Continental-scale phenology: Warming and chilling

International Journal of Climatology

Volumn 30, Issue 11, 2010, Pages 1595-1598

  Schwartz, Mark D ^a   Hanes, Jonathan M ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN MILWAUKEE   (United States)

Author keywords

Chilling requirement western United States; Global warming; Lilac; Phenology

Indexed keywords

AIR TEMPERATURE; CHILLING REQUIREMENT; CLIMATE WARMING; COMPREHENSIVE ASSESSMENT; CONTINENTAL SCALE; DIRECT IMPACT; LILAC; PHENOLOGY; PLANT GROWTH; PLANT SPECIES; POTENTIAL IMPACTS; WESTERN UNITED STATES; WOODY PLANTS;

ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE; ECOLOGY; GLOBAL WARMING;

BLOOMS (METAL);

CLIMATE CHANGE; GLOBAL WARMING; PHENOLOGY; PHYSIOLOGICAL RESPONSE; TEMPERATE ENVIRONMENT; WOODY PLANT;

UNITED STATES;

ANIMALIA; SYRINGA VULGARIS;

EID: 77956594218     PISSN: 08998418     EISSN: 10970088     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/joc.2014     Document Type: Article

References (20)

1. Baldocchi D, Wong S. 2008. Accumulated winter chill is decreasing in the fruit growing regions of California. Climatic Change 87: S153-S166.
2. Cannell MGR, Smith RI. 1983. Thermal time, chill days and prediction of budburst in Picea sitchensis. Journal of Applied Ecology 20: 951-963.
3. Cayan DR, Kammerdiener S, Dettinger MD, Caprio JM, Peterson DH. 2001. Changes in the onset of spring in the western United States. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 82: 399-415.
4. Chuine I, Cour P. 1999. Climatic determinations of budburst seasonality in four temperate-zone tree species. New Phytologist 143: 339-349.
5. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). 2007. Climate change 2007: impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability, Chapter 1. Assessment of Observed Changes and Responses in Natural and Managed Systems. IPCC Secretariat. Geneva, Switzerland; http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar4/wg2/ar4-wg2-chapter1.pdf.
6. Linvill DE. 1990. Calculating chilling hours and chill units from daily maximum and minimum temperature observations. HortScience 25: 14-16.
7. Luedeling E, Zhang M, Girvetz EH. 2009. Climatic changes lead to declining winter chill for fruit and nut trees in California during 1950-2099. PLoS ONE 4: e6166, DOI:10.1371/journal.pone. 0006166.
8. Menzel A, Sparks TH, Estrella N, Koch E, Aasa A, Ahas R, Alm-Kübler K, Bissolli P, Braslavská O, Briede A, Chmielewski F-M, Crepinsek Z, Curnel Y, Dahl A°, Defila C, Donnelly A, Filella Y, Jatczak K, Ma°ge F, Mestre A, Nordli Ø, Peñuelas J, Pirinen P, Remišová V, Scheifinger H, Striz M, Susnik A, van Vliet AJ, Wielgolaski F-E, Zach S, Zust A. 2006. European phonological response to climate change matches the warming pattern. Global Change Biology 12: 1969-1976.
9. Morin X, Augspurger C, Chuine I. 2007. Process-Based modeling of species' distributions: what limits temperate tree species' range boundaries? Ecology 88: 2280-2291.
10. Murray MB, Cannell MGR, Smith RI. 1989. Date of budburst of fifteen tree species in Britain following climatic warming. Journal of Applied Ecology 26: 693-700.
11. National Climatic Data Center. 2005. Climatic Data OnLine (CDO), Daily Surface Data. http://cdo.ncdc.noaa.gov/pls/plclimprod/poemain.accessrouter?datasetabbv=SOD&countryabbv=US&georegionabbv=&forceoutside=
12. Parmesan C, Yohe G. 2003. A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature 421: 37-42.
13. Richardson EA, Seeley SD, Walker DR. 1974. A model for estimating the completion of Rest for 'Redhaven' and 'Elberta' Peach Trees. HortScience 9: 331-332.
14. Root TL, Price JT, Hall KR, Schneider SH, Rosenzweig C, Pounds JA. 2003. Fingerprints of global warming on wild animals and plants. Nature 421: 57-60.
15. Sarvas R. 1974. Investigations on the annual cycle of development of forest tree autumn dormancy. Communicationes Instituti Forestalis Fenniae 84: 1-101.
16. Schwartz MD. 1997. Spring index models: an approach to connecting satellite and surface phenology. In Phenology of Seasonal Climates, Lieth H, Schwartz MD (eds). Backhuys: Leiden, Netherlands; 23-38.
17. Schwartz MD. 1998. Green-wave phenology. Nature 394: 839-840.
18. Schwartz MD, Ahas R, Aasa A. 2006. Onset of spring starting earlier across the northern hemisphere. Global Change Biology 12: 343-351.
19. Schwartz MD, Caprio JM. 2003. North American First Leaf and First Bloom Lilac Phenology Data, IGBP PAGES/World Data Center for Paleoclimatology Data Contribution Series # 2003- 078, NOAA/NGDC Paleoclimatology Program, Boulder CO, USA, ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/phenology/northAmericalilac.txt.
20. Zhang X, Tarpley D, Sullivan JT. 2007. Diverse responses of vegetation phenology to a warming climate. Geophysical Research Letters 34: L19405.