Development and evaluation of an ensemble forecasting system for coastal storm surges

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Volumn 136, Issue 651, 2010, Pages 1444-1456

  Flowerdew, Jonathan ^a   Horsburghb, Kevin ^b   Wilson, Chris ^b   Mylne, Ken ^a  

^a MET OFFICE   (United Kingdom)

^b NATIONAL OCEANOGRAPHY CENTRE   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Coastal flooding; Dressing; Harmonic analysis; Probability forecasting; Risk assessment; Threshold exceedance

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC EVOLUTION; COASTAL FLOODING; COASTAL STORM; DRESSING; ENSEMBLE FORECASTING; ENSEMBLE MEMBERS; ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEMS; ENVIRONMENT AGENCY; ERROR DISTRIBUTIONS; FLOOD DEFENCE; LEADTIME; MEDIA COVERAGE; OPERATIONAL SYSTEMS; POSITIVE FEEDBACK; PROBABILISTIC VERIFICATION; PROBABILITY FORECASTING; STATISTICAL VERIFICATION; STORM SURGES; THRESHOLD EXCEEDANCE; TIDE PREDICTION;

FEEDBACK; FLOODS; FOURIER SERIES; HARMONIC ANALYSIS; PROBABILITY DENSITY FUNCTION; PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS; RISK PERCEPTION; STORMS; WATER LEVELS; WEATHER FORECASTING;

RISK ASSESSMENT;

COASTAL ZONE; ENSEMBLE FORECASTING; FLOODING; HARMONIC ANALYSIS; PROBABILITY; STORM SURGE; WEATHER FORECASTING;

EID: 77957112738     PISSN: 00359009     EISSN: 1477870X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/qj.648     Document Type: Article

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