A length-structured partial ecosystem model for cod in the North Sea

Fisheries Research

Volumn 106, Issue 3, 2010, Pages 474-494

  Speirs, D C ^a   Guirey, E J ^b   Gurney, W S C ^a   Heath, M R ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF STRATHCLYDE   (United Kingdom)

^b MARINE LABORATORY   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Ecosystem based fisheries management; Gadus morhua; Multispecies model; Population dynamics; Size structured populations

Indexed keywords

CLUPEA HARENGUS; CLUPEIDAE; GADUS MORHUA;

EID: 78149416310     PISSN: 01657836     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.fishres.2010.09.023     Document Type: Article

References (68)

1. Handbook of Mathematical Functions with Formulas, Graphs, and Mathematical Tables 1965, Dover Publications Inc., New York, 1046 pp. M. Abramowitz, I. Stegun (Eds.).
2. Andersen K.H., Beyer J.E. Asymptotic size determines species abundance in the marine size spectrum. Am. Nat. 2006, 168:54-61.
3. Andersen K.P., Ursin E. A multispecies extension to the Beverton and Holt theory of fishing, with accounts of phosphorus circulation and primary production. Meddr Danm. Fisk.-og Havunders 1977, 7:319-435.
4. Andrews J.M., Gurney W.S.C., Heath M.R., Gallego A., O'Brien C., Darby C., Tyldesley G. Modelling the spatial demography of Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) on the European continental shelf. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 2006, 63:1027-1048.
5. Anon. Commission Regulation (EC) No. 259/2001 of 7 February 2001: establishing measures for the recovery of the stock of cod in the North Sea (ICES subarea IV) and associated conditions for the control of activities of fishing vessels. O. J. Eur. Commun. 2000, L39/7.
6. Bakun A., Babcock E.A., Santora C. Regulating a complex adaptive system via its wasp-waist: grappling with ecosystem-based management of the New England herring fishery. ICES J. Mar. Sci. 2009, 66:1768-1775.
7. Bakun A., Weeks S.J. Adverse feedback sequences in exploited marine systems: are deliberate interruptive actions warranted?. Fish Fish. 2006, 7:316-333.
8. Baretta-Bekker, J.G., Barretta, J.W. (Eds.), 1997. Special Issues: European Regional Seas Ecosystem Model II. J. Sea Res. 38, 169-436.
9. Beaugrand G., Brander K.M., Lindley J.A., Souissi S., Reid P.C. Plankton effect on cod recruitment in the North Sea. Nature 2003, 426:661-664.
10. Begley, J., Howell, D., 2004. An overview of GADGET, the Globally applicable Area-Disaggregated General Ecosystem Toolbox. ICES CM 2004/FF:13.
11. Brander K., Mohn R. Effect of the North Atlantic Oscillation on recruitment of Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua). Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 2004, 61:1558-1564.
12. Bryant A.D., Heath M.R., Broekhuizen N., Ollason J.G., Gurney W.S.C., Greenstreet S.P.R. Modelling the predation, growth and population dynamics of fish within a spatially-resolved ecosystem model. Neth. J. Sea Res. 1995, 33:407-421.
13. Butterworth D.S., Plagányi É.E. A brief introduction to some multi-species/ecosystem modelling approaches in the context of their possible application in the management of South African fisheries. Afr. J. Mar. Sci. 2004, 26:53-61.
14. Christensen V., Walters C.J. Ecopath with Ecosim: methods, capabilities and limitations. Ecol. Model. 2004, 172:109-139.
15. Cook R.M., Sinclair A., Stefánsson G. Potential collapse of North Sea cod stocks. Nature 1997, 385:521-522.
16. Cushing D.H. The decline of the herring stocks and the gadoid outburst in the North Sea. ICES J. Mar. Sci. 1980, 39:70-81.
17. Cushing D.H. The gadoid outburst in the North Sea. ICES J. Mar. Sci. 1984, 41:159-166.
18. Daan N., Bromley P.J., Hislop J.R.G., Nielsen N.A. Ecology of North Sea fish. Neth. J. Sea Res. 1990, 26:343-386.
19. Daan N., Rijnsdorp A.D., Van Overbeeke G.R. Predation by North Sea herring Clupea harengus on eggs of plaice Pleuronectes platessa and cod Gadus morhua. Trans. Am. Fish. Soc. 1985, 114:499-506.
20. De Roos A.M., Persson L. Size-dependent life history traits promote catastrophic collapses of top predators. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 2002, 99:12907-12912.
21. deYoung B., Heath M., Werner F., Chai F., Megrey B., Monfray P. Challenges of modeling ocean basin ecosystems. Science 2004, 304:1463-1466.
22. Eveson J.P., Laslett G.M., Polacheck T. An integrated model for growth incorporating tag-recapture length-frequency, and direct ageing data. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 2004, 61:292-306.
23. Floeter J., Kempf A., Vinther M., Schrum C., Temming A. Grey gurnard (Eutrigla gurnardus) in the North Sea: an emerging key predator?. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 2005, 62:1853-1864.
24. Floeter J., Temming A. Explaining diet composition of North Sea cod (Gadus morhua): prey size preference vs. prey availability. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 2003, 60:140-150.
25. Floeter J., Temming A. Analysis of prey size preference of North Sea whiting, saithe, and grey gurnard. ICES J. Mar. Sci. 2005, 62:897-907.
26. Fournier D.A., Hampton J., Sibert J.R. MULTIFAN-CL: a length-based, age-structured model for fisheries stock assessment, with application to South Pacific alabacore, Thunnus alalunga. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 1998, 55:2105-2116.
27. Frank K.T., Brickman D. Allee effects and compensatory population dynamics within a stock complex. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 2000, 57:513-517.
28. Franks P.J.S. NPZ models of plankton dynamics: their construction, coupling to physics, and application. J. Oceanogr. 2002, 58:379-387.
29. Fraser, H.M., 2008. Do fish predators in the North Sea live beyond their means: is prey production sufficient to meet consumption? PhD Thesis, University of Aberdeen.
30. Frid C.L.J., Paramor O.A.L., Scott C.L. Ecosystem-based management of fisheries: is science limiting?. ICES J. Mar. Sci. 2006, 63:1567-1572.
31. Friedrichs M.A.M., Dusenberry J.A., Anderson L.A., Armstrong R.A., Chai F., Christian J.R., Doney S.C., Dunne J., Fujii M., Hood R., McGillicuddy D.J., Moore J.K., Schartau M., Spitz Y.H., Wiggert J.D. Assessment of skill and portability in regional marine biogeochemical models: the role of multiple planktonic groups. J. Geophys. Res. 2007, 112:C08001.
32. FishBase 2009, World Wide Web Electronic Publication, www.fishbase.org, version (04/2009). R. Froese, D. Pauly (Eds.).
33. Fulton E.A. Approaches to end-to-end ecosystem models. J. Mar. Syst. 2010, 81:171-183.
34. Fulton E.A., Smith A.D.M., Johnson C.R. Biogeochemical marine ecosystem models I. A model of marine bay ecosystems. Ecol. Model. 2004, 174:267-307.
35. Godiksen J.A., Hallfredsson E.H., Pedersen T. Effects of alternative prey on predation intensity from herring Clupea harengus and sandeel Ammodytes marinus on caplin Mallotus villosus larvae in the Barents Sea. J. Fish Biol. 2006, 69:1807-1823.
36. Greenstreet, S.P.R., 1996. Estimation of the daily consumption of food by fish in the North Sea in each quarter of the year. Scottish Fisheries Research Report No. 55.
37. Greenstreet S.P.R., Bryant A.D., Broekhuizen N., Hall S.J., Heath M.R. Seasonal variation in the consumption of food fish in the North Sea and implications for food web dynamics. ICES J. Mar. Sci. 1997, 54:243-266.
38. Gurney W.S.C., Tyldesley G., Wood S.N., Bacon P.J., Heath M.R., Youngson A., Ibbotson A. Modelling length-at-age variability under irreversible growth. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 2007, 64:638-653.
39. Hall S.J., Collie J.S., Duplisea D., Jennings S., Bravington M., Link J. A length-based multispecies model for evaluating community responses to fishing. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 2006, 63:1344-1359.
40. ICES, 2000. Report of the Study Group on Life History of Nephrops. ICES CM 2000/G:06.
41. ICES, 2002. Report of the Workshop on MSVPA in the North Sea. ICES CM D:04.
42. ICES, 2003. Report of the ICES Advisory Committee on Fishery Management, 2002. ICES Co-operative Research Report No. 255, Copenhagen.
43. ICES, 2007a. Report of the Working Group on Assessment of Demersal Stocks in the North Sea and Skagerrak-Combined Spring and Autumn (WGNSSK). ICES CM 2007/ACFM:18 and 30.
44. ICES, 2007b. Report of the Herring Working Group South of 62° N (HAWG). ICES CM 2007/ACFM:11.
45. ICES, 2007c. Report of the Working Group on Assessment of New MoU Species (WGNEW). ICES CM 2007/ACFM:01.
46. Köster F.W., Möllmann C. Trophodynamic control by clupeid predators on recruitment success in Baltic cod?. ICES J. Mar. Sci. 2000, 57:310-323.
47. Kurlanski M. Cod: A Biography of the Fish that Changed the World 1999, Vintage, London, 294 pp.
48. Mackinson S., Deas B., Beveridge D., Casey J. Mixed-fishery or ecosystem conundrum? Multispecies considerations inform thinking on long-term management of North Sea demersal stocks. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 2009, 66:1107-1129.
49. Mackinson, S., Daskalov, G., 2007. An ecosystem model of the North Sea to support an ecosystem approach to fisheries management: description and parameterisation. CEFAS Sci. Ser. Tech. Rep. 142.
50. Maury O. An overview of APECOSM, a spatialized mass balanced " Apex Predators ECOSystem Model" to study physiologically structured tuna population dynamics in their ecosystem. Prog. Oceanogr. 2010, 84:113-117.
51. Mueter F.J., Megrey B.A. Using multi-species surplus production models to estimate ecosystem-level maximum sustainable yields. Fish. Res. 2006, 81:189-201.
52. O'Brien C.M., Fox C.J., Planque B., Casey J. Climate variability and North Sea cod. Nature 2000, 404:142.
53. Plagányi É.E. Models for an ecosystem approach to fisheries. FAO Fish. Tech. Pap. 477 2007, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.
54. Planque B., Frédou T. Temperature and the recruitment of Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua). Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 1999, 56:2069-2077.
55. Pope J.G., MacDonald D.S., Daan N., Reynolds J.D., Jennings S. Gauging the impact of fishing mortality on non-target species. ICES J. Mar. Sci. 2000, 57:689-696.
56. Pope J.G., Macer C.T. An evaluation of the stock structure of North Sea cod, haddock, and whiting since 1920, together with a consideration of the impacts of fisheries and predation effects on their biomass and recruitment. ICES J. Mar. Sci. 1920, 53:1157-1169.
57. Rose G.A. Reconciling overfishing and climate change with stock dynamics of Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) over 500 years. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 2004, 61:1553-1557.
58. Rose G.A. Cod: The Ecological History of the North Atlantic Fisheries 2008, Breakwater Books, St John's, NL, 591 pp.
59. Segers F.H.I.D., Dickey-Collas M., Rijnsdorp A.D. Prey selection by North Sea herring (Clupea harengus), with special reference to fish eggs. ICES J. Mar. Sci. 2007, 64:60-68.
60. Sheldon R.W., Parsons T.R. A continuous size spectrum for particulate matter in the sea. J. Fish. Res. Board Can. 1967, 24:909-915.
61. Shin Y-J., Cury P. Exploring fish community dynamics through size-dependent trophic interactions using a spatialized individual-based model. Aquat. Living Resour. 2001, 14:65-80.
62. Speirs D.C., Gurney W.S.C., Heath M.R., Horbelt W., Wood S.N. Ocean-scale modelling of the distribution, abundance, and seasonal dynamics of the copepod Calanus finmarchicus. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 2006, 313:173-192.
63. Speirs D.C., Gurney W.S.C., Heath M.R., Wood S.N. Modelling the basin-scale demography of Calanus finmarchicus in the North East Atlantic. Fish. Oceanogr. 2005, 14:333-358.
64. Travers M., Shin Y-J., Jennings S., Cury P. Towards end-to-end models for investigating the effects of climate and fishing in marine ecosystems. Prog. Oceanogr. 2007, 75:751-770.
65. Vanderploeg H.A., Scavia D. Two electivity indices for feeding with special reference to zooplankton grazing. J. Fish. Res. Board Can. 1979, 36:362-365.
66. Van Leeuwen A., De Roos A.M., Persson L. How cod shapes its world. J. Sea Res. 2008, 60:89-104.
67. von Bertalanffy L. A quantitative theory of organic growth (inquiries on growth laws II). Hum. Biol. 1938, 10:181-213.
68. Xiao Y. The fundamental equations of multi-species virtual population analysis and its variants. Ecol. Model. 2007, 201:477-494.