Objective verification of spatial precipitation forecasts

Precipitation: Advances in Measurement, Estimation and Prediction

Volumn , Issue , 2008, Pages 453-472

  Tartaglione, Nazario ^a   Mariani, Stefano ^b,c   Accadia, Christophe ^d   Michaelides, Silas ^e   Casaioli, Marco ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF CAMERINO   (Italy)

^b Agency for Environmental Protection and Technical Services (APAT)   (Italy)

^c UNIVERSITY OF FERRARA   (Italy)

^d EUMETSAT   (Germany)

^e Meteorological Service of Cyprus   (Cyprus)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 77956605183     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Book    
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-540-77655-0_17     Document Type: Chapter

References (39)

1. Accadia C, Mariani S, Casaioli M, Lavagnini A, Speranza A (2003) Sensitivity of precipitation forecast skill scores to bilinear interpolation and a simple nearest-neighbor average method on high-resolution verification grids. Weather Forecast 18:918-932
2. Baldwin ME (2000) http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/ylin/pcpverif/scores/ docs/mbdoc/pptmethod.html
3. Baldwin ME, Elmore KL (2005) Objective verification of high-resolution WRF forecasts during 2005 NSSL/SPC spring program. In: Preprints 17th NWP Conference. American Meteorological Society, 1-5 August, Washington DC, paper 11B.4
4. Barnes SL (1964) A technique for maximizing details in numerical weather map analysis. J Appl Meteorol 3:396-409
5. Bidwell SW, Flaming GM, Durning JF, Smith EA (2005) The Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Microwave Imager (GMI) instrument: role, performance, and status. In: Proceedings Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium. IEEE International 1:25-29
6. Bowler N (2007) The effect of observation errors on verification. In: 3rd International Workshop on Verification Methods. 29 January-2 February, Reading, UK
7. Brier GW (1948) Review of 'The verification of weather forecasts'. B Am Meteorol Soc 29:475
8. Brier GW, Allen RA (1951) Verification of weather forecasts. In: Malone TF (ed) Compendium of Meteorology. American Meteorological Society, pp 841-848
9. Casati B, Ross G, Stephenson DB (2004) A new intensity-scale approach for the verification of spatial precipitation forecasts. Meteorol Appl 11:141-154
10. Doswell CA III (1996) Verification of forecasts of convection: Uses, abuses, and requirements. In: Proceedings of the 5th Australian Severe Thunderstorm Conference. Avoca Beach, New South Wales, Australia
11. Ebert EE, Janowiack JE, Kidd CI (2007) Comparison of near-real-time precipitation estimates from satellite observations and numerical models. B Am Meteorol Soc 88:47-64
12. Ebert EE, McBride JL (2000) Verification of precipitation in weather systems: Determination of systematic errors. J Hydrol 239:179-202
13. Gabella M, Joss J, Perona G, Michaelides S (2006) Range adjustment for ground-based radar, derived with the spaceborne TRMM Precipitation Radar. IEEE T Geosci Remote 44:126-133
14. Göber M, Milton SF (2001) On the use of radar data to verify mesoscale model precipitation forecasts. In: Workshop report 1st SRNWP Mesoscale Verification Workshop. KNMI, 23-24 April, De Bilt, The Netherlands, p 11
15. Grams JS, Gallus WA, Koch SE, Wharton LS, Loughe A, Ebert EE (2006) The use of a modified Ebert-McBride technique to evaluate mesoscale model QPF as a function of convective system morphology during IHOP 2002. Weather Forecast 21:288-306
16. Hamill TM, Juras J (2006) Measuring forecast skill: is it real skill or is it the varying climatology? Q J Roy Meteor Soc 132:2905-2923
17. Harris D, Foufoula-Georgiou E, Droegemeier KK, Levit JJ (2001) Multiscale statistical properties of a high-resolution precipitation forecast. J Hydrometeorol 2:406-418
18. Harrison DL, Driscoll SJ, Kitchen M (2000) Improving precipitation estimates from weather radar using quality control and correction techniques. Meteorol Appl 7:135-144
19. Jolliffe IT, Stephenson DB (eds) (2003) Forecast Verification: A practioner's guide in atmospheric science, Wiley and Sons
20. Joss J, Gabella M, Perona G (2003) Needs and expectations after the 1st VOLTAIRE workshop, Upscaling and consequences of non-homogeneous beam filling. In: Proceedings 1st VOLTAIRE Workshop. ISBN 961-212-150-8. 6-8 October, Barcelona, Spain, pp 13-14
21. Kain JS, Weiss SJ, Baldwin ME, Bright D, Levit JJ (2005) Evaluating highresolution configurations of the WRF model that are used to forecast severe convective weather: The 2005 SPC/NSSL Spring Program. In: Preprints 17th NWP Conference. American Meteorological Society, 1-5 August, Washington DC, paper 2A.5
22. Koch SE, desJardins M, Kocin PJ (1983) An interactive Barnes objective map analysis scheme for use with satellite and conventional data. J Clim Appl Meteorol 22:1487-1503
23. Mariani S, Casaioli M, Accadia C, Llasat MC, Pasi F, Davolio S, Elementi M, Ficca G, Romero R (2005) A limited area model intercomparison on the 'Montserrat-2000' flash-flood event using statistical and deterministic methods. Nat Hazard Earth Sys 5:565-581
24. Mass CF, Ovens D, Westrick K, Colle BA (2002) Does increasing horizontal resolution produce more skillful forecasts? B Am Meteorol Soc 83:407-430
25. Mesinger F (1996) Improvements in quantitative precipitation forecasting with the Eta regional Model at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction: The 48-km upgrade. B Am Meteorol Soc 77:2637-2649
26. Murphy AH (1991) Forecast verification: its complexity and dimensionality. Mon Weather Rev 119:1590-1601
27. Murphy AH, Brown BG, Chen Y.-S (1989) Diagnostic verification of temperature forecasts. Weather Forecast 4:485-501
28. Murphy AH, Winkler RL (1992) Diagnostic verification of probability forecasts. Int J Forecasting 7:435-455
29. Nystuen JA (1999) Relative performance of automatic rain gauges under different rainfall conditions. J Atmos Ocean Tech 16:1025-1043
30. Skok G, Vhrovec T (2006) Considerations for interpolating rain gauge precipitation onto a regular grid. Meteorol Z 15:545-550
31. Smith E A (1988) The Second Precipitation Intercomparison Project (PIP-2). J Atmos Sci 55:1481-1482
32. Stellman KM, Fuelberg HE, Garza R, Mullusky M (2001) An examination of radar and rain gauge-derived mean areal precipitation over Georgia watersheds. Weather Forecast 16:133-144
33. Tartaglione N, Mariani S, Accadia C, Casaioli M, Federico S (2007) Displacement errors of quantitative precipitation forecasts over the Calabria region. In: 3rd International Verification Methods Workshop. 29 January-2 February, Reading, UK
34. Tartaglione N, Mariani S, Accadia C, Casaioli M, Gabella M, Michaelides S, Speranza A (2006) Sensitivity of forecast rainfall verification to a radar adjustment technique. Meteorol Z 15:537-543
35. Tartaglione N, Mariani S, Accadia C, Speranza A, Casaioli M (2005) Comparison of rain gauge observations with modeled precipitation over Cyprus using contiguous rain area analysis. Atmos Chem Phys 5:2147-2154
36. VOLTAIRE (2006) Validation of multisensor precipitation fields and numerical modeling in Mediterranean test sites. Final Reort, 135
37. Weygandt SS, Loughe AF, Benjamin SG, Mahoney JL (2004) Scale sensitivities in model precipitation skill scores during IHOP. In: 22nd Conference on Severe Local Storms. American Meteorological Society, 4-8 October, Hyannis, MA
38. Wilks DS (1995) Statistical Methods in the atmospheric sciences. Academic Press, 467
39. Zepeda-Arce J, Foufoula-Georgiou E, Droegemeier KK (2000) Space-time rainfall organization and its role in validating quantitative precipitation forecasts. J Geophys Res 105:10129-10146