메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 43, Issue 1, 2010, Pages 163-186

Fonctions de vote et prévisions électorales, une application la présidentielle franaise de 2007

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords


EID: 77955907886     PISSN: 00084239     EISSN: 17449324     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1017/S0008423909990874     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (7)

References (61)
  • 1
    • 0001251988 scopus 로고
    • Economic policy in a two-party system as a repeated games
    • Alesina, A. 1987. «Economic Policy in a two-Party System as a Repeated Games». Quarterly Journal of Economics: 651-678.
    • (1987) Quarterly Journal of Economics , pp. 651-678
    • Alesina, A.1
  • 2
    • 84973961240 scopus 로고
    • Partisan cycles in congressional elections and the macroeconomy
    • juin
    • Alesina, A. et H. Rosenthal. 1989. «Partisan Cycles in Congressional Elections and the Macroeconomy». American Political Science Review 83, juin: 373-398
    • (1989) American Political Science Review , vol.83 , pp. 373-398
    • Alesina, A.1    Rosenthal, H.2
  • 6
    • 0002855663 scopus 로고
    • Incumbent behaviour: Vote-seeking, tax-setting, and yardstick competition
    • Besley, T. et A. Case. 1995. «Incumbent behaviour: vote-seeking, tax-setting, and yardstick competition». American Economic Review 85.1: 25-45.
    • (1995) American Economic Review 85.1 , pp. 25-45
    • Besley, T.1    Case, A.2
  • 7
    • 8744314069 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stategic voting in the 2002 French presidential election
    • dir. M. S. Lewis-Beck. Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire et New York: Palgrave
    • Blais, A. 2004. «Stategic Voting in the 2002 French Presidential Election». Dans The French Voter, dir. M. S. Lewis-Beck. Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire et New York: Palgrave, 93-109.
    • (2004) Dans the French Voter , pp. 93-109
    • Blais, A.1
  • 8
    • 0034990450 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Measuring strategic voting in multiparty plurality elections
    • Blais, A., R. Nadeau, E. Gidengil et N. Nevitte. 2001. «Measuring Strategic voting in Multiparty Plurality Elections». Electoral Studies 20: 343-352.
    • (2001) Electoral Studies , vol.20 , pp. 343-352
    • Blais, A.1    Nadeau, R.2    Gidengil, E.3    Nevitte, N.4
  • 10
    • 77955902619 scopus 로고
    • The changing criteria of economic success: Performances and popularity in British politics
    • Amsterdam, du 31 août au 4 septembre
    • Borooah, V. et F. Van der Ploeg. 1981. «The Changing Criteria of Economic Success: Performances and Popularity in British Politics». Econometric Society. Amsterdam, du 31 août au 4 septembre.
    • (1981) Econometric Society
    • Borooah, V.1    Ploeg Der F.Van2
  • 12
    • 84933491918 scopus 로고
    • Forecasting the presidential vote in the states
    • mai
    • Campbell, J. E. 1992. «Forecasting the Presidential Vote in the States». American Journal of Political Science 36, 2, mai, 386-407.
    • (1992) American Journal of Political Science , vol.36 , Issue.2 , pp. 386-407
    • Campbell, J.E.1
  • 16
    • 0000675837 scopus 로고
    • The effects of economic event on votes for president
    • Fair, R. 1978. «The Effects of Economic Event on Votes for President». Review of Economic and Statistics 60: 159-173.
    • (1978) Review of Economic and Statistics , vol.60 , pp. 159-173
    • Fair, R.1
  • 17
    • 0002063539 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • L'Iowa donne l'opposition gagnante
    • 23 mai, 15
    • Fauvelle-Aymar, C. et Lewis-Beck, M. S. 1997. «L'Iowa donne l'opposition gagnante». Libération 4978, 23 mai, 15.
    • (1997) Libération , vol.4978
    • Fauvelle-Aymar, C.1    Lewis-Beck, M.S.2
  • 19
    • 0000047855 scopus 로고
    • Politico-economic models and cycles
    • Frey, B. S. 1978. «Politico-economic models and cycles.» Journal of Public Economics 9: 208-220.
    • (1978) Journal of Public Economics , vol.9 , pp. 208-220
    • Frey, B.S.1
  • 21
    • 84984498511 scopus 로고
    • 3 tomes. Paris: Presses de la FNSP
    • Goguel, F. 1981. 1983. Chroniques électorales. 3 tomes. Paris: Presses de la FNSP.
    • (1981) Chroniques Électorales
    • Goguel, F.1
  • 22
    • 46549104603 scopus 로고
    • Impact of official forecasts on private expectations: the paradox of manipulation. The french case: 1965-1982
    • Goyeau, D. 1985. «Impact of official forecasts on private expectations: the paradox of manipulation. The french case: 1965-1982». European Journal of Political Economy 103: 343-358.
    • (1985) European Journal of Political Economy , vol.103 , pp. 343-358
    • Goyeau, D.1
  • 23
    • 3843072153 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reflections on Public Choice
    • Grofman, B. 2004. « Reflections on Public Choice.» Public Choice 118: 31-51.
    • (2004) Public Choice , vol.118 , pp. 31-51
    • Grofman, B.1
  • 24
    • 84972959926 scopus 로고
    • Political parties and macroeconomic policy
    • décembre
    • Hibbs, D. A. 1977. «Political parties and macroeconomic policy». American Political Science Review, décembre, 1467-1487.
    • (1977) American Political Science Review , pp. 1467-1487
    • Hibbs, D.A.1
  • 25
    • 84975945813 scopus 로고
    • On the demand for economic outcomes: Macroeconomics outcomes and mass political support in the United States, Great Britain, and Germany
    • Hibbs, D. A. 1982. «On the Demand for Economic Outcomes: Macroeconomics Outcomes and Mass Political Support in the United States, Great Britain, and Germany». Journal of Politics 44: 426-462.
    • (1982) Journal of Politics , vol.44 , pp. 426-462
    • Hibbs, D.A.1
  • 28
    • 28444474361 scopus 로고
    • Les prévisions des modèles politico-économiques
    • Dans J.-D. Lafay 19 mars
    • Jérôme, B., J.-D. Lafay et M. S. Lewis-Beck. 1993. Dans J.-D. Lafay, «Les prévisions des modèles politico-économiques». Le Figaro, 19 mars.
    • (1993) Le Figaro
    • Jérôme, B.1    Lafay, J.-D.2    Lewis-Beck, M.S.3
  • 30
    • 34248645351 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Évaluation économique et vote en France et en Allemagne
    • Paris: Presses de sciences Po, avril
    • Jérôme, B., V. Jérôme-Speziari et M. S. Lewis-Beck. 2001. «Évaluation économique et vote en France et en Allemagne». Dans L'Opinion européenne 2001. Paris: Presses de sciences Po, avril: 101-122.
    • (2001) Dans l'Opinion Européenne 2001 , pp. 101-122
    • Jérôme, B.1    Jérôme-Speziari, V.2    Lewis-Beck, M.S.3
  • 32
    • 85050781540 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A le Pen Vote Function for the 2002 Presidential election: A way to reduce uncertainty
    • Jérôme, B. et V. Jérôme-Speziari. 2003. «A Le Pen Vote Function for the 2002 Presidential election: a way to reduce uncertainty». French Politics 1: 247-251.
    • (2003) French Politics , vol.1 , pp. 247-251
    • Jérôme, B.1    Jérôme-Speziari, V.2
  • 33
    • 77955866060 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • La modélisation des effets du changement de calendrier électoral: une approche politico-économique
    • dir. A. Laurent et H.-P. Frognier. Paris: l'Harmattan
    • Jérôme, B. et V. Jérôme-Speziari. 2004a. «La modélisation des effets du changement de calendrier électoral: une approche politico-économique». Dans Les systèmes élector-aux: permanence et innovation, dir. A. Laurent et H.-P. Frognier. Paris: l'Harmattan.
    • (2004) Dans les Systèmes Élector-aux: Permanence et Innovation
    • Jérôme, B.1    Jérôme-Speziari, V.2
  • 34
    • 28444467259 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 2002 Election forecast, lessons from the political economy model
    • ed. M. S. Lewis-Beck. Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire et New York: Palgrave
    • Jérôme, B. et V. Jérôme-Speziari. 2004b. «2002 Election Forecast, lessons from the Political Economy Model». Dans The French Voter before and after the 2002 Elections, ed. M. S. Lewis-Beck. Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire et New York: Palgrave, 178-204.
    • (2004) Dans the French Voter before and after the 2002 Elections , pp. 178-204
    • Jérôme, B.1    Jérôme-Speziari, V.2
  • 39
    • 0009376319 scopus 로고
    • Rationality, causality, and the relation between economic conditions and the popularity of parties: An empirical investigations for the Federal Republic of Germany, 1971-1982
    • Kirchgässner, G. 1985. «Rationality, causality, and the relation between economic conditions and the popularity of parties: an empirical investigations for the Federal Republic of Germany, 1971-1982». European Economic Review 28: 243-268.
    • (1985) European Economic Review , vol.28 , pp. 243-268
    • Kirchgässner, G.1
  • 40
    • 84980198814 scopus 로고
    • Economic conditions and the popularity of West Germany, a survey
    • Kirchgässner, G. 1986. «Economic Conditions and the Popularity of West Germany, a survey». European Journal of Political Research 14: 421-439.
    • (1986) European Journal of Political Research , vol.14 , pp. 421-439
    • Kirchgässner, G.1
  • 41
    • 0000163134 scopus 로고
    • Short-term fluctuations in United-States Voting Behavior, 1896-1964
    • Kramer, G. H. 1971. «Short-Term Fluctuations in United-States Voting Behavior, 1896-1964». American Political Science Review 65: 131-143.
    • (1971) American Political Science Review , vol.65 , pp. 131-143
    • Kramer, G.H.1
  • 42
    • 0009284720 scopus 로고
    • Qualité de la gestion municipale et résultats électoraux des maires sortants: analyse empirique des élections de mars 1989
    • Université de Perpignan
    • Lafay, J.-D. et B. Jérôme. 1991. «Qualité de la gestion municipale et résultats électoraux des maires sortants: analyse empirique des élections de mars 1989». Economie 1991: Université de Perpignan.
    • (1991) Economie 1991
    • Lafay, J.-D.1    Jérôme, B.2
  • 45
    • 84928224512 scopus 로고
    • Un modèle de prévision des élections législatives françaises avec une application pour 1986
    • Lewis-Beck, M. S. 1985. «Un modèle de prévision des élections législatives françaises avec une application pour 1986». Revue française de science politique 35: 1080-1091.
    • (1985) Revue Française de Science Politique , vol.35 , pp. 1080-1091
    • Lewis-Beck, M.S.1
  • 47
    • 0001226778 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Economic voting: An introduction
    • Lewis-Beck, M. S. et M. Paldam. 2000. «Economic voting: an introduction». Electoral Studies 19: 113-121.
    • (2000) Electoral Studies , vol.19 , pp. 113-121
    • Lewis-Beck, M.S.1    Paldam, M.2
  • 48
    • 34248300971 scopus 로고
    • Alternate electorates in the context of residential mobility
    • Mingat, A. et P. Salmon. 1988. «Alternate electorates in the context of residential mobil-ity». Public Choice 59.1: 61-82.
    • (1988) Public Choice 59.1 , pp. 61-82
    • Mingat, A.1    Salmon, P.2
  • 49
    • 84928275628 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cambridge: Cambridge University Press
    • Mueller, D. C. 2003. Public Choice III. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
    • (2003) Public Choice III
    • Mueller, D.C.1
  • 50
    • 21344493488 scopus 로고
    • The VP-Function: A Survey of the Literature on Vote and Popularity Functions after 25 Years
    • Nannestad, P. et M. Paldam. 1994. «The VP-Function: a Survey of the Literature on Vote and Popularity Functions after 25 Years». Public Choice. 79, 3-4: 213-245.
    • (1994) Public Choice , vol.79 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 213-245
    • Nannestad, P.1    Paldam, M.2
  • 51
    • 77955865389 scopus 로고
    • Economics and fiscal effects on the popular vote for President
    • Graduate School of Policy, University of California, Berkeley
    • Niskanen, W. 1975. «Economics and fiscal effects on the popular vote for President». Working paper n825. Graduate School of Policy, University of California, Berkeley.
    • (1975) Working Paper n825
    • Niskanen, W.1
  • 53
    • 0000058335 scopus 로고
    • The political business cycle
    • avril
    • Nordhaus, W. D. 1975. «The political business cycle». Review of economic studies, 42, avril, 169-190.
    • (1975) Review of Economic Studies , vol.42 , pp. 169-190
    • Nordhaus, W.D.1
  • 54
    • 0000531503 scopus 로고
    • Conditions économiques et élections: une analyse politico-économique.1920-1973
    • Rosa, J.-J. et D. Amson. 1976. «Conditions économiques et élections: une analyse politico-économique.1920-1973». Revue française de science politique 26: 1101-1124.
    • (1976) Revue Française de Science Politique , vol.26 , pp. 1101-1124
    • Rosa, J.-J.1    Amson, D.2
  • 57
    • 0042744176 scopus 로고
    • Checks and balances and international openness
    • Dans A. Breton, G. Galeotti, P. Salmon et R. Wintrobe, dir., Dordrecht-Boston: Kluwer
    • Salmon, P. 1991. «Checks and balances and international openness». The Competitive State: Villa Colombella Papers on Competitive Politics. Dans A. Breton, G. Galeotti, P. Salmon et R. Wintrobe, dir., Dordrecht-Boston: Kluwer, 169-184
    • (1991) The Competitive State: Villa Colombella Papers on Competitive Politics , pp. 169-184
    • Salmon, P.1
  • 60
    • 0000778367 scopus 로고
    • A pure theory of local expenditures
    • octobre
    • Tiebout, C. M. 1956. «A pure theory of local expenditures». Journal of Political Economy 64, octobre, 416-424.
    • (1956) Journal of Political Economy , vol.64 , pp. 416-424
    • Tiebout, C.M.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.