The prognosis of chronic low back pain is determined by changes in pain and disability in the initial period

Spine Journal

Volumn 10, Issue 10, 2010, Pages 847-856

  Heymans, Martijn W ^a,b   Van Buuren, Stef ^c,d   Knol, Dirk L ^a   Anema, Johannes R ^a,e   Van Mechelen, Willem ^a,e   De Vet, Henrica C W ^a  

^a VU UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER   (Netherlands)

^b VU UNIVERSITY AMSTERDAM   (Netherlands)

^c TNO   (Netherlands)

^d UTRECHT UNIVERSITY   (Netherlands)

^e ACADEMIC MEDICAL CENTER   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

Bootstrapping; Chronic pain; Low back pain; Prognosis; Prospective cohort study

Indexed keywords

ADULT; AGE; AGED; ARTICLE; BODY MASS; BOOTSTRAPPING; CHRONIC PAIN; CLINICAL EFFECTIVENESS; CLINICAL FEATURE; COHORT ANALYSIS; DEMOGRAPHY; DISABILITY; DISCRIMINANT ANALYSIS; EDUCATION; FEMALE; FUNCTIONAL STATUS; GENDER; HUMAN; JOB SATISFACTION; LIFTING EFFORT; LOW BACK PAIN; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MALE; MEDICAL LEAVE; MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE; MULTIVARIATE LOGISTIC REGRESSION ANALYSIS; PAIN PARAMETERS; PHYSICAL ACTIVITY; PRIORITY JOURNAL; PROGNOSIS; PROSPECTIVE STUDY; SMOKING; SOCIAL SUPPORT; WORK;

ADOLESCENT; ADULT; AGED; CHRONIC DISEASE; COHORT STUDIES; DISABILITY EVALUATION; FEMALE; HUMANS; LOW BACK PAIN; MALE; MIDDLE AGED; PAIN; PROGNOSIS; PSYCHOLOGY; RANDOMIZED CONTROLLED TRIALS AS TOPIC; YOUNG ADULT;

EID: 77957226009     PISSN: 15299430     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.spinee.2010.06.005     Document Type: Article

References (51)

1. G.B. Andersson Epidemiological features of chronic low-back pain Lancet 354 1999 581 585
2. N. Henschke, C.G. Maher, and K.M. Refshauge Prognosis in patients with recent onset low back pain in Australian primary care: inception cohort study BMJ 337 2008 a171 (Pubitemid 352039865)
3. J.W. Frank, A.S. Brooker, and S.E. DeMaio Disability resulting from occupational low back pain. Part II: what do we know about secondary prevention? A review of the scientific evidence on prevention after disability begins Spine 21 1996 2918 2929 (Pubitemid 27024800)
4. M. Von Korff, R.A. Deyo, and D. Cherkin Back pain in primary care. Outcomes at 1 year Spine 18 1993 855 862 (Pubitemid 23165837)
5. M. Von Korff, and D.L. Miglioretti A prognostic approach to defining chronic pain Pain 117 2005 304 313 (Pubitemid 41383526)
6. E. Thomas, A.J. Silman, and P.R. Croft Predicting who develops chronic low back pain in primary care: a prospective study BMJ 318 1999 1662 1667 (Pubitemid 29276761)
7. J. Coste, G. Delecoeuillerie, and A. Cohen de Lara Clinical course and prognostic factors in acute low back pain: an inception cohort study in primary care practice BMJ 308 1994 577 580 (Pubitemid 24084296)
8. H.J. van den Hoogen, B.W. Koes, and W. Deville The prognosis of low back pain in general practice Spine 22 1997 1515 1521 (Pubitemid 28074006)
9. C. Cedraschi, and A.F. Allaz How to identify patients with a poor prognosis in daily clinical practice Best Pract Res Clin Rheumatol 19 2005 577 591 (Pubitemid 40796118)
10. N.A. Kendall Psychosocial approaches to the prevention of chronic pain: the low back paradigm Baillieres Best Pract Res Clin Rheumatol 13 1999 545 554 (Pubitemid 30052729)
11. D.A. van der Windt, T. Kuijpers, and P. Jellema Do psychological factors predict outcome in both low-back pain and shoulder pain? Ann Rheum Dis 66 2007 313 319 (Pubitemid 46579630)
12. T. Pincus, J.W. Vlaeyen, and N.A. Kendall Cognitive-behavioral therapy and psychosocial factors in low back pain: directions for the future Spine 27 2002 E133 E138
13. T.S. Carey, J.M. Garrett, and A.M. Jackman Beyond the good prognosis. Examination of an inception cohort of patients with chronic low back pain Spine 25 2000 115 120
14. D.R. Wahlgren, J.H. Atkinson, and J.E. Epping-Jordan One-year follow-up of first onset low back pain Pain 73 1997 213 221
15. K.M. Dunn, and P.R. Croft Repeat assessment improves the prediction of prognosis in patients with low back pain in primary care Pain 126 2006 10 15
16. J.B. Staal, H. Hlobil, and J.W. Twisk Graded activity for low back pain in occupational health care: a randomized, controlled trial Ann Intern Med 140 2004 77 84 (Pubitemid 38095402)
17. J.R. Anema, I.A. Steenstra, and P.M. Bongers Multidisciplinary rehabilitation for subacute low back pain: graded activity or workplace intervention or both? A randomized controlled trial Spine 32 2007 291 298
18. M.W. Heymans, H.C. de Vet, and P.M. Bongers The effectiveness of high-intensity versus low-intensity back schools in an occupational setting: a pragmatic randomized controlled trial Spine 31 2006 1075 1082
19. A.M. Carlsson Assessment of chronic pain. I. Aspects of the reliability and validity of the visual analogue scale Pain 16 1983 87 101 (Pubitemid 13084857)
20. K.M. Dunn, K. Jordan, and P.R. Croft Characterizing the course of low back pain: a latent class analysis Am J Epidemiol 163 2006 754 761
21. T.M. van, B. Koes, and C. Bombardier Low back pain Best Pract Res Clin Rheumatol 16 2002 761 775 (Pubitemid 35460348)
22. S. Diamond, and D. Borenstein Chronic low back pain in a working-age adult Best Pract Res Clin Rheumatol 20 2006 707 720 (Pubitemid 44350113)
23. J. Crook, R. Milner, and I.Z. Schultz Determinants of occupational disability following a low back injury: a critical review of the literature J Occup Rehabil 12 2002 277 295 (Pubitemid 38420816)
24. J. Hartvigsen, S. Lings, and C. Leboeuf-Yde Psychosocial factors at work in relation to low back pain and consequences of low back pain; a systematic, critical review of prospective cohort studies Occup Environ Med 61 2004 e2
25. J.A. Baecke, J. Burema, and J.E. Frijters A short questionnaire for the measurement of habitual physical activity in epidemiological studies Am J Clin Nutr 36 1982 936 942 (Pubitemid 13214364)
26. S. Brouwer, W. Kuijer, and P.U. Dijkstra Reliability and stability of the Roland Morris Disability Questionnaire: intra class correlation and limits of agreement Disabil Rehabil 26 2004 162 165 (Pubitemid 38220149)
27. R.W. Ostelo, and H.C. de Vet Clinically important outcomes in low back pain Best Pract Res Clin Rheumatol 19 2005 593 607 (Pubitemid 40790489)
28. V.H. Hildebrandt, P.M. Bongers, and F.J. van Dijk Dutch Musculoskeletal Questionnaire: description and basic qualities Ergonomics 44 2001 1038 1055
29. R. Karasek, C. Brisson, and N. Kawakami The Job Content Questionnaire (JCQ): an instrument for internationally comparative assessments of psychosocial job characteristics J Occup Health Psychol 3 1998 322 355
30. E.J. Swinkels-Meewisse, R.A. Swinkels, and A.L. Verbeek Psychometric properties of the Tampa Scale for kinesiophobia and the fear-avoidance beliefs questionnaire in acute low back pain Man Ther 8 2003 29 36
31. G. Waddell, M. Newton, and I. Henderson A Fear-Avoidance Beliefs Questionnaire (FABQ) and the role of fear-avoidance beliefs in chronic low back pain and disability Pain 52 1993 157 168 (Pubitemid 23068184)
32. F.W. Kraaimaat, and A.W. Evers Pain-coping strategies in chronic pain patients: psychometric characteristics of the pain-coping inventory (PCI) Int J Behav Med 10 2003 343 363
33. F.E. Harrell Jr. Regression modelling strategies 2001 Springer New York, NY
34. S. Van Buuren, and K. Oudshoorn Flexible multivariate imputation by MICE 1999 TNO Quality of Life Leiden, The Netherlands
35. Akaike H. Information theory and an extension of the maximum likelihood principle. In: Second International Symposium on Information Theory; 1973; Tsahkadsor, Armenian SSR: 267-81.
36. N.H. Augustin, W. Sauerbrei, and M. Schumacher The practical utility of incorporating model selection uncertainty into prognostic models for survival data Stat Model 5 2005 95 118 (Pubitemid 40876072)
37. D.B. Rubin Multiple imputation for nonresponse in surveys 1987 John Wiley & Sons New York, NY
38. F.E. Harrell Jr., K.L. Lee, and D.B. Matchar Regression models for prognostic prediction: advantages, problems, and suggested solutions Cancer Treat Rep 69 1985 1071 1077
39. Y. Vergouwe, E.W. Steyerberg, and M.J. Eijkemans Validity of prognostic models: when is a model clinically useful? Semin Urol Oncol 20 2002 96 107 (Pubitemid 34522547)
40. N.J. Nagelkerke A note on a general definition of the coefficient of determination Biometrika 78 1991 691
41. Y. Vergouwe, E.W. Steyerberg, and M.J. Eijkemans Validity of prognostic models: when is a model clinically useful? Semin Urol Oncol 20 2002 96 107 (Pubitemid 34522547)
42. M. Von Korff, J. Ormel, and F.J. Keefe Grading the severity of chronic pain Pain 50 1992 133 149
43. H. Heneweer, G. Aufdemkampe, and M.W. van Tulder Psychosocial variables in patients with (sub)acute low back pain: an inception cohort in primary care physical therapy in The Netherlands Spine 32 2007 586 592 (Pubitemid 46398927)
44. I.E. Swinkels-Meewisse, J. Roelofs, and E.G. Schouten Fear of movement/(re)injury predicting chronic disabling low back pain: a prospective inception cohort study Spine 31 2006 658 664
45. A. Burdorf, and G. Sorock Positive and negative evidence of risk factors for back disorders Scand J Work Environ Health 23 1997 243 256 (Pubitemid 27429688)
46. W.E. Hoogendoorn, P.M. Bongers, and H.C. de Vet Flexion and rotation of the trunk and lifting at work are risk factors for low back pain: results of a prospective cohort study Spine 25 2000 3087 3092
47. W.E. Hoogendoorn, P.M. Bongers, and H.C. de Vet Psychosocial work characteristics and psychological strain in relation to low-back pain Scand J Work Environ Health 27 2001 258 267 (Pubitemid 32827577)
48. R.A. Williams, S.D. Pruitt, and J.N. Doctor The contribution of job satisfaction to the transition from acute to chronic low back pain Arch Phys Med Rehabil 79 1998 366 374 (Pubitemid 28204613)
49. G.E. Bekkering, H.J. Hendriks, and M.W. van Tulder Prognostic factors for low back pain in patients referred for physiotherapy: comparing outcomes and varying modeling techniques Spine 30 2005 1881 1886
50. C.E. Dionne, T.D. Koepsell, and M. Von Korff Predicting long-term functional limitations among back pain patients in primary care settings J Clin Epidemiol 50 1997 31 43 (Pubitemid 27089205)
51. G. Heinze A comparative investigation of methods for logistic regression with separated or nearly separated data Stat Med 25 2006 4216 4226 (Pubitemid 46023766)