메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 68, Issue C, 1990, Pages 523-552

Cognitive Aids and Debiasing Methods: Can Cognitive Pills Cure Cognitive Ills?

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords


EID: 77956716202     PISSN: 01664115     EISSN: None     Source Type: Book Series    
DOI: 10.1016/S0166-4115(08)61341-2     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (35)

References (66)
  • 3
    • 0000602959 scopus 로고
    • The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments
    • Bar-Hillel, M., The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments. Acta Psychologica 44 (1980), 211–233
    • (1980) Acta Psychologica , vol.44 , pp. 211-233
    • Bar-Hillel, M.1
  • 4
    • 0004201621 scopus 로고
    • Cambridge University Press Cambridge
    • Baron, J., Thinking and deciding, 1988, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
    • (1988) Thinking and deciding
    • Baron, J.1
  • 5
    • 0000310310 scopus 로고
    • Structuring decision problems and the bias heuristic'
    • Berkeley, D., Humphreys, P., Structuring decision problems and the bias heuristic'. Acta Psychologica 50 (1982), 201–252
    • (1982) Acta Psychologica , vol.50 , pp. 201-252
    • Berkeley, D.1    Humphreys, P.2
  • 6
    • 0003087784 scopus 로고
    • The conceptual framework of psychology
    • Chicago University Press Chicago no. 10
    • Brunswik, E., The conceptual framework of psychology. International Encyclopedia of Unified Science, 1, 1952, Chicago University Press, Chicago no. 10
    • (1952) International Encyclopedia of Unified Science , vol.1
    • Brunswik, E.1
  • 8
    • 0019777874 scopus 로고
    • Can human irrationality be experimentally demonstrated?
    • Cohen, L.J., Can human irrationality be experimentally demonstrated?. Behavioral and Brain Sciences 4 (1981), 317–331
    • (1981) Behavioral and Brain Sciences , vol.4 , pp. 317-331
    • Cohen, L.J.1
  • 10
    • 0002552275 scopus 로고
    • Confidence in intellectual judgments vs. confidence in perceptual judgments
    • E.D. Lantermann H. Feger Hans Huber Bern
    • Dawes, R.M., Confidence in intellectual judgments vs. confidence in perceptual judgments. Lantermann, E.D., Feger, H., (eds.) Similarity and Choice: Papers in honor of Clyde Coombs, 1980, Hans Huber, Bern
    • (1980) Similarity and Choice: Papers in honor of Clyde Coombs
    • Dawes, R.M.1
  • 12
    • 84980139990 scopus 로고
    • On the external validity of decision making research: What do we know about decisions in the real world
    • S. Wallsten Erlbaum Hillsdale, NJ
    • Ebbeson, E.B., Konecni, V.J., On the external validity of decision making research: What do we know about decisions in the real world. Wallsten, S., (eds.) Cognitive Processes in Choice and Decision Behavior, 1980, Erlbaum, Hillsdale, NJ
    • (1980) Cognitive Processes in Choice and Decision Behavior
    • Ebbeson, E.B.1    Konecni, V.J.2
  • 13
    • 0010828626 scopus 로고
    • Human cognitive capabilities, representativeness, and ground rules for research
    • P. Humphreys O. Svenson A. Vari Hungarian Academy of Sciences Budapest
    • Edwards, W., Human cognitive capabilities, representativeness, and ground rules for research. Humphreys, P., Svenson, O., Vari, A., (eds.) Analyzing and Aiding decision processes, 1984, Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Budapest
    • (1984) Analyzing and Aiding decision processes
    • Edwards, W.1
  • 14
    • 58149407822 scopus 로고
    • Confidence in Judgment: Persistence in the illusion of validity
    • Einhorn, H., Hogarth, R.M., Confidence in Judgment: Persistence in the illusion of validity. Psychological Review 85 (1978), 395–416
    • (1978) Psychological Review , vol.85 , pp. 395-416
    • Einhorn, H.1    Hogarth, R.M.2
  • 15
    • 0002618637 scopus 로고
    • Behavioral decision theory: Processes of judgment and choice
    • Einhorn, H., Hogarth, R.M., Behavioral decision theory: Processes of judgment and choice. Annual Review of Psychology 32 (1981), 53–88
    • (1981) Annual Review of Psychology , vol.32 , pp. 53-88
    • Einhorn, H.1    Hogarth, R.M.2
  • 16
    • 0009278926 scopus 로고
    • Proportionality and sample size as factors in intuitive statistical judgments
    • Evans, J.St.B.T., Dosoir, A.E., Proportionality and sample size as factors in intuitive statistical judgments. Acta Psychologica 41 (1977), 129–137
    • (1977) Acta Psychologica , vol.41 , pp. 129-137
    • Evans, J.S.B.T.1    Dosoir, A.E.2
  • 17
    • 0002871842 scopus 로고
    • Debiasing
    • D. Kahneman P. Slovic A. Tversky Cambridge University Press Cambridge
    • Fischhoff, B., Debiasing. Kahneman, D., Slovic, P., Tversky, A., (eds.) Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases, 1982, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
    • (1982) Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
    • Fischhoff, B.1
  • 18
    • 84910457289 scopus 로고
    • Decision analysis: Clinical art or clinical science?
    • L. Sjoberg T. Tyszka J. Wise Doxa Bodafors
    • Fischhoff, B., Decision analysis: Clinical art or clinical science?. Sjoberg, L., Tyszka, T., Wise, J., (eds.) Human Decision Making, 1983, Doxa, Bodafors
    • (1983) Human Decision Making
    • Fischhoff, B.1
  • 20
    • 0023075952 scopus 로고
    • Errors and mistakes: Evaluating the accuracy of social judgments
    • Funder, D., Errors and mistakes: Evaluating the accuracy of social judgments. Psychological Bulletin 101 (1987), 75–90
    • (1987) Psychological Bulletin , vol.101 , pp. 75-90
    • Funder, D.1
  • 21
    • 84921770737 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The effect of past experience on problem solving
    • Paper presented at the annual conference of the British Psychological Society. 1981 Surrey University April
    • E. Golding The effect of past experience on problem solving. Paper presented at the annual conference of the British Psychological Society. 1981 Surrey University April
    • Golding, E.1
  • 22
    • 0010922130 scopus 로고
    • The role of problem content in the selection task and THOG problem
    • J.St.B.T. Evans Routledge and Kegan Paul London
    • Griggs, R.A., The role of problem content in the selection task and THOG problem. Evans, J.St.B.T., (eds.) Thinking and Reasoning: Psychological Approaches, 1983, Routledge and Kegan Paul, London
    • (1983) Thinking and Reasoning: Psychological Approaches
    • Griggs, R.A.1
  • 23
    • 85004844331 scopus 로고
    • The ellusive thematic-materials effect in Wason selection task
    • Griggs, R.A., Cox, J.R., The ellusive thematic-materials effect in Wason selection task. British Journal of Psychology 73 (1982), 407–420
    • (1982) British Journal of Psychology , vol.73 , pp. 407-420
    • Griggs, R.A.1    Cox, J.R.2
  • 25
    • 0006209292 scopus 로고
    • On the relation between logic and thinking
    • Henle, M., On the relation between logic and thinking. Psychological Review 69 (1962), 366–378
    • (1962) Psychological Review , vol.69 , pp. 366-378
    • Henle, M.1
  • 27
    • 54949115282 scopus 로고
    • Beyond discrete biases: Functional and disfunctional aspects of judgmental heuristics
    • Hogarth, R., Beyond discrete biases: Functional and disfunctional aspects of judgmental heuristics. Psychological Bulletin 90 (1981), 197–217
    • (1981) Psychological Bulletin , vol.90 , pp. 197-217
    • Hogarth, R.1
  • 29
    • 49649138413 scopus 로고
    • Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness
    • Kahneman, D., Tversky, A., Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness. Cognitive Psychology 3 (1972), 430–454
    • (1972) Cognitive Psychology , vol.3 , pp. 430-454
    • Kahneman, D.1    Tversky, A.2
  • 30
    • 58149417364 scopus 로고
    • On the Psychology of prediction
    • Kahneman, D., Tversky, A., On the Psychology of prediction. Psychological Review 80 (1973), 237–251
    • (1973) Psychological Review , vol.80 , pp. 237-251
    • Kahneman, D.1    Tversky, A.2
  • 31
    • 0020109716 scopus 로고
    • On the study of statistical intuitions
    • Kahneman, D., Tversky, A., On the study of statistical intuitions. Cognition 11 (1982), 123–141
    • (1982) Cognition , vol.11 , pp. 123-141
    • Kahneman, D.1    Tversky, A.2
  • 32
    • 0020816606 scopus 로고
    • Cultural Differences in the misperception of exponential growth
    • Keren, G., Cultural Differences in the misperception of exponential growth. Perception and Psychophysics 34 (1983), 289–293
    • (1983) Perception and Psychophysics , vol.34 , pp. 289-293
    • Keren, G.1
  • 33
    • 0021387497 scopus 로고
    • On the importance of identifying the correct problem space'
    • Keren, G., On the importance of identifying the correct problem space'. Cognition 16 (1984), 121–128
    • (1984) Cognition , vol.16 , pp. 121-128
    • Keren, G.1
  • 34
    • 84913381970 scopus 로고
    • On the calibration of experts and lay-people
    • Paper presented at the 10th conference on subjective probability, utility, and decision making. Helsinki, Finland
    • G. Keren On the calibration of experts and lay-people. Paper presented at the 10th conference on subjective probability, utility, and decision making. Helsinki, Finland. 1985
    • (1985)
    • Keren, G.1
  • 35
    • 84910764093 scopus 로고
    • On the judgment and measurement of good decisions
    • Technical report IZF-TNO. 31 1986
    • G. Keren On the judgment and measurement of good decisions. Technical report IZF-TNO. 31 1986 1986
    • (1986)
    • Keren, G.1
  • 36
  • 37
    • 0001757512 scopus 로고
    • On the psychology of playing Blackjack: Normative and descriptive considerations with implications for decision theory
    • Keren, G., Wagenaar, W.A., On the psychology of playing Blackjack: Normative and descriptive considerations with implications for decision theory. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General 114 (1985), 133–158
    • (1985) Journal of Experimental Psychology: General , vol.114 , pp. 133-158
    • Keren, G.1    Wagenaar, W.A.2
  • 42
    • 0002941732 scopus 로고
    • Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980
    • D. Kahneman P. Slovic A. Tversky Lawrence Erlbaum Hillsdale, NJ
    • Lichtenstein, S., Fischhoff, B., Phillips, L.D., Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980. Kahneman, D., Slovic, P., Tversky, A., (eds.) Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases, 1982, Lawrence Erlbaum, Hillsdale, NJ
    • (1982) Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
    • Lichtenstein, S.1    Fischhoff, B.2    Phillips, L.D.3
  • 43
    • 0001114039 scopus 로고
    • Procedural debiasing
    • Lopes, L., Procedural debiasing. Acta Psychologica 64 (1987), 167–185
    • (1987) Acta Psychologica , vol.64 , pp. 167-185
    • Lopes, L.1
  • 45
    • 0001280437 scopus 로고
    • Inferences, subjective probability and frequency of correct answers: A cognitive approach to the overconfidence phenomenon
    • B. Brehmer H. Jungerman P. Lourens G. Seron North-Holland Amsterdam
    • May, R.S., Inferences, subjective probability and frequency of correct answers: A cognitive approach to the overconfidence phenomenon. Brehmer, B., Jungerman, H., Lourens, P., Seron, G., (eds.) New Directions in Research on Decision Making, 1986, North-Holland, Amsterdam
    • (1986) New Directions in Research on Decision Making
    • May, R.S.1
  • 46
    • 0000477291 scopus 로고
    • Scoring rules in probability assessments and evaluation
    • Murphy, A.H., Winkler, R.L., Scoring rules in probability assessments and evaluation. Acta Psychologica 34 (1970), 273–286
    • (1970) Acta Psychologica , vol.34 , pp. 273-286
    • Murphy, A.H.1    Winkler, R.L.2
  • 47
    • 0002958261 scopus 로고
    • Can weather forecasters formulate reliable probability forecasts of precipitation and temperature?
    • Murphy, A.H., Winkler, R.L., Can weather forecasters formulate reliable probability forecasts of precipitation and temperature?. National Weather Digest 2 (1977), 2–9
    • (1977) National Weather Digest , vol.2 , pp. 2-9
    • Murphy, A.H.1    Winkler, R.L.2
  • 49
    • 32344440683 scopus 로고
    • Experts, amateurs, and real estate: An anchoring-and-adjustment perspective on property pricing decisions
    • Northcraft, G.B., Neale, M.A., Experts, amateurs, and real estate: An anchoring-and-adjustment perspective on property pricing decisions. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 39 (1987), 84–97
    • (1987) Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes , vol.39 , pp. 84-97
    • Northcraft, G.B.1    Neale, M.A.2
  • 51
    • 0010908308 scopus 로고
    • Subjective probability distributions for imperfectly known quantities
    • L.W. Gregg Wiley New York
    • Pitz, G., Subjective probability distributions for imperfectly known quantities. Gregg, L.W., (eds.) Knowledge and Cognition, 1974, Wiley, New York
    • (1974) Knowledge and Cognition
    • Pitz, G.1
  • 52
    • 0001446059 scopus 로고
    • Judgment and Decision: Theory and Application
    • Pitz, G., Sachs, N.J., Judgment and Decision: Theory and Application. Annual Review of Psychology 35 (1984), 139–163
    • (1984) Annual Review of Psychology , vol.35 , pp. 139-163
    • Pitz, G.1    Sachs, N.J.2
  • 53
    • 0040534974 scopus 로고
    • The effect of personal biases on syllogistic reasoning: rational decisions from personalized representations
    • R. Revlin R.E. Mayer Wiley New York
    • Revlin, R., Leirer, V.O., The effect of personal biases on syllogistic reasoning: rational decisions from personalized representations. Revlin, R., Mayer, R.E., (eds.) Human Reasoning, 1978, Wiley, New York
    • (1978) Human Reasoning
    • Revlin, R.1    Leirer, V.O.2
  • 54
    • 0000004866 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of decision importance on ability to generate warranted subjective uncertainty
    • Sieber, J.E. Effects of decision importance on ability to generate warranted subjective uncertainty. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 30, 688-694
    • Journal of Personality and Social Psychology , vol.30 , pp. 688-694
    • Sieber, J.E.1
  • 56
    • 85019428342 scopus 로고
    • Rationality as process and product of thought
    • Simon, H.A., Rationality as process and product of thought. American Economic Review 68 (1978), 1–16
    • (1978) American Economic Review , vol.68 , pp. 1-16
    • Simon, H.A.1
  • 57
    • 0003368305 scopus 로고
    • From Shakespeare to Simon: Speculations - and some evidence - about man's ability to process information
    • Oregon Research Institute Eugene (2)
    • Slovic, P., From Shakespeare to Simon: Speculations - and some evidence - about man's ability to process information. ORI research monograph, 12, 1972, Oregon Research Institute, Eugene (2)
    • (1972) ORI research monograph , vol.12
    • Slovic, P.1
  • 60
    • 0019392722 scopus 로고
    • The framing of decisions and the psychology of choice
    • Tversky, A., Kahneman, D., The framing of decisions and the psychology of choice. Science 211 (1981), 453–458
    • (1981) Science , vol.211 , pp. 453-458
    • Tversky, A.1    Kahneman, D.2
  • 61
    • 0001371984 scopus 로고
    • Rational choice and the framing of decisions
    • Tversky, A., Kahneman, D., Rational choice and the framing of decisions. The Journal of Business 59 (1986), 251–284
    • (1986) The Journal of Business , vol.59 , pp. 251-284
    • Tversky, A.1    Kahneman, D.2
  • 62
    • 85070246216 scopus 로고
    • The theoretical status of judgmental heuristics
    • R.W. Scholz Elsevier Amsterdam
    • Wallsten, T.S., The theoretical status of judgmental heuristics. Scholz, R.W., (eds.) Decision Making Under Uncertainty, 1983, Elsevier, Amsterdam
    • (1983) Decision Making Under Uncertainty
    • Wallsten, T.S.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.