Regional differences in the timing of recent air warming during the past four decades in China

Chinese Science Bulletin

Volumn 55, Issue 19, 2010, Pages 1968-1973

  Wang, Shao Peng ^a   Wang, Zhi Heng ^a   Piao, Shi Long ^a   Fang, Jing Yun ^a  

^a PEKING UNIVERSITY   (China)

Author keywords

Breakpoint; Piecewise linear regression; Regional differences; The timing of warming; Tibetan Plateau

Indexed keywords

EID: 77954428997     PISSN: 10016538     EISSN: 18619541     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s11434-010-3236-y     Document Type: Article

References (39)

1. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Climate Change 2007: the Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2007. 241-253.
2. Easterling D R, Meeh G A, Parmesan C, et al. Climate extremes: Observations, modeling, and impacts. Science, 2000, 289: 2068-2074.
3. Hurrell, J W. Decadal trends in the North Atlantic Oscillation: Regional temperatures and precipitation. Science, 1995, 269: 676-679.
4. Parmesan C, Yohe G. A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature, 2003, 421: 37-42.
5. Root T L, Price J T, Hall K R, et al. Fingerprints of global warming on wild animals and plants. Nature, 2003, 421: 57-60.
6. Qian W, Qin A. Spatial-temporal characteristics of temperature variation in China. Meteorol Atmos Phys, 2006, 93: 1-16.
7. Ding Y H, Ren G Y, Zhao Z C, et al. Detection, causes and projection of climate change over China: An overview of recent progress. Adv Atmos Sci, 2007, 24: 954-971.
8. Tang H Y, Zhai P M. Comparison of variations of surface air temperatures in eastern and western China during 1951-2002 (in Chinese). Chin J Geophys, 2005, 48: 526-534.
9. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Climate Change 2001: the Scientific Basis. Contributions of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2001. 105-130.
10. Karl T R, Knight R W, Baker B. The record breaking global temperatures of 1997 and 1998: Evidence for an increase in the rate of global warming? Geophys Res Lett, 2000, 27: 719-722.
11. Research Team of China Climate Change Country. China Climate Change Country Study (in Chinese). Beijing: Tsinghua University Press, 2000. 20-23.
12. Lu A G, He Y Q, Zhang Z L, et al. Regional structure of global warming across China during the twentieth century. Clim Res, 2004, 27: 189-195.
13. Wang S W. Variations of temperature in China for the 100 year period in comparison with global temperatures (in Chinese). Meteorol Mon, 1990, 16: 11-15.
14. Chen L X, Zhou X J, Li W L, et al. Characteristics of the climate change and its formation mechanism in China in last 80 years (in Chinese). Acta Meteorol Sin, 2004, 62: 634-646.
15. Ding Y H, Zhang L. Intercomparison of the time for climate abrupt change between the Tibetan Plateau and other regions in China (in Chinese). Chin J Atmos Sci, 2008, 32: 794-805.
16. Li Q X, Liu X N, Zhang H Z, et al. Detecting and adjusting temporal inhomogeneity in Chinese mean surface air temperature data. Adv Atmos Sci, 2004, 21: 260-268.
17. Li Q X, Menne M J, Williams C N, et al. Detection of discontinuities in Chinese temperature series using a multiple test approach (in Chinese). Clim Environ Res, 2005, 10: 736-742.
18. Lund R, Reeves J. Detection of undocumented changepoints: A revision of the two-phase regression model. J Clim, 2002, 15: 2547-2554.
19. Li Z, Yan Z W. Homogenized daily mean/maximum/minimum temperature series for china from 1960-2008. Atmos Oceanic Sci Lett, 2009, 2: 237-243.
20. Page E S. A test for a change in a parameter occurring at an unknown point. Biometrika, 1955, 42: 523-527.
21. Quandt R E. The estimation of the parameters of a linear regression system obeying two separate regimes. J Am Stat Assoc, 1958, 53: 873-880.
22. Quandt R E. Tests of the hypothesis that a linear regression system obeys two separate regimes. J Am Stat Assoc, 1960, 55: 324-330.
23. Bacon D W, Watts D G. Estimating the transition between two intersecting straight lines. Biometrika, 1971, 58: 525-534.
24. Hawkins D M. Point estimation of the parameters of a piecewise regression model. Appl Stat, 1976, 25: 51-57.
25. Hawkins D M. Fitting multiple change-points to data. Comput Stat Data Anal, 2001, 37: 323-341.
26. McGee V E, Carleton W T. Piecewise regression. J Am Stat Assoc, 1970, 65: 1109-1124.
27. Easterling D R, Peterson T C. A new method for detecting and adjusting for undocumented discontinuities in climatological time series. Int J Climatol, 1995, 15: 369-377.
28. Menne M J, Williams C N. Detection of undocumented change points using multiple test statistics and reference series. J Clim, 2005, 18: 4271-4286.
29. Ferrarini A, Rossi P, Rossi O. Ascribing ecological meaning to habitat shape by means of a piecewise regression approach to fractal domains. Landscape Ecol, 2005, 20: 799-809.
30. Shea E K, Vecchione M. Quantification of ontogenetic discontinuities in three species of oegopsid squids using model II piecewise linear regression. Mar Biol, 2002, 140: 971-979.
31. Toms J D, Lesperance M L. Piecewise regression: A tool for identifying ecological thresholds. Ecology, 2003, 84: 2034-2041.
32. Tomé A R, Miranda P M A. Piecewise linear fitting and trend changing points of climate parameters. Geophys Res Lett, 2004, 31: L02207, doi: 10. 1029/2003GL019100.
33. Green P J, Silverman B W. Nonparametric Regression and Generalized Linear Models. London: Chapman and Hall, 1994. 137-162.
34. Furrer R, Nychka D, Sain S. Fields: Tools for Spatial Data. R Package Version 5. 01. 2008. 25-29.
35. Weisberg S. Applied Linear Regression. New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons, 2005. 19-68.
36. Ren G Y, Guo J, Xu M Z, et al. Climate changes of China's mainland over the past half century (in Chinese). Acta Meteorol Sin, 2005, 63: 942-956.
37. Feng S, Tang M C, Wang D M. New evidence for the Qinghai-Xizang (Tibet) Plateau as a pilot of climatic fluctuation in China. Chinese Sci Bull, 1998, 45: 1745-1749.
38. Cai Y, Li D L, Tang M C, et al. Decadal temperature changes over Qinghai-Xizang Plateau in recent 50 years (in Chinese). Plateau Meteorol, 2003, 22: 464-470.
39. Wang Z Y, Ding Y H. Climate change of the cold wave frequency of China in the last 53 years and the possible reasons (in Chinese). Chin J Atmos Sci, 2006, 30: 1068-1076.