The quiet man of British politics: The rise, fall and significance of Iain Duncan Smith

Parliamentary Affairs

Volumn 63, Issue 3, 2010, Pages 425-445

  Hayton, Richard ^a   Heppell, Timothy ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF HUDDERSFIELD   (United Kingdom)

^b UNIVERSITY OF LEEDS   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 77956155179     PISSN: 00312290     EISSN: 14602482     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1093/pa/gsp057     Document Type: Article

References (84)

1. Richard Hayton is Lecturer in Politics at the University of Huddersfield. Previously he was a Research Associate in the Department of Politics at the University of Sheffield, where he recently completed his PhD, Conservative Party Leadership Strategy and the Legacy of Thatcherite Conservatism, 1997- 2005. He is currently revising his thesis into a book, to be published by Manchester University Press.
2. Timothy Heppell is a Lecturer in British Politics within the School of Politics and International Studies (POLIS) at the University of Leeds. He has published on political parties and party leadership and is the author of The Conservative Party Leadership of John Major (Edwin Mellen Press, 2006) and Choosing the Tory Leader: Conservative Party Leadership Elections from Heath to Cameron (I. B. Tauris, 2007). He has two forthcoming books The Conservative Party Leadership of William Hague (Edwin Mellen Press, 2010) and Choosing the Labour Leader: Labour Party Leadership Elections from Wilson to Brown (I. B. Tauris, 2010).
3. See P. Kerr, 'Cameron Chameleon and the Current State of Britain's "Consensus"', Parliamentary Affairs, 60, 2007, 46-65;
4. A. Denham and K. O'Hara, 'Cameron's "Mandate" Democracy, Legitimacy and Conservative Leadership', Parliamentary Affairs, 60, 2007, 409-23;
5. A. Denham and K. O'Hara, 'The Three Mantras: Modernization and the Conservative Party', British Politics, 2, 2007, 167-90;
6. P. Dorey, 'A New Direction of Another False Dawn? David Cameron and the Crisis of British Conservatism', British Politics, 2, 2007, 137-66;
7. T. Bale, 'A Bit Less Bunny-Hugging and a Bit More Bunny-Boiling? Qualifying Conservative Party Change under David Cameron', British Politics, 3, 2008, 270-99;
8. T. Quinn, 'The Conservative Party and the "Centre Ground" of British Politics', Elections, Public Opinion and Parties, 18, 2008, 179-99;
9. S. Evans, 'Consigning its Past to History? David Cameron and the Conservative Party', Parliamentary Affairs, 61, 2008, 291-314.
10. Evans, 'Consigning its Past to History?', 291.
11. T. Heppell, Choosing the Tory Leader: Conservative Party Leadership Elections from Heath to Cameron, I.B. Tauris, 2007, pp. 136, 239-40.
12. A. Denham and K. O'Hara, Democratising Conservative Leadership Selection: From Grey Suits to Grass Roots, Manchester University Press, 2008, p. 56.
13. Bercow interview.
14. Streeter interview.
15. For a detailed appraisal of the opposition that existed towards Portillo, see S. Walters, Tory Wars: Conservatives in Crisis, Politico's, 2001.
16. M. Portillo, 'The Lady's Not for Spurning', BBC4 television, 25 February 2008.
17. Streeter interview.
18. T. Heppell, Choosing the Tory Leader, p. 152
19. Lilley interview.
20. Heppell, Choosing the Tory Leader. op. cit, p. 156.
21. P. Cowley and J. Green, 'New Leaders, Same Problems: The Conservatives', in A. Geddes and J. Tonge, (ed.), Britain Decides: The UK General Election 2005, Palgrave, 2005, p. 51.
22. The 'wait and see' position of Major on the single European currency had been abandoned under Hague. He had secured a degree of legitimacy for his harder position of opposing membership for the current Parliament and the next through a party ballot, which was endorsed by 84 per cent of members. M. Garnett, 'A Question of Definition? Ideology and the Conservative Party 1997-2001', in M. Garnett and P. Lynch (ed.), The Conservatives in Crisis, Manchester: Manchester University Press, p. 56.
23. May interview.
24. T. Bale, 'Between a Soft and a Hard Place? The Conservative Party, Valence Politics and the Need for a New "Eurorealism"', Parliamentary Affairs, 59, 2006, 385-400, 388.
25. Widdecombe interview.
26. Duncan Smith interview.
27. Cowley and Green, Parliamentary Affairs. op. cit, p. 51.
28. Green suggests that core vote strategies are not as extreme or irrational as the traditionalist accounts imply, but should be analysed with a wider appreciation of issue saliency and valence politics. For example of the 2001 strategy, Green notes that 'remaining in opposition was inevitable, and so a campaign aimed at maximising the available vote on dimensions where it occupied an optimal ideological location and raising their salience can be viewed as entirely rational. The irony is that such a strategy can be rational and yet fail to maximise the party's vote beyond a limited base'. J. Green, 'Conservative Party Rationality: Learning the Lessons from the Last Election for the Next', Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties, 15, 2005, 111-27: 112-13, 125.
29. For a discussion of the core vote plus strategy of 2005, see J. Green and S. Hobolt, 'Owning the Issue Agenda: Party Strategies in the 2001 and 2005 British Election Campaigns', paper presented to the Political Studies Association Annual Conference, 3-6 April 2006.
30. Duncan Smith interview.
31. Duncan Smith interview.
32. Cowley and Green, The Political Studies Association Annual Conference. op. cit, p. 51.
33. Duncan Smith interview.
34. Duncan Smith interview.
35. Duncan Smith interview.
36. Duncan Smith interview.
37. Duncan Smith interview.
38. May interview.
39. Streeter interview.
40. A. Seldon and P. Snowdon, 'The Barren Years: 1997-2005', in S. Ball and A. Seldon (ed.), Recovering Power: The Conservatives in Opposition Since 1867, Palgrave, 2005, pp. 258, 260.
41. Bercow interview.
42. I. Duncan Smith, 'Speech to the Conservative Party Conference', 9 October 2003. http://www. guardian.co.uk/politics/2003/oct/09/conservatives2003. conservatives10.
43. J. Glover, 'Captain Oblivion's last stand', The Guardian, 10 October 2003.
44. P. Cowley and M. Stuart, 'Still Causing Trouble: The Conservative Parliamentary Party', Political Quarterly, 75, 2004, 357.
45. Bercow interview.
46. I. Duncan Smith, 'The necessary and sometimes painful process of modernisation', 5 November 2002, http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2002/nov/05/ conservatives.uk3.
47. P. Norton, 'The Conservative Party: The Politics of Panic', in Britain at the Polls, J. Bartle and A. King (ed.), CQ Press, 2005, p. 39.
48. J. Fisher, 'Money Matters: The Financing of the Conservative Party', Political Quarterly, 75, 2004, 406-7.
49. Denham and O'Hara, Democratising Conservative Leadership Selection: From Grey Suits to Grass Roots, Manchester University Press, p. 91.
50. M. Crick, In Search of Michael Howard, Simon and Schuster, 2005, pp. 422-424.
51. Widdecombe interview.
52. May interview.
53. Ancram interview.
54. Ancram interview.
55. Crick, Search of Michael Howard. op.cit, p. 425.
56. Crick, Search of Michael Howard. Ibid., pp. 425-27.
57. Howard interview.
58. Denham and O'Hara, Democratising Conservative Leadership Selection, p. 98.
59. Denham and O'Hara, 'The Three Mantras: Modernization and the Conservative Party'.
60. Portillo interview.
61. Duncan Smith interview.
62. F. Elliott and J. Hanning, Cameron: The Rise of the New Conservative, Fourth Estate, 2007, pp. 249-55.
63. Kerr, Cameron: The Rise of the New Conservative, Fourth Estate. op. cit, pp. 50-51.
64. Kerr, Cameron: The Rise of the New Conservative, Fourth Estate. op. cit, pp. 46-50.
65. K. O'Hara 'The Iron Man, Is Cameron True Blue?', Public Policy Research, 14, 2007, 181-85;
66. Breakthrough Britain: Ending the Costs of Social Breakdown, Report of the Social Justice Policy Group, 2007.
67. May interview.
68. T. Heppell, 'The Degenerative Tendencies of Long Serving Governments . . . 1963 . . . 1996 . . . 2008', Parliamentary Affairs, 61, 2008, 578-96.
69. Bercow interview.
70. T. Heppell, Choosing the Tory Leader, pp. 138-9.
71. A. Denham and P. Dorey, 'A Tale of Two Speeches? The Conservative Leadership Election of 2005', Political Quarterly, 77, 35-42;
72. Heppell, Choosing the Tory Leader, pp. 171-94;
73. Denham and O'Hara, Democratising Conservative Leadership Selection, pp. 134-68;
74. T. Heppell and M. Hill, 'The Voting Motivations of Conservative Parliamentarians and the 2005 Conservative Party Leadership Election', Political Quarterly, 80, 2009, 388-99.
75. Some Thatcherites acknowledged the 'electoral attractiveness' of Cameron vis-a-vis the other candidates and for those electability transcended ideological acceptability. In the final parliamentary ballot Cameron was supported by the likes of Michael Howard, Michael Ancram, Bernard Jenkin, Peter Lilley and David Heathcoat-Amory. See Heppell, Choosing the Tory Leader, p. 191;
76. Denham and O'Hara, Democratising Conservative Leadership Selection, pp. 124, 141, 212-14.
77. Widdecombe interview.
78. The excellent Garnett and Lynch edited collection covers the 1997-2001 Parliament: see M. Garnett and P. Lynch, The Conservatives in Crisis, Manchester University Press, 2003.
79. C. Hay, 'King Canute and the 'Problem' of Structure and Agency: On Times, Tides and Heresthetics', Political Studies, 57, 2009, 260-79.
80. T. Bale, 'Take Your Pick', Parliamentary Affairs, 62, 2009, 364-69.
81. Anonymous interview.
82. Howard interview.
83. Duncan Smith interview.
84. Michael Howard, interviewed by Michael Portillo, 'The Lady's Not for Spurning', BBC4 television, 25 February 2008.