메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 9780521848824, Issue , 2006, Pages 628-644

Predictability and economic value

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

BRIER SKILL SCORES; DETERMINISTIC FORECASTS; ECONOMIC VALUES; ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEMS; PRACTICAL PROBLEMS; PROBABILISTIC SKILL; PROBABILITY FORECASTS; RELATIVE OPERATING CHARACTERISTICS;

EID: 77958458360     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Book    
DOI: 10.1017/CBO9780511617652.026     Document Type: Chapter
Times cited : (14)

References (24)
  • 1
    • 0009099862 scopus 로고
    • On the effectivity of weather warnings
    • Ångström, A. (1922). On the effectivity of weather warnings. Nord. Statist. Tidskr., 1, 394-408.
    • (1922) Nord. Statist. Tidskr , vol.1 , pp. 394-408
    • Ångström, A.1
  • 2
    • 0037255591 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Benefits of increased resolution in the ECMWF ensemble system and comparison with poor-man’s ensembles
    • Buizza, R., D. S. Richardson and T. N. Palmer (2003). Benefits of increased resolution in the ECMWF ensemble system and comparison with poor-man’s ensembles. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 129, 1269-88.
    • (2003) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc , vol.129 , pp. 1269-1288
    • Buizza, R.1    Richardson, D.S.2    Palmer, T.N.3
  • 3
    • 0344036152 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Optimization of value of aerodrome forecasts
    • Keith, R. (2003). Optimization of value of aerodrome forecasts. Weather Forecast., 18, 808-24.
    • (2003) Weather Forecast , vol.18 , pp. 808-824
    • Keith, R.1
  • 4
    • 1642486238 scopus 로고
    • The utility of weather forecasts to the raisin industry
    • Kolb, L. L. and R. R. Rapp (1962). The utility of weather forecasts to the raisin industry. J. Appl. Meteorol., 1, 8-12.
    • (1962) J. Appl. Meteorol , vol.1 , pp. 8-12
    • Kolb, L.L.1    Rapp, R.R.2
  • 5
    • 0028564150 scopus 로고
    • Anders Angstrom and his early papers on probability forecasting and the use/value of weather forecasts
    • Liljas, E. and A. H. Murphy (1994). Anders Angstrom and his early papers on probability forecasting and the use/value of weather forecasts. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 75, 1227-36.
    • (1994) Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc , vol.75 , pp. 1227-1236
    • Liljas, E.1    Murphy, A.H.2
  • 6
    • 84979434503 scopus 로고
    • Economic benefits of terminal aerodrome forecasts (TAFs) for Sydney Airport, Australia
    • Leigh, R. J. (1995). Economic benefits of terminal aerodrome forecasts (TAFs) for Sydney Airport, Australia. Meteorol. Appl., 2, 239-47.
    • (1995) Meteorol. Appl , vol.2 , pp. 239-247
    • Leigh, R.J.1
  • 9
    • 0000774379 scopus 로고
    • A note on the utility of probabilistic predictions and the probability score in the cost-loss ratio decision situation
    • Murphy, A. H. (1966). A note on the utility of probabilistic predictions and the probability score in the cost-loss ratio decision situation. J. Appl. Meteorol., 5, 534-7.
    • (1966) J. Appl. Meteorol , vol.5 , pp. 534-537
    • Murphy, A.H.1
  • 10
    • 0000800652 scopus 로고
    • The value of climatological, categorical and probabilistic forecasts in the cost-loss ratio situation
    • Murphy, A. H. (1977). The value of climatological, categorical and probabilistic forecasts in the cost-loss ratio situation. Mon. Weather Rev., 105, 803-16.
    • (1977) Mon. Weather Rev , vol.105 , pp. 803-816
    • Murphy, A.H.1
  • 11
    • 0000237312 scopus 로고
    • On the relationship between the accuracy and value of forecasts in the cost-loss ratio situation
    • Murphy, A. H. and M. Ehrendorfer (1987). On the relationship between the accuracy and value of forecasts in the cost-loss ratio situation. Weather Forecast., 2, 243-51.
    • (1987) Weather Forecast , vol.2 , pp. 243-251
    • Murphy, A.H.1    Ehrendorfer, M.2
  • 13
    • 84926959461 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The application of cost-loss models to forecast verification
    • ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading, RG2 9AX, UK
    • Richardson, D. S. (1999). The application of cost-loss models to forecast verification. In Proceedings of the 7th Workshop on Meteorological Systems. ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading, RG2 9AX, UK.
    • (1999) Proceedings of the 7Th Workshop on Meteorological Systems
    • Richardson, D.S.1
  • 14
    • 0034052601 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Skill and relative economic value of the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System
    • Richardson, D. S. (2000). Skill and relative economic value of the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 126, 649-68.
    • (2000) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc , vol.126 , pp. 649-668
    • Richardson, D.S.1
  • 15
    • 0035473127 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Measures of skill and value of Ensemble Prediction Systems, their interrelationship and the effect of ensemble size
    • Richardson, D. S. (2001). Measures of skill and value of Ensemble Prediction Systems, their interrelationship and the effect of ensemble size. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 127, 2473-89.
    • (2001) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc , vol.127 , pp. 2473-2489
    • Richardson, D.S.1
  • 17
    • 0030391632 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The complex relationship between forecast skill and forecast value: A real-world analysis
    • Roebber, P. J. and L. F. Bosart (1996). The complex relationship between forecast skill and forecast value: a real-world analysis. Weather Forecast., 11, 544-59.
    • (1996) Weather Forecast , vol.11 , pp. 544-559
    • Roebber, P.J.1    Bosart, L.F.2
  • 18
    • 0001963841 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of Probabilistic Prediction Systems
    • 20-22 October 1997, ECMWF, Shinfield Park Reading, UK
    • Talagrand, O., R. Vautard and B. Strauss (1997). Evaluation of Probabilistic Prediction Systems. In Proceedings of the ECMWF Workshop on Predictability, 20-22 October 1997, pp. 157-66.ECMWF, Shinfield Park Reading, UK
    • (1997) Proceedings of the ECMWF Workshop on Predictability , pp. 157-166
    • Talagrand, O.1    Vautard, R.2    Strauss, B.3
  • 19
    • 0000324191 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How to judge the quality and value of weather forecast products
    • Thornes, J. E. and D. B. Stephenson (2001). How to judge the quality and value of weather forecast products. Meteorol. Appl., 8, 307-14.
    • (2001) Meteorol. Appl , vol.8 , pp. 307-314
    • Thornes, J.E.1    Stephenson, D.B.2
  • 20
    • 0042367758 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the relationship between Clayton’s skill score and expected value for forecasts of binary events
    • Wandishin, M. S. and H. E. Brooks (2002). On the relationship between Clayton’s skill score and expected value for forecasts of binary events. Meteorol. Appl., 9, 455-9.
    • (2002) Meteorol. Appl , vol.9 , pp. 455-459
    • Wandishin, M.S.1    Brooks, H.E.2
  • 22
    • 0001035522 scopus 로고
    • Potential economic value of ensemble forecasts
    • Wilks, D. S. and T. M. Hamill (1995). Potential economic value of ensemble forecasts. Mon. Weather Rev., 123, 3565-75.
    • (1995) Mon. Weather Rev , vol.123 , pp. 3565-3575
    • Wilks, D.S.1    Hamill, T.M.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.