Causal factors for spatial variation in long-term phonological trends in Ginkgo biloba L. in Japan

International Journal of Climatology

Volumn 30, Issue 9, 2010, Pages 1280-1288

  Matsumoto, Kazuho ^a  

^a KYOTO UNIVERSITY   (Japan)

Author keywords

Climate change; Ginkgo biloba; Japan; Long term trend; Phenology; Sensitivity; Spatial variation

Indexed keywords

AIR TEMPERATURE; DATA SETS; GINKGO BILOBA; LEAF FALL; LINEAR RELATIONSHIPS; LONG-TERM TREND; METEOROLOGICAL STATION; MULTIPLE LINEAR REGRESSIONS; PHENOLOGICAL CHANGES; PHENOLOGICAL TRENDS; SENSITIVITY TO TEMPERATURES; SPATIAL PATTERNS; SPATIAL VARIABILITY; SPATIAL VARIATIONS; TEMPERATURE TRENDS;

ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE; FORESTRY; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

AIR TEMPERATURE; CLIMATE CHANGE; DATA SET; METEOROLOGY; PHENOLOGY; SPATIAL VARIATION;

FORESTRY; JAPAN; PHENOLOGY; PLANTS; SEASONAL VARIATION; SENSITIVITY; TEMPERATURE;

JAPAN;

GINKGO BILOBA;

EID: 77954839230     PISSN: 08998418     EISSN: 10970088     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/joc.1969     Document Type: Article

References (32)

1. Abu-Asab MS, Peterson PM, Shetler SG, Orli SS. 2001. Earlier plant flowering in spring as a response to global warming in the Washington, DC, area. Biodiversity and Conservation 10: 597-612, DOI: 10.1023/A:1016667125469.
2. Arora VK, Boer GJ. 2005. A parameterization of leaf phenology for the terrestrial ecosystem component of climate models. Global Change Biology 11: 39-59,DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2004.00890.x.
3. Baldocchi D, Falge E, Gu L, Olson R, Hollinger D, Running S, Anthoni P, Bernhofer C, Davis K, Evans R, Fuentes J, Goldstein A, Katul G, Law B, Lee X, Malhi Y, Meyers T, Munger W, Oechel W, Paw UKT, Pilegaard K, Schmid HP, Valentini R, Verma S, Vesala T, Wilson K, Wofsy S. 2001. FLUXNET: A new tool to study the temporal and spatial variability of ecosystemscale carbon dioxide, water vapour and energy flux densities. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 82: 2415-2434,DOI: 10.1175/1520-0477(2001)082<2415:FANTTS>2.3.CO;2.
4. Cayan DR, Kammerdiener SA, Dettinger MD, Caprio JM, Peterson DH. 2001. Changes in the onset of spring in the western United States. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 82: 399-415, DOI: 10.1175/1520-0477(2001)082<0399:CITOOS>2.3.CO;2.
5. Chmielewski FM, R̈otzer T. 2001. Response of phenology to climate change across Europe. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 108: 101-112, DOI: 10.1016/S0168-1923(01)00233-7.
6. Defila C, Clot B. 2001. Phytophenological trends in Switzerland. International Journal of Biometeorology 45: 203-207, DOI: 10.1007/s004840100101.
7. Doi H, Takahashi M. 2008. Latitudinal patterns in the phonological responses of leaf colouring and leaf fall to climate change in Japan. Global Ecology and Biogeography 17: 556-561 DOI: 10.1111/j.1466-8238.2008.00398.x.
8. Fitter AH, Fitter RSR. 2002. Rapid changes in flowering time in British plants. Science 296: 1689-1691, DOI: 10.1126/science.1071617.
9. Fitter AH, Fitter RSR, Harris ITB, Williamson MH. 1995. Relationships between first flowering date and temperature in the flora of a locality in central England. Functional Ecology 9: 55-60.
10. Foley JA, Prentice IC, Ramunkutty N, Levis S, Pollard D, Sitch S, Haxeltine A. 1996. An integrated biosphere model of land surface processes, terrestrial carbon balance, and vegetation dynamics (IBIS). Global Biogeochemical Cycles 10: 603-628.
11. Goulden ML, Munger JW, Fan SM, Daube BC, Wofsy SC. 1996. Exchange of carbon dioxide by a deciduous forest: response to interannual climate variability. Science 271: 1576-1578, DOI: 10.1126/science.271.5255.1576.
12. Hopkins AD. 1918. Periodical events and natural law as guides to agricultural research and practice. Monthly Weather Review (Suppl. 9): 5-42.
13. IPCC. 2007. Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability, Parry ML, Canziani OF, Palutikof JP, van der Linden PJ, Hanson CE (eds). Cambridge University Press: Cambridge.
14. Japan Meteorological Agency. 1985. Guidelines for the Observation of Phenology, 3rd edn, Japan Meteorological Agency: Tokyo (in Japanese).
15. Matsumoto K, Ohta T, Irasawa M, Nakamura T. 2003. Climate change and extension of the Ginkgo biloba L. growing season in Japan. Global Change Biology 9: 1634-1642, DOI: 10.1046/j.1365-2486.2003.00688.x.
16. Menzel A, Estrella N, Fabian P. 2001. Spatial and temporal variability of the phenological seasons in Germany from 1951 to 1996. Global Change Biology 7: 657-666, DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2001.00430.x.
17. Menzel A, Fabian P. 1999. Growing season extended in Europe. Nature 397: 659 DOI: 10.1038/17709.
18. Menzel A, Sparks TH, Estrella N, Koch E, Aasa A, Ahas R, Alm-K̈ubler K, Bissolli P, Braslavsḱa O, Briede A, Chmielewski FM, Crepinsek Z, Curnel Y, Dahl AA, Defila C, Donnelly A, Filella Y, Jatczak K, M°age F, Mestre A, Nordli O, Pẽnuelas J, Pirinen P, Remǐsov́a V, Scheifinger H, Striz M, Susnik A, van Vliet AJH, Wielgolaski FE, Zach S, Zust A. 2006. European phonological response to climate change matches the warming pattern. Global Change Biology 12: 1969-1976, DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01193.x.
19. Myneni RB, Keeling CD, Tucker CJ, Asrar G, Nemani RR. 1997. Increased plant growth in the northern high latitudes from 1981 to 1991. Nature 386: 698-702, DOI: 10.1038/386698a0.
20. Pẽnuelas J, Filella I, Comas P. 2002. Changed plant and animal life cycles from 1952 to 2000 in the Mediterranean region. Global Change Biology 8: 531-544 DOI: 10.1046/j.1365-2486.2002.00489.x.
21. Primack D, Imbres C, Primack RB, Miller-Rushing AJ, Del Tredici P. 2004. Herbarium specimens demonstrate earlier flowering times in response to warming in Boston. American Journal of Botany 91: 1260-1264.
22. Schwartz MD, Reiter BE. 2000. Changes in North American spring. International Journal of Climatology 20: 929-932 DOI: 10.1002/1097-0088(20000630)20: 8<929::AID-JOC557>3.0.CO;2-5.
23. Shinohara H. 1951. On the period in which temperature mostly influences the flowering date of cherry (P. yedoensis). Journal of Agricultural Meteorology 7: 19-20 (in Japanese).
24. Sparks TH, Carey PD. 1995. The response of species to climate over two centuries: an analysis of the Marsham phenological record, 1736-1947. Journal of Ecology 83: 321-329.
25. Sparks TH, Jeffree EP, Jeffree CE. 2000. An examination of the relationship between flowering times and temperature at the national scale using long-term phenological records from the UK. International Journal of Biometeorology 44: 82-87 DOI: 10.1007/s004840000049.
26. Vitasse Y, Delzon S, Dufr̂ene E, Pontailler JY, Louvet JM, Kremer A, Michalet R. 2009. Leaf phenology sensitivity to temperature in European trees: Do within-species populations exhibit similar responses? Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 149: 735-744 DOI 10.1016/j.agrformet.2008.10.019.
27. White MA, Nemani RR. 2003. Canopy duration has little influence on annual carbon storage in the deciduous broad leaf forest. Global Change Biology 9: 967-972, DOI: 10.1046/j.1365-2486.2003.00585.x.
28. White MA, Running SW, Thornton PE. 1999. The impact of growing-season length variability on carbon assimilation and evapotranspiration over 88 years in the eastern US deciduous forest. International Journal of Biometeorology 42: 139-145 DOI: 10.1007/s004840050097.
29. White MA, Thornton PE, Running SW, Nemani RR. 2000. Parameterization and sensitivity analysis of the BIOME-BGC terrestrial ecosystem model: net primary production controls. Earth Interactions 4: 1-85 DOI: 10.1175/1087-3562(2000)004<0003:PASAOT>2.0.CO;2.
30. Wielgolaski FE. 2001. Phenological modifications in plants by various edaphic factors. International Journal of Biometeorology 45: 196-202 DOI: 10.1007/s004840100100.
31. Wielgolaski FE. 2003. Climatic factors governing plant phonological phases along a Norwegian fjord. International Journal of Biometeorology 47: 213-220 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-003-0178-y.
32. Zhou L, Tucker CJ, Kaufmann RK, Slayback NV, Shabanov NV, Myneni RB. 2001. Variations in northern vegetation activity inferred from satellite data of vegetation index during 1981-1999. Journal of Geophysical Research 106(D17): 20069-20083.