Compliance and emissions trading under the kyoto protocol: Rules for uncertain inventories

Accounting for Climate Change: Uncertainty in Greenhouse Gas Inventories - Verification, Compliance, and Trading

Volumn , Issue , 2007, Pages 119-138

  Nahorski, Zbigniew ^a   Horabik, Joanna ^a   Jonas, Matthias ^b  

^a SYSTEMS RESEARCH INSTITUTE   (Poland)

^b INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR APPLIED SYSTEMS ANALYSIS   (Austria)

Author keywords

compliance with Kyoto Protocol; effective tradable permits; emissions trading; greenhouse gas inventory uncertainty; risk of noncompliance; undershooting

Indexed keywords

EID: 77958475807     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Book    
DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4020-5930-8_10     Document Type: Chapter

References (38)

1. Baumol, W. J., & Oates, W. E. (1998). The theory of environmental policy. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
2. Charles, D., Jones, B. M. R., Salway, A. G., Eggleston, H. S., & Milne, R. (1988). Treatment of uncertainties for national estimates of greenhouse gas emissions. Report AEAT-2688-1. Cullham, UK: AEA Technology. See http://www.aeat.co.uk/netcen/airqual/naei/ipcc/uncertainty.
3. Gawin, R. (2002). Level and trend uncertainties of Kyoto - relevant greenhouse gases in Poland. Interim Report IR-02-045. Laxenburg, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA).
4. Gillenwater, M., Sussman, F., & Cohen, J. (2007). Practical applications of uncertainty analysis for national greenhouse gas inventories. (This issue).
5. Godal, O. (2000). Simulating the carbon permit market with imperfect observations of emissions: Approaching equilibrium through sequential bilateral trade. Interim Report IR-00-060. Laxenburg, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA).
6. Godal, O., Ermolev, Y., Klaassen, G., & Obersteiner, M. (2003). Carbon trading with imperfectly observable emissions. Environmental and Resource Economics, 25, 151-169.
7. Godal, O., & Klaassen, G. (2003). Compliance and imperfect intertemporal carbon trading. Working Papers in Economics No. 09/03. Bergen, Norway: Department of Economics, University of Bergen.
8. Gugele, B., Huttunen, K., & Ritter, M. (2005). Annual european community greenhouse gas inventory 1990-2003 and inventory report 2005. Technical Report No. 4/2005. Copenhagen, Denmark: European Environment Agency. http://reports.eea.europa.eu/technical-report-2005-4/en.
9. Gupta, J., Oltshoorn, X., & Rotenberg, E. (2003). The role of scientific uncertainty in compliance with the Kyoto protocol to the climate change convention. Environmental Science & Policy, 6, 475-486.
10. Horabik, J., & Nahorski, Z. (2004). Performance of the carbon market when accounting for uncertainties in GHG inventories. Proceedings of the workshop uncertainty in greenhouse gas inventories: Verification, compliance & trading (pp. 126-134). Warsaw, Poland: SRI PAS & IIASA. http://www.ibspan.waw.pl/GHGUncert2004/papers/Horabik.pdf.
11. Hung, W., & Wu, J. (2001). A note on the correlation of fuzzy numbers by expected interval. International Journal of Uncertainty, Fuzziness and Knowledge- Based Systems, 9, 517-523.
12. Jonas, M., Nilsson, S., Bun, R., Dachuk, V., Gusti, M., Horabik, J., et al. (2004a). Preparatory signal detection for Annex I countries under the Kyoto protocol - A lesson for the post-Kyoto policy process. Interim Report IR-04-024. Laxenburg, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA).
13. Jonas, M., Nilsson, S., Bun, R., Dachuk, V., Gusti, M., Horabik, J., et al. (2004b). Preparatory signal detection for Annex I countries under the Kyoto protocol- Advanced monitoring including uncertainty. Interim Report IR-04-029. Laxenburg, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA).
14. Jonas, M., & Nilsson, S. (2001). The Austrian carbon database (ACDb) study - Overview. Interim Report IR- 01-064. Laxenburg, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA).
15. Jonas, M., & Nilsson, S. (2007). Prior to economic treatment of emissions and their uncertainties under the Kyoto protocol: scientific uncertainties that must be kept in mind. (This issue).
16. Lim, B., Boileau, P., Bonduki, Y., van Amstel, A. R., Janssen, L. H. J. M., Olivier, J. G. J., et al. (1999). Improving the quality of national greenhouse gas inventories. Environmental Science&Policy, 2, 335-346.
17. Monni, S., Syri, S., Pipatti, R., & Savolainen, I. (2004a). Comparison of uncertainty in different emissiontrading schemes. In Proceedings of the workshop uncertainty in greenhouse gas inventories: Verification, compliance & trading (pp. 106-115). Warsaw, Poland: SRI PAS & IIASA. http://www.ibspan.waw. pl/GHGUncert2004/papers/Monni.pdf.
18. Monni, S., Syri, S., & Savolainen, I. (2004b). Uncertainties in the finnish greenhouse gas emission inventory. Environmental Science & Policy, 7, 87-98.
19. Montgomery, W. D. (1972). Markets in licenses and efficient pollution control programs. Journal of Economic Theory, 5, 395-418.
20. Nahorski, Z., & Horabik, J. (2005). Fuzzy approximations in determining trading rules for highly uncertain emissions of pollutants. In P. Grzegorzewski, M. Krawczak & S. Zadrozny (Eds.), Issues in Soft Computing Theory and Applications (pp. 195-209), Warsaw, Poland: EXIT.
21. Nahorski, Z., Horabik, J., & Jonas, M. (2004). Greenhouse gas emission uncertainty in compliance proving and emission trading. In Proceedings of the workshop uncertainty in greenhouse gas inventories: Verification, compliance & trading (pp. 116-125). Warsaw, Poland: SRI PAS & IIASA. http://www.ibspan.waw.pl/GHGUncert2004/papers/Nahorski.pdf.
22. Nahorski, Z.,&Jȩda,W. (2002).Dynamics and uncertainty under Kyoto obligations. In IIASA/FOR Workshop 'GHG Accounting: Uncertainty - Risk - Verification (pp. 13-14). Laxenburg: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA).
23. Nahorski, Z., & Jȩda, W. (2007). Processing National CO2 inventory emission data and their total uncertainty estimates. (This issue).
24. Nahorski, Z., Jȩda, W., Horabik, J., & Jonas, M. (2005). Propozycja zarza̧dzania niepewnościa̧ bilansu gazów cieplarnianych w ramach protokołu z Kioto. In J. Kacprzyk, Z. Nahorski & D. Wagner (Eds.), Zastosowania badá systemowych w nauce, technice i ekonomii (pp. 357-372). Warsaw, Poland: EXIT.
25. Nahorski, Z., Jȩda, W., & Jonas, M. (2003). Coping with uncertainty in verification of the Kyoto obligations. In J. Studziński, L. Drelichowski & O. Hryniewicz (Eds.), Zastosowania informatyki i analizy systemowej w zarz̧dzaniu (pp. 305-317). Warsaw, Poland: SRI PAS.
26. Nilsson, S., Shvidenko, A., Stolbovoi, V., Gluck, M., Jonas, M., & Obersteiner, M. (2000). Full carbon account for Russia. Interim Report IR-00-021. Laxenburg, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA).
27. (Also featured in: New Scientist, 2253, 18-19, August 2000.)
28. Nordhaus, W. D. (2005). Life after Kyoto: Alternative approaches to global warming policies. Working Paper 11889. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research. See http://www.nber.org/papers/w11889.
29. Obersteiner, M., Ermoliev, Y., Gluck, M., Jonas, M., Nilsson, S., & Shvidenko, A. (2000). Avoiding a lemons market by including uncertainty in the Kyoto protocol: Same mechanism - Improved rules. Interim Report IR-00-043. Laxenburg, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA).
30. Rypdal, K., & Winiwarter, W. (2001). Uncertainty in greenhouse gas emission inventories - Evaluation, comparability and implications. Environmental Science & Policy, 4, 104-116.
31. Rypdal, K., & Zhang, L.-C. (2000). Uncertainties in the Norwegian greenhouse gas emission inventory. Report 2000/13. Oslo, Norway: Statistics Norway.
32. Salway, A., Murrells, T., Milne, R., & Ellis, S. (2002). UK greenhouse gas inventory, 1990 to 2000: Annual report for submission under the framework convention on climate change. Didcot, UK: AEA Technology.
33. Tietenberg, T. H. (1985). Emission trading, an exercise in reforming pollution policy. Washington DC: Resources for the Future Inc.
34. van Amstel, A. R., Olivier, J. G. J., & Ruyssenaars, P. G.(Eds.) (2000). Monitoring of greenhouse gases in the Netherlands: uncertainties and priorities for improvement. Report 773201 003. Bilthoven, The Netherlands: National Institute of Public Health and the Environment.
35. Victor, D. G. (1991). Limits of market-based strategies for slowing global warming: the case of tradable permits. Policy Sciences, 24, 199-222.
36. Vreuls, H. H. J. (2004). Uncertainty analysis of Dutch greenhouse gas emission data, a first qualitative and quantitative (TIER2) analysis. In Proceedings of the workshop uncertainty in greenhouse gas inventories: Verification, compliance & trading (pp. 34-44). Warsaw, Poland: SRI PAS & IIASA. http://www.ibspan. waw.pl/GHGUncert2004/papers/Vreuls.pdf.
37. Winiwarter, W. (2007). National greenhouse gas inventories: understanding uncertainties versus potential for improving reliability. (This issue).
38. Winiwarter, W., & Rypdal, K. (2001). Assessing the uncertainty associated with national greenhouse gas emission inventories: a case study for Austria. Atmospheric Environment, 35, 5425-5440.