메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 136, Issue 649, 2010, Pages 1020-1035

Horizontal resolution impact on short- and long-range forecast error

Author keywords

Error growth; Model resolution; Numerical weather prediction; Predictability

Indexed keywords

850-HPA; ASYMPTOTIC VALUES; COLD SEASON; ERROR GROWTH; GEOPOTENTIAL HEIGHT; HIGH RESOLUTION; HORIZONTAL RESOLUTION; LONG-RANGE FORECASTS; MEDIUM RANGE; MODEL FRAMEWORK; MODEL RESOLUTION; NORTHERN HEMISPHERE; NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION; THREE-PARAMETER MODELS; WARM SEASONS;

EID: 77954449861     PISSN: 00359009     EISSN: 1477870X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/qj.613     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (38)

References (25)
  • 2
    • 57149141530 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Independent estimations of the asymptotic variability in an ensemble forecast system
    • Bengtsson LK, Magnusson L, Källén E. 2008. Independent estimations of the asymptotic variability in an ensemble forecast system. Mon. Weather Rev. 136: 4105-4112.
    • (2008) Mon. Weather Rev , vol.136 , pp. 4105-4112
    • Bengtsson, L.K.1    Magnusson, L.2    Källén, E.3
  • 3
    • 77954524708 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • ECMWF RD Technical Memorandum, Available from ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading, RG2 9AX, UK
    • Brown AR. 2004. 'Resolution dependence of orographic torques.' ECMWF RD Technical Memorandum 433, 18 pp. Available from ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading, RG2 9AX, UK.
    • (2004) Resolution Dependence of Orographic Torques , vol.433 , pp. 18
    • Brown, A.R.1
  • 4
    • 0029412335 scopus 로고
    • The singular-vector structure of the atmospheric global circulation
    • Buizza R, Palmer TN. 1995. The singular-vector structure of the atmospheric global circulation. J. Atmos. Sci. 52: 1434-1456.
    • (1995) J. Atmos. Sci , vol.52 , pp. 1434-1456
    • Buizza, R.1    Palmer, T.N.2
  • 5
    • 0033403384 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stochastic representation of model uncertainties in the ECMWF ensemble prediction system
    • Buizza R, Miller M, Palmer TN. 1999. Stochastic representation of model uncertainties in the ECMWF ensemble prediction system. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 125: 2887-2908.
    • (1999) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc , vol.125 , pp. 2887-2908
    • Buizza, R.1    Miller, M.2    Palmer, T.N.3
  • 6
    • 0037255591 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Benefits of increased resolution in the ECMWF ensemble system and comparison with poor-man's ensembles
    • Buizza R, Richardson DS, Palmer TN. 2003. Benefits of increased resolution in the ECMWF ensemble system and comparison with poor-man's ensembles. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 129: 1269-1288.
    • (2003) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc , vol.129 , pp. 1269-1288
    • Buizza, R.1    Richardson, D.S.2    Palmer, T.N.3
  • 8
    • 84981633097 scopus 로고
    • Error growth and predictability in operational ECMWF analyses
    • Dalcher A, Kalnay E. 1987. Error growth and predictability in operational ECMWF analyses. Tellus 39A: 474-491.
    • (1987) Tellus , vol.39 A , pp. 474-491
    • Dalcher, A.1    Kalnay, E.2
  • 10
    • 0026312844 scopus 로고
    • The Euler equations of motion with hydrostatic pressure as an independent variable
    • Laprise R. 1992. The Euler equations of motion with hydrostatic pressure as an independent variable. Mon. Weather Rev. 120: 197-207.
    • (1992) Mon. Weather Rev , vol.120 , pp. 197-207
    • Laprise, R.1
  • 11
    • 1342323388 scopus 로고
    • Statistical methods for the verification of long and short range forecasts
    • 14-18 September 1981. Available from ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading, RG2 9AX, UK
    • Leith CE. 1982. 'Statistical methods for the verification of long and short range forecasts.' Pp 313-333 in Proc. ECMWF Seminar on problems and prospects in long and medium range weather forecasts, 14-18 September 1981. Available from ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading, RG2 9AX, UK.
    • (1982) Proc. ECMWF Seminar On Problems and Prospects In Long and Medium Range Weather Forecasts , pp. 313-333
    • Leith, C.E.1
  • 12
    • 0014534148 scopus 로고
    • Atmospheric predictability as revealed by naturally occurring analogues
    • Lorenz EN. 1969. Atmospheric predictability as revealed by naturally occurring analogues. J. Atmos. Sci. 26: 636-646.
    • (1969) J. Atmos. Sci , vol.26 , pp. 636-646
    • Lorenz, E.N.1
  • 13
    • 0020347854 scopus 로고
    • Atmospheric predictability experiments with a large numerical model
    • Lorenz EN. 1982. Atmospheric predictability experiments with a large numerical model. Tellus 34: 505-513.
    • (1982) Tellus , vol.34 , pp. 505-513
    • Lorenz, E.N.1
  • 16
  • 17
    • 0001037199 scopus 로고
    • Error growth in a large numerical forecast system
    • Savijärvi H. 1995. Error growth in a large numerical forecast system. Mon. Weather Rev. 123: 212-221.
    • (1995) Mon. Weather Rev , vol.123 , pp. 212-221
    • Savijärvi, H.1
  • 18
    • 31544461628 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A kinetic energy backscatter algorithm for use in ensemble prediction systems
    • Shutts GJ. 2005. A kinetic energy backscatter algorithm for use in ensemble prediction systems. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 131: 3079-3102.
    • (2005) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc , vol.131 , pp. 3079-3102
    • Shutts, G.J.1
  • 19
    • 0036129946 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Some aspects of the improvement in skill of numerical weather prediction
    • Simmons AJ, Hollingsworth A. 2002. Some aspects of the improvement in skill of numerical weather prediction. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 128: 647-677.
    • (2002) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc , vol.128 , pp. 647-677
    • Simmons, A.J.1    Hollingsworth, A.2
  • 20
    • 0029538682 scopus 로고
    • Error growth and estimates of predictability from the ECMWF forecasting system
    • Simmons AJ, Mureau R, Petroliagis T. 1995. Error growth and estimates of predictability from the ECMWF forecasting system. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 121: 1739-1771.
    • (1995) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc , vol.121 , pp. 1739-1771
    • Simmons, A.J.1    Mureau, R.2    Petroliagis, T.3
  • 21
    • 0001761758 scopus 로고
    • Problems and promises of deterministic extended range forecasting
    • Smagorinsky J. 1969. Problems and promises of deterministic extended range forecasting. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 50: 286-311.
    • (1969) Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc , vol.50 , pp. 286-311
    • Smagorinsky, J.1
  • 22
    • 0001509508 scopus 로고
    • Ensemble forecasting at NMC: The generation of perturbations
    • Toth Z, Kalnay E. 1993. Ensemble forecasting at NMC: The generation of perturbations. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 74: 2317-2330.
    • (1993) Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc , vol.74 , pp. 2317-2330
    • Toth, Z.1    Kalnay, E.2
  • 23
    • 77954511446 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Does increased resolution enhance predictability?
    • Paper J1.8 in Proceedings of the AMS Symposium on observations, data assimilation and probabilistic prediction, Orlando, Florida,13-17 January 2002. Available from American Meteorological Society, Boston, USA
    • Toth Z, Zhu Y, Szunyogh I, Iredell M, Wobus R. 2002. 'Does increased resolution enhance predictability?' Paper J1.8 in Proceedings of the AMS Symposium on observations, data assimilation and probabilistic prediction, Orlando, Florida,13-17 January 2002. Available from American Meteorological Society, Boston, USA.
    • (2002)
    • Toth, Z.1    Zhu, Y.2    Szunyogh, I.3    Iredell, M.4    Wobus, R.5
  • 24
    • 0027705108 scopus 로고
    • Operational ensemble prediction at the National Meteorological Center: Practical aspects
    • Tracton MS, Kalnay E. 1993. Operational ensemble prediction at the National Meteorological Center: Practical aspects. Weather and Forecasting 8: 379-398.
    • (1993) Weather and Forecasting , vol.8 , pp. 379-398
    • Tracton, M.S.1    Kalnay, E.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.