Implications of an uncertain future for port planning

Maritime Policy and Management

Volumn 37, Issue 3, 2010, Pages 221-245

  Taneja, P ^a   Walkert, W E ^a   Ligteringent, H ^a   Schuylenburg, M V ^b   Plas, R V ^b  

^a DELFT UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY   (Netherlands)

^b PORT OF ROTTERDAM AUTHORITY   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

MARITIME TRANSPORTATION; PORT DEVELOPMENT; PORT OPERATION; SHIPPING; STAKEHOLDER; TRANSPORTATION PLANNING;

NETHERLANDS; ROTTERDAM; SOUTH HOLLAND;

EID: 77952514365     PISSN: 03088839     EISSN: 14645254     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/03088831003700637     Document Type: Article

References (27)

1. Van De Voorde, E. and Winkelmans, W., 2002, A general introduction to port competition and management. In: Port Competitiveness, edited by M. Huybrechts, E. Van de Voorde, E. Van Hooydonk, A. Verbeke and W. Winkelmans (Antwerp: De Boeck Ltd.).
2. Frankel, E. G., 1989, Strategic planning applied to shipping and ports. Maritime Policy and Management, 16(2), 123-132.
3. Walker, W. E., Rahman, S. J. and Cave, J., 2001, Adaptive policies, policy analysis and policymaking. European Journal of Operational Research, 128(2), 282-289.
4. Rand, 1997, Adaptive Policies, Policy Analysis and Civil Aviation Policymaking (Sant Monica, CA: DRU-1514-VW/VROM/EZ, RAND).http://www.rand.org/pubs/drafts/DRU1514/ (accessed 21 July 2009).
5. Port of Rotterdam (PoR): Port Vision 2020, 2004. http://www.portofrotterdam.com/en/port_authority/company_profile/vision_strategy/index.jsp (accessed 21 July 2009).
6. Don, F. J. H., 2001, Forecasting in macroeconomics: a practitioners view. CPB Research Memorandum no. 262. The Hague: Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy analysis (CPB).
7. TEU: Twenty-foot equivalent unit, 1 TEU is a container 20 feet long.
8. Business Standard, 2009. Three port projects worth Rs 7,700 crore get PPP clearance. Business Standard, New Delhi. http://www.business-standard.com/india/news/three-port-projects-worth-rs-7700-cr-get-ppp-clearance/376201/ (accessed 21 November 2009).
9. Currently, the size of the biggest existing vessel is approximately 13 500 TEU.
10. NAP is an abbreviation for Normaal Amsterdams Peil, and is a reference level for height-measurements in The Netherlands.
11. Zuckerman, E., 2007, Marc Levinsons "The Box": Worldchanging. Retrieved April 23, 2007 from http://www.worldchanging.com/archives/006557.html.
12. de Neufville, R., 2000, Dynamic strategic planning for technology policy. International Journal of Technology Management, 19(3-5), 225-245.
13. Kwakkel, J., Walker, W. and Marchau, V., 2008, Adaptive Airport Strategic Planning. In: 10th International TRAIL Congress, Selected papers, edited by H. J. van Zuylen and A. J. van Binsbergen (Delft: TRAIL Research School), pp. 115-142 (ISBN: 978-90-5584112-7).
14. Burghouwt, G., 2007, Airline Network Development in Europe and Its Implications for Airport Planning (Burlington, USA: Ashgate Publishing Company).
15. A Black Swan [16] refers to a large-impact, hard-to-predict, and rare event beyond the realm of normal expectations.
16. Taleb, N. N., 2007, The Black Swan: The impact of the Highly Improbable (NY: Random House).
17. Dewar, J. A., Builder, C. H., Hix, W. M. and Levin, M., 1993, Assumption-based Planning: A Planning Tool for Very Uncertain Times (Santa Monica, CA: MR114-A, RAND).
18. Dewar, J. A., 2002, Assumption-based Planning: A tool for Reducing Avoidable Surprises (RAND Studies in Policy Analysis) (New York: Cambridge University Press).
19. Rotterdam Mainport Development Project (PMR), 2008, Masterplan Maasvlakte 2, (Port of Rotterdam: Werkversie 8).
20. Wiegmans, B. W., Van Der Hoest, A. and Notteboom, T. E., 2008, Port and terminal selection by deep-sea container operators. Maritime Policy Management, 35(6), 517-534.
21. Rahman, S. A., Malone, K., Van De Kerke, B. and Vader, J., 1999, onzekerheidsanalyse van de Ruimtevraag in de Haven van Rotterdam [Risk Analysis of the Demand for Space in the Port of Rotterdam] (Santa Monica, CA: RE-99.014, RAND). http://www.rand.org/pubs/rand_europe/RE99-014/ (accessed 16 March 2010).
22. Walker, W. E., 1997, Maasvlakte 2: Trend-break Analysis (Santa Monica, CA: RE-97.04, RAND).
23. Bekebrede, G. and Mayer, I., 2006, Build your seaport in a game and learn about complex systems. Journal ofDesign Research, 5(2), 273-298.
24. The plunge in the price of crude oil from $145 per barrel in the summer of 2008 to $49 in 2009 is a short-term contradiction to this long-term trend [25].
25. Myers, J., 2009, Oil prices history and forecast 2009. Retrieved November 15, 2009, from http://www.scribd.com/doc/18292166/OIL-PRICE-FORECASTS-2009.
26. Notteboom, T. (ed.), 2002, Current Issues in Port Logistics and Intermodality. (Antwerpen/Apeldoorn: Garant).
27. Projectorganisatie Maasvlakte 2, 2007, Milieueffectrapport MER A and B (Environmental Impact Assessment Report) (Havenbedrijf Rotterdam N.V.).