메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 24, Issue 2, 2010, Pages 221-233

Trend detection in hydrological time series by segment regression with application to Shiyang River Basin

Author keywords

Change point; Segmented regression; Shiyang River; Trend analysis

Indexed keywords

ABRUPT CHANGE; ABRUPT CHANGE DETECTION; AKAIKE'S INFORMATION CRITERIONS; CHANGE-POINTS; CLIMATE VARIABLES; CONSTRAINTS METHOD; HYDROLOGICAL TIME-SERIES; MEAN ANNUAL PRECIPITATION; MODEL SELECTION; RIVER BASINS; RUNOFF COEFFICIENTS; SEGMENTED REGRESSION; SEGMENTED REGRESSIONS; TREND ANALYSIS; TREND DETECTION;

EID: 77955054936     PISSN: 14363240     EISSN: 14363259     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00477-009-0312-4     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (41)

References (61)
  • 1
    • 33746908518 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatiotemporal analysis of precipitation trends in the Yangtze River Catchment
    • Becker S, Gemmer M, Jiang T (2006) Spatiotemporal analysis of precipitation trends in the Yangtze River Catchment. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 20: 435-444.
    • (2006) Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess , vol.20 , pp. 435-444
    • Becker, S.1    Gemmer, M.2    Jiang, T.3
  • 3
    • 33748086063 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Detecting trends of extreme rainfall series in Sicily
    • Bonaccorso B, Cancelliere A, Rossi G (2005) Detecting trends of extreme rainfall series in Sicily. Adv Geosci 2: 7-11.
    • (2005) Adv Geosci , vol.2 , pp. 7-11
    • Bonaccorso, B.1    Cancelliere, A.2    Rossi, G.3
  • 4
    • 0028180654 scopus 로고
    • Trend analysis: Time series and point process problems
    • Brillinger DR (1994) Trend analysis: time series and point process problems. Environmetrics 5: 1-19.
    • (1994) Environmetrics , vol.5 , pp. 1-19
    • Brillinger, D.R.1
  • 5
    • 0037005719 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Detection of hydrologic trends and variability
    • Burn DH, Hag Elnur MA (2002) Detection of hydrologic trends and variability. J Hydrol 255: 107-122.
    • (2002) J Hydrol , vol.255 , pp. 107-122
    • Burn, D.H.1    Hag Elnur, M.A.2
  • 6
    • 2242466770 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Functional-coefficient regression models for nonlinear time series
    • Cai Z, Fan J, Yao Q (2000) Functional-coefficient regression models for nonlinear time series. J Am Statist Assoc 95: 941-956.
    • (2000) J Am Statist Assoc , vol.95 , pp. 941-956
    • Cai, Z.1    Fan, J.2    Yao, Q.3
  • 7
    • 0034767195 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and trend detection in selected rivers within the Asia-Pacific region
    • Cluis D, Laberge C (2001) Climate change and trend detection in selected rivers within the Asia-Pacific region. Water Int 26(3): 411-424.
    • (2001) Water Int , vol.26 , Issue.3 , pp. 411-424
    • Cluis, D.1    Laberge, C.2
  • 9
    • 0029751361 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Review of methods for the detection and estimation of trends with emphasis on water quality applications
    • Esterby SR (1996) Review of methods for the detection and estimation of trends with emphasis on water quality applications. Hydrol Process 10: 127-149.
    • (1996) Hydrol Process , vol.10 , pp. 127-149
    • Esterby, S.R.1
  • 10
    • 0035417406 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A study of variability of annual river flow of the southern African region
    • Fanta B, Zaake BT, Kachroo RK (2001) A study of variability of annual river flow of the southern African region. Hydrol Sci J 46(4): 513-524.
    • (2001) Hydrol Sci J , vol.46 , Issue.4 , pp. 513-524
    • Fanta, B.1    Zaake, B.T.2    Kachroo, R.K.3
  • 11
    • 33751013439 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-term change characteristics of the flow of Inland River in Hexi Corridor Regions of Gansu Province
    • Feng JY, Li DL (2001) Long-term change characteristics of the flow of Inland River in Hexi Corridor Regions of Gansu Province. Climatic Environ Res 4: 478-484.
    • (2001) Climatic Environ Res , vol.4 , pp. 478-484
    • Feng, J.Y.1    Li, D.L.2
  • 12
    • 0003906335 scopus 로고
    • Laboratory for Computational Statistics, Dept. of Statistics, Stanford Univ., California
    • Friedman JH (1984) A variable span smoother. Tech. Rep. No. 5, Laboratory for Computational Statistics, Dept. of Statistics, Stanford Univ., California.
    • (1984) A Variable Span Smoother. Tech. Rep. No. 5
    • Friedman, J.H.1
  • 13
    • 4344715023 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hydro-climatic trends of the Yellow river basin for the last 50 years
    • Fu GB, Chen SL, Liu CM, Shepard D (2004) Hydro-climatic trends of the Yellow river basin for the last 50 years. Climatic Change 65: 149-178.
    • (2004) Climatic Change , vol.65 , pp. 149-178
    • Fu, G.B.1    Chen, S.L.2    Liu, C.M.3    Shepard, D.4
  • 14
    • 84950655372 scopus 로고
    • Fitting segmented polynomial regression models whose join points have to be estimated
    • Gallant AR, Fuller WA (1973) Fitting segmented polynomial regression models whose join points have to be estimated. J Am Statist Assoc 68(1): 144-147.
    • (1973) J Am Statist Assoc , vol.68 , Issue.1 , pp. 144-147
    • Gallant, A.R.1    Fuller, W.A.2
  • 17
    • 31344479581 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Exploring between site differences in water quality trends: A functional data analysis approach
    • Henderson B (2006) Exploring between site differences in water quality trends: a functional data analysis approach. Environmetrics 17: 65-80.
    • (2006) Environmetrics , vol.17 , pp. 65-80
    • Henderson, B.1
  • 18
    • 0026296651 scopus 로고
    • Selection of methods for the detection and estimation of trends in water quality
    • Hirsch RM, Alexander RB, Smith RA (1991) Selection of methods for the detection and estimation of trends in water quality. Water Resour Res 27: 803-813.
    • (1991) Water Resour Res , vol.27 , pp. 803-813
    • Hirsch, R.M.1    Alexander, R.B.2    Smith, R.A.3
  • 19
    • 0034345611 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The segmentation procedure as a tool for discrete modeling of hydrometeorological regimes
    • Hubert P (2000) The segmentation procedure as a tool for discrete modeling of hydrometeorological regimes. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 14: 297-304.
    • (2000) Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess , vol.14 , pp. 297-304
    • Hubert, P.1
  • 20
    • 70349119250 scopus 로고
    • Regression and time series model selection in small samples
    • Hurvich M, Tsai CL (1989) Regression and time series model selection in small samples. Boimetrika 76: 297-307.
    • (1989) Boimetrika , vol.76 , pp. 297-307
    • Hurvich, M.1    Tsai, C.L.2
  • 21
    • 33747818869 scopus 로고
    • Approximation to data by splines with free knots
    • Jupp DLB (1978) Approximation to data by splines with free knots. SIAM J Numer Anal 15: 328-343.
    • (1978) SIAM J Numer Anal , vol.15 , pp. 328-343
    • Jupp, D.L.B.1
  • 22
    • 1642310633 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Trend analysis of streamflow in Turkey
    • Kahya E, Kalayci S (2004) Trend analysis of streamflow in Turkey. J Hydrol 289: 128-144.
    • (2004) J Hydrol , vol.289 , pp. 128-144
    • Kahya, E.1    Kalayci, S.2
  • 23
    • 33746458583 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Water resources relating to desertification in the Hexi Area of Gansu Province, China
    • Kang ES, Li X, Zhang JS, Hu XL (2004) Water resources relating to desertification in the Hexi Area of Gansu Province, China. J Glaciol Geocryol 26: 657-667.
    • (2004) J Glaciol Geocryol , vol.26 , pp. 657-667
    • Kang, E.S.1    Li, X.2    Zhang, J.S.3    Hu, X.L.4
  • 24
    • 30344487253 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A dynamic programming segmentation procedure for hydrological and environmental time series
    • Kehagias A, Nidelkou E, Petridis V (2006) A dynamic programming segmentation procedure for hydrological and environmental time series. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 20: 77-94.
    • (2006) Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess , vol.20 , pp. 77-94
    • Kehagias, A.1    Nidelkou, E.2    Petridis, V.3
  • 25
    • 0002282074 scopus 로고
    • A new measure of rank correlation
    • Kendall M (1938) A new measure of rank correlation. Biometrika 30: 81-89.
    • (1938) Biometrika , vol.30 , pp. 81-89
    • Kendall, M.1
  • 27
    • 1242265668 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Change detection in hydrological records-a review of the methodology
    • Kundzewicz ZW, Robson AJ (2004) Change detection in hydrological records-a review of the methodology. J Hydrol Sci 49: 7-19.
    • (2004) J Hydrol Sci , vol.49 , pp. 7-19
    • Kundzewicz, Z.W.1    Robson, A.J.2
  • 28
    • 0025414203 scopus 로고
    • Coping with discontinuities in computer vision: Their detection, classification, and measurement
    • Lee D (1990) Coping with discontinuities in computer vision: their detection, classification, and measurement. IEEE Trans Pattern Anal Mach Intell 12: 321-344.
    • (1990) IEEE Trans Pattern Anal Mach Intell , vol.12 , pp. 321-344
    • Lee, D.1
  • 29
    • 67650333312 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Monotonic trend analysis and simulation of annual runoff in the Shiyang River Basin, Northwest China
    • Li ZL, Xu ZX, Li JY, Li ZJ (2008) Monotonic trend analysis and simulation of annual runoff in the Shiyang River Basin, Northwest China. Hydrol Process 22: 4639-4646.
    • (2008) Hydrol Process , vol.22 , pp. 4639-4646
    • Li, Z.L.1    Xu, Z.X.2    Li, J.Y.3    Li, Z.J.4
  • 30
    • 1242333181 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Runoff trends in Sweden 1807-2002
    • Lindström G, Bergström S (2004) Runoff trends in Sweden 1807-2002. Hydrol Sci J 49(1): 69-83.
    • (2004) Hydrol Sci J , vol.49 , Issue.1 , pp. 69-83
    • Lindström, G.1    Bergström, S.2
  • 31
    • 0024062276 scopus 로고
    • Detecting change points by Fourier analysis
    • Lombard F (1988) Detecting change points by Fourier analysis. Technomerics 30: 305-310.
    • (1988) Technomerics , vol.30 , pp. 305-310
    • Lombard, F.1
  • 32
    • 25444454308 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The characteristics of ground-water resources and their changes under the impacts of human activity in the arid Northwest China-a case study of the Shiyang River Basin
    • Ma JZ, Wang XS, Edmunds WM (2005) The characteristics of ground-water resources and their changes under the impacts of human activity in the arid Northwest China-a case study of the Shiyang River Basin. J Arid Environ 61: 277-295.
    • (2005) J Arid Environ , vol.61 , pp. 277-295
    • Ma, J.Z.1    Wang, X.S.2    Edmunds, W.M.3
  • 34
    • 0002322469 scopus 로고
    • On a test of whether one of two random variables is stochastically larger than the other
    • Mann HB, Whitney DR (1947) On a test of whether one of two random variables is stochastically larger than the other. Ann Math Stat 18: 50-60.
    • (1947) Ann Math Stat , vol.18 , pp. 50-60
    • Mann, H.B.1    Whitney, D.R.2
  • 35
    • 0022763020 scopus 로고
    • Smoothing with split linear fits
    • McDonald A, Owen AL (1986) Smoothing with split linear fits. Technometrics 28: 195-208.
    • (1986) Technometrics , vol.28 , pp. 195-208
    • McDonald, A.1    Owen, A.L.2
  • 37
    • 53649094165 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimation of nonlinear trends in water quality: An improved approach using generalized additive models
    • Morton R, Henderson BL (2008) Estimation of nonlinear trends in water quality: an improved approach using generalized additive models. Water Resour Res 44(7): W07420.
    • (2008) Water Resour Res , vol.44 , Issue.7
    • Morton, R.1    Henderson, B.L.2
  • 38
    • 0000263369 scopus 로고
    • Change-points in nonparametric regression analysis
    • Müller HG (1992) Change-points in nonparametric regression analysis. Ann Stat 20: 737-761.
    • (1992) Ann Stat , vol.20 , pp. 737-761
    • Müller, H.G.1
  • 40
    • 0001138326 scopus 로고
    • A non-parametric approach to the change-point problem
    • Pettitt AN (1979) A non-parametric approach to the change-point problem. Appl Stat 28(2): 126-135.
    • (1979) Appl Stat , vol.28 , Issue.2 , pp. 126-135
    • Pettitt, A.N.1
  • 41
    • 0001805672 scopus 로고
    • Analysis and modeling of hydrologic time series, Chap. 19
    • D. R. Maidment (Ed.), New York: McGraw-Hill
    • Salas JD (1993) Analysis and modeling of hydrologic time series, Chap. 19. In: Maidment DR (ed) Handbook of hydrology. McGraw-Hill, New York.
    • (1993) Handbook of Hydrology
    • Salas, J.D.1
  • 42
    • 0036000563 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling trends in groundwater levels by segmented regression with constraints
    • Shao QX, Campbell NA (2002) Modelling trends in groundwater levels by segmented regression with constraints. Aust NZ J Stat 44: 129-141.
    • (2002) Aust NZ J Stat , vol.44 , pp. 129-141
    • Shao, Q.X.1    Campbell, N.A.2
  • 43
    • 0242557864 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fluctuations of Glacier mass balance in watersheds of Qilian Mountain and their impact on water resources of Hexi region
    • Shen YP, Liu SY, Zhen LL, Wang GX, Liu GY (2001) Fluctuations of Glacier mass balance in watersheds of Qilian Mountain and their impact on water resources of Hexi region. J Glaciol Geocryol 23: 244-250.
    • (2001) J Glaciol Geocryol , vol.23 , pp. 244-250
    • Shen, Y.P.1    Liu, S.Y.2    Zhen, L.L.3    Wang, G.X.4    Liu, G.Y.5
  • 45
    • 0345287024 scopus 로고
    • An easy procedure for detecting a discontinuity in a digital time series
    • Taubenheim J (1989) An easy procedure for detecting a discontinuity in a digital time series. Z Methorol 39(6): 344-347.
    • (1989) Z Methorol , vol.39 , Issue.6 , pp. 344-347
    • Taubenheim, J.1
  • 46
    • 0000148490 scopus 로고
    • Precipitation averages for large areas
    • Thiessen AH (1911) Precipitation averages for large areas. Mon Weather Rev 39(7): 1082-1084.
    • (1911) Mon Weather Rev , vol.39 , Issue.7 , pp. 1082-1084
    • Thiessen, A.H.1
  • 47
    • 0000999642 scopus 로고
    • Jump and sharp cusp detection by wavelets
    • Wang Y (1995) Jump and sharp cusp detection by wavelets. Biometrika 82: 385-397.
    • (1995) Biometrika , vol.82 , pp. 385-397
    • Wang, Y.1
  • 48
    • 0037502892 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Environmental degradation in the Hexi Corridor region of China over the last 50 years and comprehensive mitigation and rehabilitation strategies
    • Wang G, Ding Y, Shen Y, Lai Y (2003) Environmental degradation in the Hexi Corridor region of China over the last 50 years and comprehensive mitigation and rehabilitation strategies. Env Geol 44: 68-77.
    • (2003) Env Geol , vol.44 , pp. 68-77
    • Wang, G.1    Ding, Y.2    Shen, Y.3    Lai, Y.4
  • 49
    • 35348929431 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Does rangeland degradation have implications for global streamflow?
    • Wilcox BP (2007) Does rangeland degradation have implications for global streamflow? Hydrol Process 21: 2961-2964.
    • (2007) Hydrol Process , vol.21 , pp. 2961-2964
    • Wilcox, B.P.1
  • 50
    • 0001884644 scopus 로고
    • Individual comparisons by ranking methods
    • Wilcoxon F (1945) Individual comparisons by ranking methods. Biometrics Bull 1: 80-83.
    • (1945) Biometrics Bull , vol.1 , pp. 80-83
    • Wilcoxon, F.1
  • 51
    • 21344487598 scopus 로고
    • Kernel-type estimators of jump points and values of a regression function
    • Wu JS, Chu CK (1993) Kernel-type estimators of jump points and values of a regression function. Ann Stat 21: 1545-1566.
    • (1993) Ann Stat , vol.21 , pp. 1545-1566
    • Wu, J.S.1    Chu, C.K.2
  • 53
    • 1242265630 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Trend test and change-point detection for the annual discharge series of the Yangtze River at the Yichang hydrological station
    • Xiong LH, Guo SL (2004) Trend test and change-point detection for the annual discharge series of the Yangtze River at the Yichang hydrological station. J Hydrol Sci 49: 99-112.
    • (2004) J Hydrol Sci , vol.49 , pp. 99-112
    • Xiong, L.H.1    Guo, S.L.2
  • 54
    • 0141682160 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Monotonic trend and step changes in Japanese precipitation
    • Xu ZX, Takeuchi K, Ishidaira H (2003) Monotonic trend and step changes in Japanese precipitation. J Hydrol 279(1-4): 144-150.
    • (2003) J Hydrol , vol.279 , Issue.1-4 , pp. 144-150
    • Xu, Z.X.1    Takeuchi, K.2    Ishidaira, H.3
  • 55
    • 33846348725 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-term trend of precipitation in China and its association with the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
    • Xu ZX, Takeuchi K, Ishidaira H, Li JY (2007) Long-term trend of precipitation in China and its association with the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Hydrol Process 21(1): 61-71.
    • (2007) Hydrol Process , vol.21 , Issue.1 , pp. 61-71
    • Xu, Z.X.1    Takeuchi, K.2    Ishidaira, H.3    Li, J.Y.4
  • 56
    • 49249100292 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Decadal trend of climate in the Tibetan Plateau-regional temperature and precipitation
    • Xu ZX, Gong TL, Li JY (2008) Decadal trend of climate in the Tibetan Plateau-regional temperature and precipitation. Hydrol Process 22(16): 3056-3065.
    • (2008) Hydrol Process , vol.22 , Issue.16 , pp. 3056-3065
    • Xu, Z.X.1    Gong, T.L.2    Li, J.Y.3
  • 57
    • 1242310686 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparison of the power of the t test, Mann-Kendall and bootstrap tests for trend detection
    • Yue S, Pilon P (2004) A comparison of the power of the t test, Mann-Kendall and bootstrap tests for trend detection. J Hydrol Sci 49: 21-37.
    • (2004) J Hydrol Sci , vol.49 , pp. 21-37
    • Yue, S.1    Pilon, P.2
  • 58
    • 23044532728 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Power of the Mann-Whitney test for detecting a shift in median or mean of hydro-meteorological data
    • Yue S, Wang CY (2002) Power of the Mann-Whitney test for detecting a shift in median or mean of hydro-meteorological data. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 16: 307-323.
    • (2002) Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess , vol.16 , pp. 307-323
    • Yue, S.1    Wang, C.Y.2
  • 59
    • 0036499746 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Power of the Mann-Kendall and Spearman's rho tests for detecting monotonic trends in hydrological series
    • Yue S, Pilon P, Cavadias G (2002) Power of the Mann-Kendall and Spearman's rho tests for detecting monotonic trends in hydrological series. J Hydrol 259: 254-271.
    • (2002) J Hydrol , vol.259 , pp. 254-271
    • Yue, S.1    Pilon, P.2    Cavadias, G.3
  • 60
    • 33750724122 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sediment and runoff changes in the Yangtze River basin during past 50 years
    • Zhang Q, Xu CY, Becker S, Jiang T (2006) Sediment and runoff changes in the Yangtze River basin during past 50 years. J Hydrol 331: 511-523.
    • (2006) J Hydrol , vol.331 , pp. 511-523
    • Zhang, Q.1    Xu, C.Y.2    Becker, S.3    Jiang, T.4
  • 61
    • 67650314627 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Monotonic trend and abrupt changes for major climate variables in the headwater catchment of the Yellow River basin
    • Zhao FF, Xu ZX, Huang JX, Li JY (2008) Monotonic trend and abrupt changes for major climate variables in the headwater catchment of the Yellow River basin. Hydrol Process 22: 4587-4599.
    • (2008) Hydrol Process , vol.22 , pp. 4587-4599
    • Zhao, F.F.1    Xu, Z.X.2    Huang, J.X.3    Li, J.Y.4


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.