Risk mapping of Rinderpest sero-prevalence in Central and Southern Somalia based on spatial and network risk factors

BMC Veterinary Research

Volumn 6, Issue , 2010, Pages

  Ortiz Pelaez, Angel ^a   Pfeiffer, Dirk U ^a   Tempia, Stefano ^b   Otieno, F Tom ^c   Aden, Hussein H ^b   Costagli, Riccardo ^b  

^a ROYAL VETERINARY COLLEGE   (United Kingdom)

^b Terra Nuova East Africa   (Kenya)

^c INTERNATIONAL LIVESTOCK RESEARCH INSTITUTE   (Kenya)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

BOS;

ANIMAL; ANIMAL HUSBANDRY; ARTICLE; BIOLOGICAL MODEL; CATTLE; COMPUTER SIMULATION; EPIDEMIOLOGY; RINDERPEST; RISK FACTOR; SOMALIA; STATISTICAL MODEL;

ANIMAL HUSBANDRY; ANIMALS; CATTLE; COMPUTER SIMULATION; LOGISTIC MODELS; MODELS, BIOLOGICAL; RINDERPEST; RISK FACTORS; SEROEPIDEMIOLOGIC STUDIES; SOMALIA;

EID: 77955482067     PISSN: None     EISSN: 17466148     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1186/1746-6148-6-22     Document Type: Article

References (41)

1. Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) Somalia, towards a livestock sector strategy. Final Report. 2004, FAO-World Bank Cooperative Programme. European Union, Report No.: 04/001 IC-SOM, Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO).
2. Lindley A. Somalia Country Study. A part of the report on Informal Remittance Systems in Africa, Caribbean and Pacific (ACP) countries (Ref: RO2CS008). 2005, ESRC Centre on Migration, Policy and Society (COMPAS). Oxford, UK.
3. Abdullahi AM. Pastoral Production Systems in Africa. A Study of Nomadic Household Economy and Livestock Marketing in Central Somalia. Farming Systems and Resource Economics in the Tropics (Germany) 1990, 8:266. Wissenschaftsverlag Vauk. Kiel (Germany).
4. Food Security Analysis Unit (FSAU) Livestock export data for Somalia. Food Security Analysis Unit-Somalia, Food and Agriculture Organization. 2008, Food Security Analysis Unit (FSAU)., http://www.fsausomali.org/fileadmin/uploads/1273_01.pdf
5. Little PD. Somalia: Economy Without State. 2003, 206. Bloomington and Indianapolis: Indiana University Press.
6. Rothenberg R, Muth SQ, Malone S, Potterat JJ, Woodhouse DE. Social and geographic distance in HIV risk. Sex Transm Dis 2005, 32(8):506-12. 10.1097/01.olq.0000161191.12026.ca, 16041254.
7. Pfeiffer DU, Robinson TP, Stevenson M, Stevens K, Rogers DJ, Clements ACA. Spatial Analysis in Epidemiology. 2008, 142. Oxford University Press. Oxford, UK.
8. Durr PA, Froggatt AEA. How best to geo-reference farms? A case study from Cornwall, England. Prev Vet Med 2002, 56(1):51-62. 10.1016/S0167-5877(02)00123-X, 12419599.
9. Faust K, Entwistel B, Rindfuss RR, Walsh SJ, Sawangdee Y. Spatial arrangements of social and economic networks among villages in Nang Rong District, Thailand. Social Networks 1999, 21:311-337.
10. Webb CR. Farm animal networks: unravelling the contact structure of the British sheep population. Prev Vet Med 2005, 68(1):3-17. 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2005.01.003, 15795012.
11. Dent JE, Kao RR, Kiss IZ, Hyder K, Arnold M. Contact structures in the poultry industry in Great Britain: Exploring transmission routes for a potential avian influenza virus epidemic. BMC Veterinary Research 2008, 4:27. 10.1186/1746-6148-4-27, 2526082, 18651959.
12. Pfeiffer DU, Duchateau L, Kruska RL, Ushewokunze-Obatolu U, Perry BD. A spatially predictive logistic regression model for occurrence of theileriosis outbreaks in Zimbabwe. Epidemiologie et santé animale 1997, 31-32. 1212.1-3..
13. Baylis M, Mellor PS, Wittman EJ, Rogers DJ. Prediction of areas around the Mediterranean at risk of bluetongue by modelling the distribution of its vector using satellite imaging. The Veterinary Record 2001, 149:639-643. 10.1136/vr.149.21.639, 11764324.
14. McKenzie JS, Morris RS, Pfeiffer DU, Dymond JR. Application of remote sensing to enhance the control of wildlife-associated Mycobacterium bovis infection. PE&RS - Photogrammetric Engineering & Remote Sensing 2002, 68(2):153-159.
15. Tum S, Puotinen ML, Copeman DB. A geographic information systems model for mapping risk of fasciolosis in cattle and buffaloes in Cambodia. Veterinary Parasitology 2004, 122:141-149. 10.1016/j.vetpar.2004.03.016, 15177719.
16. Pfeiffer DU, Minh PQ, Martin V, Epprecht M, Otte MJ. An analysis of the spatial and temporal patterns of highly pathogenic avian influenza occurrence in Vietnam using national surveillance data. The Veterinary Journal 2007, 174:302-309. 10.1016/j.tvjl.2007.05.010, 17604193.
17. Gilbert M, Xiao X, Pfeiffer DU, Epprecht M, Boles S, Czarnecki C, Chaitaweesub P, Kalpravidh W, Minh PQ, Otte MJ, Martin V, Slingenbergh J. Mapping H5N1 highly pathogenic avian influenza risk in Southeast Asia. PNAS March 25 2008, 105(12):4769-4774.
18. Boender GJ, Nodelijk G, Hagenaars TJ, Elbers ARW, de Jong MCM. Local spread of classical swine fever upon virus introduction into The Netherlands: Mapping of areas at high risk. BMC Veterinary Research 2008, 4:9. 10.1186/1746-6148-4-9, 2311289, 18298803.
19. Pfeiffer DU. Geographical information science and spatial analysis in animal health. GIS and spatial analysis in veterinary science 2004, 303. CABI publishing, Wallingford, Oxfordshire, UK, Durr P, Gatrell A.
20. Anon Somali Livestock Statistics 1988/1989. Ministry of Livestock, Forestry and Range - Department of Planning and Statistics, Mogadishu, Somalia, Anon.
21. Tempia S. The dynamic of Rinderpest in nomadic pastoral systems: the Somali surveillance example. PhD thesis Colorado State University. Fort Collins-Colorado.
22. Anderson J, McKey JA, Butcher RN. The use of monoclonal antibodies in competitive ELISA for the detection of antibodies to rinderpest and peste des petits ruminants. The Sero-Monitoring of Rinderpest Through Africa - Phase I. Proceedings of the Final Research Coordination Meeting of IAEA Rinderpest Control Projects 1991, International Atomic Energy Agency, Vienna.
23. Africa Data Sampler A Geo-Referenced Database for All African Countries. 2000, World Resources Institute in Collaboration with World Conservation Monitoring Centre and Padco, Inc. CD-ROM, Africa Data Sampler.
24. UNDOS Somalia Topomaps. 2003, United Nations Development Office for Somalia (UNDOS), Nairobi, CD-ROM, UNDOS.
25. White GC, Garrott RA. Analysis of wildlife radiotracking data. 1990, Academic Press, New York. New York, USA.
26. Carrat F, Valleron AJ. Epidemiologic mapping using the "Kriging" method: application to an influenza-like illness epidemic in France. American Journal of Epidemiology 1992, 135:1293-1300.
27. Olivier MA, Webster R. Kriging: a method of interpolation for geographical information systems. International Journal of Geographical Information Systems 1990, 4:313-332.
28. Stein ML. Interpolation of Spatial Data - Some Theory for Kriging. 1999, Springer-Verlag, Inc., New York.
29. Webster R, Olivier MA, Muir KR, Mann JR. Kriging the local risk of a rare diseases from a register of diagnosis. Geographical Analysis 1994, 26:168-185.
30. Lessard P, L'Eplattenier R, Norval RAI, Kundert K, Dolan TT, Croze H. Geographical information systems for studying the epidemiology of cattle disease caused by Theileria parva. The Veterinary Record 1990, 126:255-262.
31. Cressie NAC. Statistics for spatial data. 1993, John Wiley & Sons, New York, USA.
32. Terra Nuova Improvement and Diversification of Somali Livestock Trade and Marketing. Fourth Progress Report. August 2006 to January 2007 2007, Terra Nuova, Nairobi, Kenya, Terra Nuova.
33. Terra Nuova PanAfrican Control for the Epizootics - Somali Component. Rinderpest Cross-Sectional Sero-Survey in Central and Southern Somalia-Technical Report. Terra Nuova, Nairobi 2003, Terra Nuova.
34. Hardin J, Hilbe J. Generalized Linear Models and Extensions. 2001, Stata Press, Texas. USA.
35. Zenilman JM, Ellish N, Fresia A, Glass G. The geography of sexual partnerships in Baltimore: Applications of core theory dynamics using a geographic information system. Sex Transm Dis 1999, 26:75-81. 10.1097/00007435-199902000-00002, 10029979.
36. Leenders RTAJ. Modeling social influence through network autocorrelation: constructing the weight matrix. Social Networks 2002, 24:21-47.
37. Anselin L. Specification tests on the structure of interaction in spatial econometric models. Papers of the Regional Science Association 1984, 54:165-182.
38. Terra Nuova Follow-up investigation of the rinderpest situation in central and southern Somalia. 2005, Somali Animal Health Services Project - Technical Report, Terra Nuova, Nairobi, Terra Nuova.
39. Terra N. Participatory disease search and purposive sero-surveillance for rinderpest in central and southern Somalia. 2006, Somali Animal Health Services Project - Technical Report, Terra Nuova, Nairobi.
40. Terra Nuova Rinderpest cross-sectional sero-survey in the Somali Eco-System: Somalia component. 2006, Somali Animal Health Services Project - Technical Report, Terra Nuova, Nairobi, Terra Nuova.
41. African Union-Interafrican Bureau for Animal Resources (AU-IBAR) Rinderpest situation in the Somali Eco-System. 2006, AU-IBAR, Nairobi, African Union-Interafrican Bureau for Animal Resources (AU-IBAR).