Theoretical study of combination model for medium and long term load forecasting

Zhongguo Dianji Gongcheng Xuebao/Proceedings of the Chinese Society of Electrical Engineering

Volumn 30, Issue 16, 2010, Pages 53-59

  Mao, Li Fan ^a   Yao, Jian Gang ^a   Jin, Yong Shun ^a   Chen, Hua Lin ^b   Li, Wen Jie ^b   Guan, Shi Lei ^b  

^a HUNAN UNIVERSITY   (China)

^b Hunan HDHL Electric and Information Technology Co Ltd   (China)

Author keywords

Combination model for load forecasting; Forecasting accuracy; Induced ordered weighted geometry averaging operator (IOWGA); Load forecasting; Weighted Markov chain

Indexed keywords

COMPUTATIONAL GEOMETRY; MARKOV PROCESSES;

AVERAGING OPERATORS; COMBINATION MODELS; FORECASTING ACCURACY; LOAD FORECASTING; MARKOV CHAIN; WEIGHTED MARKOV CHAIN;

ELECTRIC LOAD FORECASTING;

EID: 77954117084     PISSN: 02588013     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Article

References (21)

1. Niu Dongxiao, Cao Shuhua, Zhao Lei, et al. Power system load forecasting technology and its applications [M]. Beijing: China Electric Power Press, 1998: 188-189 (in Chinese).
2. Kang Chongqing, Xia Qing, Liu Mei. Power system load forecasting [M]. Beijing: China Electric Power Press, 2007: 112-114 (in Chinese).
3. Qian Weihua, Yao Jiangang, Long Libo, et al. Short-term correlation and annual growth based mid-long term load forecasting [J]. Automation of Electric Power Systems, 2007, 31 (11): 59-64 (in Chinese).
4. Luo Diansheng, Yao Jiangang, He Hongying, et al. Research and development of multi-model combining load forecasting system based on self-adaptive rolling optimization [J]. Proceedings of the CSEE, 2003, 23 (5): 58-61 (in Chinese).
5. Niu Dongxiao, Chen Zhiye, Xing Mian, et al. Combined optimum gray neural network model of the seasonal power load forecasting with the double trends [J]. Proceedings of the CSEE, 2002, 22 (1): 29-32 (in Chinese).
6. Xing Mian, Yang Shijun, Niu Dongxiao, et al. Research on gray optimization combination power load forecasting based on multivariate exponential weighting [J]. Power System Technology, 2005, 29 (4): 8-11 (in Chinese).
7. Li Chunsheng, Wang Yaonan, Chen Guanghui. Combination forecast model based on mutual information and its application to power load prediction [J]. Journal of Hunan University: Natural Sciences, 2008, 35 (9): 58-61 (in Chinese).
8. Xiao Xianyong, Ge Jia, He Desheng. Combination method of mid-long term load forecasting based on support vector machine [J]. Proceedings of the CSU-EPSA, 2008, 20 (1): 84-88 (in Chinese).
9. Yu Jianming, Yan Fei, Yang Wenyu, et al. Gray variable weight combination model for middle long term load forecasting [J]. Power System Technology, 2005, 29 (17): 26-29 (in Chinese).
10. Chen Huayou. Effectiveness of combination forecasting method and its applications [M]. Beijing: Science Press, 2007: 183-186 (in Chinese).
11. Shi Wenhui, Bie Zhaohong, Wang Xifan. Applications of Markov chain Monte Carlo in large-scale system reliability evaluation [J]. Proceedings of the CSEE, 2008, 28 (4): 9-15 (in Chinese).
12. Gao Yajing, Zhou Ming, Li Gengyin. Available transfer capability calculation based on Markov chain and enumeration method [J]. Proceedings of the CSEE, 2008, 26 (19): 41-46 (in Chinese).
13. Zhang Xuesong, Wang Chao, Cheng Xiaodong. Reliability analysis model for protective relaying system of UHV power network based on Markov state-space method [J]. Power System Technology, 2008, 32 (13): 94-99 (in Chinese).
14. Zhou Yunlong, Liu Changxin, Zhao Peng, et al. Fault diagnosis methods for centrifugal pump based on autoregressive and continuous hidden Markov model [J]. Proceedings of the CSEE, 2008, 28 (20): 88-93 (in Chinese).
15. He Chunxiong. Applied random process [M]. Guangzhou: South China University of Technology Press, 2008: 144-146 (in Chinese).
16. Hu Qiying. An introduction to Markov decision processes [M]. Xi'an: Xidian University Press, 2000: 16-20 (in Chinese).
17. Qian Minping. Random process theory [M]. Beijing: Peking University Press, 1997: 33-36 (in Chinese).
18. Xu Juan, Kang Ning, Zhang Xina. The application of weight Markov chain in prediction of population death rate time series [J]. Mathematical Theory and Applications, 2008, 28 (1): 121-125 (in Chinese).
19. Yu Zhuozhou, Liu Jianhua. Method of fault prediction in distribution networks every month by Markov chain with weights [J]. Proceedings of the CSU-EPSA, 2008, 20 (5): 97-100 (in Chinese).
20. Sun Caizhi, Zhang Ge, Lin Xueyu. Model of Markov chain with weights and its application in predicting the precipitation state [J]. Systems Engineering Theory and Practice, 2003, 23 (4): 100-105 (in Chinese).
21. Mao Lifan, Jiang Yuechun, Yao Jiangang, et al. Medium and long term load forecasting based on orthogonal signal correction and partial least-squares regression [J]. Proceedings of the CSEE, 2009, 29 (16): 82-88 (in Chinese).