메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 72, Issue 6, 2010, Pages 717-733

BET_VH: Exploring the influence of natural uncertainties on long-term hazard from tephra fallout at Campi Flegrei (Italy)

Author keywords

Ash fall; Bayesian event tree; Campi Flegrei

Indexed keywords

HAZARD ASSESSMENT; NUMERICAL MODEL; SIMULATION; TEPHRA; VOLCANIC ASH; VOLCANIC ERUPTION;

EID: 77955107538     PISSN: 02588900     EISSN: 14320819     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00445-010-0358-7     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (73)

References (24)
  • 1
    • 0025047416 scopus 로고
    • Mapping the tephra fallout risk: An example from Vesuvius (Italy)
    • Barberi F, Macedonio G, Pareschi MT, Santacroce R (1990) Mapping the tephra fallout risk: an example from Vesuvius (Italy). Nature 344: 142-144.
    • (1990) Nature , vol.344 , pp. 142-144
    • Barberi, F.1    Macedonio, G.2    Pareschi, M.T.3    Santacroce, R.4
  • 2
    • 77955097773 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Barberi F, Principe C, Rosi M, Santacroce R (1995) Scenario dell'evento eruttivo massimo atteso al Vesuvio in caso di riattivazione a breve-medio termine (Aggiornamento al 20. 1. 1995). CNR, Gruppo Nazionale per la Vulcanologia, Confidential Report to DPC, 19 pp.
  • 4
    • 77955101705 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bonadonna C, Costa A (2010) Modeling of tephra sedimentation from volcanic plumes. In: Fagents SA, Gregg TKP, Lopes RMC (eds) Modeling volcanic processes: the physics and mathematics of volcanism (in press).
  • 5
    • 80052835164 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Numerical modelling of tephra fallout associated with dome collapses and vulcanian explosions: Application to hazard assessment on Montserrat
    • T. H. Druitt and B. P. Kokelaar (Eds.), London: Geological Society
    • Bonadonna C, Macedonio G, Sparks RSJ (2002) Numerical modelling of tephra fallout associated with dome collapses and vulcanian explosions: application to hazard assessment on Montserrat. In: Druitt TH, Kokelaar BP (eds) The eruption of Soufrire Hills Volcano, Montserrat, from 1995 to 1999. Geol Soc London Mem 21. Geological Society, London, pp 517-537.
    • (2002) The Eruption of Soufrire Hills Volcano, Montserrat, from 1995 to 1999. Geol Soc London Mem 21 , pp. 517-537
    • Bonadonna, C.1    Macedonio, G.2    Sparks, R.S.J.3
  • 6
    • 0037593550 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing pyroclastic fall hazard through field data and numerical simulations: Example from Vesuvius
    • doi:10.1029/2001JB000642
    • Cioni R, Longo A, Macedonio G, Santacroce R, Sbrana A, Suplizio R, Andronico D (2003) Assessing pyroclastic fall hazard through field data and numerical simulations: example from Vesuvius. J Geophys Res 108: 2063. doi: 10. 1029/2001JB000642.
    • (2003) J Geophys Res , vol.108 , pp. 2063
    • Cioni, R.1    Longo, A.2    Macedonio, G.3    Santacroce, R.4    Sbrana, A.5    Suplizio, R.6    Andronico, D.7
  • 7
    • 62749151847 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Tephra fallout hazard assessment at the Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy)
    • doi:10.1007/s00445-008-0220-3
    • Costa A, DellErba F, Di Vito MA, Isaia R, Macedonio G, Orsi G, Pfeiffer T (2009) Tephra fallout hazard assessment at the Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy). Bull Volcanol 71: 259-273. doi: 10. 1007/s00445-008-0220-3.
    • (2009) Bull Volcanol , vol.71 , pp. 259-273
    • Costa, A.1    DellErba, F.2    Di Vito, M.A.3    Isaia, R.4    Macedonio, G.5    Orsi, G.6    Pfeiffer, T.7
  • 8
    • 0003716498 scopus 로고
    • DPC (Dipartimento Protezione Civile), Roma: Dipartimento della Protezione Civile
    • DPC (Dipartimento Protezione Civile) (1995) Pianificazione Nazionale d'Emergenza dell'Area Vesuviana. Dipartimento della Protezione Civile, Roma.
    • (1995) Pianificazione Nazionale d'Emergenza dell'Area Vesuviana
  • 9
    • 77955119968 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • DPC/INGV Project V3 (2004-2006) Research on active volcanoes, precursors, scenarios, hazard and risk. Sub-Project V3_2 Campi Flegrei.
  • 11
    • 0034351740 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multimodel ensemble forecasts for weather and seasonal climate
    • Krishnamurti TN, Kishtawal CM, Zhang Z, et al (2000) Multimodel ensemble forecasts for weather and seasonal climate. J Clim 13: 4196-4216.
    • (2000) J Clim , vol.13 , pp. 4196-4216
    • Krishnamurti, T.N.1    Kishtawal, C.M.2    Zhang, Z.3
  • 12
    • 77952876482 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Towards real-time eruption forecasting in the Auckland volcanic field: Testing of BET_EF during the New Zealand National Disaster Exercise 'Ruaumoko
    • doi:10.1007/s00445-009-0311-9
    • Lindsay J, Marzocchi W, Jolly G, Constantinescu R, Selva J, Sandri L (2010) Towards real-time eruption forecasting in the Auckland volcanic field: testing of BET_EF during the New Zealand National Disaster Exercise 'Ruaumoko'. Bull Volcanol 72: 185-204. doi: 10. 1007/s00445-009-0311-9.
    • (2010) Bull Volcanol , vol.72 , pp. 185-204
    • Lindsay, J.1    Marzocchi, W.2    Jolly, G.3    Constantinescu, R.4    Selva, J.5    Sandri, L.6
  • 13
    • 21644438102 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A computer model for volcanic ash fallout and assessment of subsequent hazard
    • Macedonio G, Costa A, Longo A (2005) A computer model for volcanic ash fallout and assessment of subsequent hazard. Comput Geosci 31: 837-845.
    • (2005) Comput Geosci , vol.31 , pp. 837-845
    • Macedonio, G.1    Costa, A.2    Longo, A.3
  • 14
    • 57149116146 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ash fallout at Vesuvius: Numerical simulations and implication for hazard assessment
    • Macedonio G, Costa A, Folch A (2008) Ash fallout at Vesuvius: numerical simulations and implication for hazard assessment. J Volcanol Geotherm Res 178: 366-377.
    • (2008) J Volcanol Geotherm Res , vol.178 , pp. 366-377
    • Macedonio, G.1    Costa, A.2    Folch, A.3
  • 15
    • 39749199226 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • BET_EF: A probabilistic tool for long- and short-term eruption forecasting
    • doi:10.1007/s00445-007-0157-y
    • Marzocchi W, Sandri L, Selva J (2008) BET_EF: a probabilistic tool for long- and short-term eruption forecasting. Bull Volcanol 70: 623-632. doi: 10. 1007/s00445-007-0157-y.
    • (2008) Bull Volcanol , vol.70 , pp. 623-632
    • Marzocchi, W.1    Sandri, L.2    Selva, J.3
  • 16
    • 77955113158 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • BET_VH: A probabilistic tool for long-time volcanic hazard assessment
    • doi:10.1007/s00445-010-0357-8
    • Marzocchi W, Sandri L, Selva J (2010) BET_VH: a probabilistic tool for long-time volcanic hazard assessment. Bull Volcanol. doi: 10. 1007/s00445-010-0357-8.
    • (2010) Bull Volcanol
    • Marzocchi, W.1    Sandri, L.2    Selva, J.3
  • 17
    • 14344250826 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Quantifying probabilities of volcanic events: The example of volcanic hazard at Mount Vesuvius
    • doi:10.1029/2004JB003155
    • Marzocchi W, Sandri L, Gasparini P, Newhall C, Boschi E (2004) Quantifying probabilities of volcanic events: the example of volcanic hazard at Mount Vesuvius. J Geophys Res 109: B11201. doi: 10. 1029/2004JB003155.
    • (2004) J Geophys Res , vol.109 , pp. 11201
    • Marzocchi, W.1    Sandri, L.2    Gasparini, P.3    Newhall, C.4    Boschi, E.5
  • 18
    • 0036205817 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Constructing event trees for volcanic crises
    • Newhall CG, Hoblitt RP (2002) Constructing event trees for volcanic crises. Bull Volcanol 64: 3-20.
    • (2002) Bull Volcanol , vol.64 , pp. 3-20
    • Newhall, C.G.1    Hoblitt, R.P.2
  • 19
    • 16544392135 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Volcanic hazard assessment at the restless Campi Flegrei caldera
    • doi:10.1007/s00445-003-0336-4
    • Orsi G, Di Vito MA, Isaia R (2004) Volcanic hazard assessment at the restless Campi Flegrei caldera. Bull Volcanol 66: 514-530. doi: 10. 1007/s00445-003-0336-4.
    • (2004) Bull Volcanol , vol.66 , pp. 514-530
    • Orsi, G.1    Di Vito, M.A.2    Isaia, R.3
  • 20
    • 70349515169 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-term forecast of eruption style and size at Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy)
    • Orsi G, di Vito MA, Selva J, Marzocchi W (2009) Long-term forecast of eruption style and size at Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy). Earth Planet Sci Lett 287: 265-276.
    • (2009) Earth Planet Sci Lett , vol.287 , pp. 265-276
    • Orsi, G.1    di Vito, M.A.2    Selva, J.3    Marzocchi, W.4
  • 21
    • 12344275675 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A model for the numerical simulation of tephra fall deposits
    • Pfeiffer T, Costa A, Macedonio G (2005) A model for the numerical simulation of tephra fall deposits. J Volcanol Geotherm Res 140: 273-294.
    • (2005) J Volcanol Geotherm Res , vol.140 , pp. 273-294
    • Pfeiffer, T.1    Costa, A.2    Macedonio, G.3
  • 22
    • 69949168114 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian Event Tree for Eruption Forecasting (BET_EF) at Vesuvius, Italy: A retrospective forward application to 1631 eruption
    • doi:10.1007/s00445-008-0261-7
    • Sandri L, Guidoboni E, Marzocchi W, Selva J (2009) Bayesian Event Tree for Eruption Forecasting (BET_EF) at Vesuvius, Italy: a retrospective forward application to 1631 eruption. Bull Volcanol 71: 729-745. doi: 10. 1007/s00445-008-0261-7.
    • (2009) Bull Volcanol , vol.71 , pp. 729-745
    • Sandri, L.1    Guidoboni, E.2    Marzocchi, W.3    Selva, J.4
  • 23
    • 77955104842 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Selva J, Di Vito M, Marzocchi W, Orsi G, Quaglino M, Sandri L (2007) Probability map of vent opening at Campi Flegrei, Italy. In: Abstracts of the IUGG XXIV general assembly, 2-13/7/2007, Perugia (Italy) (Asbtract number VS008 6778).


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.