Notes on a catastrophe: A feedback analysis of snowball earth

Journal of Climate

Volumn 23, Issue 17, 2010, Pages 4694-4703

  Roe, Gerard H ^a   Baker, Marcia B ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE PARAMETERS; CLIMATE VARIABLES; COMPLEX DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS; FEEDBACK ANALYSIS; FEEDBACK STRENGTH; FUNDAMENTAL PROPERTIES; ICE ALBEDO FEEDBACK; MUTUAL INTERACTION; RELATIVE STRENGTH; SNOWBALL EARTH; SYSTEM SENSITIVITY; TIPPING POINT; ZONAL MEANS;

CLIMATE MODELS; DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS; EARTH (PLANET); STATE FEEDBACK;

FEEDBACK;

ALBEDO; CLIMATE FEEDBACK; CLIMATE VARIATION; ENERGY BALANCE; SNOW;

EID: 77958089366     PISSN: 08948755     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/2010JCLI3545.1     Document Type: Article

References (43)

1. Abramowitz, M., and I.A. Stegun, 1965: Handbook of Mathematical Functions: With Formulas, Graphs, and Mathematical Tables. Dover Publications, 1046 pp.
2. Allen, P.A., and J.L. Etienne, 2008: A sedimentary challenge to Snowball Earth. Nat. Geosci., 1, 817-825.
3. Baker, M.B., and G.H. Roe, 2009: The shape of things to come: Why is climate change so predictable? J. Climate, 22, 4574-4589.
4. Budyko, M.I., 1969: The effect of solar radiation variations on the climate of the Earth. Tellus, 5, 611-619.
5. Cahalan, R.F., and G.R. North, 1979: A stability theorem for energy-balance climate models. J. Atmos. Sci., 36, 1178-1188.
6. Charney, J., and Coauthors, 1979: Carbon Dioxide and Climate: A Scientific Assessment. National Academy of Sciences, 34 pp.
7. Chylek, P., and J.A. Coakley, 1975: Analytical analysis of a Budykotype climate model. J. Atmos. Sci., 32, 675-679.
8. Crowley, T.J., and S.K. Baum, 1993: Effect of decreased solar luminosity on late Precambrian ice extent. J. Geophys. Res., 98, 16 723-16 732.
9. Crowley, T.J., K.-J. Yip, and S.K. Baurn, 1994: Snowline instability in a general circulation model: Application to Carboniferous glaciation. Climate Dyn., 10, 363-376.
10. 2 levels required for deglaciation of a "near-snowball" Earth. Geophys. Res. Lett., 28, 283-286.
11. Drazin, P.G., and D.H. Griffel, 1977: On the branching structure of diffusive climatological models. J. Atmos. Sci., 34, 1858-1867.
12. Enderton, D., and J. Marshall, 2009: Explorations of atmosphereocean-ice climates on an aquaplanet and their meridional energy transports. J. Atmos. Sci., 22, 1593-1611.
13. Fairchild, I.J., and M.J. Kennedy, 2007: Neoproterozoic glaciation in the Earth System. J. Geol. Soc. London, 164, 895-921.
14. Ghil, M., 1976: Climate stability for a Sellers-type model. J. Atmos. Sci., 33, 3-20.
15. Gregory, J.M., and P.M. Forster, 2008: Transient climate response estimated from radiative forcing and observed temperature change. J. Geophys. Res., 113, D23105, doi:10.1029/2008JD010405.
16. Held, I.M., and M. Suarez, 1974: Simple albedo feedback models of the icecaps. Tellus, 36, 613-629.
17. Hoffman, P.F., and Z.-X. Li, 2008: A palaeogeographic context for Neoproterozoic glaciation. Palaeogeogr. Palaeoclimatol. Palaeoecol., 277, 158-172.
18. Hoffman, P.F., A.J. Kaufman, G.P. Halverson, and D.P. Schrag, 1998: A Neoproterozoic snowball Earth. Science, 281, 1342-1346.
19. Hyde, W.T., T.J. Crowley, S.K. Baum, and W.R. Peltier, 2000: Neoproterozoic 'snowball Earth' simulations with a coupled climate/ice-sheet model. Nature, 405, 425-429.
20. Jenkins, G.S., and S.R. Smith, 1999: GCM simulations of snowball earth conditions during the Late Proterozoic. Geophys. Res. Lett., 26, 2263-2266.
21. Kerr, R.A., 2000: An appealing snowball earth that's still hard to swallow. Science, 287, 1734-1736.
22. Kirschvink, J.L., 1992: Late Proterozoic low-latitude global glaciation: The snowball earth. The Proterozoic Biosphere: A Multidisciplinary Study. J.W. Schopf and C. Klein, Eds., Cambridge University Press, 51-52.
23. Knutti, R., and G.C. Hegerl, 2008: The equilibrium sensitivity of the Earth's temperature to radiation changes. Nat. Geosci., 1, 735-743.
24. Langen, P.L., and V.A. Alexeev, 2004: Multiple equilibira and asymmetric climates in the CCM3 coupled to an oceanic mixed layer with thermodynamic sea ice. Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L04201, doi:10.1029/2003GL019039.
25. Lee, W.H., and G.R. North, 1995: Small ice cap instability in the presence of fluctuations. Climate Dyn., 11, 242-246.
26. Lindzen, R.S., 1990: Dynamics in Atmospheric Physics. Cambridge University Press, 320 pp.
27. Lindzen, R.S., and B. Farrell, 1977: Some realistic modifications of simple climate models. J. Atmos. Sci., 34, 1487-1501.
28. Lindzen, R.S., and B. Farrell, 1980: The role of polar regions in global climate, and the parameterization of global heat transport. Mon. Wea. Rev., 108, 2064-2079.
29. North, G.R., 1975: Theory of energy-balance climate models. J. Atmos. Sci., 32, 2033-2043.
30. North, G.R., 1984: The small ice cap instability in diffusive climate models. J. Atmos. Sci., 41, 3390-3395.
31. North, G.R., 1990: Multiple solutions in energy balance climate models. Global Planet. Change, 2, 225-235.
32. Poulsen, C.J., 2003: Absence of a runaway ice-albedo feedback in the Neoproterozoic. Geology, 31, 473-476.
33. Poulsen, C.J., R.T. Pierrehumbert, and R.L. Jacob, 2001: Impact of ocean dynamics on the simulation of the Neoproterozoic snowball Earth. Geophys. Res. Lett., 28, 1575-1578.
34. Roe, G.H., 2009: Feedbacks, timescales, and seeing red. Annu. Rev. Earth Planet. Sci., 37, 93-115.
35. Rose, B.E.J., and J. Marshall, 2009: Ocean heat transport, sea ice, and multiple climate states: Insights from energy balance models. J. Atmos. Sci., 66, 2828-2843.
36. Sanderson, B.M., C. Piani, W. Ingram, D.A. Stone, and M.R. Allen, 2008: Towards constraining climate sensitivity by linear analysis of feedback patterns in thousands of perturbed-physics GCM simulations. Climate Dyn., 30, 175-190.
37. Sellers, W.D., 1969: A global climatic model based on the energy balance of the earth-atmosphere system. J. Appl. Meteor., 8, 392-400.
38. Shen, S., and G.R. North, 1999: A simple proof of the slope stability theorem for energy balance climate models. Can. Appl. Math Quart., 7, 203-215.
39. Soden, B.J., and I.M. Held, 2006: An assessment of climate feedbacks in coupled ocean-atmosphere models. J. Climate, 19, 3354-3360.
40. Soden, B.J., I.M. Held, R. Colman, K.M. Shell, J.T. Kiehl, and C.A. Shields, 2008: Quantifying climate feedbacks using radiative kernels. J. Climate, 21, 3504-3520.
41. Su, C.H., and D.Y. Hsieh, 1976: Stability of the Budyko climate model. J. Atmos. Sci., 33, 2273-2275.
42. Voigt, A., and J. Marotzke, 2009: The transition from the presentday climate to a modern Snowball Earth. Climate Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-009-0633-5, in press.
43. Winton, M., K. Takahashi, and I.M. Held, 2010: Importance of ocean heat uptake efficacy to transient climate change. J. Climate, 23, 2333-2344.