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Volumn 36, Issue 2, 1989, Pages 83-86

On the Uses of Expert Judgment on Complex Technical Problems

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EXPERT JUDGMENTS; TECHNICAL PROBLEMS;

EID: 77952888019     PISSN: 00189391     EISSN: 15580040     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1109/17.18821     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (71)

References (18)
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  • 3
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    • de Finetti, B.1
  • 4
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    • presented atthe Nat. Meet. Operations Res. Soc. Amer., Vancouver, B.C., May 8-10
    • R. John, R. L. Keeney, and D. von Winterfeldt, “Probabilisticestimates of complex technical phenomena: Estimating hydrogenproduction during severe nuclear power plant accidents,” presented atthe Nat. Meet. Operations Res. Soc. Amer., Vancouver, B.C., May 8-10, 1989.
    • (1989)
    • John, R.1    Keeney, R.L.2    von Winterfeldt, D.3
  • 6
    • 84943460268 scopus 로고
    • A probabilistic analysis of landslidepotential
    • Stanford Univ. (Stanford, CA), Aug. 22-24
    • R. L. Keeney and A. Lamont, “A probabilistic analysis of landslidepotential,” in Proc. 2nd U.S. Nat. Conf. Earthquake Eng., Stanford Univ. (Stanford, CA), Aug. 22-24, 1979.
    • (1979) Proc. 2nd U.S. Nat. Conf. Earthquake Eng.
    • Keeney, R.L.1    Lamont, A.2
  • 8
    • 0023573759 scopus 로고
    • Quantifying judgmental uncertainty: Methodology, experiences, and insights
    • M. L. Merkhofer, “Quantifying judgmental uncertainty: Methodology, experiences, and insights,” IEEE Trans. Syst., Man, Cybern., vol. SMC-17, pp. 741-752, 1987.
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    • Merkhofer, M.L.1
  • 9
    • 0021491290 scopus 로고
    • Technical uncertainty in quantitative policy analysis-Asulfur air pollution example
    • M. G. Morgan, S. C. Morris, M. Henrion, D. A. L. Amaral, and W.R. Rish, “Technical uncertainty in quantitative policy analysis-Asulfur air pollution example,” Risk Anal., vol. 4, pp. 201-216, 1984.
    • (1984) Risk Anal. , vol.4 , pp. 201-216
    • Morgan, M.G.1    Morris, S.C.2    Henrion, M.3    Amaral, D.A.L.4    Rish, W.R.5
  • 10
    • 45549110613 scopus 로고
    • A critique of currentpractice for the use of expert opinions in probabilistic assessment
    • A. Mosleh, V. M. Bier, and G. Apostolakis, “A critique of currentpractice for the use of expert opinions in probabilistic assessment,” Reliab. Eng. Syst. Safety, vol. 20, pp. 63-85, 1988.
    • (1988) Reliab. Eng. Syst. Safety , vol.20 , pp. 63-85
    • Mosleh, A.1    Bier, V.M.2    Apostolakis, G.3
  • 12
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    • Use ofexpert judgment in NUREG-1150
    • presented at the Sixteenth WaterReactor Safety Infor. Meet., Washington, DC, Oct. 24-27
    • N. R. Ortiz, T. A. Wheeler, M. A. Meyer, and R. L. Keeney, “Use ofexpert judgment in NUREG-1150,” presented at the Sixteenth WaterReactor Safety Infor. Meet., Washington, DC, Oct. 24-27, 1988.
    • (1988)
    • Ortiz, N.R.1    Wheeler, T.A.2    Meyer, M.A.3    Keeney, R.L.4
  • 15
    • 0016570245 scopus 로고
    • Probability encoding indecision analysis
    • C. S. Spetzler and C. A. Stael von Holstein, “Probability encoding indecision analysis,” Management 5c/., vol. 22, pp. 340-352, 1975.
    • (1975) Management 5c/. , vol.22 , pp. 340-352
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  • 16
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    • Encoding subjective probabilities:A psychological and psychometric review
    • T. S. Wallsten and D. V. Budescu, “Encoding subjective probabilities:A psychological and psychometric review,” Management Sci., vol. 29, pp. 151-173, 1983.
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  • 17
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    • Winkler, R.L.1


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