메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 15, Issue 4, 2010, Pages 490-508

The relationship between stock returns and the foreign exchange rate: The ARDL approach

Author keywords

ARDL cointegration; Causality; China; Exchange rate; Share market index

Indexed keywords

COINTEGRATION ANALYSIS; CURRENCY DEVALUATION; CURRENCY MARKET; EXCHANGE RATE; FINANCIAL MARKET; STOCK MARKET;

EID: 78149389606     PISSN: 13547860     EISSN: 14699648     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/13547860.2010.516171     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (42)

References (47)
  • 1
    • 0000141739 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Exchange rate and stock price interactions in emerging markets: Evidence on India, Korea, Pakistan and the Philippines
    • Abdalla, I.S.A. and Murinde, V., 1997. Exchange rate and stock price interactions in emerging markets: evidence on India, Korea, Pakistan and the Philippines. Applied financial economics, 7, 25-35.
    • (1997) Applied Financial Economics , vol.7 , pp. 25-35
    • Abdalla, I.S.A.1    Murinde, V.2
  • 2
    • 84973382153 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the dynamic relation between stock prices and exchange rates
    • Ajayi, R.A. and Mougoue, M., 1996. On the dynamic relation between stock prices and exchange rates. The journal of financial research, 14 (2), 193-207.
    • (1996) The Journal of Financial Research , vol.14 , Issue.2 , pp. 193-207
    • Ajayi, R.A.1    Mougoue, M.2
  • 3
    • 0003314564 scopus 로고
    • Exchange rates and the valuation of equity shares
    • In: Y. Amihud and R.M. Levich, eds., New York: Irwin
    • Amihud, Y., 1994. Exchange rates and the valuation of equity shares. In: Y. Amihud and R.M. Levich, eds. Exchange rate and corporate performance. New York: Irwin, 49-59.
    • (1994) Exchange Rate and Corporate Performance , pp. 49-59
    • Amihud, Y.1
  • 4
    • 0002384054 scopus 로고
    • Stock prices and the effective exchange rate of the dollar
    • Bahmani-Oskooee, M. and Sohrabian, A., 1992. Stock prices and the effective exchange rate of the dollar. Applied economics, 24, 459-464.
    • (1992) Applied Economics , vol.24 , pp. 459-464
    • Bahmani-Oskooee, M.1    Sohrabian, A.2
  • 5
    • 84993914912 scopus 로고
    • Firm valuations, earnings expectations and the exchange rate exposure effect
    • Bartov, E. and Bohnar, G., 1994. Firm valuations, earnings expectations and the exchange rate exposure effect. Journal of finance, 49, 1755-1785.
    • (1994) Journal of Finance , vol.49 , pp. 1755-1785
    • Bartov, E.1    Bohnar, G.2
  • 6
    • 0002624840 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On persistence in mutual fund performance
    • Carhart, M., 1997. On persistence in mutual fund performance. Journal of finance, 52, 57-82.
    • (1997) Journal of Finance , vol.52 , pp. 57-82
    • Carhart, M.1
  • 7
    • 0000496978 scopus 로고
    • Economic forces and the stock market
    • Chen, N.F., Roll, R., and Ross, S., 1986. Economic forces and the stock market. Journal of business, 59,383-403.
    • (1986) Journal of Business , vol.59 , pp. 383-403
    • Chen, N.F.1    Roll, R.2    Ross, S.3
  • 8
    • 78149378711 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • China Galaxy Securities Company Limited, [online]. Research report. China: China Galaxy Securities Company Limited. Available from, [Accessed 8 July 2008]
    • China Galaxy Securities Company Limited, 2008. Hot money inflow into China between 2005-2008 [online]. Research report. China: China Galaxy Securities Company Limited. Available from: http://www.chinastock.com.cn [Accessed 8 July 2008].
    • (2008) Hot Money Inflow Into China Between 2005-2008
  • 9
    • 0001726295 scopus 로고
    • Exchange rates and the current account
    • Dornbusch, R. and Fischer, S., 1980. Exchange rates and the current account. American economic review, 70, 960-971.
    • (1980) American Economic Review , vol.70 , pp. 960-971
    • Dornbusch, R.1    Fischer, S.2
  • 11
    • 0030356207 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Efficient tests for an autoregressive unit test
    • Elliott, G., Rothenberg, T.J., and Stock, J.H., 1996. Efficient tests for an autoregressive unit test. Econometrica, 64 (4), 813-836.
    • (1996) Econometrica , vol.64 , Issue.4 , pp. 813-836
    • Elliott, G.1    Rothenberg, T.J.2    Stock, J.H.3
  • 12
    • 0000013567 scopus 로고
    • Cointegration and error correction representation, estimation and testing
    • Engle, R.F. and Granger, C.W.J., 1987. Cointegration and error correction representation, estimation and testing. Econometrica, 55, 251-276.
    • (1987) Econometrica , vol.55 , pp. 251-276
    • Engle, R.F.1    Granger, C.W.J.2
  • 13
    • 38549147867 scopus 로고
    • Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds
    • Fama, E. and French, K.R., 1993. Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds. Journal of financial economics, 33, 3-53.
    • (1993) Journal of Financial Economics , vol.33 , pp. 3-53
    • Fama, E.1    French, K.R.2
  • 14
    • 12144256126 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The effects of currency depreciation on stock returns: Evidence from five East Asian economies
    • Fang, W., 2002. The effects of currency depreciation on stock returns: evidence from five East Asian economies. Applied economics letters, 9, 195-199.
    • (2002) Applied Economics Letters , vol.9 , pp. 195-199
    • Fang, W.1
  • 15
    • 84981566273 scopus 로고
    • Developments in the study of cointegrated economic variables
    • Granger, C.W.J., 1986. Developments in the study of cointegrated economic variables. Oxford bulletin of economics and statistics, 48 (3), 213-228.
    • (1986) Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics , vol.48 , Issue.3 , pp. 213-228
    • Granger, C.W.J.1
  • 16
    • 0001329268 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A bivariate causality between stock prices and exchange rates: Evidence from recent Asian Flu
    • Granger, C.J., Huang, B., and Yang, C., 2000. A bivariate causality between stock prices and exchange rates: evidence from recent Asian Flu. Quarterly review of economics and finance, 40, 337-354.
    • (2000) Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance , vol.40 , pp. 337-354
    • Granger, C.J.1    Huang, B.2    Yang, C.3
  • 18
    • 0000158117 scopus 로고
    • Estimation and hypothesis testing of cointegration vectors in Gaussian vector autoregressive models
    • Johansen, S., 1991. Estimation and hypothesis testing of cointegration vectors in Gaussian vector autoregressive models. Econometrica, 59, 1551-1580.
    • (1991) Econometrica , vol.59 , pp. 1551-1580
    • Johansen, S.1
  • 20
    • 0001931762 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cointegration and causality between macroeconomic variables and stock market returns
    • Kwon, C. and Shin, T., 1999. Cointegration and causality between macroeconomic variables and stock market returns. Global finance journal, 10 (1), 71-81.
    • (1999) Global Finance Journal , vol.10 , Issue.1 , pp. 71-81
    • Kwon, C.1    Shin, T.2
  • 21
    • 24644483659 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cointegration, market integration and market efficiency
    • Lence, S. and Falk, B., 2005. Cointegration, market integration and market efficiency. Journal of international money and finance, 24, 873-890.
    • (2005) Journal of International Money and Finance , vol.24 , pp. 873-890
    • Lence, S.1    Falk, B.2
  • 22
    • 84993683822 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stock market and foreign exchange market in India: Are they related?
    • Mishra, A.K., 2004. Stock market and foreign exchange market in India: are they related? South Asia economic journal, 5, 209-232.
    • (2004) South Asia Economic Journal , vol.5 , pp. 209-232
    • Mishra, A.K.1
  • 23
    • 84994198928 scopus 로고
    • Dynamic relations between macroeconomic variables and Japanese stock market: An application of a vector error correction model
    • Mukherjee, T. and Naka, A., 1995. Dynamic relations between macroeconomic variables and Japanese stock market: an application of a vector error correction model. The journal of financial research, 18 (2),223-237.
    • (1995) The Journal of Financial Research , vol.18 , Issue.2 , pp. 223-237
    • Mukherjee, T.1    Naka, A.2
  • 25
    • 21544453332 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The saving and investment nexus for China: Evidence from co-integration tests
    • Narayan, P.K., 2005. The saving and investment nexus for China: evidence from co-integration tests. Applied economics, 37, 1979-1990.
    • (2005) Applied Economics , vol.37 , pp. 1979-1990
    • Narayan, P.K.1
  • 26
    • 0041324960 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamic relationship between stock prices and exchange rates for G7 countries
    • Nieh, C. and Lee, C., 2001. Dynamic relationship between stock prices and exchange rates for G7 countries. Quarterly review of economics and finance, 41, 477-490.
    • (2001) Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance , vol.41 , pp. 477-490
    • Nieh, C.1    Lee, C.2
  • 27
    • 1542378817 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Time series analysis for the interest rates relationships among China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan money markets
    • Nieh, C. and Yau, H., 2004. Time series analysis for the interest rates relationships among China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan money markets. Journal of Asian economics, 15 (1), 171-188.
    • (2004) Journal of Asian Economics , vol.15 , Issue.1 , pp. 171-188
    • Nieh, C.1    Yau, H.2
  • 30
    • 0000899296 scopus 로고
    • The great crash, the oil price shock, and the unit root hypothesis
    • Perron, P., 1989. The great crash, the oil price shock, and the unit root hypothesis. Econometrica, 57, 1361-1401.
    • (1989) Econometrica , vol.57 , pp. 1361-1401
    • Perron, P.1
  • 33
    • 85066206230 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-run structural modeling
    • Pesaran, M.H. and Shin, Y., 2002. Long-run structural modeling. Econometrics review, 21, 49-87.
    • (2002) Econometrics Review , vol.21 , pp. 49-87
    • Pesaran, M.H.1    Shin, Y.2
  • 34
    • 0035588799 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships
    • Pesaran, M.H., Shin, Y., and Smith, R.J., 2001. Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of applied econometrics, 16, 289-326.
    • (2001) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.16 , pp. 289-326
    • Pesaran, M.H.1    Shin, Y.2    Smith, R.J.3
  • 35
    • 0345683539 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Structural analysis of cointegration, VARs
    • Pesaran, M.H. and Smith, R., 1998. Structural analysis of cointegration, VARs. Journal of economic survey, 12, 471-505.
    • (1998) Journal of Economic Survey , vol.12 , pp. 471-505
    • Pesaran, M.H.1    Smith, R.2
  • 37
    • 0010698387 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cointegration rank inference with stationary regressors in VAR models
    • Rahbek, A. and Mosconi, R., 1999. Cointegration rank inference with stationary regressors in VAR models. Econometrics journal, 2, 76-91.
    • (1999) Econometrics Journal , vol.2 , pp. 76-91
    • Rahbek, A.1    Mosconi, R.2
  • 38
    • 34548269784 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Report 23, Department of Statistics and Mathematics, Wirtschaftsuniversiẗat Wien, Research Report Series [online]. Available from, [Accessed 1 April 2010]
    • Shah, A., Zeileis, A., and Patnaik, I., 2006. What is the new Chinese currency regime? Report 23, Department of Statistics and Mathematics, Wirtschaftsuniversiẗat Wien, Research Report Series [online]. Available from: http://epub.wu-wien.ac.at/dyn/openURL?id=oai:epub.wu-wien.ac.at: epub-wu-01 8b0 [Accessed 1 April 2010].
    • (2006) What is The New Chinese Currency Regime?
    • Shah, A.1    Zeileis, A.2    Patnaik, I.3
  • 40
    • 0035003740 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The predictive power of the monetary model of exchange rate determination
    • Tawadros, G., 2001. The predictive power of the monetary model of exchange rate determination. Applied financial economics, 11, 279-286.
    • (2001) Applied Financial Economics , vol.11 , pp. 279-286
    • Tawadros, G.1
  • 41
    • 0000237855 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interpreting cointegrating vectors and common stochastic trends
    • Wickens, M., 1996. Interpreting cointegrating vectors and common stochastic trends. Journal of econometrics, 74, 255-271.
    • (1996) Journal of Econometrics , vol.74 , pp. 255-271
    • Wickens, M.1
  • 43
    • 0034771238 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Exchange rates and the trade balance for dynamic Asian economies - does the J-curve exist for Singapore, Malaysia and Korea?
    • Wilson, P., 2001. Exchange rates and the trade balance for dynamic Asian economies - does the J-curve exist for Singapore, Malaysia and Korea? Open economies review, 12, 389-413.
    • (2001) Open Economies Review , vol.12 , pp. 389-413
    • Wilson, P.1
  • 44
    • 0036217967 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stock market and macroeconomic fundamental dynamic interactions: ASEAN-5 countries
    • Wongbangpo, P. and Sharma, S., 2002. Stock market and macroeconomic fundamental dynamic interactions: ASEAN-5 countries. Journal of Asian economics, 13, 27-51.
    • (2002) Journal of Asian Economics , vol.13 , pp. 27-51
    • Wongbangpo, P.1    Sharma, S.2
  • 45
    • 0141487434 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stock prices and exchange rates in a VEC model: The case of Singapore in the 1990s
    • Wu, Y., 2000. Stock prices and exchange rates in a VEC model: the case of Singapore in the 1990s. Journal of economics and finance, 24, 260-274.
    • (2000) Journal of Economics and Finance , vol.24 , pp. 260-274
    • Wu, Y.1
  • 46
    • 78149364917 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Exchange rate changes and stock market reactions: A special case of currency depreciation and its influence on the local stock market, the Malaysian experience
    • Yong, O.B. and Isa, Z.B., 2000. Exchange rate changes and stock market reactions: a special case of currency depreciation and its influence on the local stock market, the Malaysian experience. Banker's journal Malaysia, (113), 56-63.
    • (2000) Banker's Journal Malaysia , Issue.113 , pp. 56-63
    • Yong, O.B.1    Isa, Z.B.2
  • 47
    • 28444488750 scopus 로고
    • Further evidence on the great crash, the oil price shock, and the unit root hypothesis
    • Zivot, E. and Andrews, D.W.K., 1992. Further evidence on the great crash, the oil price shock, and the unit root hypothesis. Journal of business and economic statistics, 10 (3), 251-270.
    • (1992) Journal of Business and Economic Statistics , vol.10 , Issue.3 , pp. 251-270
    • Zivot, E.1    Andrews, D.W.K.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.