Collapse of the Maya: Could deforestation have contributed?

Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres

Volumn 115, Issue 12, 2010, Pages

  Oglesby, Robert J ^a   Sever, Thomas L ^b   Saturno, William ^c   Erickson, David J ^d   Srikishen, Jayanthi ^e  

^a UNIVERSITY OF NEBRASKA LINCOLN   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA IN HUNTSVILLE   (United States)

^c Boston University   (United States)

^d OAK RIDGE NATIONAL LABORATORY   (United States)

^e UNIVERSITIES SPACE RESEARCH ASSOCIATION   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

COMPUTER SIMULATION; DEFORESTATION; DROUGHT; WATER RESOURCES;

DROUGHT CONDITIONS; DRY SEASONS; GLOBAL CLIMATE MODEL; HUMAN ACTIVITIES; MAYA CIVILIZATION; MESOAMERICA; NATURAL VARIABILITY; OBSERVATIONAL DATA; REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELS;

CLIMATE MODELS;

CIVILIZATION; CLIMATE MODELING; COLLAPSE; DEFORESTATION; DROUGHT; GLOBAL CLIMATE; HISTORICAL GEOGRAPHY; HUMAN ACTIVITY; NUMERICAL MODEL; OBSERVATIONAL METHOD; SETTLEMENT HISTORY; SURVIVAL; WARMING; WATER RESOURCE;

MESOAMERICA;

EID: 77954514570     PISSN: 01480227     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1029/2009JD011942     Document Type: Article

References (35)

1. Adams, R. E. W. (1996), Romance Versus Reality in the Ancient Maya Civilization, Cosmos Club, Washington, D. C., http://www.cosmos-club. org/journals/1996/adams.html.
2. Charney, J. G. (1975), Dynamics of deserts and drought in Sahel, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 101, 193-202.
3. Clark, D., Y. Xue, R. Harding, and P. Valdes (2001), Modeling the impact of land surface degradation on the climate of tropical North Africa, J. Clim., 14, 1809-1822.
4. Collins, W. D., et al. (2006), The Community Climate Model System (CCSM3), J. Clim., 19, 2122-2143.
5. Cook, E. R., D. M. Meko, D. W. Stahle, and M. K. Cleaveland (1999), Drought reconstructions for the continental United States, J. Clim., 12, 1145-1162.
6. Culbert, T. P. (1988), The collapse of classic Maya civilization, in The Collapse of Ancient States and Civilizations, edited by N.Yoffee, and G. Cowgill, pp. 69-101, University of Arizona Press, Tucson.
7. Culbert, T. P. (1993), Maya Civilization, St. Remy Press and Smithsonian Institution, Washington, D. C.
8. Dudhia, J. (1993), A nonhydrostatic version ofthe Penn State NCAR meso-scale model: Validation tests and simulation of an Atlantic cyclone and cold front, Mon. Weather Rev., 121, 1493-1513.
9. Fagan, B. (1999), Floods, Famines, and Emperors, Basic Books, New York, pp. 139-158.
10. Feng, S., R. J. Oglesby, C. M. Rowe, D. B. Loope, and Q. Hu (2008), Pacific and Atlantic SSTinfluences on Medievaldroughtin North America simulated by community atmospheric model, J. Geophys. Res., 113, D11101, doi:10.1029/2007JD009347.
11. Gill, R. B. (2000), The Great Maya Droughts: Water, Life, and Death, University of New Mexico Press, Albuquerque.
12. Grell, G. A., J. Dudhia, and D.R. Stauffer (1994), A Description of the Fifth-Generation Penn State/NCAR Mesoscale Model (MM5), pp. 138, NCAR, Boulder, Colo.
13. Haug, G., D. Gunther, L. Peterson, D. Sigman, K. Hughen, and B. Aeschlimann (2003), Climate and Collapse of Maya Civilization, Science, 299, 1731-1735, 14 March.
14. Henderson-Sellers, A., R. Dickinson, T. Durbridge, P. Kennedy, K. McGuffie, and A. Pittman (1993), Tropical deforestation: Modeling local-to regional-scale climate change, J. Geophys. Res., 98, 72897315.
15. Hernandez, J. L., J. Srikishen, D. J. Erickson III, R. J. Oglesby, and D. Irwin (2006), A regional climate study of Central America using the MM5 modeling system: Results and comparison to observations. Int. J. Clim., 26, 2161-2179.
16. Hodell, D. A., M. Brenner, J. H. Curtis, and T. Guilderson (2001), Solar forcing of drought frequency in the Maya lowland s, Science, 292(5520), 1367-1370, doi:10.1126/science.1057759. (Pubitemid 32476221)
17. Hong, S.-Y., and H.-L. Pan (1996), Nonlocal boundary layer vertical diffusion in a medium-range forecast model, Mon. Wea. Rev., 124, 2322-2339.
18. Hunt, B. G., and T. I. Elliott (2005), A simulation of the climatic conditions associated with the collapse of the Maya civilization, Clim. Change, 69, 393-407, doi:10.1007/s10584-005-2794-5. (Pubitemid 40670041)
19. Lawton, R. O., U. S. Nair, and R. A. Pielke (2001), Climatic impact of tropical lowland deforestation on nearby montane forests, Science, 294, 584-587.
20. Lean, J., and D. A. Warrilow (1989), Simulation of the regional climatic impact of Amazon deforestation, Nature, 342, 411-413, doi:10.1038/342411a0. (Pubitemid 20401957)
21. Magana, V., J. A. Amador, and S. Medina, (1999), The midsummer drought over Mexico and Central America, J. Clim., 12, 1577-1588.
22. Miller, K., E. Chang, and N. Johnson (2001), Defining the Common Ground for the Mesoamerican Biological Corridor, World Resources Institute, Washington, D. C., 56 pp.
23. Nair, U.S., R.O.Lawton, R.M.Welch, and R.A.PielkeSr.(2003), Impact of land use on Costa Rican tropical montane cloud forests: 1. Sensitivity of cumulus cloud field characteristics to lowland deforestation, J. Geophys. Res., 108(D7), 4206, doi:10.1029/2001JD001135.
24. National Research Council (2005), Radiative forcing of climate change: Expand ing the concept and addressing uncertainties. Committee on Radiative Forcing Effects on Climate Change, Climate Research Committee, Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, Division on Earth and Life Studies, The National Academies Press, Washington, D. C., 208 pp.
25. Oglesby, R. J., and D. J. Erickson III (1989), Soil Moisture and the Persistence of North American Drought, J. Clim., 2, 1362-1380.
26. Pielke, R. A., Sr. (2001), Influence of the spatial distribution of vegetation and soils on the prediction of cumulus convective rainfall, Rev. Geophys., 39, 151-177.
27. Pielke, R. A., J. Adegoke, A. Beltran-Przekurat, C. A. Hiemstra, J. Lin, U. S. Nair, D. Niyogi, and T. E. Nobis (2007), An overview of regional land use and land cover impacts on rainfall, Tellus B, 59, 587-601.
28. Ray, D. K., U. S. Nair, R. O. Lawton, R. M. Welch, and R. A. Pielke Sr. (2006), Impact of land use on Costa Rican tropical montane cloud forests. Sensitivity of orographic cloud formation to deforestation in the plains, J. Geophys. Res., 111, D02108, doi:10.1029/2005JD006096.
29. Rice, D. S. (1991), Roots, Nat. Hist. February: 10-14.
30. Rogers, J C. (1988), Precipitation variability over the Caribbean and tropical Americas associated with the southern oscillation, J. Clim., 1, 172-182.
31. Sever, T. L., and D. E. Irwin (2003), Land scape archeology: Remote sensing investigation of the ancient Maya in the Peten rainforest of northern Guatemala, in Ancient Mesoamerica, published by Cambridge Univ. Press for Vand erbilt University New York.
32. Stern, M. E., and J. S. Malkus (1953), The flow of a stable atmosphere over a heated island, J. Meteorol, 10, 105-120.
33. Suh, M.-S., and D.-K. Lee (2004), Impacts of land use/cover changes on surface climate over east Asia for extreme climate cases using RegCM2, J. Geophys. Res., 109, D02108, doi:10.1029/2003JD003681.
34. Webster, D. (2002), The Fall of the Ancient Maya, Thames and Hudson Ltd., London.
35. Zheng, X., and E. Eltahir (1997), The response to deforestation and desertification in a model of West African monsoons, Geophys. Res. Lett., 24, 155-158.