Changing properties of hydrological extremes in south China: natural variations or human influences?

Hydrological Processes

Volumn 24, Issue 11, 2010, Pages 1421-1432

  Zhang, Qiang ^a,b   Jiang, Tao ^a   Chen, Yongqin David ^c   Chen, Xiaohong ^a  

^a SUN YAT SEN UNIVERSITY   (China)

^b NANJING HYDRAULIC RESEARCH INSTITUTE   (China)

^c CHINESE UNIVERSITY OF HONG KONG   (Hong Kong)

Author keywords

Human activities; Hydrological extremes; Probability behaviours; The south China; Trends

Indexed keywords

ANNUAL MAXIMA; CHANGING ENVIRONMENT; CROSS-SECTION AREA; EAST RIVER; EAST RIVER BASIN; ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT; EXTERNAL FACTORS; EXTREME EVENTS; GUANGDONG PROVINCE; HUMAN ACTIVITIES; HYDROLOGICAL CHANGES; HYDROLOGICAL EXTREMES; HYDROLOGICAL PROCESS; IN-CHANNELS; NATURAL HAZARD; NATURAL VARIATION; PEARL RIVER BASIN; PRECIPITATION CHANGE; PRECIPITATION INTENSITY; REGULATION FUNCTIONS; RIVER CHANNELS; SOUTH CHINA; WATER RESERVOIR;

CLIMATE CHANGE; PROBABILITY DENSITY FUNCTION; RIVERS; STREAM FLOW; WATERSHEDS;

RESERVOIRS (WATER);

CATASTROPHIC EVENT; CLIMATE CHANGE; EXTREME EVENT; GEOSTATISTICS; HAZARD ASSESSMENT; HUMAN ACTIVITY; HYDROLOGICAL CHANGE; NATURAL HAZARD; NATURE-SOCIETY RELATIONS; PRECIPITATION INTENSITY; RESERVOIR; STREAMFLOW; TREND ANALYSIS; WATER LEVEL;

CHINA; DONG RIVER; GUANGDONG; PEARL BASIN; UNITED STATES;

EID: 77953664033     PISSN: 08856087     EISSN: 10991085     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/hyp.7599     Document Type: Article

References (28)

1. Adger NW, Hughes PT, Folke C, Carpenter RS, Rockström J. 2005. Social-ecological resilience to coastal disasters. Science 309: 1036-1039.
2. Belt CB Jr. 1975. The 1973 flood and man's constriction of the Mississippi River. Science 189(4204): 681-684.
3. Beniston M, Stephenson DB. 2004. Extreme climatic events and their evolution under changing climatic conditions. Global and Planetary Change 44: 1-9.
4. Chen YD, Yang T, Xu C-Y, Zhang Q, Chen X, Hao ZC. 2010a. Hydrologic alteration along the middle and upper East River (Dongjiang) basin, South China: a visually enhanced mining on the results of RVA method. Stochastic Environment Research and Risk Assessment DOI: 10.1007/s00477-008-0294-7.
5. Chen YD, Zhang Q, Xu C-Y, Yang T, Chen XH, Jiang T. 2010b. Change-point alterations of extreme water levels and underlying causes in the Pearl River Delta, China. River Research and Application DOI: 10.1002/rra.1212.
6. Easterling RD, Meehl AG, Parmesan C, Changnon AS, Karl RT, Mearns OL. 2000. Climate extremes: observations, modeling, and impacts. Nature 289: 2068-2074.
7. Ericson PJ, Vörösmarty JC, Dingman LS, Ward GL, Meybeck M. 2006. Effective sea-level rise and deltas: causes of change and human dimension implications. Global and Planetary Change 50: 63-82.
8. Hosking JRM. 1990. L-moments: analysis and estimation of distributions using linear combinations of order statistics. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society (Series B) 52: 105-124.
9. Kendall MG. 1975. Rank Correlation Methods. Griffin: London, UK.
10. Khaled HH, Rao AR. 1998. A modified Mann-Kendall trend test for autocorrelated data. Journal of Hydrology 204(1-4): 182-196.
11. Lu XX, Zhang SR, Xie SP, Ma PK. 2007. Rapid channel incision of the lower Pearl River (China) since the 1990s as a consequence of sediment depletion. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 11: 1897-1906.
12. Luo XL, Zeng EY, Ji RY, Wang CP. 2007. Effects of in-channel sand excavation on the hydrology of the Pearl River Delta, China. Journal of Hydrology 343: 230-239.
13. Mann HB. 1945. Nonparametric tests against trend. Econometrica 13: 245-259.
14. Mares C, Mares H, Stanciu A. 2009. Extreme value analysis in the Danube lower basin discharge time series in the twentieth century. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 95: 223-233.
15. Milliman JD, Broadus JM, Gable F. 1989. Environmental and economic implications of rising sea-level and subsiding deltas: the Nile and Bengal examples. Ambio 18: 340-345.
16. Mitchell JM, Dzerdzeevskii B, Flohn H, Hofmeyr WL, Lamb HH, Rao KN, Wallén CC. 1966. Climate change, WMO Technical Note No. 79, World Meteorological Organization, 79 pp.
17. Park JS, Jung HS, Kim RS, Oh JH. 2001. Modeling summer extreme rainfall over the Korean Peninsula using Wakeby distribution. International Journal of Climatology 21: 1371-1384.
18. Peng J, Liao W, Yu X. 2004. Abnormal change of flood water level in hinterland of Pearl River Delta and its cause analysis. Journal of Natural Disasters 13(1): 50-54 (in Chinese).
19. Pont D, Day JW, Hensel P, Franquet E, Torre F, Rioual P, Ibanez C, Coulet E. 2002. Response scenarios for the deltaic plain of the Rhone in the face of an accelerated rate of sea-level rise with special attention to Salicornia-type environments. Estuaries 25: 337-358.
20. Wigley T. 1985. Impact of extreme events. Nature 316: 106-107.
21. Yue S, Wang CY. 2004. The Mann-Kendall test modified by effective sample size to detect trend in serially correlated hydrological series. Water Resources Management 18: 201-218.
22. Zhang Q, Liu C-L, Xu C-Y, Xu YP. 2006a. Observed trends of annual maximum water level and streamflow during past 130 years in the Yangtze River basin, China. Journal of Hydrology 324: 255-265.
23. Zhang Q, Gemmer M, Chen JQ. 2006b. Flood/drought variation and flood risk in the Yangtze Delta, China. Quaternary International 62: 176-177.
24. Zhang Q, Xu C-Y, Zhang Z, Chen YD, Liu C-L. 2008. Spatial and temporal variability of precipitation maxima during 1960-2005 in the Yangtze River basin and possible association with large-scale circulation. Journal of Hydrology 353: 215-227.
25. Zhang Q, Xu C-Y, Gemmer M, Chen YD, Liu C-L. 2009a. Changing properties of precipitation concentration in the Pearl River basin, China. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment 23(3): 377-385.
26. Zhang Q, Xu C-Y, Chen YD, Yang T. 2009b. Spatial assessment of hydrologic alteration across the Pearl River Delta, China, and possible underlying causes. Hydrological Processes 23: 1565-1574.
27. Zhang Q, Xu C-Y, Becker S, Zhang Z, Chen YD, Coulibaly M. 2009c. Trends and abrupt changes of precipitation maxima in the Pearl River basin, China. Atmospheric Science Letters 10: 132-144.
28. Zolina O, Kapala A, Simmer C, Gulev KS. 2004. Analysis of extreme precipitation over Europe from different reanalysis: a comparative assessment. Global and Planetary Change 44: 129-161.