Capture-recapture models with heterogeneity to study survival senescence in the wild

Oikos

Volumn 119, Issue 3, 2010, Pages 524-532

  Péron, Guillaume ^a   Crochet, Pierre André ^a   Choquet, Rémi ^a   Pradel, Roger ^a   Lebreton, Jean Dominique ^a   Gimenez, Olivier ^a  

^a CNRS   (France)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

COLONY; ECOLOGICAL MODELING; EMIGRATION; HETEROGENEITY; INDIVIDUAL VARIATION; MARK-RECAPTURE METHOD; MARKOV CHAIN; MORTALITY; SEABIRD; SENESCENCE; SURVIVAL; WILDERNESS AREA;

LARUS RIDIBUNDUS;

EID: 78249253867     PISSN: 00301299     EISSN: 16000706     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1600-1706.2009.17882.x     Document Type: Article

References (58)

1. Arnason, A. N. 1972. Parameter estimates from mark-recapture experiments on two populations subject to migration and death. - Res. Popul. Ecol. 13: 97-113.
2. Arnason, A. N. 1973. The estimation of population size, migration rates and survival in a stratified population. - Res. Popul. Ecol. 15: 1-8.
3. Burnham, K. P. 1993. A theory for combined analysis of ring recovery and recapture data. - In: Lebreton, J. D. and North, P. H. (eds), Marked individuals in the study of bird population. Birkhäuser, pp. 199-213.
4. Burnham, K. P. and Anderson, D. R. 2002. Model selection and multimodel inference: a practical information-theoretic approach (2nd ed.) - Springer.
5. Calladine, J. and Harris, M. P. 1997. Intermittent breeding in the herring gull Larus argentatus and the lesser black-backed gull Larus fuscus. - Ibis 139: 259-263.
6. Cam, E. et al. 2002. Individual covariation in life-history traits: seeing the trees despite the forest. - Am. Nat. 159: 96-105.
7. Choquet, R. et al. 2005. U-CARE 2.2 user's manual - CEFE, Montpellier, France.
8. Choquet, R. et al. 2009a. Program E-SURGE: a software application for fitting multievent models. - In: Thomson, D. L. et al. (eds), Modelling demographic processes in marked populations. Springer, pp. 845-865.
9. Choquet, R. et al. 2009b. U-CARE: Utilities for performing goodness of fit tests and manipulating capture-recapture data. - Ecography 32: 1071-1074.
10. Clobert, J. et al. 1994. The estimation of age-specific breeding probabilities from recaptures or resightings in vertebrate populations. Longitudinal models. - Biometrics 50: 375-87.
11. Clobert, J. et al. 2009. Informed dispersal, heterogeneity in animal dispersal syndromes and the dynamics of spatially structured populations. - Ecol. Lett. 12: 197-209.
12. Congdon, J. D. et al. 2003. Testing hypotheses of aging in long-lived painted turtles (Chrysemys picta). - Exp. Gerontol. 38: 765-72.
13. Conn, P. B. and Cooch, E. G. 2009. Multistate capture-recapture under imperfect state observation: an application to disease models. - J. Appl. Ecol. 46: 486-492.
14. Cote, J. and Clobert, J. 2007. Social personalities influence natal dispersal in a lizard. - Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 274: 383-390.
15. Crespin, L. et al. 2006. Increased adult mortality and reduced breeding success with age in a population of common guillemot Uria aalge using marked birds of unknown age. - J. Avian Biol. 37: 273-282.
16. Crespin, L. et al. 2008. Is heterogeneity of catchability in capture-recapture studies a mere sampling artefact or a biologically relevant feature of the population? - Popul. Ecol. 50: 247-256.
17. Dingemanse, N. J. et al. 2004. Fitness consequences of avian personalities in a fluctuating environment. - Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 271: 847-852.
18. Finch, C. E. 1990. Longevity, senescence, and the genome. - Univ. of Chicago Press.
19. Fox, G. A. et al. 2006. Consequences of heterogeneity in survival probability in a population of Florida scrub-jays. - J. Anim. Ecol. 75: 921-927.
20. Fujiwara, M. and Caswell, H. 2002. A general approach to temporary emigration in mark-recapture analysis. - Ecology 83: 3266-3275.
21. Gimenez, O. et al. 2008. The risk of flawed inference in evolutionary studies when detectability is less than one. - Am. Nat. 172: 441-448.
22. Greenwood, P. J. 1980. Mating systems, philopatry and dispersal in birds and mammals. - Anim. Behav. 28: 1140-1162.
23. Grosbois, V. 2001. La dispersion: trait d'histoire de vie et paramètre démographique: étude empirique dans une population de mouette rieuse. PhD thesis - Univ. Montpellier II, Montpellier, France, in French.
24. Hamel, S. et al. 2008. Individual variation in reproductive costs of reproduction: high-quality females always do better. - J. Anim. Ecol. 78: 143-151.
25. Jones, O. R. et al. 2008. Senescence rates are determined by ranking on the fast-slow life-history continuum. - Ecol. Lett. 11: 664-673.
26. Lebreton, J. D. 1987. Régulation par le recrutement chez la Mouette rieuse Larus ridibundus. - Rev. Ecol. - Terre Vie Suppl. 4: 173-187, in French.
27. Lebreton, J. D. et al. 1992. Modelling survival and testing biological hypotheses using marked animals - a unified approach with case-studies. - Ecol. Monogr. 62: 67-118.
28. Loison, A. et al. 1999. Age-specific survival in five populations of ungulates: evidence of senescence. - Ecology 80: 2539-2554.
29. MacDonald, I. L. and Zucchini, W. 1997. Hidden Markov and other models for discrete-valued time series. - Chapman and Hall.
30. Medawar, P. B. 1952. An unsolved problem of biology. - Lewis, London.
31. Miller, J. K. 2001. Escaping senescence: demographic data from the three-toed box turtle (Terrapene carolina triunguis). - Exp. Gerontol. 36: 829-832.
32. Nichols, J. D. et al. 1997. Test for senescent decline in annual survival probabilities of common pochard, Aythia ferina. - Ecology 78: 1009-1018.
33. Nichols, J. D. et al. 2004. Estimation of sex-specific survival from capture-recapture data when sex is not always known. - Ecology 85: 3192-3201.
34. Nussey, D. H. et al. 2006. The rate of senescence in maternal performance increases with early-life fecundity in red deer. - Ecol. Lett. 9: 1342-1350.
35. Pistorius, P. A. and Bester, M. N. 2002. A longitudinal study of senescence in a pinniped. - Can. J. Zool. 80: 395-401.
36. Pledger, S. 2000. Unified maximum likelihood estimates for closed capture-recapture models using mixtures. - Biometrics 56: 434-442.
37. Pledger, S. 2005. The performance of mixture models in heterogeneous closed population capture-recapture. - Biometrics 61: 868-873.
38. Pledger, S. et al. 2003. Open capture-recapture models with heterogeneity: I. Cormack-Jolly-Seber model. - Biometrics 59: 786-794.
39. Pradel, R. 1993. Flexibility in survival analysis from recapture data: handling trap-dependence. - In: Lebreton, J. D. and North, P. H. (eds), Marked individuals in the study of bird population. Birkhäuser, pp. 29-37.
40. Pradel, R. 2005. Multievent: an extension of multistate capture-recapture models to uncertain states. - Biometrics 61: 442-447.
41. Pradel, R. et al. 1997. Capture-recapture survival models taking account of transients. - Biometrics 53: 60-72.
42. Pradel, R. et al. 2005. Principles and interests of GOF tests for multistate capture-recapture models. - Anim. Biodiv. Conserv. 28: 189-204.
43. Pradel, R. 2009. The stakes of capture-recapture models with state uncertainty. - In: Thomson, D. L. et al. (eds), Modeling demographic processes in marked populations. Springer, pp. 781-795.
44. Pradel, R. et al. 2007. Estimation of sex-specific survival with uncertainty in sex assessment. - Can. J. Stat. 36: 29-42.
45. Prévot-Julliard, A. C. et al. 1998. Re-evaluation of adult survival of black-headed gulls (Larus ridibundus) in presence of recapture heterogeneity. - Auk 115: 85-95.
46. Pugesek, B. H. et al. 1995. Mark-resighting analysis of a California gull population. - J. Appl. Stat. 22: 625-39.
47. Rao, C. R. 1973. Linear statistical inference and its applications. - Wiley.
48. Regehr, E. V. et al. 2007. Effects of earlier sea ice breakup on survival and population size of polar bear in western Hudson Bay. - J. Wildlife Manage. 71: 2673-2683.
49. Rouan, L. et al. 2009. A general framework for modeling memory in capture-recapture data. - J. Agric. Biol. Environ., in press.
50. Royle, J. A. 2008. Modeling individual effects in the Cormack-Jolly-Seber model: a state-space formulation. - Biometrics 64: 364-370.
51. Schaub, M. et al. 2004. Estimating survival and temporary emigration in the multistate capture-recapture framework. - Ecology 85: 2107-2113.
52. Schwarz, C. J. et al. 1993. Estimating migration rates using tag-recovery data. - Biometrics 49: 177-193.
53. Switzer, P. V. 1997. Past reproductive success affects future habitat selection. - Behav. Ecol. Sociobiol. 40: 307-312.
54. van de Pol, M. and Verhulst, S. 2006. Age-dependant traits: a new statistical model to separate within- and between-individual traits. - Am. Nat. 167: 766-773.
55. Vaupel, J. W. and Yashin, A. I. 1985. Heterogeneity's ruses: some surprising effects of selection on population dynamics. - Am. Stat. 39: 176-185.
56. Whitehead, H. and Wimmer, T. 2005. Heterogeneity and the mark-recapture assessment of the Scotian Shelf population of northern bottlenose whales (Hyperoodon ampullatus). - Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 62: 2573-2585.
57. Wolf, M. et al. 2007. Life-history tradeoffs favour the evolution of animal personalities. - Nature 447: 581-584.
58. Zens, M. S. and Peart, D. R. 2003. Dealing with death data: individual hazards, mortality and bias. - Trends Ecol. Evol. 18: 366-373.