.H.3
  • 41
    • 33845792214 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • ImageJ 1.32j
    • National Institute of Health, USA.
    • Rasband WS (2005) ImageJ 1.32j. National Institute of Health, USA.
    • (2005)
    • Rasband, W.S.1
  • 42
    • 33846785057 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How do the 1982/83 and 1997/98 El Niños rank in a geological record from Peru?
    • Rein B (2007) How do the 1982/83 and 1997/98 El Niños rank in a geological record from Peru? Quaternary International, 161, 56-66.
    • (2007) Quaternary International , vol.161 , pp. 56-66
    • Rein, B.1
  • 44
    • 0002582452 scopus 로고
    • Lake Titicaca: A Synthesis of Limnological Knowledge
    • (eds, Dejoux C, Iltis A) - Kluwer Academic Press, Boston.
    • Roche MA, Bourges JC, Mattos R (1992) Climatology and hydrology of the Lake Titicaca basin. In: Lake Titicaca: A Synthesis of Limnological Knowledge (eds Dejoux C, Iltis A), pp. 63-83. Kluwer Academic Press, Boston.
    • (1992) Climatology and hydrology of the Lake Titicaca basin , pp. 63-83
    • Roche, M.A.1    Bourges, J.C.2    Mattos, R.3
  • 45
    • 84879888784 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Isotopic evidence for late Quaternary climatic change in tropical South America
    • Seltzer G, Rodbell D, Burns S (2000) Isotopic evidence for late Quaternary climatic change in tropical South America. Geology, 28, 35-38.
    • (2000) Geology , vol.28 , pp. 35-38
    • Seltzer, G.1    Rodbell, D.2    Burns, S.3
  • 46
    • 0025584696 scopus 로고
    • Recent glacial history and paleoclimate of the Peruvian-Bolivian Andes
    • Seltzer GO (1990) Recent glacial history and paleoclimate of the Peruvian-Bolivian Andes. Quaternary Science Reviews, 9, 137-152.
    • (1990) Quaternary Science Reviews , vol.9 , pp. 137-152
    • Seltzer, G.O.1
  • 47
    • 0031961619 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • High-resolution seismic reflection profiles from Lake Titicaca, Peru/Bolivia. Evidence for Holocene aridity in the tropical Andes
    • Seltzer GO, Cross S, Baker P, Dunbar R, Fritz S (1998) High-resolution seismic reflection profiles from Lake Titicaca, Peru/Bolivia. Evidence for Holocene aridity in the tropical Andes. Geology, 26, 167-170.
    • (1998) Geology , vol.26 , pp. 167-170
    • Seltzer, G.O.1    Cross, S.2    Baker, P.3    Dunbar, R.4    Fritz, S.5
  • 49
    • 0033985536 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Past and future reorganizations in the climate system
    • Stocker T (2000) Past and future reorganizations in the climate system. Quaternary Science Reviews, 19, 301-319.
    • (2000) Quaternary Science Reviews , vol.19 , pp. 301-319
    • Stocker, T.1
  • 50
    • 1542329839 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Extinction risk from climate change
    • Thomas CD, Cameron A, Green RE et al. (2004) Extinction risk from climate change. Nature, 427, 145-148.
    • (2004) Nature , vol.427 , pp. 145-148
    • Thomas, C.D.1    Cameron, A.2    Green, R.E.3
  • 51
    • 0035936909 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Variability in the El Nino-Southern Oscillation through a glacial-interglacial cycle
    • Tudhope AW, Chilcott CP, McCulloch MT et al. (2001) Variability in the El Nino-Southern Oscillation through a glacial-interglacial cycle. Science, 291, 1511-1517.
    • (2001) Science , vol.291 , pp. 1511-1517
    • Tudhope, A.W.1    Chilcott, C.P.2    McCulloch, M.T.3
  • 52
    • 0037385771 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interglacial-glacial Fuquene-3 pollen record from Colombia
    • an Eemian to Holocene climate record.
    • Van der Hammen T, Hooghiemstra H (2003) Interglacial-glacial Fuquene-3 pollen record from Colombia: an Eemian to Holocene climate record. Global and Planetary Change, 36, 181-199.
    • (2003) Global and Planetary Change , vol.36 , pp. 181-199
    • Van der Hammen, T.1    Hooghiemstra, H.2
  • 53
    • 10644227679 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Wet periods in northeastern Brazil over the past 210 kyr linked to distant climate anomalies
    • Wang X, Auler AS, Edwards RL et al. (2004) Wet periods in northeastern Brazil over the past 210 kyr linked to distant climate anomalies. Nature, 432, 740-743.
    • (2004) Nature , vol.432 , pp. 740-743
    • Wang, X.1    Auler, A.S.2    Edwards, R.L.3
  • 54
    • 0036213623 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Upper forest line reconstruction in a deforested area in northern Ecuador based on pollen and vegetation analysis
    • Wille M, Hooghiemstra H, Hofstede R, Fehse J, Sevink J (2002) Upper forest line reconstruction in a deforested area in northern Ecuador based on pollen and vegetation analysis. Journal of Tropical Ecology, 18, 409-440.
    • (2002) Journal of Tropical Ecology , vol.18 , pp. 409-440
    • Wille, M.1    Hooghiemstra, H.2    Hofstede, R.3    Fehse, J.4    Sevink, J.5
  • 55
    • 78349296248 scopus 로고
    • Lake Titicaca. A Synthesis of Limnological Knowledge
    • (eds, DeJoux C, Iltis A) - Kluwer Academic Publishers, Boston.
    • Ybert JP (1992) Ancient lake environments as deduced from pollen analysis. In: Lake Titicaca. A Synthesis of Limnological Knowledge (eds DeJoux C, Iltis A), pp. 49-62. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Boston.
    • (1992) Ancient lake environments as deduced from pollen analysis , pp. 49-62
    • Ybert, J.P.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.