-
1
-
-
0002096055
-
Essay toward solving a problem in the doctrine ofchances
-
(original 1763)
-
T. Bayes, “Essay toward solving a problem in the doctrine ofchances,” Biometrika, vol. 45, pp. 293-315, 1958 (original 1763).
-
(1958)
Biometrika
, vol.45
, pp. 293-315
-
-
Bayes, T.1
-
3
-
-
0001918661
-
La prevision: Ses lois logique, ses sources subjective
-
B. de Finetti, “La prevision: Ses lois logique, ses sources subjective,” Annates de I'lnstitute Henri Poincare, vol. 7, pp. 1-68, 1937.
-
(1937)
Annates de I'lnstitute Henri Poincare
, vol.7
, pp. 1-68
-
-
de Finetti, B.1
-
4
-
-
84943460626
-
Probabilisticestimates of complex technical phenomena: Estimating hydrogenproduction during severe nuclear power plant accidents
-
presented atthe Nat. Meet. Operations Res. Soc. Amer., Vancouver, B.C., May 8-10
-
R. John, R. L. Keeney, and D. von Winterfeldt, “Probabilisticestimates of complex technical phenomena: Estimating hydrogenproduction during severe nuclear power plant accidents,” presented atthe Nat. Meet. Operations Res. Soc. Amer., Vancouver, B.C., May 8-10, 1989.
-
(1989)
-
-
John, R.1
Keeney, R.L.2
von Winterfeldt, D.3
-
6
-
-
84943460268
-
A probabilistic analysis of landslidepotential
-
Stanford Univ. (Stanford, CA), Aug. 22-24
-
R. L. Keeney and A. Lamont, “A probabilistic analysis of landslidepotential,” in Proc. 2nd U.S. Nat. Conf. Earthquake Eng., Stanford Univ. (Stanford, CA), Aug. 22-24, 1979.
-
(1979)
Proc. 2nd U.S. Nat. Conf. Earthquake Eng.
-
-
Keeney, R.L.1
Lamont, A.2
-
8
-
-
0023573759
-
Quantifying judgmental uncertainty: Methodology, experiences, and insights
-
M. L. Merkhofer, “Quantifying judgmental uncertainty: Methodology, experiences, and insights,” IEEE Trans. Syst., Man, Cybern., vol. SMC-17, pp. 741-752, 1987.
-
(1987)
IEEE Trans. Syst., Man, Cybern.
, vol.SMC-17
, pp. 741-752
-
-
Merkhofer, M.L.1
-
9
-
-
0021491290
-
Technical uncertainty in quantitative policy analysis-Asulfur air pollution example
-
M. G. Morgan, S. C. Morris, M. Henrion, D. A. L. Amaral, and W.R. Rish, “Technical uncertainty in quantitative policy analysis-Asulfur air pollution example,” Risk Anal., vol. 4, pp. 201-216, 1984.
-
(1984)
Risk Anal.
, vol.4
, pp. 201-216
-
-
Morgan, M.G.1
Morris, S.C.2
Henrion, M.3
Amaral, D.A.L.4
Rish, W.R.5
-
10
-
-
45549110613
-
A critique of currentpractice for the use of expert opinions in probabilistic assessment
-
A. Mosleh, V. M. Bier, and G. Apostolakis, “A critique of currentpractice for the use of expert opinions in probabilistic assessment,” Reliab. Eng. Syst. Safety, vol. 20, pp. 63-85, 1988.
-
(1988)
Reliab. Eng. Syst. Safety
, vol.20
, pp. 63-85
-
-
Mosleh, A.1
Bier, V.M.2
Apostolakis, G.3
-
11
-
-
10344234665
-
-
Heidelberg, W.Germany: Springer
-
J. L. Mumpower, L. D. Phillips, O. Renn, and V. R. R. Uppuluri, Eds., Expert Judgment and Expert Systems. Heidelberg, W.Germany: Springer, 1987.
-
(1987)
Expert Judgment and Expert Systems
-
-
Mumpower, J.L.1
Phillips, L.D.2
Renn, O.3
Uppuluri, V.R.R.4
-
12
-
-
84943459493
-
Use ofexpert judgment in NUREG-1150
-
presented at the Sixteenth WaterReactor Safety Infor. Meet., Washington, DC, Oct. 24-27
-
N. R. Ortiz, T. A. Wheeler, M. A. Meyer, and R. L. Keeney, “Use ofexpert judgment in NUREG-1150,” presented at the Sixteenth WaterReactor Safety Infor. Meet., Washington, DC, Oct. 24-27, 1988.
-
(1988)
-
-
Ortiz, N.R.1
Wheeler, T.A.2
Meyer, M.A.3
Keeney, R.L.4
-
16
-
-
0002229735
-
Encoding subjective probabilities:A psychological and psychometric review
-
T. S. Wallsten and D. V. Budescu, “Encoding subjective probabilities:A psychological and psychometric review,” Management Sci., vol. 29, pp. 151-173, 1983.
-
(1983)
Management Sci.
, vol.29
, pp. 151-173
-
-
Wallsten, T.S.1
Budescu, D.V.2
-
17
-
-
0000205049
-
The quantification of judgment: Some methodologicalsuggestions
-
R. L. Winkler, “The quantification of judgment: Some methodologicalsuggestions,” J. Amer. Stat. Ass., vol. 62, pp. 1105-1120, 1967.
-
(1967)
J. Amer. Stat. Ass.
, vol.62
, pp. 1105-1120
-
-
Winkler, R.L.1
|